2015년 기상청 전지구예보모델 검증결과

【 2016. 7. 21. / 수치모델연구부 수치모델개발과 】


1) 전지구예보모델 성능 변화 추세

가) 500hPa 고도장의 RMSE

 
 
 

나) 850hPa 기온의 RMSE


 
 
 

다) 250hPa 풍속의 RMSE

 
 
 

2) 전지구예측시스템 분석 검증

다) 북반구 분석 검증

표 1.1.1 GDAPS 북반구 해면기압(MSLP) Mean Error [hPa] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.13

0.13

0.11

0.05

- 0.04

- 0.06

- 0.13

- 0.13

- 0.03

0.02

0.06

0.08

0.02

48H

0.26

0.24

0.18

0.05

- 0.13

- 0.16

- 0.27

- 0.29

- 0.11

0.01

0.12

0.20

0.01

72H

0.38

0.34

0.26

0.07

- 0.16

- 0.21

- 0.36

- 0.40

- 0.15

- 0.01

0.16

0.30

0.02

96H

0.47

0.46

0.36

0.14

- 0.13

- 0.22

- 0.43

- 0.47

- 0.16

- 0.02

0.19

0.38

0.05

120H

0.57

0.55

0.45

0.21

- 0.12

- 0.18

- 0.45

- 0.52

- 0.19

0.02

0.20

0.44

0.08

144H

0.67

0.59

0.45

0.33

- 0.09

- 0.16

- 0.48

- 0.57

- 0.20

0.04

0.21

0.49

0.11

168H

0.76

0.60

0.51

0.41

- 0.06

- 0.09

- 0.52

- 0.60

- 0.24

0.05

0.21

0.46

0.12

192H

0.85

0.63

0.52

0.48

- 0.01

- 0.01

- 0.52

- 0.57

- 0.29

0.04

0.17

0.41

0.14

216H

0.85

0.66

0.55

0.46

0.05

0.00

- 0.50

- 0.58

- 0.36

0.04

0.14

0.30

0.13

240H

0.90

0.67

0.59

0.38

0.10

0.01

- 0.49

- 0.61

- 0.35

0.01

0.10

0.19

0.12

264H

1.06

0.59

0.64

0.30

0.17

0.05

- 0.48

- 0.63

- 0.31

- 0.04

- 0.03

0.15

0.12

288H

1.10

0.58

0.67

0.25

0.28

0.00

- 0.41

- 0.66

- 0.28

- 0.06

- 0.18

0.12

0.12


표 1.1.2 GDAPS 북반구 해면기압(MSLP) RMSE [hPa] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

1.02

1.02

0.93

0.85

0.81

0.79

0.80

0.75

0.77

0.88

0.92

1.01

0.88

48H

1.75

1.72

1.59

1.47

1.32

1.30

1.33

1.25

1.31

1.48

1.55

1.74

1.48

72H

2.68

2.61

2.33

2.21

1.98

1.94

1.91

1.79

1.97

2.25

2.38

2.66

2.23

96H

3.73

3.77

3.29

3.10

2.78

2.68

2.59

2.39

2.80

3.27

3.37

3.76

3.13

120H

4.89

5.06

4.45

4.23

3.68

3.49

3.39

3.13

3.70

4.40

4.41

5.02

4.15

144H

6.20

6.35

5.57

5.58

4.74

4.30

4.18

3.93

4.74

5.54

5.57

6.37

5.26

168H

7.39

7.50

6.58

6.58

5.75

5.18

4.87

4.57

5.75

6.48

6.83

7.64

6.26

192H

8.46

8.54

7.44

7.31

6.44

6.00

5.43

5.15

6.37

7.57

7.95

8.70

7.11

216H

9.46

9.42

8.34

8.05

6.97

6.63

5.89

5.68

6.92

8.61

8.76

9.53

7.86

240H

10.14

10.24

9.29

8.81

7.43

6.97

6.30

6.16

7.48

9.36

9.54

10.17

8.49

264H

10.89

10.95

10.13

9.51

7.89

7.20

6.57

6.67

7.88

9.90

10.00

10.92

9.04

288H

11.81

11.20

10.67

9.90

8.11

7.41

6.82

6.84

8.11

10.25

10.36

11.59

9.42


표 1.1.3 GDAPS 북반구 해면기압(MSLP) S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

19.33

19.45

18.87

20.02

21.64

22.60

23.40

21.91

20.56

19.39

19.30

18.68

20.43

48H

26.95

27.23

26.59

27.79

29.65

30.74

31.63

29.73

28.77

27.31

26.49

26.15

28.25

72H

35.12

35.14

33.92

35.88

37.97

39.10

39.80

37.15

37.40

35.72

34.50

33.90

36.30

96H

43.42

43.62

41.68

44.42

46.74

47.81

47.95

44.55

46.55

44.77

43.02

42.41

44.74

120H

50.95

52.27

49.96

53.36

55.48

56.16

55.77

52.93

55.22

53.82

50.99

50.31

53.10

144H

58.81

59.69

57.58

62.31

63.78

63.17

62.85

60.67

63.42

62.36

58.20

57.94

60.90

168H

64.77

66.16

64.47

68.94

71.68

69.37

68.65

66.48

70.95

69.12

65.48

64.35

67.53

192H

69.63

71.03

69.54

73.80

76.62

75.25

73.02

71.64

75.76

75.19

71.20

69.46

72.68

216H

74.27

75.36

74.23

78.25

79.75

79.62

76.18

75.43

79.78

80.56

75.39

73.76

76.88

240H

76.59

79.80

78.71

81.50

82.52

81.67

78.81

78.77

82.84

84.12

79.24

76.26

80.07

264H

80.02

82.87

81.42

84.61

84.20

83.31

80.35

81.85

84.05

86.22

81.47

78.74

82.43

288H

82.53

84.03

83.11

85.70

85.14

84.33

81.60

82.74

85.83

88.27

82.54

81.34

83.93

표 1.1.4 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 0.24

- 0.21

- 0.17

- 0.06

0.06

0.06

0.09

0.01

- 0.07

- 0.09

- 0.11

- 0.17

- 0.08

48H

- 0.39

- 0.36

- 0.31

- 0.14

0.06

0.06

0.10

- 0.01

- 0.12

- 0.14

- 0.20

- 0.31

- 0.15

72H

- 0.52

- 0.49

- 0.41

- 0.20

0.04

0.06

0.08

- 0.03

- 0.18

- 0.18

- 0.26

- 0.41

- 0.21

96H

- 0.61

- 0.58

- 0.51

- 0.25

0.02

0.05

0.05

- 0.05

- 0.21

- 0.20

- 0.30

- 0.50

- 0.26

120H

- 0.68

- 0.67

- 0.59

- 0.29

0.01

0.04

0.01

- 0.06

- 0.23

- 0.22

- 0.34

- 0.57

- 0.30

144H

- 0.73

- 0.75

- 0.66

- 0.32

0.01

0.02

- 0.01

- 0.08

- 0.26

- 0.22

- 0.39

- 0.64

- 0.34

168H

- 0.78

- 0.83

- 0.74

- 0.35

0.00

0.00

- 0.04

- 0.09

- 0.25

- 0.21

- 0.41

- 0.69

- 0.37

192H

- 0.82

- 0.90

- 0.82

- 0.42

0.00

- 0.02

- 0.07

- 0.11

- 0.27

- 0.21

- 0.43

- 0.71

- 0.40

216H

- 0.87

- 0.95

- 0.92

- 0.50

- 0.03

- 0.02

- 0.07

- 0.12

- 0.28

- 0.19

- 0.45

- 0.71

- 0.43

240H

- 0.90

- 1.01

- 0.98

- 0.53

- 0.06

- 0.01

- 0.06

- 0.14

- 0.24

- 0.16

- 0.45

- 0.72

- 0.44

264H

- 0.95

- 1.05

- 1.02

- 0.55

- 0.10

0.00

- 0.05

- 0.16

- 0.21

- 0.13

- 0.44

- 0.72

- 0.45

288H

- 0.98

- 1.10

- 1.03

- 0.60

- 0.16

0.01

- 0.04

- 0.19

- 0.19

- 0.10

- 0.46

- 0.72

- 0.46


표 1.1.5 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

1.06

1.04

0.97

0.91

0.89

0.91

0.92

0.84

0.79

0.87

0.92

0.99

0.93

48H

1.51

1.50

1.39

1.31

1.26

1.28

1.30

1.17

1.12

1.21

1.28

1.41

1.31

72H

1.94

1.93

1.77

1.68

1.60

1.63

1.66

1.49

1.44

1.55

1.65

1.82

1.68

96H

2.44

2.43

2.18

2.11

2.01

2.04

2.06

1.82

1.81

1.93

2.08

2.30

2.10

120H

3.02

3.05

2.68

2.60

2.50

2.50

2.45

2.17

2.24

2.39

2.52

2.81

2.58

144H

3.53

3.65

3.21

3.19

3.03

2.97

2.85

2.53

2.65

2.88

2.99

3.36

3.07

168H

3.94

4.21

3.77

3.74

3.56

3.45

3.19

2.90

3.09

3.37

3.46

3.92

3.55

192H

4.43

4.77

4.23

4.25

3.96

3.75

3.58

3.22

3.54

3.84

3.87

4.40

3.99

216H

4.92

5.18

4.64

4.60

4.31

4.04

3.87

3.53

3.94

4.26

4.21

4.75

4.35

240H

5.22

5.55

5.02

4.87

4.62

4.27

4.09

3.79

4.24

4.56

4.61

5.05

4.66

264H

5.56

5.89

5.30

5.12

4.87

4.47

4.22

4.03

4.39

4.79

4.91

5.25

4.90

288H

5.90

6.10

5.50

5.40

5.03

4.68

4.34

4.15

4.60

4.96

5.17

5.40

5.10


표 1.1.6 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

33.05

31.47

31.83

32.20

33.52

35.53

37.85

36.12

33.57

33.30

33.19

33.27

33.74

48H

42.00

40.46

41.06

41.71

43.29

45.68

47.66

45.82

43.32

42.58

42.02

42.38

43.16

72H

48.86

46.89

47.51

48.55

50.19

52.81

54.59

52.11

50.09

49.43

48.43

48.94

49.87

96H

54.87

52.96

53.20

54.81

56.56

59.10

60.45

57.45

56.14

55.28

54.53

55.04

55.87

120H

60.12

58.78

58.50

60.46

62.10

64.41

65.30

62.24

61.74

60.93

59.46

60.45

61.21

144H

64.81

63.75

63.46

65.75

67.35

68.87

69.35

66.59

66.28

65.82

64.05

65.12

65.93

168H

68.19

67.74

67.54

70.14

71.74

72.85

72.37

70.10

70.24

69.95

67.98

69.37

69.85

192H

70.86

71.10

70.59

73.68

75.03

75.31

75.39

73.05

73.73

73.30

71.14

72.17

72.95

216H

73.65

73.22

73.00

75.92

77.12

77.51

77.51

75.03

76.44

76.05

73.24

74.10

75.23

240H

75.24

75.43

75.32

77.70

78.95

78.99

79.03

76.81

78.35

77.83

75.84

75.93

77.12

264H

76.76

77.31

77.01

79.14

80.09

79.85

79.94

78.56

78.93

79.26

77.14

77.21

78.43

288H

78.25

77.75

77.79

80.20

81.40

80.99

80.71

79.17

80.08

80.51

78.10

77.66

79.38

     

