2018년 기상청 전지구예보모델 검증결과 |
【 2019. 2. 28. / 수치모델링센터 미래수치기술팀 】
※ 다음은 수치예측시스템의 검증(2018년)의 내용 일부를 발췌한 것입니다. 자세한 내용을 원하시는 경우 위의 보고서를 참고하시기바랍니다.
□ 전지구예보시스템의 검증 영역 (WMO CBS 공통)
검증 방법 |
검증 영역 |
위도 |
경도 |
비고 |
분석검증 |
북반구 |
20° N - 90° N |
0° - 360° |
|
남반구 |
20° S - 90° N |
0° - 360° |
||
적도 |
20° S - 20° N |
0° - 360° |
||
관측검증 |
아시아 |
25° N - 65° N |
60° E - 145° E |
|
적도 |
20° N - 20° N |
0° - 360° |
||
북미 |
25° N - 60° N |
50° W - 145° W |
||
유럽/북아프리카 |
25° N - 70° N |
10° W - 28° E |
||
호주/뉴질랜드 |
10° S - 55° S |
90° E - 180° E |
||
강수검증 |
76개 ASOS 검증 |
2009년부터 변경 |
□ 전지구예보시스템의 검증 변경 사항
검증 방법 |
이른 분석 |
2001년 1월 ~ 2005년 11월 |
늦은 분석 |
2005년 12월 ~ 2006년 4월 |
|
이른 분석 |
2006년 5월 ~ 현재 |
|
모델 분해능 |
T213L30 (~60km) |
2001년 1월 ~ 2005년 11월 |
T426L40 (~40km) |
2005년 12월 ~ 2010년 5월 14일 |
|
N320L50 (UM vn,6.6) (~40km) |
2010년 5월 15일 ~ 2011년 5월 22일 |
|
N512L70 (UM vn.7.7) (~25km) |
2011년 5월 23일 ~ 2012년 5월 |
|
N512L70 (UM vn.7.9) (~25km) |
2012년 6월 ~ 2016년 6월 28일 |
|
N768L70 (UM vn8.5) (~17km) |
2016년 6월 29일 ~ 2018년 6월 6일 |
|
N1280L70 (UM vn10.,8) (~10km) |
2018년 6월 7일 ~ 현재 |
|
검증 격자 분해능 및 내삽방안 |
1.125° x 1.125° , bi- linear |
2001년 1월 ~ 2005년 11월 |
0.5625° x 0.5625° , bi- linear |
2005년 12월 ~ 2006년 7월 |
|
2.5° x 2.5° , bi- linear |
2006년 8월 ~ 2014년12월 |
|
1.5° x 1.5° , area weight |
2015년 1월 ~ 현재 |
변수명 |
고도 |
해면기압 |
해면* |
지위고도 |
850hPa, 500hPa**, 250hPa, 100hPa*** |
기온 |
850hPa, 500hPa**, 250hPa, 100hPa |
바람 |
925hPa, 850hPa, 700hPa, 500hPa**, 250hPa, 100hPa |
상대습도 |
700hPa*** |
- 참고 * 분석검증에서만 수행 ** 열대지역에서는 제외 *** 권고 검증기상변수 |
□ 지역예보시스템의 분석 및 관측검증 영역
검증 방법 |
검증 영역 |
비고 |
분석검증 |
위 그림의 검증 영역 (바깥영역) |
|
관측검증 |
위 그림의 검증 영역 (안쪽영역) |
|
강수검증 |
한반도 76개 ASOS 지점 |
2009년부터 변경 |
□ 전지구예보시스템(GDAPS)
(a) |
(b) |
(c) |
(d) |
□ 지역예보시스템(RDAPS)
(a) change rate(%) |
change rate(%) (b) |
change rate(%) (c) |
(a)
(b)
(c)
|
|
|
□ 예보시스템(전지구, 지역, 국지)별 강수 예측성능 비교
(a)
(c)
(b)
(d)
|
|
|
|
|
□ 전지구 앙상블예측시스템(EPSG)
(a)
(c)
(b)
(d)
|
|
|
|
|
1 전지구예보시스템
1.1 2018년 전지구예보시스템 분석검증
※ WMO- CBS 표준검증 기준에 따라 S1 스코어는 해면기압(MSLP)에 대해서만 작성됨
(이전 년도 보고서에서 작성되었던 다른 등압면에서의 S1 스코어는 본 보고서부터 제외됨)
1.1.1 북반구 분석검증
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.08 |
- 0.01 |
0.03 |
0.08 |
0.04 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.04 |
48H |
- 0.13 |
- 0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.12 |
72H |
- 0.13 |
- 0.01 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
- 0.05 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.37 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.14 |
96H |
- 0.14 |
0.08 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.14 |
120H |
- 0.22 |
0.14 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.17 |
144H |
- 0.29 |
0.14 |
0.20 |
0.22 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.19 |
168H |
- 0.38 |
0.08 |
0.15 |
0.24 |
0.01 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.50 |
- 0.22 |
192H |
- 0.50 |
0.01 |
0.03 |
0.26 |
0.09 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.45 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.66 |
- 0.28 |
216H |
- 0.67 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.10 |
0.35 |
0.14 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.50 |
- 0.67 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.70 |
- 0.33 |
240H |
- 0.74 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.19 |
0.38 |
0.25 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.71 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.35 |
264H |
- 0.74 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.23 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.72 |
- 0.84 |
- 0.67 |
- 0.35 |
288H |
- 0.77 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.13 |
0.31 |
0.47 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.76 |
- 1.08 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.37 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
1.02 |
0.97 |
0.87 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
0.78 |
0.73 |
0.71 |
0.69 |
0.74 |
0.86 |
0.96 |
0.83 |
48H |
1.63 |
1.56 |
1.43 |
1.36 |
1.31 |
1.23 |
1.21 |
1.19 |
1.15 |
1.23 |
1.39 |
1.57 |
1.36 |
72H |
2.48 |
2.38 |
2.21 |
2.01 |
1.92 |
1.76 |
1.70 |
1.74 |
1.75 |
1.85 |
2.11 |
2.34 |
2.02 |
96H |
3.45 |
3.47 |
3.14 |
2.94 |
2.71 |
2.52 |
2.32 |
2.41 |
2.50 |
2.71 |
3.09 |
3.27 |
2.88 |
120H |
4.52 |
4.82 |
4.36 |
3.93 |
3.70 |
3.46 |
3.04 |
3.21 |
3.48 |
3.72 |
4.37 |
4.30 |
3.91 |
144H |
5.86 |
6.07 |
5.74 |
5.06 |
4.85 |
4.40 |
3.84 |
4.09 |
4.58 |
4.69 |
5.65 |
5.68 |
5.04 |
168H |
7.13 |
7.35 |
6.92 |
6.01 |
6.05 |
5.22 |
4.60 |
4.84 |
5.73 |
5.61 |
6.95 |
7.00 |
6.12 |
192H |
8.04 |
8.76 |
8.13 |
6.94 |
6.78 |
5.81 |
5.23 |
5.48 |
6.61 |
6.74 |
8.13 |
8.07 |
7.06 |
216H |
9.09 |
9.72 |
8.96 |
7.80 |
7.25 |
6.25 |
5.71 |
5.93 |
7.26 |
7.78 |
8.83 |
9.01 |
7.80 |
240H |
9.84 |
10.42 |
9.74 |
8.30 |
7.76 |
6.78 |
5.96 |
6.44 |
7.86 |
8.42 |
9.65 |
9.83 |
8.42 |
264H |
10.57 |
11.02 |
10.39 |
8.70 |
8.52 |
7.19 |
6.21 |
6.82 |
8.51 |
8.94 |
10.46 |
10.47 |
8.98 |
288H |
11.09 |
11.44 |
10.54 |
9.03 |
8.84 |
7.36 |
6.37 |
6.92 |
8.80 |
9.35 |
11.17 |
11.18 |
9.34 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
18.05 |
19.33 |
19.11 |
19.18 |
20.96 |
20.56 |
19.55 |
18.85 |
17.76 |
16.96 |
17.71 |
18.00 |
18.84 |
48H |
24.98 |
26.37 |
26.42 |
26.14 |
28.66 |
28.13 |
27.14 |
26.80 |
25.29 |
24.32 |
24.90 |
25.23 |
26.20 |
72H |
32.26 |
33.87 |
34.13 |
33.43 |
36.35 |
35.90 |
34.40 |
34.98 |
33.24 |
31.54 |
32.71 |
32.42 |
33.77 |
96H |
39.64 |
42.21 |
42.36 |
42.02 |
45.23 |
44.69 |
42.28 |
43.37 |
41.69 |
39.89 |
41.43 |
40.27 |
42.09 |
120H |
46.98 |
50.89 |
51.91 |
50.25 |
54.60 |
53.84 |
49.48 |
51.94 |
50.76 |
48.88 |
51.15 |
47.80 |
50.71 |
144H |