표 1.1.7 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.98

0.98

0.98

0.98

0.98

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.98

0.97

0.98

0.98

0.98

48H

0.95

0.96

0.96

0.95

0.95

0.94

0.93

0.93

0.95

0.95

0.96

0.95

0.95

72H

0.92

0.93

0.93

0.92

0.92

0.90

0.89

0.89

0.92

0.92

0.93

0.92

0.92

96H

0.87

0.89

0.89

0.88

0.87

0.84

0.83

0.84

0.88

0.87

0.88

0.87

0.87

120H

0.80

0.83

0.83

0.81

0.80

0.77

0.77

0.78

0.81

0.80

0.82

0.81

0.80

144H

0.71

0.75

0.76

0.72

0.71

0.67

0.68

0.70

0.74

0.70

0.75

0.72

0.72

168H

0.64

0.67

0.67

0.62

0.60

0.56

0.61

0.62

0.64

0.60

0.66

0.62

0.63

192H

0.54

0.58

0.58

0.52

0.50

0.48

0.52

0.54

0.53

0.48

0.58

0.52

0.53

216H

0.44

0.51

0.50

0.43

0.42

0.40

0.43

0.46

0.43

0.38

0.50

0.44

0.45

240H

0.38

0.43

0.42

0.37

0.34

0.34

0.37

0.39

0.34

0.30

0.40

0.37

0.37

264H

0.30

0.34

0.36

0.31

0.27

0.28

0.33

0.32

0.29

0.24

0.34

0.31

0.31

288H

0.24

0.29

0.30

0.24

0.23

0.22

0.29

0.29

0.23

0.19

0.27

0.29

0.26


표 1.1.8 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 1.79

- 1.65

- 1.49

- 0.89

- 0.60

- 1.03

- 1.82

- 1.77

- 1.36

- 1.17

- 1.15

- 1.89

- 1.38

48H

- 3.00

- 2.95

- 2.68

- 1.80

- 1.39

- 1.87

- 3.32

- 3.39

- 2.63

- 2.07

- 1.93

- 2.98

- 2.50

72H

- 4.19

- 4.13

- 3.52

- 2.29

- 1.59

- 2.18

- 4.32

- 4.43

- 3.46

- 2.78

- 2.61

- 4.04

- 3.30

96H

- 5.27

- 4.97

- 4.05

- 2.34

- 1.38

- 2.11

- 5.05

- 5.15

- 3.95

- 3.19

- 3.19

- 4.87

- 3.79

120H

- 6.08

- 5.98

- 4.65

- 2.18

- 1.23

- 1.71

- 5.24

- 5.72

- 4.44

- 3.21

- 3.59

- 5.60

- 4.14

144H

- 6.79

- 7.13

- 5.89

- 1.92

- 0.97

- 1.48

- 5.50

- 6.21

- 4.76

- 3.26

- 3.82

- 6.19

- 4.49

168H

- 7.80

- 8.60

- 6.71

- 1.98

- 0.66

- 0.88

- 5.80

- 6.66

- 5.03

- 3.28

- 4.17

- 6.92

- 4.87

192H

- 8.57

- 9.80

- 7.96

- 2.30

- 0.58

- 0.54

- 5.78

- 6.45

- 5.32

- 3.72

- 4.78

- 7.54

- 5.28

216H

- 9.60

- 10.73

- 9.02

- 3.35

- 0.41

- 0.50

- 5.55

- 6.52

- 5.45

- 4.06

- 5.11

- 8.01

- 5.69

240H

- 10.42

- 12.00

- 9.57

- 4.62

- 0.26

- 0.44

- 5.39

- 6.88

- 4.77

- 4.34

- 5.62

- 8.19

- 6.04

264H

- 10.29

- 13.71

- 9.89

- 5.58

- 0.42

- 0.28

- 5.19

- 7.24

- 4.27

- 4.10

- 6.55

- 8.24

- 6.31

288H

- 10.92

- 14.66

- 10.23

- 6.63

- 0.38

- 0.46

- 4.83

- 7.81

- 3.84

- 3.71

- 7.62

- 8.81

- 6.66


표 1.1.9 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

8.30

8.22

7.43

7.14

7.03

7.01

7.08

6.37

6.65

7.38

7.36

8.21

7.35

48H

16.08

15.92

14.12

13.85

13.20

12.45

13.03

11.35

12.45

13.79

13.90

15.92

13.84

72H

26.03

25.36

22.09

22.07

20.91

19.66

19.85

17.38

20.01

22.12

21.94

25.11

21.88

96H

37.41

37.45

32.03

32.51

30.66

28.89

27.95

24.47

29.03

32.83

32.75

35.88

31.82

120H

49.75

51.13

43.63

45.75

42.24

39.02

37.77

32.94

39.14

45.31

43.88

48.70

43.27

144H

63.50

65.78

55.35

60.33

55.70

49.45

46.96

42.00

51.17

58.34

56.33

62.11

55.59

168H

76.83

79.27

67.06

72.75

67.75

60.02

54.68

49.90

63.10

70.63

68.83

75.95

67.23

192H

90.58

92.50

78.36

83.86

76.97

68.41

62.56

57.86

71.32

83.74

79.60

87.13

77.74

216H

102.32

104.14

89.42

93.96

84.13

75.25

68.84

64.89

78.92

96.00

89.02

97.66

87.05

240H

110.81

115.57

100.34

103.01

90.51

80.33

74.86

70.55

85.84

103.86

98.63

107.11

95.12

264H

119.95

126.35

109.67

110.83

96.42

84.44

78.69

76.97

91.08

109.71

105.35

115.10

102.05

288H

131.04

132.28

117.10

115.79

100.54

89.12

81.78

80.77

94.76

115.18

111.29

120.88

107.54


표 1.1.10 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

10.84

10.77

10.91

11.74

13.00

14.95

16.51

14.82

13.56

11.52

11.23

10.96

12.57

48H

18.13

17.86

17.85

19.17

20.92

23.38

25.54

22.60

21.28

18.56

18.14

18.39

20.15

72H

25.70

24.97

24.66

27.15

29.32

32.08

34.33

30.37

29.35

26.17

25.44

25.87

27.95

96H

33.11

32.52

31.83

35.28

37.75

41.07

43.03

38.40

38.07

34.41

33.32

33.32

36.01

120H

39.82

39.68

38.72

43.57

46.04

49.61

51.80

46.54

46.28

42.44

40.42

40.51

43.79

144H

46.10

46.44

44.85

51.07

54.38

57.15

58.91

54.24

54.40

49.95

47.45

47.14

51.01

168H

51.57

51.82

50.51

57.27

61.18

63.53

65.03

60.56

61.68

56.34

53.55

53.13

57.18

192H

56.52

56.34

55.18

62.82

66.28

68.15

70.35

66.12

66.98

62.27

58.58

57.76

62.28

216H

60.14

60.30

59.17

67.16

69.39

72.03

74.11

70.22

71.05

67.49

62.23

61.18

66.21

240H

62.70

64.15

63.25

70.72

72.39

74.62

77.23

73.16

74.15

70.59

65.90

63.60

69.37

264H

65.41

67.30

65.99

73.26

74.58

77.09

79.12

76.32

75.93

72.98

68.20

66.20

71.86

288H

68.37

68.64

67.99

74.60

76.03

79.40

80.84

78.06

77.60

75.14

69.82

68.17

73.72


표 1.1.11 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

0.99

0.99

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

48H

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.98

0.98

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

72H

0.97

0.98

0.98

0.97

0.96

0.96

0.96

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.98

0.97

0.97

96H

0.94

0.95

0.95

0.94

0.92

0.90

0.92

0.93

0.93

0.93

0.95

0.94

0.93

120H

0.88

0.90

0.91

0.87

0.86

0.82

0.84

0.87

0.87

0.87

0.90

0.89

0.87

144H

0.81

0.83

0.86

0.78

0.75

0.72

0.75

0.78

0.77

0.78

0.84

0.82

0.79

168H

0.72

0.76

0.80

0.67

0.63

0.59

0.65

0.70

0.65

0.68

0.75

0.73

0.69

192H

0.62

0.67

0.72

0.57

0.52

0.48

0.54

0.59

0.55

0.55

0.66

0.64

0.59

216H

0.52

0.59

0.64

0.47

0.42

0.38

0.44

0.48

0.44

0.42

0.58

0.55

0.49

240H

0.44

0.49

0.54

0.38

0.33

0.29

0.34

0.38

0.34

0.32

0.49

0.47

0.40

264H

0.36

0.38

0.45

0.29

0.25

0.21

0.27

0.26

0.26

0.24

0.42

0.38

0.31

288H

0.26

0.32

0.37

0.23

0.20

0.13

0.21

0.19

0.20

0.17

0.35

0.33

0.25


표 1.1.12 GDAPS 북반구 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 0.19

- 0.17

- 0.19

- 0.20

- 0.23

- 0.29

- 0.34

- 0.32

- 0.35

- 0.30

- 0.28

- 0.22

- 0.26

48H

- 0.38

- 0.29

- 0.29

- 0.30

- 0.34

- 0.50

- 0.53

- 0.52

- 0.57

- 0.44

- 0.47

- 0.39

- 0.42

72H

- 0.47

- 0.38

- 0.38

- 0.35

- 0.42

- 0.61

- 0.66

- 0.66

- 0.69

- 0.55

- 0.59

- 0.46

- 0.52

96H

- 0.57

- 0.49

- 0.50

- 0.44

- 0.48

- 0.70

- 0.75

- 0.77

- 0.81

- 0.64

- 0.70

- 0.52

- 0.61

120H

- 0.64

- 0.62

- 0.54

- 0.56

- 0.57

- 0.78

- 0.75

- 0.86

- 0.89

- 0.75

- 0.74

- 0.55

- 0.69

144H

- 0.71

- 0.70

- 0.59

- 0.66

- 0.69

- 0.88

- 0.72

- 0.88

- 1.01

- 0.86

- 0.77

- 0.52

- 0.75

168H

- 0.79

- 0.78

- 0.61

- 0.65

- 0.80

- 0.91

- 0.70

- 0.83

- 1.05

- 0.97

- 0.81

- 0.51

- 0.78

192H

- 0.87

- 0.84

- 0.52

- 0.52

- 0.88

- 0.91

- 0.67

- 0.86

- 0.95

- 1.12

- 0.80

- 0.45

- 0.78

216H

- 0.89

- 0.87

- 0.45

- 0.52

- 0.91

- 0.90

- 0.70

- 0.82

- 0.90

- 1.21

- 0.90

- 0.37

- 0.79

240H

- 0.94

- 0.91

- 0.52

- 0.58

- 0.94

- 0.89

- 0.61

- 0.76

- 1.00

- 1.25

- 0.93

- 0.50

- 0.82

264H

- 0.92

- 1.02

- 0.60

- 0.71

- 0.86

- 0.89

- 0.56

- 0.70

- 1.03

- 1.40

- 0.92

- 0.51

- 0.84

288H

- 0.93

- 1.13

- 0.76

- 0.73

- 0.88

- 0.84

- 0.47

- 0.64

- 1.02

- 1.50

- 0.76

- 0.33

- 0.83

  


표 1.1.13 GDAPS 북반구 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

3.74

3.86

3.75

3.80

3.90

3.91

4.14

3.91

3.90

3.91

3.83

3.82

3.87

48H

5.86

5.90

5.75

5.79

5.89

6.08

6.47

5.93

5.95

5.97

5.80

6.00

5.95

72H

8.20

8.11

7.78

7.83

7.95

8.37

8.75

8.03

8.14

8.40

7.95

8.34

8.15

96H

10.57

10.60

10.08

10.27

10.32

10.66

11.11

10.19

10.65

10.95

10.56

10.83

10.57

120H

13.06

13.30

12.60

12.90

12.72

13.01

13.30

12.32

13.24

13.69

13.18

13.71

13.09

144H

15.77

16.10

14.97

15.70

15.05

15.51

15.24

14.47

15.69

16.30

15.79

16.46

15.59

168H

18.15

18.44

17.45

18.13

17.36

17.53

16.99

16.22

18.08

18.68

18.37

18.88

17.86

192H

20.37

20.66

19.58

20.28

19.18

18.90

18.64

17.50

20.17

20.81

20.60

21.11

19.82

216H

22.31

22.72

21.48

22.01

20.50

20.21

19.56

18.82

21.68

22.68

22.21

23.04

21.43

240H

23.79

24.39

23.03

23.37

21.83

21.02

20.79

19.69

22.78

23.96

23.94

24.36

22.75

264H

25.61

26.04

24.47

24.29

23.03

21.79

21.47

20.71

23.47

24.95

25.14

25.27

23.85

288H

26.98

26.89

25.56

25.11

23.93

22.43

22.01

21.36

23.98

26.00

26.24

26.40

24.74


라) 적도지역 분석검증

표 1.1.14 GDAPS 적도지역 해면기압(MSLP) Mean Error [hPa] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 0.11

- 0.13

- 0.12

- 0.10

- 0.07

- 0.05

- 0.05

- 0.10

- 0.15

- 0.11

- 0.11

- 0.08

- 0.10

48H

- 0.22

- 0.25

- 0.23

- 0.19

- 0.10

- 0.06

- 0.07

- 0.15

- 0.21

- 0.22

- 0.22

- 0.21

- 0.18

72H

- 0.34

- 0.39

- 0.36

- 0.29

- 0.19

- 0.11

- 0.10

- 0.19

- 0.28

- 0.31

- 0.33

- 0.36

- 0.27

96H

- 0.45

- 0.54

- 0.48

- 0.39

- 0.27

- 0.19

- 0.14

- 0.22

- 0.33

- 0.38

- 0.43

- 0.50

- 0.36

120H

- 0.55

- 0.67

- 0.59

- 0.48

- 0.34

- 0.30

- 0.21

- 0.27

- 0.38

- 0.47

- 0.53

- 0.61

- 0.45

144H

- 0.65

- 0.77

- 0.67

- 0.62

- 0.39

- 0.42

- 0.31

- 0.34

- 0.41

- 0.52

- 0.67

- 0.68

- 0.54

168H

- 0.78

- 0.84

- 0.76

- 0.75

- 0.45

- 0.48

- 0.42

- 0.41

- 0.41

- 0.57

- 0.77

- 0.71

- 0.61

192H

- 0.89

- 0.87

- 0.84

- 0.78

- 0.52

- 0.53

- 0.44

- 0.44

- 0.33

- 0.58

- 0.84

- 0.77

- 0.65

216H

- 0.94

- 0.94

- 0.90

- 0.73

- 0.57

- 0.63

- 0.48

- 0.48

- 0.31

- 0.59

- 0.85

- 0.78

- 0.68

240H

- 0.98

- 0.99

- 0.92

- 0.66

- 0.60

- 0.65

- 0.52

- 0.55

- 0.28

- 0.59

- 0.86

- 0.81

- 0.70

264H

- 1.09

- 1.01

- 1.00

- 0.58

- 0.66

- 0.68

- 0.52

- 0.57

- 0.20

- 0.71

- 0.82

- 0.89

- 0.73

288H

- 1.17

- 1.09

- 1.04

- 0.53

- 0.68

- 0.72

- 0.51

- 0.58

- 0.17

- 0.82

- 0.75

- 0.93

- 0.75


표 1.1.15 GDAPS 적도지역 해면기압(MSLP) RMSE [hPa] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.51