54.70 |
58.90 |
61.14 |
58.73 |
63.79 |
62.20 |
56.86 |
60.33 |
59.62 |
56.23 |
59.87 |
55.69 |
59.01 |
168H |
61.69 |
66.39 |
68.54 |
65.57 |
71.47 |
68.36 |
63.68 |
66.71 |
67.52 |
63.22 |
67.33 |
63.31 |
66.15 |
192H |
67.47 |
73.11 |
75.08 |
70.49 |
76.61 |
72.66 |
68.90 |
71.53 |
73.56 |
69.52 |
73.43 |
69.38 |
71.81 |
216H |
71.77 |
77.46 |
78.94 |
75.51 |
79.49 |
75.49 |
72.35 |
74.83 |
77.81 |
74.96 |
77.10 |
73.36 |
75.76 |
240H |
74.60 |
80.37 |
82.37 |
78.96 |
82.39 |
78.91 |
73.75 |
77.84 |
81.07 |
78.65 |
80.76 |
76.87 |
78.88 |
264H |
77.52 |
81.62 |
84.97 |
81.11 |
86.27 |
82.09 |
75.64 |
79.79 |
83.95 |
81.76 |
83.31 |
79.91 |
81.50 |
288H |
79.36 |
83.06 |
86.06 |
83.21 |
86.41 |
83.88 |
76.49 |
81.09 |
85.08 |
83.67 |
85.48 |
83.01 |
83.07 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.08 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.03 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
- 0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.02 |
48H |
- 0.09 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.03 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.07 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.02 |
72H |
- 0.09 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.02 |
0.06 |
0.09 |
0.06 |
0.02 |
0.06 |
0.12 |
0.00 |
- 0.01 |
96H |
- 0.08 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.21 |
0.01 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.07 |
0.05 |
0.11 |
0.16 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
120H |
- 0.09 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.21 |
0.04 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.09 |
0.06 |
0.16 |
0.20 |
0.05 |
0.01 |
144H |
- 0.09 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.22 |
0.07 |
0.13 |
0.11 |
0.10 |
0.07 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.05 |
0.02 |
168H |
- 0.07 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.23 |
0.09 |
0.14 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.10 |
0.25 |
0.28 |
0.06 |
0.03 |
192H |
- 0.06 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.27 |
0.12 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.17 |
0.28 |
0.32 |
0.07 |
0.04 |
216H |
- 0.08 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.29 |
0.12 |
0.17 |
0.15 |
0.13 |
0.22 |
0.32 |
0.40 |
0.10 |
0.06 |
240H |
- 0.05 |
- 0.05 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.30 |
0.10 |
0.19 |
0.16 |
0.14 |
0.25 |
0.38 |
0.46 |
0.12 |
0.08 |
264H |
- 0.04 |
0.02 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.31 |
0.09 |
0.20 |
0.17 |
0.14 |
0.27 |
0.44 |
0.52 |
0.15 |
0.11 |
288H |
- 0.04 |
0.03 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.32 |
0.06 |
0.19 |
0.17 |
0.13 |
0.32 |
0.47 |
0.58 |
0.21 |
0.12 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