0.54

0.54

0.52

0.52

0.50

0.55

0.59

0.62

0.68

0.62

0.60

0.57

48H

0.75

0.76

0.76

0.68

0.69

0.68

0.76

0.82

0.83

0.86

0.80

0.82

0.77

72H

0.92

0.91

0.94

0.81

0.83

0.79

0.91

0.99

0.99

1.01

0.94

0.98

0.92

96H

1.06

1.06

1.09

0.92

0.92

0.88

1.02

1.11

1.10

1.12

1.05

1.09

1.04

120H

1.21

1.22

1.25

1.05

1.05

1.01

1.13

1.22

1.22

1.25

1.17

1.19

1.16

144H

1.38

1.38

1.40

1.24

1.17

1.17

1.26

1.33

1.35

1.35

1.30

1.28

1.30

168H

1.53

1.56

1.53

1.43

1.28

1.25

1.39

1.47

1.45

1.47

1.44

1.36

1.43

192H

1.65

1.70

1.67

1.54

1.40

1.36

1.48

1.57

1.51

1.58

1.56

1.50

1.54

216H

1.77

1.83

1.80

1.64

1.50

1.52

1.57

1.66

1.62

1.68

1.66

1.61

1.65

240H

1.88

1.98

1.94

1.75

1.61

1.64

1.69

1.73

1.71

1.78

1.80

1.72

1.77

264H

2.03

2.08

2.11

1.85

1.70

1.80

1.87

1.84

1.78

1.91

1.82

1.90

1.89

288H

2.14

2.19

2.22

1.92

1.81

1.91

1.97

1.91

1.85

2.05

1.86

2.03

1.99

표 1.1.16 GDAPS 적도지역 해면기압(MSLP) S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