1.02 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.92 |
0.92 |
0.81 |
0.75 |
0.70 |
0.68 |
0.72 |
0.88 |
0.94 |
0.86 |
48H |
1.42 |
1.38 |
1.33 |
1.30 |
1.31 |
1.17 |
1.10 |
1.02 |
1.00 |
1.05 |
1.26 |
1.34 |
1.22 |
72H |
1.79 |
1.74 |
1.71 |
1.68 |
1.67 |
1.51 |
1.42 |
1.35 |
1.33 |
1.36 |
1.61 |
1.71 |
1.57 |
96H |
2.25 |
2.19 |
2.17 |
2.09 |
2.10 |
1.90 |
1.81 |
1.72 |
1.70 |
1.75 |
2.02 |
2.11 |
1.98 |
120H |
2.75 |
2.70 |
2.73 |
2.58 |
2.61 |
2.37 |
2.19 |
2.11 |
2.11 |
2.20 |
2.56 |
2.52 |
2.45 |
144H |
3.30 |
3.30 |
3.36 |
3.14 |
3.21 |
2.85 |
2.62 |
2.52 |
2.61 |
2.64 |
3.08 |
3.06 |
2.97 |
168H |
3.88 |
3.94 |
3.97 |
3.64 |
3.80 |
3.28 |
3.09 |
2.91 |
3.06 |
3.06 |
3.65 |
3.57 |
3.49 |
192H |
4.50 |
4.36 |
4.54 |
4.17 |
4.31 |
3.63 |
3.49 |
3.25 |
3.43 |
3.48 |
4.18 |
4.08 |
3.95 |
216H |
5.00 |
4.90 |
4.96 |
4.62 |
4.80 |
3.94 |
3.80 |
3.49 |
3.87 |
3.95 |
4.67 |
4.49 |
4.38 |
240H |
5.26 |
5.28 |
5.39 |
4.97 |
5.13 |
4.23 |
4.00 |
3.80 |
4.24 |
4.37 |
5.01 |
4.81 |
4.71 |
264H |
5.50 |
5.51 |
5.78 |
5.26 |
5.29 |
4.50 |
4.15 |
4.02 |
4.40 |
4.70 |
5.29 |
5.18 |
4.97 |
288H |
5.69 |
5.81 |
6.03 |
5.43 |
5.45 |
4.68 |
4.24 |
4.12 |
4.51 |
4.92 |
5.50 |
5.47 |
5.15 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.99 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
48H |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.96 |
72H |
0.94 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.92 |
0.92 |
0.92 |
0.94 |
0.95 |
0.93 |
0.93 |
0.93 |
96H |
0.90 |
0.92 |
0.91 |
0.90 |
0.88 |
0.88 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
0.90 |
0.92 |
0.89 |
0.88 |
0.89 |
120H |
0.86 |
0.87 |
0.85 |
0.84 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.85 |
0.87 |
0.82 |
0.83 |
0.84 |
144H |
0.79 |
0.81 |
0.77 |
0.76 |
0.71 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
0.72 |
0.78 |
0.81 |
0.74 |
0.75 |
0.76 |
168H |
0.71 |
0.72 |
0.68 |
0.68 |
0.60 |
0.64 |
0.63 |
0.62 |
0.69 |
0.75 |
0.64 |
0.67 |
0.67 |
192H |
0.61 |
0.66 |
0.59 |
0.58 |
0.49 |
0.56 |
0.53 |
0.54 |
0.61 |
0.67 |
0.53 |
0.57 |
0.58 |
216H |
0.51 |
0.57 |
0.52 |
0.48 |
0.37 |
0.48 |
0.45 |
0.47 |
0.50 |
0.57 |
0.42 |
0.48 |
0.49 |
240H |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.43 |
0.40 |
0.29 |
0.41 |
0.39 |
0.38 |
0.40 |
0.47 |
0.34 |
0.39 |
0.41 |
264H |
0.39 |
0.44 |
0.36 |
0.34 |
0.24 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.32 |
0.35 |
0.40 |
0.27 |
0.30 |
0.34 |
288H |
0.35 |
0.38 |
0.31 |
0.29 |
0.20 |
0.29 |
0.33 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.34 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.30 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.66 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.19 |
0.33 |
0.13 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.68 |
- 0.23 |
0.69 |
0.77 |
0.39 |
- 0.09 |
48H |
- 1.04 |