30.07

32.14

31.35

32.19

30.69

27.90

28.22

29.70

32.65

33.86

32.86

30.46

31.01

48H

35.09

36.82

36.84

37.08

35.25

32.13

32.73

34.60

37.71

39.22

37.26

34.80

35.79

72H

38.15

39.50

40.25

39.71

37.55

34.46

35.44

37.73

40.89

42.58

39.73

37.29

38.61

96H

40.52

41.86

42.79

41.78

39.41

36.26

37.50

39.77

43.32

45.08

41.40

39.23

40.74

120H

42.58

44.10

45.24

43.73

41.42

37.96

39.33

41.52

45.39

47.42

43.27

40.97

42.74

144H

44.80

46.22

47.25

45.82

43.83

39.80

41.16

43.26

47.27

49.39

44.93

42.61

44.69

168H

46.96

48.64

49.37

48.16

45.63

41.19

42.78

44.98

49.36

51.13

46.86

44.24

46.61

192H

49.01

51.13

51.20

50.57

47.28

42.75

44.41

46.54

51.29

52.92

48.56

46.01

48.47

216H

50.88

53.35

53.01

52.83

48.32

44.16

45.83

48.08

52.71

54.56

50.42

47.53

50.14

240H

52.12

54.93

54.62

54.42

49.95

45.40

47.25

49.34

53.79

56.01

52.12

48.74

51.56

264H

53.96

56.64

55.69

55.91

50.85

46.93

48.90

50.06

54.72

56.85

53.59

50.13

52.85

288H

55.31

58.06

57.30

57.39

52.26

47.56

49.80

51.18

55.71

57.66

54.70

51.31

54.02


표 1.1.17 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 0.04

0.04

0.00

- 0.04

- 0.06

- 0.06

- 0.07

- 0.02

0.05

0.07

0.04

- 0.02

- 0.01

48H

- 0.11

0.03

- 0.02

- 0.05

- 0.11

- 0.14

- 0.16

- 0.09

0.03

0.09

0.05

- 0.06

- 0.04

72H

- 0.18

0.01

- 0.06

- 0.08

- 0.15

- 0.20

- 0.24

- 0.17

- 0.03

0.11

0.05

- 0.09

- 0.09

96H

- 0.24

- 0.02

- 0.10

- 0.10

- 0.16

- 0.23

- 0.31

- 0.26

- 0.10

0.10

0.04

- 0.12

- 0.13

120H

- 0.28

- 0.05

- 0.12

- 0.12

- 0.18

- 0.25

- 0.36

- 0.35

- 0.17

0.09

0.02

- 0.15

- 0.16

144H

- 0.32

- 0.06

- 0.14

- 0.14

- 0.20

- 0.25

- 0.40

- 0.41

- 0.23

0.06

0.01

- 0.17

- 0.19

168H

- 0.34

- 0.08

- 0.17

- 0.16

- 0.23

- 0.26

- 0.43

- 0.44

- 0.28

0.03

- 0.01

- 0.21

- 0.22

192H

- 0.36

- 0.12

- 0.20

- 0.18

- 0.25

- 0.29

- 0.48

- 0.44

- 0.32

0.00

- 0.02

- 0.22

- 0.24

216H

- 0.38

- 0.14

- 0.24

- 0.21

- 0.26

- 0.30

- 0.50

- 0.45

- 0.34

- 0.03

- 0.04

- 0.26

- 0.26

240H

- 0.40

- 0.18

- 0.26

- 0.25

- 0.26

- 0.32

- 0.47

- 0.46

- 0.37

- 0.05

- 0.06

- 0.28

- 0.28

264H

- 0.40

- 0.25

- 0.27

- 0.27

- 0.27

- 0.33

- 0.45

- 0.46

- 0.40

- 0.07

- 0.09

- 0.28

- 0.29

288H

- 0.38

- 0.29

- 0.28

- 0.28

- 0.29

- 0.34

- 0.41

- 0.47

- 0.39

- 0.11

- 0.12

- 0.27

- 0.30


표 1.1.18 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.68

0.66

0.64

0.62

0.67

0.67

0.70

0.72

0.73

0.78

0.71

0.68

0.69

48H

0.91

0.87

0.85

0.81

0.87

0.88

0.92

0.95

0.93

0.97

0.89

0.88

0.89

72H

1.04

1.01

0.98

0.91

0.98

1.01

1.05

1.07

1.08

1.11

0.99

0.99

1.02

96H

1.14

1.12

1.08

0.99

1.07

1.11

1.15

1.17

1.18

1.19

1.07

1.07

1.11

120H

1.24

1.21

1.16

1.06

1.15

1.21

1.27

1.31

1.30

1.28

1.16

1.17

1.21

144H

1.37

1.30

1.25

1.15

1.24

1.30

1.37

1.45

1.42

1.35

1.26

1.28

1.31

168H

1.49

1.41

1.35

1.24

1.33

1.40

1.46

1.58

1.57

1.40

1.33

1.38

1.41

192H

1.62

1.55

1.44

1.34

1.40

1.51

1.59

1.69

1.70

1.45

1.41

1.46

1.51

216H

1.70

1.66

1.52

1.44

1.46

1.60

1.70

1.79

1.78

1.55

1.51

1.55

1.60

240H

1.74

1.75

1.59

1.57

1.53

1.71

1.77

1.89

1.83

1.64

1.59

1.63

1.69

264H

1.80

1.83

1.68

1.66

1.59

1.84

1.83

1.96

1.89

1.71

1.66

1.71

1.76

288H

1.88

1.93

1.78

1.72

1.66

1.93

1.93

2.02

1.93

1.78

1.70

1.77

1.84


표 1.1.19 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

44.73

44.71

45.04

45.62

45.19

43.99

44.74

44.46

45.62

48.71

47.39

46.18

45.53

48H

54.27

53.69

54.39

54.68

54.30

53.03

53.38

53.58

54.38

57.03

55.63

55.18

54.46

72H

58.88

58.37

59.07

58.68

58.39

57.44

57.47

57.55

58.80

61.19

59.42

59.44

58.73

96H

61.53

61.13

61.94

61.05

61.07

59.80

60.18

59.79

61.42

63.59

61.47

62.03

61.25

120H

63.94

63.27

63.89

63.02

63.05

61.94

62.33

62.02

63.60

65.61

63.59

64.30

63.38

144H

66.29

65.28

66.15

64.82

64.94

63.43

64.14

63.89

65.54

67.25

65.59

66.08

65.28

168H

68.16

67.25

67.92

66.61

66.36

64.82

65.70

65.78

67.33

68.38

66.89

67.76

66.91

192H

70.15

69.40

69.10

68.69

67.63

66.56

67.05

67.46

69.31

69.52

68.53

69.03

68.54

216H

71.47

71.05

70.24

70.38

68.94

67.81

68.24

68.95

70.19

70.88

69.92

70.43

69.88

240H

72.40

72.52

71.09

71.80

70.20

69.08

69.12

69.88

71.05

72.07

71.05

71.48

70.98

264H

73.72

73.70

72.54

72.89

70.76

70.41

69.72

70.66

71.80

72.70

72.67

72.33

71.99

288H

74.67

74.66

73.92

74.06

71.92

71.36

70.50

71.58

72.37

73.72

73.44

73.06

72.94


표 1.1.20 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.92

0.92

0.91

0.91

0.89

0.90

0.91

0.91

0.90

0.87

0.89

0.93

0.91

48H

0.86

0.87

0.85

0.84

0.81

0.84

0.84

0.85

0.83

0.80

0.83

0.88

0.84

72H

0.83

0.83

0.80

0.81

0.76

0.79

0.80

0.81

0.78

0.75

0.79

0.86

0.80

96H

0.79

0.79

0.76

0.77

0.72

0.75

0.76

0.77

0.73

0.71

0.76

0.84

0.76

120H

0.75

0.76

0.73

0.74

0.68

0.70

0.71

0.73

0.68

0.67

0.72

0.81

0.72

144H

0.70

0.73

0.68

0.70

0.63

0.66

0.66

0.67

0.62

0.63

0.67

0.77

0.68

168H

0.65

0.68

0.63

0.66

0.58

0.60

0.62

0.60

0.56

0.60

0.63

0.74

0.63

192H

0.59

0.62

0.59

0.59

0.53

0.54

0.55

0.54

0.49

0.57

0.59

0.71

0.58

216H

0.55

0.57

0.55

0.53

0.49

0.49

0.48

0.48

0.44

0.52

0.54

0.67

0.53

240H

0.53

0.51

0.51

0.45

0.45

0.43

0.43

0.42

0.42

0.46

0.50

0.63

0.48

264H

0.49

0.46

0.47

0.39

0.41

0.37

0.38

0.38

0.38

0.42

0.47

0.59

0.43

288H

0.45

0.41

0.40

0.32

0.36

0.31

0.32

0.34

0.34

0.39

0.44

0.56

0.39


표 1.1.21 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 2.77

- 1.84

- 2.08

- 2.13

- 2.53

- 2.73

- 2.88

- 2.60

- 2.17

- 1.78

- 2.19

- 2.92

- 2.38

48H

- 5.55

- 3.89

- 4.06

- 3.92

- 4.44

- 4.96

- 5.22

- 4.92

- 4.11

- 3.45

- 4.08

- 5.67

- 4.52

72H

- 7.88

- 5.73

- 5.99

- 5.53

- 6.05

- 6.85

- 6.98

- 6.61

- 5.88

- 4.94

- 5.78

- 8.10

- 6.36

96H

- 9.96

- 7.60

- 7.63

- 6.89

- 7.31

- 8.36

- 8.40

- 8.07

- 7.40

- 6.42

- 7.20

- 10.14

- 7.95

120H

- 11.72

- 9.36

- 9.19

- 8.15

- 8.39

- 9.75

- 9.78

- 9.64

- 8.74

- 7.98

- 8.63

- 11.78

- 9.43

144H

- 13.41

- 10.98

- 10.39

- 9.94

- 9.18

- 10.95

- 11.09

- 10.97

- 9.57

- 9.21

- 10.20

- 13.09

- 10.75

168H

- 15.01

- 12.34

- 11.85

- 11.68

- 10.06

- 11.59

- 12.26

- 12.08

- 10.33

- 10.39

- 11.58

- 13.95

- 11.93

192H

- 16.35

- 13.64

- 13.19

- 12.70

- 10.99

- 12.13

- 12.76

- 12.69

- 10.29

- 11.43

- 12.74

- 14.93

- 12.82

216H

- 17.32

- 15.13

- 14.43

- 13.17

- 11.88

- 12.78

- 13.19

- 13.40

- 10.55

- 12.22

- 13.49

- 15.53

- 13.59

240H

- 18.15

- 16.57

- 15.41

- 13.23

- 12.57

- 12.94

- 13.37

- 14.22

- 10.96

- 12.44

- 14.02

- 16.17

- 14.17

264H

- 19.39

- 17.67

- 16.70

- 13.13

- 13.56

- 13.19

- 13.35

- 14.75

- 10.71

- 13.49

- 14.20

- 17.02

- 14.76

288H

- 20.39

- 18.87

- 17.60

- 13.32

- 14.35

- 13.51

- 13.39

- 15.31

- 10.73

- 14.79

- 14.36

- 17.54

- 15.35


표 1.1.22 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

4.16

3.69

3.80

3.65

4.15

4.35

4.53

4.31

3.99

4.53

4.39

4.57

4.18

48H

6.99

5.96

6.01

5.48

6.10

6.57

7.06

6.71

6.09

6.29

6.35

7.58

6.43

72H

9.60

8.01

8.34

7.21

8.00

8.75

9.38

8.86

8.16

8.14

8.29

10.20

8.58

96H

11.90

10.18

10.40

8.80

9.48

10.52

11.29

10.80

10.06

9.83

9.87

12.42

10.46

120H

14.08

12.26

12.49

10.42

11.10

12.28

13.19

12.66

11.79

11.46

11.45

14.25

12.29

144H

16.28

14.39

14.20

12.64

12.27

13.81

14.92

14.40

13.20

13.03

13.26

15.77

14.01

168H

18.35

16.51

16.00

14.71

13.61

14.91

16.65

16.09

14.66

14.66

15.08

17.02

15.69

192H

20.19

18.47

17.72

16.09

15.06

16.12

17.63

17.22

15.30

16.24

16.56

18.48

17.09

216H

21.69

20.44

19.38

17.21

16.39

17.26

18.60

18.26

16.14

17.52

17.60

19.61

18.34

240H

23.18

22.53

20.90

17.99

17.49

17.98

19.68

19.58

17.29

18.31

18.87

20.72

19.54

264H

24.83

23.95

22.60

18.41

18.84

18.82

20.60

20.77

18.17

19.50

19.48

22.11

20.67

288H

26.36

25.17

23.86

19.20

20.12

19.67

21.18

21.79

18.74

20.94

20.08

23.21

21.69


표 1.1.23 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

33.04

32.81

35.35

38.44

38.46

35.93

34.21

33.78

36.18

40.22

39.86

37.68

36.33

48H

40.16

39.85

43.55

45.48

45.80

43.06

41.14

40.72

43.20

47.13

46.39

44.94

43.45

72H

45.29

44.61

49.22

50.29

50.14

47.84

45.77

45.36

47.95

52.34

50.76

49.73

48.27

96H

49.08

48.71

53.93

54.07

54.23

51.86

50.05

49.51

52.05

56.90

54.38

53.84

52.38

120H

53.14

52.55

58.38

58.13

58.39

55.30

53.75

53.04

55.66

60.46

58.24

57.62

56.22

144H

57.31

55.96

62.37

62.07

61.89

58.35

56.94

56.25

58.75

63.66

61.64

60.97

59.68

168H

61.12

59.04

65.67

65.68

65.22

61.24

60.74

59.18

62.22

66.72

64.89

64.31

63.00

192H

64.82

62.35

68.66

68.83

68.41

64.51

64.12

61.76

65.25

70.12

68.08

67.69

66.22

216H

68.14

65.09

71.23

72.13

70.80

67.58

66.48

64.86

67.60

72.79

70.52

70.50

68.98

240H

71.49

67.80

73.85

74.89

73.36

69.63

69.14

67.94

69.80

74.36

73.83

72.68

71.56

264H

74.26

70.70

75.80

76.22

75.90

71.66

71.32

70.19

71.73

75.87

76.49

75.04

73.76

288H

76.94

73.40

77.80

78.48

78.63

73.11

73.11

72.11

73.35

77.95

78.20

77.64

75.89


표 1.1.24 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.98

0.98

0.98

0.96

0.96

0.96

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.94

0.95

0.96

0.96

48H

0.96

0.96

0.95

0.94

0.93

0.93

0.95

0.94

0.94

0.91

0.91

0.92

0.94

72H

0.93

0.93

0.92

0.91

0.90

0.88

0.91

0.90

0.90

0.87

0.87

0.88

0.90

96H

0.90

0.90

0.88

0.87

0.86

0.84

0.87

0.86

0.86

0.83

0.84

0.84

0.86

120H

0.86

0.86

0.83

0.82

0.80

0.78

0.82

0.82

0.82

0.79

0.80

0.80

0.82

144H

0.80

0.81

0.78

0.75

0.75

0.72

0.78

0.76

0.75

0.74

0.73

0.76

0.76

168H

0.74

0.73

0.73

0.65

0.69

0.67

0.71

0.69

0.67

0.67

0.65

0.71

0.69

192H

0.66

0.67

0.67

0.58

0.62

0.59

0.65

0.63

0.61

0.60

0.58

0.63

0.62

216H

0.59

0.60

0.61

0.49

0.53

0.52

0.59

0.57

0.55

0.52

0.53

0.55

0.55

240H

0.51

0.52

0.52

0.40

0.46

0.44

0.50

0.49

0.47

0.45

0.42

0.48

0.47

264H

0.43

0.48

0.44

0.35

0.38

0.38

0.43

0.43

0.39

0.40

0.38

0.41

0.41

288H

0.35

0.43

0.41

0.28

0.26

0.34

0.39

0.36

0.34

0.35

0.33

0.34

0.35


표 1.1.25 GDAPS 적도지역 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 0.22

- 0.20

- 0.26

- 0.23

- 0.29

- 0.18

- 0.24

- 0.25

- 0.30

- 0.35

- 0.23

- 0.33

- 0.26

48H

- 0.21

- 0.31

- 0.30

- 0.34

- 0.45

- 0.26

- 0.34

- 0.36

- 0.43

- 0.53

- 0.36

- 0.45

- 0.36

72H

- 0.18

- 0.34

- 0.25

- 0.38

- 0.51

- 0.31

- 0.26

- 0.31

- 0.44

- 0.60

- 0.42

- 0.44

- 0.37

96H

- 0.14

- 0.27

- 0.18

- 0.39

- 0.56

- 0.33

- 0.15

- 0.27

- 0.46

- 0.61

- 0.41

- 0.37

- 0.35

120H

- 0.05

- 0.17

- 0.12

- 0.39

- 0.54

- 0.28

- 0.01

- 0.22

- 0.47

- 0.55

- 0.38

- 0.27

- 0.29

144H

0.06

- 0.08

- 0.05

- 0.37

- 0.49

- 0.23

0.03

- 0.12

- 0.44

- 0.47

- 0.34

- 0.19

- 0.22

168H

0.20

0.01

0.01

- 0.41

- 0.50

- 0.23

0.07

- 0.05

- 0.38

- 0.42

- 0.22

- 0.20

- 0.18

192H

0.35

0.08

0.05

- 0.38

- 0.56

- 0.25

0.12

- 0.03

- 0.36

- 0.34

- 0.15

- 0.21

- 0.14

216H

0.53

0.18

0.17

- 0.34

- 0.58

- 0.19

0.15

0.01

- 0.32

- 0.25

- 0.17

- 0.25

- 0.09

240H

0.66

0.25

0.20

- 0.20

- 0.56

- 0.20

0.22

0.05

- 0.22

- 0.26

- 0.26

- 0.26

- 0.05

264H

0.82

0.37

0.34

- 0.13

- 0.49

- 0.19

0.30

0.17

- 0.15

- 0.36

- 0.31

- 0.28

0.01

288H

0.90

0.45

0.43

- 0.08

- 0.43

- 0.16

0.33

0.28

- 0.04

- 0.41

- 0.35

- 0.33

0.05

  


표 1.1.26 GDAPS 적도지역 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

3.58

3.64

3.66

3.33

3.53

3.50

3.68

3.54

3.51

3.75

3.72

3.73

3.60

48H

4.95

4.97

5.25

4.56

4.79

4.72

5.08

4.73

4.73

5.05

4.94

5.06

4.90

72H

6.00

5.99

6.50

5.51

5.78

5.68

6.13

5.51

5.60

6.02

5.96

6.06

5.89

96H

6.98

6.93

7.50

6.42

6.67

6.56

6.98

6.14

6.35

6.88

6.78

6.99

6.76

120H

7.94

7.75

8.38

7.21

7.51

7.33

7.79

6.83

6.97

7.56

7.59

7.83

7.56

144H

8.76

8.48

9.24

7.93

8.15

8.02

8.60

7.57

7.59

8.22

8.34

8.79

8.31

168H

9.50

9.15

10.00

8.73

8.74

8.69

9.27

8.23

8.25

9.00

9.10

9.59

9.02

192H

10.32

9.92

10.60

9.51

9.40

9.44

9.90

8.89

8.86

9.77

9.87

10.36

9.74

216H

11.14

10.58

11.07

10.23

10.10

10.09

10.52

9.57

9.45

10.48

10.55

10.97

10.40

240H

12.00

11.19

11.53

10.84

10.77

10.66

10.92

10.17

10.02

10.92

11.11

11.47

10.97

264H

12.78

11.78

12.05

11.27

11.48

11.12

11.60

10.65

10.53

11.22

11.69

12.03

11.52

288H

13.30

12.40

12.62

11.69

11.98

11.63

12.21

11.10

10.92

11.52

12.06

12.40

11.99


마) 남반구 분석검증 

표 1.1.27 GDAPS 남반구 해면기압(MSLP) Mean Error [hPa] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 0.08

- 0.07

- 0.05

- 0.01

0.05

0.05

0.11

0.15

0.11

0.05

- 0.02

- 0.07

0.02

48H

- 0.15

- 0.11

- 0.06

0.03

0.13

0.10

0.20

0.28

0.19

0.11

- 0.02

- 0.13

0.05

72H

- 0.20

- 0.12

- 0.06

0.06

0.19

0.15

0.27

0.37

0.25

0.16

0.01

- 0.11

0.08

96H

- 0.22

- 0.14

- 0.05

0.05

0.21

0.20

0.33

0.44

0.30

0.20

0.08

- 0.09

0.11

120H

- 0.24

- 0.12

- 0.06

0.05

0.24

0.24

0.40

0.52

0.34

0.22

0.12

- 0.06

0.14

144H

- 0.24

- 0.11

0.00

0.07

0.25

0.29

0.52

0.61

0.35

0.24

0.21

- 0.04

0.18

168H

- 0.22

- 0.05

0.01

0.11

0.26

0.26

0.67

0.68

0.39

0.25

0.32

- 0.03

0.22

192H

- 0.20

- 0.05

0.06

0.05

0.24

0.24

0.69

0.69

0.34

0.25

0.45

0.05

0.23

216H

- 0.18

0.00

0.11

0.04

0.22

0.31

0.72

0.72

0.33

0.27

0.50

0.12

0.26

240H

- 0.19

0.09

0.14

0.02

0.19

0.29

0.78

0.79

0.26

0.29

0.55

0.24

0.29

264H

- 0.21

0.22

0.18

- 0.02

0.18

0.26

0.74

0.84

0.09

0.45

0.62

0.34

0.31

288H

- 0.17

0.33

0.21

- 0.03

0.10

0.31

0.63

0.88

0.03

0.57

0.70

0.41

0.33

표 1.1.28 GDAPS 남반구 해면기압(MSLP) RMSE [hPa] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.83

0.82

0.88

0.94

1.02

1.07

1.22

1.17

1.18

1.08

1.03

0.90

1.01

48H

1.45

1.40

1.59

1.69

1.86

1.96

2.14

2.05

2.04

1.81

1.69

1.48

1.76

72H

2.23

2.15

2.46

2.64

2.95

3.11

3.28

3.11

3.12

2.73

2.62

2.25

2.72

96H

3.19

3.12

3.47

3.87

4.33

4.43

4.75

4.39

4.42

3.83

3.69

3.14

3.89

120H

4.38

4.40

4.60

5.09

5.70

5.82

6.38

5.92

5.81

4.98

4.95

4.13

5.18

144H

5.62

5.46

5.68

6.15

7.19

7.28

7.45

7.53

7.24

6.15

6.05

5.19

6.42

168H

6.59

6.41

6.69

7.43

8.57

8.50

8.69

8.98

8.56

7.37

7.22

6.32

7.61

192H

7.40

7.30

7.64

8.70

9.64

9.74

9.73

10.11

9.50

8.48

8.42

7.53

8.68

216H

8.18

8.15

8.63

9.61

10.36

11.04

10.75

11.28

10.50

9.30

9.27

8.51

9.63

240H

8.62

8.67

9.41

10.10

11.17

11.94

11.58

12.10

11.44

10.23

9.69

9.35

10.36

264H

9.12

8.89

9.95

10.61

11.65

12.43

12.00

12.77

12.04

10.95

9.97

9.82

10.85

288H

9.65

9.17

10.55

11.48

12.33

12.98

12.54

12.88

12.76

11.67

10.26

10.26

11.38


표 1.1.29 GDAPS 남반구 해면기압(MSLP) S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

16.36

15.82

16.18

16.57

16.61

16.43

18.23

17.42

17.57

17.29

17.15

17.27

16.91

48H

24.48

22.92

24.42

25.04

25.46

25.47

27.60

25.96

26.25

25.18

24.53

24.84

25.18

72H

32.49

30.41

32.78

33.62

34.60

34.58

36.79

34.06

34.83

33.29

32.45

32.42

33.53

96H

40.56

38.49

41.09

42.60

44.26

43.73

46.13

42.68

43.65

41.48

40.73

40.24

42.14

120H

49.28

47.39

48.87

50.84

52.90

51.63

55.65

51.24

51.59

48.47

48.94

47.74

50.38

144H

56.97

54.37

55.78

56.92

60.58

59.11

61.09

58.56

58.98

54.80

55.55

54.26

57.25

168H

62.70

60.22

61.28

63.34

66.45

65.69

66.04

65.13

65.36

60.39

61.65

60.74

63.25

192H

67.84

64.94

66.31

69.56

70.31

70.88

70.33

69.89

69.72

65.69

66.85

67.23

68.30

216H

71.95

69.33

71.58

74.01

73.59

75.53

74.07

73.96

73.27

68.96

70.68

72.00

72.41

240H

74.02

71.63

75.20

75.69

76.97

78.68

76.60

77.14

75.56

72.90

72.81

75.66

75.24

264H

76.30

72.71

76.50

77.37

78.54

80.55

78.74

79.36

77.31

75.42

73.86

77.27

76.99

288H

78.10

73.95

78.66

79.51

80.64

82.23

80.77

79.78

79.53

77.95

75.07

79.38

78.80


표 1.1.30 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.04

0.04

0.01

- 0.07

- 0.22

- 0.26

- 0.26

- 0.22

- 0.06

0.06

0.07

0.06

- 0.07

48H

0.01

0.02

- 0.04

- 0.17

- 0.36

- 0.42

- 0.43

- 0.38

- 0.15

0.03

0.05

0.03

- 0.15

72H

- 0.05

- 0.01

- 0.09

- 0.24

- 0.44

- 0.51

- 0.56

- 0.48

- 0.24

- 0.04

0.01

- 0.01

- 0.22

96H

- 0.11

- 0.06

- 0.14

- 0.29

- 0.52

- 0.59

- 0.65

- 0.55

- 0.33

- 0.09

- 0.03

- 0.06

- 0.28

120H

- 0.17

- 0.10

- 0.17

- 0.33

- 0.56

- 0.64

- 0.69

- 0.62

- 0.40

- 0.15

- 0.08

- 0.13

- 0.34

144H

- 0.23

- 0.14

- 0.21

- 0.37

- 0.59

- 0.67

- 0.76

- 0.67

- 0.47

- 0.20

- 0.14

- 0.22

- 0.39

168H

- 0.29

- 0.18

- 0.24

- 0.40

- 0.59

- 0.66

- 0.81

- 0.68

- 0.52

- 0.26

- 0.22

- 0.30

- 0.43

192H

- 0.34

- 0.22

- 0.29

- 0.40

- 0.60

- 0.63

- 0.84

- 0.68

- 0.54

- 0.30

- 0.30

- 0.36

- 0.46

216H

- 0.41

- 0.25

- 0.33

- 0.40

- 0.59

- 0.61

- 0.84

- 0.69

- 0.55

- 0.32

- 0.35

- 0.40

- 0.48

240H

- 0.48

- 0.29

- 0.36

- 0.38

- 0.60

- 0.62

- 0.88

- 0.68

- 0.56

- 0.39

- 0.43

- 0.42

- 0.51

264H

- 0.52

- 0.33

- 0.37

- 0.35

- 0.66

- 0.59

- 0.89

- 0.66

- 0.59

- 0.43

- 0.47

- 0.48

- 0.53

288H

- 0.54

- 0.39

- 0.35

- 0.32

- 0.67

- 0.58

- 0.80

- 0.65

- 0.59

- 0.40

- 0.51

- 0.52

- 0.53


표 1.1.31 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.82

0.82

0.86

0.92

0.95

0.99

1.08

1.06

1.05

0.99

0.95

0.88

0.95

48H

1.21

1.21

1.28

1.36

1.40

1.51

1.61

1.60

1.53

1.42

1.36

1.28

1.40

72H

1.57

1.53

1.65

1.77

1.86

1.96

2.10

2.08

1.98

1.80

1.74

1.62

1.80

96H

1.92

1.90

2.06

2.23

2.37

2.51

2.66

2.58

2.49

2.20

2.15

1.97

2.25

120H

2.35

2.37

2.48

2.70

2.82

2.99

3.17

3.13

3.02

2.67

2.61

2.35

2.72

144H

2.82

2.83

2.96

3.11

3.32

3.47

3.64

3.63

3.57

3.10

3.00

2.75

3.18

168H

3.28

3.19

3.35

3.62

3.78

3.90

3.98

4.09

4.07

3.51

3.43

3.21

3.62

192H

3.65

3.57

3.67

4.12

4.15

4.26

4.34

4.51

4.45

3.91

3.91

3.62

4.01

216H

3.97

3.91

4.01

4.49

4.44

4.68

4.60

4.84

4.80

4.22

4.27

4.00

4.35

240H

4.18

4.07

4.32

4.75

4.81

5.01

4.87

5.04

5.07

4.56

4.52

4.28

4.62

264H

4.30

4.22

4.50

4.91

5.02

5.25

5.15

5.23

5.23

4.87

4.73

4.43

4.82

288H

4.45

4.28

4.72

5.06

5.10

5.34

5.32

5.30

5.43

5.00

4.88

4.56

4.95


표 1.1.32 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

34.21

32.90

32.04

32.75

32.99

33.33

35.24

34.16

33.89

34.58

35.64

35.63

33.95

48H

46.00

44.19

43.50

44.17

44.79

45.60

47.12

45.85

45.09

45.50

46.81

47.20

45.49

72H

53.89

51.17

51.10

52.06

52.93

53.88

55.29

53.48

52.75

52.74

54.19

54.67

53.18

96H

59.80

57.23

57.28

58.54

59.65

61.02

62.17

59.93

58.97

58.39

60.31

60.42

59.48

120H

65.16

63.20

62.35

63.75

64.66

65.99

67.41

65.46

64.42

63.48

65.62

65.70

64.77

144H

69.38

67.64

66.83

67.49

68.97

69.99

71.16

69.27

68.78

67.28

69.38

69.33

68.79

168H

73.15

70.68

70.29

71.01

72.36

73.37

73.33

72.70

72.22

70.27

72.34

73.09

72.07

192H

75.97

73.21

72.63

74.41

74.39

75.80

75.58

75.11

74.70

72.87

75.49

75.77

74.66

216H

78.25

75.66

74.48

76.41

76.34

77.81

77.13

77.29

76.69

74.66

77.67

78.31

76.72

240H

79.35

77.11

76.60

77.60

78.14

79.37

77.76

78.19

77.79

76.60

79.00

79.72

78.10

264H

80.35

78.03

77.38

78.40

79.06

80.74

79.26

79.28

78.11

78.12

79.94

80.83

79.12

288H

80.83

78.13

78.31

79.45

79.33

80.66

80.00

79.41

79.25

79.00

80.90

81.54

79.73


표 1.1.33 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

48H

0.94

0.94

0.94

0.94

0.94

0.93

0.93

0.93

0.94

0.94

0.94

0.93

0.94

72H

0.90

0.91

0.90

0.89

0.89

0.88

0.88

0.88

0.89

0.90

0.89

0.89

0.89

96H

0.84

0.86

0.84

0.83

0.83

0.80

0.80

0.82

0.83

0.85

0.84

0.84

0.83

120H

0.77

0.78

0.77

0.75

0.75

0.72

0.71

0.73

0.75

0.78

0.76

0.77

0.75

144H

0.67

0.68

0.67

0.67

0.65

0.62

0.62

0.64

0.65

0.70

0.68

0.69

0.66

168H

0.55

0.60

0.57

0.55

0.54

0.52

0.54

0.53

0.55

0.61

0.59

0.58

0.56

192H

0.45

0.49

0.49

0.43

0.45

0.42

0.44

0.42

0.46

0.52

0.47

0.47

0.46

216H

0.35

0.39

0.39

0.33

0.38

0.30

0.36

0.34

0.37

0.44

0.38

0.36

0.37

240H

0.29

0.33

0.29

0.26

0.28

0.21

0.28

0.28

0.29

0.36

0.31

0.27

0.29

264H

0.24

0.27

0.22

0.21

0.21

0.14

0.21

0.24

0.25

0.28

0.26

0.22

0.23

288H

0.17

0.24

0.16

0.15

0.18

0.13

0.16

0.22

0.19

0.24

0.22

0.17

0.19


표 1.1.34 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 1.82

- 1.47

- 1.71

- 2.38

- 2.92

- 3.10

- 2.57

- 2.19

- 1.33

- 0.95

- 1.01

- 1.54

- 1.92

48H

- 3.31

- 2.50

- 2.84

- 3.81

- 4.57

- 4.91

- 4.27

- 3.41

- 2.28

- 1.54

- 1.89

- 2.77

- 3.17

72H

- 4.39

- 3.16

- 3.74

- 4.85

- 5.74

- 6.18

- 5.38

- 4.39

- 3.09

- 2.20

- 2.35

- 3.42

- 4.07

96H

- 5.26

- 3.90

- 4.48

- 5.90

- 6.82

- 7.30

- 6.19

- 5.25

- 4.09

- 2.95

- 2.82

- 3.97

- 4.91

120H

- 6.09

- 4.53

- 5.20

- 6.78

- 7.82

- 8.20

- 6.68

- 5.68

- 4.86

- 3.94

- 3.60

- 4.56

- 5.66

144H

- 6.98

- 4.85

- 5.44

- 7.03

- 8.76

- 8.58

- 7.00

- 5.76

- 5.37

- 4.78

- 4.29

- 5.33

- 6.18

168H

- 7.74

- 4.97

- 5.71

- 7.15

- 9.41

- 9.53

- 7.23

- 6.03

- 5.90

- 5.33

- 4.60

- 6.12

- 6.64

192H

- 8.73

- 5.42

- 5.77

- 7.17

- 10.19

- 9.95

- 8.09

- 7.03

- 6.77

- 6.07

- 4.54

- 6.42

- 7.18

216H

- 9.53

- 5.57

- 5.91

- 6.96

- 10.80

- 9.69

- 8.72

- 7.73

- 7.09

- 6.94

- 5.03

- 6.61

- 7.55

240H

- 10.27

- 5.92

- 6.31

- 6.73

- 11.30

- 10.05

- 9.53

- 7.76

- 7.98

- 7.82

- 5.42

- 6.42

- 7.96

264H

- 10.98

- 6.14

- 6.38

- 6.54

- 11.64

- 9.73

- 10.27

- 8.02

- 9.85

- 7.28

- 5.57

- 6.38

- 8.23

288H

- 11.45

- 6.62

- 6.35

- 5.81

- 11.86

- 9.03

- 10.35

- 8.47

- 10.80

- 6.86

- 5.76

- 6.92

- 8.36


표 1.1.35 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

7.65

7.56

7.99

8.73

9.59

10.03

11.00

10.64

10.36

9.74

9.14

7.96

9.20

48H

14.39

13.70

15.46

16.61

17.84

19.20

20.63

19.42

18.58

17.21

16.68

14.76

17.04

72H

22.81

21.54

24.65

26.78

29.48

30.92

32.59

30.72

29.72

26.32

26.79

22.99

27.11

96H

33.26

32.55

35.50

39.69

44.25

45.21

47.69

44.11

43.20

36.83

38.09

32.97

39.45

120H

45.96

47.47

47.59

52.83

58.93

59.48

63.90

60.23

57.05

48.65

51.33

43.55

53.08

144H

59.46

60.71

60.32

64.65

74.27

74.17

76.81

76.53

74.16

61.32

63.40

56.57

66.86

168H

72.42

71.66

72.19

79.84

89.12

88.99

90.20

92.43

89.62

74.86

77.16

69.99

80.71

192H

82.45

83.74

84.51

95.53

103.25

103.32

102.68

106.10

101.09

87.17

92.52

83.83

93.85

216H

90.95

94.71

97.11

106.67

112.75

119.41

113.91

120.29

112.94

97.52

102.94

94.92

105.34

240H

97.20

99.74

106.83

114.35

124.70

129.65

123.22

129.97

124.83

108.02

107.15

103.54

114.10

264H

103.70

103.84

113.42

120.66

131.34

136.96

129.84

139.00

132.87

116.88

110.87

109.83

120.77

288H

110.55

107.93

119.86

129.61

136.71

141.51

136.32

140.04

142.62

124.35

115.88

116.21

126.80


표 1.1.36 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

11.38

11.11

11.32

11.41

11.46

12.06

12.47

11.95

12.03

12.04

12.03

11.61

11.74

48H

18.47

17.59

18.44

18.59

18.78

19.93

20.23

19.01

19.05

19.05

19.14

18.66

18.91

72H

25.62

24.14

25.62

25.82

26.60

27.92

27.84

25.93

26.16

25.85

26.23

25.51

26.10

96H

32.79

31.56

32.69

33.46

34.71

35.73

35.90

33.11

33.18

32.33

33.31

32.49

33.44

120H

40.11

39.88

39.75

40.46

42.03

42.48

43.10

40.12

39.65

38.20

40.42

38.87

40.42

144H

46.76

46.10

46.15

46.22

48.03

48.82

48.43

46.63

46.70

43.85

46.14

45.06

46.57

168H

52.56

51.10

51.50

52.16

53.14

54.72

52.94

52.58

52.18

49.44

51.39

51.08

52.07

192H

57.51

56.28

55.94

58.11

57.72

59.60

56.83

56.99

56.04

54.19

57.00

56.43

56.89

216H

61.11

60.92

60.54

61.84

61.25

64.49

60.07

60.87

59.81

57.42

60.61

60.82

60.81

240H

63.52

62.77

64.16

64.30

64.92

67.04

62.44

63.68

62.19

60.80

62.62

63.88

63.53

264H

65.70

64.14

66.09

65.88

66.78

69.12

65.05

66.40

63.86

63.39

64.22

65.71

65.53

288H

67.78

65.66

67.77

68.24

68.25

70.29

66.89

66.87

66.40

65.49

65.48

67.91

67.25


표 1.1.37 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

48H

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.98

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

72H

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.96

0.96

0.97

0.97

0.96

0.96

0.97

0.97

96H

0.93

0.94

0.93

0.92

0.92

0.91

0.92

0.93

0.93

0.93

0.93

0.94

0.93

120H

0.87

0.87

0.87

0.86

0.86

0.84

0.85

0.88

0.88

0.88

0.86

0.89

0.87

144H

0.78

0.78

0.79

0.79

0.78

0.76

0.78

0.80

0.80

0.81

0.79

0.81

0.79

168H

0.68

0.70

0.70

0.69

0.69

0.66

0.69

0.71

0.71

0.71

0.70

0.70

0.69

192H

0.58

0.58

0.59

0.56

0.58

0.54

0.60

0.61

0.63

0.60

0.59

0.58

0.59

216H

0.48

0.46

0.46

0.45

0.49

0.39

0.51

0.50

0.54

0.51

0.49

0.48

0.48

240H

0.41

0.40

0.35

0.37

0.38

0.29

0.42

0.41

0.44

0.41

0.44

0.38

0.39

264H

0.33

0.34

0.27

0.31

0.31

0.22

0.37

0.33

0.36

0.33

0.39

0.30

0.32

288H

0.23

0.27

0.19

0.23

0.25

0.18

0.31

0.31

0.27

0.26

0.34

0.23

0.26


표 1.1.38 GDAPS 남반구 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 0.21

- 0.16

- 0.18

- 0.16

- 0.11

- 0.11

- 0.14

- 0.06

- 0.14

- 0.22

- 0.27

- 0.25

- 0.17

48H

- 0.29

- 0.29

- 0.27

- 0.23

- 0.11

- 0.20

- 0.19

- 0.17

- 0.23

- 0.31

- 0.44

- 0.33

- 0.26

72H

- 0.38

- 0.40

- 0.36

- 0.36

- 0.18

- 0.28

- 0.25

- 0.25

- 0.27

- 0.30

- 0.54

- 0.41

- 0.33

96H

- 0.44

- 0.48

- 0.44

- 0.44

- 0.21

- 0.33

- 0.31

- 0.32

- 0.33

- 0.27

- 0.63

- 0.48

- 0.39

120H

- 0.58

- 0.49

- 0.45

- 0.46

- 0.20

- 0.39

- 0.39

- 0.37

- 0.39

- 0.19

- 0.67

- 0.54

- 0.43

144H

- 0.71

- 0.56

- 0.44

- 0.50

- 0.26

- 0.39

- 0.47

- 0.44

- 0.49

- 0.17

- 0.61

- 0.56

- 0.47

168H

- 0.72

- 0.59

- 0.51

- 0.46

- 0.30

- 0.41

- 0.59

- 0.53

- 0.49

- 0.24

- 0.60

- 0.55

- 0.50

192H

- 0.63

- 0.75

- 0.50

- 0.51

- 0.43

- 0.44

- 0.73

- 0.60

- 0.39

- 0.31

- 0.67

- 0.52

- 0.54

216H

- 0.57

- 0.87

- 0.53

- 0.47

- 0.49

- 0.38

- 0.84

- 0.67

- 0.49

- 0.38

- 0.72

- 0.41

- 0.57

240H

- 0.44

- 0.87

- 0.53

- 0.42

- 0.41

- 0.26

- 0.72

- 0.78

- 0.49

- 0.33

- 0.63

- 0.46

- 0.53

264H

- 0.53

- 0.97

- 0.60

- 0.38

- 0.44

- 0.10

- 0.64

- 0.79

- 0.41

- 0.27

- 0.50

- 0.58

- 0.52

288H

- 0.58

- 1.22

- 0.58

- 0.40

- 0.53

0.05

- 0.70

- 0.82

- 0.44

- 0.33

- 0.40

- 0.61

- 0.55


표 1.1.39 GDAPS 남반구 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 분석검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

3.85

3.83

3.94

4.01

4.24

4.24

4.37

4.21

4.29

4.31

4.43

4.00

4.14

48H

6.12

5.91

6.14

6.25

6.55

6.64

6.86

6.39

6.51

6.55

6.64

6.26

6.40

72H

8.49

8.18

8.59

8.64

9.22

9.31

9.55

8.66

8.84

8.80

9.09

8.42

8.82

96H

10.97

10.85

11.34

11.43

12.10

12.17

12.55

11.19

11.43

11.13

11.56

10.73

11.45

120H

13.64

13.65

14.11

14.18

14.99

14.90

15.19

14.27

14.24

13.29

14.23

12.97

14.14

144H

15.92

16.36

16.71

16.65

17.50

17.66

17.68

17.25

17.37

15.66

16.51

15.21

16.71

168H

18.37

18.40

18.88

19.44

20.03

20.44

19.77

20.15

19.97

18.34

18.81

17.85

19.20

192H

20.46

20.55

20.68

22.19

22.20

22.88

21.86

22.70

21.98

20.64

21.46

20.07

21.47

216H

22.18

22.32

22.57

24.12

23.97

25.59

23.57

24.68

23.75

22.23

23.19

22.08

23.35

240H

23.70

23.27

24.15

25.74

26.28

27.33

24.75

25.72

25.46

23.60

24.22

23.35

24.80

264H

24.31

23.79

25.22

26.78

27.69

28.36

26.56

27.05

26.65

24.88

25.33

24.26

25.91

288H

25.14

24.22

26.14

27.85

28.39

29.17

27.29

27.78

27.80

25.69

26.45

25.09

26.75


3) 전지구예측시스템 관측 검증

마) 존데자료를 이용한 아시아 영역 검증

표 1.1.40 GDAPS 아시아 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 관측검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 0.51

- 0.43

- 0.38

- 0.18

0.04

0.12

0.20

0.08

- 0.18

- 0.28

- 0.24

- 0.37

- 0.18

48H

- 0.77

- 0.65

- 0.59

- 0.19

0.07

0.19

0.30

0.12

- 0.22

- 0.39

- 0.30

- 0.51

- 0.25

72H

- 0.95

- 0.84

- 0.77

- 0.23

0.12

0.24

0.33

0.15

- 0.22

- 0.42

- 0.24

- 0.64

- 0.29

96H

- 1.13

- 0.98

- 0.82

- 0.32

0.10

0.31

0.37

0.21

- 0.24

- 0.35

- 0.18

- 0.75

- 0.32

120H

- 1.24

- 1.12

- 0.93

- 0.24

0.16

0.37

0.44

0.19

- 0.20

- 0.37

- 0.16

- 0.75

- 0.32

144H

- 1.26

- 1.15

- 1.02

- 0.17

0.25

0.42

0.56

0.23

- 0.10

- 0.38

- 0.15

- 0.97

- 0.31

168H

- 1.43

- 1.21

- 1.14

- 0.16

0.30

0.51

0.63

0.13

- 0.05

- 0.39

- 0.19

- 1.26

- 0.36

192H

- 1.58

- 1.33

- 1.25

- 0.50

0.25

0.44

0.75

0.15

0.10

- 0.38

- 0.21

- 1.35

- 0.41

216H

- 1.78

- 1.58

- 1.25

- 1.00

0.11

0.42

0.79

0.28

0.30

- 0.54

- 0.17

- 1.48

- 0.49

240H

- 2.03

- 1.98

- 1.27

- 0.98

- 0.03

0.60

1.05

0.40

0.38

- 0.49

- 0.35

- 1.70

- 0.53

264H

- 2.22

- 2.25

- 1.30

- 0.87

- 0.16

0.70

1.07

0.56

0.46

- 0.44

- 0.46

- 1.95

- 0.57

288H

- 2.67

- 2.48

- 1.24

- 1.05

- 0.15

0.81

1.09

0.57

0.64

- 0.59

- 0.43

- 2.17

- 0.64


표 1.1.41 GDAPS 아시아 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 관측검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

1.66

1.57

1.39

1.43

1.36

1.34

1.35

1.24

1.13

1.29

1.48

1.67

1.41

48H

2.01

1.87

1.70

1.77

1.69

1.69

1.69

1.49

1.39

1.56

1.74

1.94

1.71

72H

2.37

2.17

1.94

1.98

2.05

1.96

2.07

1.75

1.70

1.84

2.03

2.27

2.01

96H

2.77

2.58

2.12

2.29

2.41

2.32

2.33

1.97

2.03

2.16

2.33

2.63

2.33

120H

3.21

2.98

2.41

2.71

2.86

2.77

2.62

2.32

2.44

2.54

2.59

3.03

2.71

144H

3.63

3.43

2.95

3.29

3.29

3.20

3.01

2.58

2.71

2.97

2.97

3.51

3.13

168H

4.04

4.03

3.53

4.01

3.74

3.58

3.38

2.82

3.06

3.61

3.40

4.08

3.61

192H

4.42

4.49

3.86

4.75

4.10

3.88

3.78

3.06

3.52

4.24

3.94

4.47

4.04

216H

5.04

4.93

4.37

5.18

4.34

4.14

3.97

3.35

3.90

4.77

4.52

4.71

4.43

240H

5.56

5.56

4.96

5.19

4.65

4.35

4.32

3.65

4.36

5.15

4.86

5.16

4.81

264H

6.07

5.64

5.30

5.31

4.96

4.50

4.65

3.94

4.60

5.23

5.37

5.37

5.08

288H

6.33

5.96

5.55

5.66

4.97

4.77

4.71

4.10

4.73

5.42

5.61

5.73

5.29


표 1.1.42 GDAPS 아시아 850hPa 기온 TREND [무차원] 관측검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.91

0.91

0.90

0.93

0.91

0.89

0.86

0.85

0.90

0.93

0.88

0.89

0.90

48H

0.91

0.92

0.93

0.93

0.91

0.90

0.88

0.88

0.92

0.95

0.91

0.92

0.91

72H

0.90

0.91

0.92

0.93

0.89

0.88

0.85

0.88

0.91

0.94

0.92

0.91

0.90

96H

0.88

0.86

0.92

0.92

0.86

0.84

0.84

0.87

0.90

0.92

0.91

0.90

0.88

120H

0.84

0.82

0.89

0.91

0.82

0.78

0.82

0.83

0.86

0.89

0.91

0.87

0.85

144H

0.76

0.79

0.81

0.87

0.80

0.74

0.78

0.79

0.84

0.86

0.89

0.83

0.81

168H

0.71

0.76

0.79

0.82

0.75

0.71

0.75

0.75

0.79

0.78

0.86

0.76

0.77

192H

0.66

0.72

0.77

0.78

0.70

0.68

0.72

0.71

0.73

0.69

0.81

0.70

0.72

216H

0.58

0.66

0.70

0.75

0.68

0.64

0.69

0.65

0.68

0.60

0.73

0.66

0.67

240H

0.55

0.61

0.62

0.72

0.64

0.59

0.64

0.60

0.62

0.58

0.71

0.61

0.62

264H

0.51

0.59

0.57

0.68

0.61

0.58

0.59

0.54

0.60

0.61

0.66

0.58

0.59

288H

0.51

0.57

0.53

0.65

0.60

0.53

0.57

0.48

0.59

0.62

0.65

0.59

0.57

표 1.1.43 GDAPS 아시아 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m/s] 관측검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 3.06

- 2.97

- 1.66

0.31

1.40

2.28

1.19

2.09

1.61

- 0.90

0.46

- 2.66

- 0.16

48H

- 5.41

- 5.37

- 1.94

0.05

0.96

2.03

- 0.15

0.43

2.01

- 0.79

0.56

- 3.48

- 0.92

72H

- 6.72

- 6.72

- 2.09

0.65

2.42

2.89

- 0.12

1.01

3.34

1.34

0.80

- 3.99

- 0.60

96H

- 9.04

- 8.05

- 3.91

- 0.10

3.30

2.28

- 2.06

0.51

4.29

2.81

1.12

- 3.91

- 1.06

120H

- 11.45

- 10.81

- 5.80

- 0.14

3.04

1.51

- 4.17

- 1.70

3.02

2.02

1.60

- 4.08

- 2.25

144H

- 15.14

- 11.85

- 7.65

0.54

1.70

2.34

- 4.80

- 3.96

2.30

1.93

2.81

- 4.19

- 3.00

168H

- 18.02

- 11.70

- 6.55

1.18

2.73

5.26

- 3.93

- 4.40

3.30

2.67

4.44

- 6.38

- 2.62

192H

- 18.15

- 11.16

- 7.12

- 0.57

3.09

4.29

- 3.11

- 1.59

7.26

3.28

4.40

- 7.47

- 2.24

216H

- 25.62

- 10.98

- 11.41

- 4.75

2.93

3.24

- 3.19

- 1.22

7.10

5.25

5.83

- 10.26

- 3.59

240H

- 29.63

- 15.00

- 12.05

- 4.20

1.28

4.54

- 1.58

- 1.42

2.70

5.69

4.46

- 10.69

- 4.66

264H

- 30.85

- 17.28

- 10.89

0.68

2.22

5.83

- 3.67

0.26

2.86

5.19

2.22

- 9.85

- 4.44

288H

- 34.84

- 18.02

- 11.62

0.68

0.39

5.80

- 4.40

- 1.33

5.89

10.12

- 0.43

- 13.11

- 5.07


표 1.1.44 GDAPS 아시아 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m/s] 관측검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

13.33

12.33

11.56

11.54

11.37

12.17

13.28

11.83

11.62

11.64

12.06

13.09

12.15

48H

17.82

16.10

14.63

15.19

14.98

15.88

17.09

14.45

15.14

15.52

16.10

17.66

15.88

72H

22.81

21.61

17.91

19.91

20.93

20.37

22.17

17.71

19.95

20.36

20.17

23.52

20.62

96H

29.51

29.18

21.92

25.54

27.37

26.05

26.19

21.25

25.28

26.64

26.04

31.03

26.33

120H

38.14

36.90

29.81

33.66

33.15

33.48

31.47

24.74

32.47

34.25

32.63

41.61

33.53

144H

47.22

47.62

39.51

45.03

39.79

41.63

38.68

30.40

36.92

45.69

42.11

51.03

42.14

168H

57.15

57.84

46.81

55.82

49.97

48.38

44.30

35.32

44.38

58.58

51.06

58.90

50.71

192H

66.99

62.98

54.58

66.62

57.93

51.39

49.01

39.78

54.29

69.64

59.75

66.82

58.32

216H

77.68

73.78

61.78

75.58

63.00

55.28

52.37

43.23

58.66

79.67

66.19

75.10

65.19

240H

86.93

82.96

67.18

77.24

67.84

57.73

56.45

47.21

65.04

86.43

72.76

84.69

71.04

264H

93.87

88.88

71.46

81.70

72.65

63.07

61.12

49.68

67.05

88.87

77.50

87.99

75.32

288H

97.54

91.56

75.18

86.26

78.06

66.43

61.64

53.37

69.41

94.55

80.83

95.20

79.17


표 1.1.45 GDAPS 아시아 500hPa 고도 TREND [무차원] 관측검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

0.98

0.98

0.97

0.98

0.97

0.95

0.93

0.94

0.96

0.98

0.97

0.98

0.97

48H

0.98

0.98

0.97

0.98

0.97

0.95

0.94

0.95

0.97

0.98

0.97

0.98

0.97

72H

0.97

0.97

0.97

0.96

0.94

0.93

0.92

0.94

0.96

0.98

0.97

0.97

0.96

96H

0.95

0.94

0.97

0.95

0.92

0.90

0.90

0.92

0.94

0.97

0.95

0.96

0.94

120H

0.92

0.91

0.93

0.93

0.91

0.86

0.88

0.90

0.90

0.94

0.94

0.94

0.91

144H

0.88

0.88

0.87

0.89

0.87

0.80

0.84

0.85

0.88

0.90

0.91

0.90

0.87

168H

0.82

0.83

0.83

0.85

0.81

0.76

0.80

0.80

0.83

0.84

0.85

0.85

0.82

192H

0.75

0.79

0.76

0.80

0.76

0.72

0.77

0.76

0.77

0.77

0.81

0.79

0.77

216H

0.70

0.69

0.70

0.75

0.75

0.70

0.75

0.71

0.75

0.69

0.77

0.74

0.72

240H

0.64

0.65

0.66

0.75

0.70

0.70

0.71

0.63

0.71

0.65

0.75

0.66

0.68

264H

0.58

0.62

0.59

0.72

0.66

0.66

0.68

0.59

0.71

0.66

0.74

0.62

0.65

288H

0.54

0.58

0.58

0.67

0.61

0.62

0.68

0.49

0.70

0.64

0.73

0.58

0.62

표 1.1.46 GDAPS 아시아 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 관측검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

- 0.98

- 0.99

- 0.78

- 0.37

- 0.37

- 0.63

- 0.86

- 0.53

- 0.51

- 0.43

- 0.63

- 0.83

- 0.66

48H

- 1.31

- 1.30

- 0.94

- 0.73

- 0.69

- 1.24

- 1.04

- 0.89

- 0.91

- 0.68

- 0.91

- 1.03

- 0.97

72H

- 1.42

- 1.47

- 0.77

- 0.98

- 1.10

- 1.44

- 1.34

- 1.05

- 1.16

- 0.77

- 1.20

- 1.11

- 1.15

96H

- 1.61

- 1.54

- 0.89

- 1.28

- 1.24

- 1.41

- 1.42

- 1.08

- 1.27

- 0.97

- 1.31

- 1.12

- 1.26

120H

- 1.86

- 1.61

- 0.66

- 1.76

- 1.41

- 1.34

- 1.36

- 1.28

- 1.43

- 1.04

- 1.17

- 1.10

- 1.34

144H

- 1.86

- 2.01

- 0.77

- 2.14

- 1.36

- 1.42

- 1.50

- 1.30

- 1.49

- 1.07

- 1.15

- 1.02

- 1.42

168H

- 1.86

- 2.01

- 0.80

- 2.12

- 1.55

- 1.41

- 1.43

- 1.30

- 1.35

- 1.17

- 0.84

- 0.91

- 1.40

192H

- 2.00

- 1.88

- 0.99

- 1.85

- 1.79

- 1.14

- 1.44

- 1.42

- 1.43

- 1.12

- 0.60

- 0.90

- 1.38

216H

- 1.57

- 1.43

- 1.15

- 1.78

- 1.60

- 1.47

- 1.61

- 1.69

- 1.49

- 1.10

- 0.61

- 0.33

- 1.32

240H

- 1.41

- 1.05

- 0.72

- 2.23

- 1.59

- 1.77

- 1.68

- 1.68

- 1.66

- 1.20

- 0.27

0.19

- 1.26

264H

- 1.26

- 1.26

- 0.16

- 2.70

- 1.60

- 1.94

- 1.70

- 1.27

- 1.57

- 1.44

- 0.30

0.24

- 1.25

288H

- 1.19

- 1.36

- 0.16

- 2.78

- 1.90

- 1.84

- 1.45

- 1.05

- 1.55

- 1.68

- 0.04

0.47

- 1.21


표 1.1.47 GDAPS 아시아 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 관측검증

FCST

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May.

Jun.

Jul.

Aug.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Ave.

24H

5.09

5.70

5.70

6.12

6.25

6.23

6.08

5.55

5.33

4.96

4.90

4.96

5.57

48H

6.23

6.68

7.12

8.04

8.09

8.41

8.43

7.51

6.83

6.32

6.14

6.13

7.16

72H

7.67

8.07

8.27

9.61

9.65

10.38

10.50

9.10

8.47

7.58

7.67

7.36

8.69

96H

9.17

9.77

9.57

11.32

11.77

12.19

12.27

10.74

10.36

9.03

9.29

8.76

10.35

120H

11.13

11.18

11.65

13.23

13.67

14.35

13.90

11.84

12.23

11.31

10.75

11.18

12.20

144H

13.06

13.28

14.23

15.89

15.56

16.59

15.44

13.48

14.11

13.71

12.62

13.73

14.31

168H

15.70

15.06

15.73

18.00

18.17

18.44

17.04

14.98

16.01

16.39

15.10

15.35

16.33

192H

17.53

16.77

17.58

20.25

19.85

19.34

18.67

16.22

18.57

18.60

16.92

17.36

18.14

216H

19.87

18.73

19.08

21.61

20.96

20.18

19.02

16.54

20.12

20.54

17.87

18.98

19.46

240H

20.49

20.21

20.18

22.38

20.92

20.61

20.24

17.69

21.01

21.36

19.64

20.47

20.43

264H

21.42

21.75

21.45

23.32

22.40

21.76

21.51

19.02

22.55

21.97

20.98

21.27

21.62

288H

22.32

22.95

22.27

24.12

23.68

22.88

22.01

20.20

23.00

22.90

21.42

22.57

22.53







바) GDAPS(N512L70) ASOS 강수 검증

표 1.1.48 GDAPS(N512L70) 한반도 76개 지점에 대한 강수 TS

Threshold = 0.1 mm

Threshold = 5 mm

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

Jan.

0.65

0.63

0.61

0.60

0.51

0.54

0.59

Jan.

0.43

0.48

0.35

0.22

0.29

0.33

0.35

Feb.

0.66

0.62

0.59

0.58

0.54

0.53

0.58

Feb.

0.63

0.64

0.57

0.41

0.38

0.35

0.48

Mar.

0.71

0.64

0.59

0.47

0.43

0.41

0.52

Mar.

0.66

0.49

0.47

0.38

0.45

0.38

0.45

Apr.

0.70

0.66

0.63

0.64

0.64

0.61

0.65

Apr.

0.58

0.45

0.40

0.39

0.39

0.33

0.42

May.

0.61

0.56

0.49

0.42

0.41

0.40

0.47

May.

0.67

0.63

0.64

0.66

0.55

0.47

0.60

Jun.

0.45

0.41

0.37

0.37

0.36

0.36

0.39

Jun.

0.49

0.44

0.39

0.38

0.36

0.27

0.38

Jul.

0.52

0.50

0.49

0.45

0.43

0.45

0.47

Jul.

0.48

0.47

0.47

0.38

0.34

0.36

0.42

Aug.

0.42

0.38

0.34

0.34

0.34

0.32

0.36

Aug.

0.42

0.37

0.32

0.34

0.28

0.19

0.32

Sep.

0.54

0.48

0.43

0.40

0.37

0.38

0.43

Sep.

0.44

0.41

0.31

0.29

0.29

0.27

0.33

Oct.

0.59

0.53

0.54

0.53

0.47

0.45

0.52

Oct.

0.64

0.65

0.62

0.60

0.59

0.51

0.60

Nov.

0.71

0.68

0.63

0.60

0.58

0.55

0.62

Nov.

0.56

0.53

0.47

0.38

0.42

0.35

0.45

Dec.

0.63

0.63

0.59

0.52

0.48

0.48

0.55

Dec.

0.46

0.42

0.49

0.21

0.22

0.30

0.35

TOTAL

0.58

0.54

0.51

0.49

0.46

0.45

0.50

TOTAL

0.53

0.48

0.44

0.38

0.37

0.33

0.42

Threshold = 15 mm

Threshold = 25 mm

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

Jan.

0.30

0.09

0.20

0.00

0.08

0.09

0.13

Jan.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Feb.

0.43

0.15

0.20

0.15

0.29

0.16

0.22

Feb.

0.00

0.10

0.00

0.20

0.22

0.10

0.11

Mar.

0.79

0.77

0.63

0.46

0.56

0.21

0.51

Mar.

0.67

0.55

0.46

0.28

0.34

0.18

0.38

Apr.

0.37

0.22

0.17

0.18

0.18

0.15

0.20

Apr.

0.23

0.15

0.08

0.13

0.19

0.15

0.15

May.

0.55

0.54

0.52

0.45

0.35

0.36

0.45

May.

0.53

0.60

0.49

0.23

0.11

0.20

0.30

Jun.

0.52

0.36

0.39

0.39

0.20

0.12

0.31

Jun.

0.37

0.28

0.30

0.18

0.13

0.09

0.21

Jul.

0.41

0.44

0.42

0.30

0.27

0.28

0.35

Jul.

0.33

0.35

0.37

0.30

0.16

0.21

0.28

Aug.

0.32

0.31

0.32

0.23

0.18

0.15

0.25

Aug.

0.31

0.27

0.23

0.12

0.13

0.11

0.19

Sep.

0.39

0.37

0.28

0.22

0.25

0.26

0.29

Sep.

0.32

0.28

0.25

0.22

0.25

0.25

0.26

Oct.

0.60

0.65

0.69

0.61

0.58

0.53

0.61

Oct.

0.27

0.32

0.38

0.30

0.28

0.29

0.31

Nov.

0.42

0.38

0.31

0.25

0.31

0.25

0.32

Nov.

0.21

0.15

0.12

0.12

0.22

0.17

0.17

Dec.

0.31

0.30

0.08

0.00

0.00

0.18

0.16

Dec.

0.14

0.10

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.04

TOTAL

0.44

0.40

0.37

0.29

0.27

0.23

0.32

TOTAL

0.33

0.30

0.29

0.21

0.18

0.17

0.24

Threshold = 50 mm

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

Jan.

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Feb.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Mar.

0.25

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.40

0.15

0.15

Apr.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.09

0.00

0.01

May.

0.06

0.35

0.06

0.15

0.09

0.09

0.12

Jun.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.03

0.02

0.01

Jul.

0.21

0.20

0.18

0.03

0.02

0.10

0.13

Aug.

0.19

0.16

0.07

0.14

0.13

0.13

0.14

Sep.

0.21

0.00

0.00

0.18

0.07

0.09

0.09

Oct.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Nov.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.03

Dec.

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

TOTAL

0.14

0.13

0.08

0.07

0.08

0.08

0.09

  

l

표 1.1.49 GDAPS(N512L70) 한반도 76개 지점에 대한 강수 ETS

Threshold = 0.1 mm

Threshold = 5 mm

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

Jan.

0.59

0.57

0.55

0.54

0.44

0.48

0.53

Jan.

0.42

0.47

0.33

0.21

0.28

0.32

0.34

Feb.

0.61

0.57

0.53

0.51

0.47

0.46

0.52

Feb.

0.62

0.63

0.55

0.39

0.37

0.33

0.46

Mar.

0.68

0.60

0.54

0.41

0.37

0.34

0.47

Mar.

0.65

0.48

0.46

0.37

0.44

0.36

0.44

Apr.

0.58

0.53

0.49

0.51

0.50

0.46

0.51

Apr.

0.54

0.39

0.35

0.34

0.33

0.27

0.37

May.

0.55

0.49

0.41

0.34

0.33

0.31

0.40

May.

0.65

0.62

0.63

0.65

0.54

0.45

0.58

Jun.

0.29

0.25

0.20

0.21

0.19

0.18

0.22

Jun.

0.46

0.41

0.36

0.35

0.32

0.22

0.34

Jul.

0.31

0.28

0.28

0.23

0.21

0.24

0.26

Jul.

0.43

0.41

0.41

0.31

0.27

0.29

0.35

Aug.

0.28

0.22

0.18

0.19

0.18

0.17

0.20

Aug.

0.38

0.33

0.29

0.30

0.24

0.15

0.28

Sep.

0.46

0.39

0.33

0.30

0.26

0.28

0.33

Sep.

0.41

0.38

0.28

0.26

0.27

0.24

0.30

Oct.

0.55

0.48

0.49

0.48

0.41

0.39

0.47

Oct.

0.63

0.64

0.61

0.59

0.58

0.49

0.59

Nov.

0.56

0.51

0.45

0.42

0.39

0.35

0.44

Nov.

0.52

0.48

0.42

0.34

0.37

0.29

0.40

Dec.

0.55

0.55

0.50

0.43

0.39

0.37

0.46

Dec.

0.45

0.40

0.47

0.20

0.21

0.28

0.34

TOTAL

0.48

0.43

0.40

0.37

0.34

0.33

0.39

TOTAL

0.50

0.45

0.41

0.35

0.34

0.29

0.39

Threshold = 15 mm

Threshold = 25 mm

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

Jan.

0.29

0.09

0.20

0.00

0.08

0.09

0.13

Jan.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Feb.

0.43

0.15

0.20

0.15

0.29

0.16

0.22

Feb.

0.00

0.10

0.00

0.20

0.22

0.10

0.10

Mar.

0.79

0.76

0.63

0.46

0.56

0.20

0.51

Mar.

0.67

0.55

0.46

0.28

0.34

0.18

0.38

Apr.

0.35

0.21

0.15

0.17

0.16

0.13

0.19

Apr.

0.22

0.14

0.07

0.12

0.18

0.14

0.15

May.

0.54

0.53

0.52

0.44

0.34

0.35

0.45

May.

0.53

0.59

0.49

0.22

0.11

0.19

0.29

Jun.

0.51

0.35

0.38

0.38

0.19

0.10

0.29

Jun.

0.36

0.27

0.29

0.17

0.12

0.07

0.20

Jul.

0.39

0.41

0.39

0.27

0.24

0.25

0.32

Jul.

0.32

0.34

0.36

0.28

0.14

0.20

0.27

Aug.

0.31

0.30

0.30

0.21

0.16

0.13

0.23

Aug.

0.31

0.26

0.22

0.11

0.12

0.10

0.18

Sep.

0.38

0.36

0.27

0.20

0.24

0.25

0.28

Sep.

0.31

0.27

0.24

0.21

0.24

0.25

0.25

Oct.

0.59

0.64

0.68

0.60

0.57

0.52

0.60

Oct.

0.26

0.32

0.38

0.30

0.28

0.28

0.30

Nov.

0.40

0.37

0.29

0.24

0.29

0.23

0.30

Nov.

0.21

0.15

0.12

0.12

0.22

0.16

0.16

Dec.

0.31

0.30

0.08

0.00

0.00

0.18

0.15

Dec.

0.14

0.10

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.04

TOTAL

0.43

0.38

0.36

0.28

0.26

0.22

0.31

TOTAL

0.33

0.30

0.28

0.20

0.17

0.16

0.23

Threshold = 50 mm

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

Jan.

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Feb.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Mar.

0.25

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.40

0.15

0.15

Apr.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.09

0.00

0.01

May.

0.06

0.35

0.06

0.15

0.09

0.09

0.12

Jun.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.03

0.02

0.01

Jul.

0.21

0.19

0.18

0.03

0.01

0.10

0.13

Aug.

0.19

0.16

0.07

0.13

0.13

0.13

0.13

Sep.

0.21

0.00

0.00

0.18

0.07

0.09

0.09

Oct.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Nov.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.02

Dec.

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

TOTAL

0.14

0.13

0.08

0.07

0.08

0.08

0.09

  

표 1.1.50 GDAPS(N512L70) 한반도 76개 지점에 대한 강수 BIAS

Threshold = 0.1 mm

Threshold = 5 mm

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

Jan.

1.01

1.14

1.10

1.07

0.95

0.95

1.04

Jan.

0.80

1.06

0.69

0.61

0.71

0.81

0.78

Feb.

1.13

1.20

1.20

1.38

1.50

1.51

1.32

Feb.

1.18

1.07

0.99

0.95

1.24

1.96

1.23

Mar.

1.06

1.10

1.27

1.29

1.57

1.70

1.33

Mar.

0.77

0.72

0.87

1.01

1.19

2.03

1.10

Apr.

1.26

1.32

1.26

1.25

1.29

1.29

1.28

Apr.

0.93

1.03

0.74

0.77

1.08

1.03

0.93

May.

1.29

1.37

1.34

1.38

1.43

1.58

1.40

May.

0.97

1.03

0.81

0.89

0.79

1.10

0.93

Jun.

1.74

1.78

1.82

1.73

1.75

1.84

1.78

Jun.

0.74

1.01

0.92

0.95

1.13

1.39

1.02

Jul.

1.69

1.79

1.75

1.76

1.79

1.67

1.74

Jul.

1.13

1.30

1.17

1.30

1.32

1.35

1.26

Aug.

1.96

2.22

2.22

2.07

2.04

2.00

2.08

Aug.

0.92

1.12

1.06

1.09

0.99

1.12

1.05

Sep.

1.48

1.66

1.67

1.67

1.81

1.76

1.67

Sep.

0.64

1.11

0.72

0.87

0.84

0.84

0.84

Oct.

1.04

1.14

1.27

1.32

1.31

1.23

1.22

Oct.

0.79

0.86

0.77

0.68

0.87

0.90

0.81

Nov.

1.11

1.24

1.19

1.19

1.14

1.20

1.18

Nov.

0.68

0.75

0.71

0.52

0.71

0.81

0.70

Dec.

0.96

1.11

1.15

1.05

0.98

1.06

1.05

Dec.

0.57

0.61

0.71

0.41

0.29

0.53

0.52

TOTAL

1.34

1.46

1.46

1.44

1.46

1.47

1.44

TOTAL

0.85

1.00

0.86

0.86

0.96

1.11

0.94

Threshold = 15 mm

Threshold = 25 mm

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

Jan.

0.59

0.14

0.36

0.00

0.18

0.14

0.23

Jan.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Feb.

0.74

0.30

0.30

0.35

0.35

1.78

0.64

Feb.

0.00

0.22

0.00

0.33

0.22

0.22

0.17

Mar.

0.97

0.94

0.84

0.59

1.14

1.93

1.07

Mar.

0.79

0.84

0.63

0.37

1.00

1.70

0.89

Apr.

0.85

0.90

0.70

0.99

1.21

1.41

1.01

Apr.

0.47

0.58

0.42

0.62

0.99

0.99

0.68

May.

1.03

1.23

1.03

1.26

0.95

1.47

1.16

May.

0.81

0.93

1.19

2.00

1.77

2.35

1.51

Jun.

0.64

0.50

0.54

0.59

0.71

1.02

0.67

Jun.

0.50

0.41

0.57

0.39

0.53

1.03

0.57

Jul.

0.98

1.15

0.97

1.04

1.14

1.07

1.06

Jul.

0.84

1.08

0.87

0.90

0.84

0.95

0.91

Aug.

0.60

0.97

0.91

0.89

0.88

0.80

0.84

Aug.

0.47

0.85

0.79

0.86

0.85

0.70

0.75

Sep.

0.44

0.68

0.44

0.66

0.57

0.47

0.54

Sep.

0.45

0.88

0.45

0.79

0.89

0.42

0.65

Oct.

0.77

0.90

1.14

1.00

1.00

0.98

0.96

Oct.

0.51

0.61

1.46

1.41

1.34

1.20

1.09

Nov.

0.74

0.74

0.49

0.39

0.62

1.18

0.69

Nov.

0.46

0.45

0.25

0.25

0.57

1.82

0.63

Dec.

0.70

0.62

0.14

0.03

0.16

0.41

0.34

Dec.

0.14

0.57

0.00

0.14

0.00

0.29

0.19

TOTAL

0.77

0.87

0.74

0.78

0.87

1.06

0.85

TOTAL

0.59

0.76

0.69

0.77

0.87

1.09

0.79

Threshold = 50 mm

MONTH

12H

24H

36H

48H

60H

72H

TOTAL

Jan.

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Feb.

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Mar.

0.25

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.75

0.88

0.31

Apr.

0.00

0.10

0.00

0.00

0.14

0.57

0.13

May.

0.12

0.35

0.06

1.65

3.18

2.53

1.31

Jun.

0.00

0.00

0.08

0.00

0.20

0.92

0.20

Jul.

0.59

0.89

0.57

0.11

0.19

0.43

0.46

Aug.

0.44

0.46

0.23

0.49

0.79

0.74

0.53

Sep.

0.89

0.56

0.78

1.22

2.56

1.67

1.28

Oct.

0.00

2.00

6.00

13.00

13.00

8.00

7.00

Nov.

0.57

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.86

4.14

0.93

Dec.

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

TOTAL

0.36

0.44

0.31

0.42

0.83

1.03

0.56