- 0.94 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.41 |
0.41 |
0.06 |
- 1.22 |
- 1.34 |
- 0.50 |
0.86 |
1.25 |
0.37 |
- 0.27 |
72H |
- 0.96 |
- 0.81 |
- 0.50 |
0.03 |
1.17 |
0.59 |
- 1.07 |
- 1.33 |
- 0.19 |
1.37 |
1.97 |
0.35 |
0.05 |
96H |
- 0.74 |
0.09 |
- 0.11 |
0.71 |
2.13 |
1.45 |
- 0.89 |
- 1.40 |
0.25 |
1.96 |
2.48 |
0.36 |
0.52 |
120H |
- 0.90 |
0.86 |
- 0.15 |
0.73 |
2.84 |
2.24 |
- 1.16 |
- 1.72 |
0.38 |
2.12 |
2.62 |
0.51 |
0.70 |
144H |
- 0.87 |
1.38 |
- 0.20 |
1.01 |
3.23 |
2.86 |
- 1.45 |
- 1.55 |
0.56 |
2.44 |
3.04 |
0.73 |
0.93 |
168H |
- 0.95 |
1.14 |
- 0.72 |
0.68 |
3.91 |
3.48 |
- 1.28 |
- 1.10 |
1.01 |
2.71 |
3.31 |
0.65 |
1.07 |
192H |
- 1.31 |
0.61 |
- 1.52 |
0.31 |
4.80 |
4.05 |
- 1.27 |
- 0.79 |
1.49 |
2.70 |
2.62 |
- 0.09 |
0.97 |
216H |
- 2.78 |
- 0.60 |
- 2.29 |
0.64 |
4.76 |
4.45 |
- 1.71 |
- 0.19 |
1.59 |
2.81 |
2.74 |
- 0.15 |
0.77 |
240H |
- 3.11 |
- 1.06 |
- 3.00 |
0.73 |
4.72 |
4.45 |
- 1.91 |
0.09 |
1.65 |
3.57 |
3.45 |
0.28 |
0.82 |
264H |
- 3.30 |
- 0.67 |
- 2.89 |
0.44 |
5.07 |
4.87 |
- 2.00 |
0.41 |
1.73 |
4.76 |
3.82 |
0.18 |
1.04 |
288H |
- 3.72 |
- 0.55 |
- 1.81 |
- 0.03 |
5.05 |
4.25 |
- 2.00 |
0.61 |
1.76 |
5.25 |
3.48 |
1.10 |
1.12 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
7.54 |
7.54 |
6.75 |
6.54 |
6.48 |
6.07 |
5.77 |
5.50 |
5.52 |
5.87 |
6.41 |
7.03 |
6.42 |
48H |
14.12 |
13.96 |
13.09 |
12.53 |
12.33 |
11.17 |
10.80 |
10.03 |
10.13 |
11.02 |
12.27 |
13.22 |
12.06 |
72H |
23.16 |
23.00 |
21.70 |
20.69 |
19.93 |
18.41 |
17.31 |
16.22 |
16.83 |
17.64 |
20.67 |
21.27 |
19.74 |
96H |
34.53 |
34.91 |
31.89 |
31.52 |
30.00 |
27.94 |
25.46 |
24.10 |
25.78 |
27.11 |
31.68 |
31.10 |
29.67 |
120H |
46.95 |
48.59 |
44.48 |
43.17 |
42.17 |
39.32 |
34.60 |
33.55 |
36.43 |
38.36 |
44.74 |
41.69 |
41.17 |
144H |
61.49 |
62.63 |
59.81 |
55.26 |
56.05 |
50.62 |
44.37 |
43.59 |
48.80 |
49.66 |
57.73 |
55.69 |
53.81 |
168H |
76.54 |
77.34 |
74.07 |
67.87 |
70.23 |
60.56 |
54.65 |
53.44 |
61.84 |
60.07 |
72.06 |
69.95 |
66.55 |
192H |
89.19 |
89.78 |
89.57 |
79.77 |
82.25 |
69.10 |
62.94 |
61.79 |
73.05 |
72.53 |
86.45 |
83.01 |
78.29 |
216H |
100.97 |
102.02 |
100.66 |
91.25 |
91.87 |
75.24 |
69.74 |
67.51 |
82.61 |
85.14 |
97.19 |
92.98 |
88.10 |
240H |
109.66 |
112.78 |
110.09 |
98.87 |
99.71 |
82.39 |
73.71 |
74.02 |
90.99 |
93.82 |
106.13 |
102.63 |
96.23 |
264H |
117.33 |
120.29 |
118.52 |
104.73 |
107.42 |
88.71 |
76.89 |
79.19 |
97.94 |
101.79 |
114.02 |
110.17 |
103.08 |
288H |
122.92 |
127.37 |
123.60 |
110.39 |
112.38 |
91.94 |
79.61 |
81.66 |
102.38 |
107.80 |
121.44 |
117.74 |
108.27 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
48H |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
72H |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
96H |
0.95 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.93 |
0.93 |
0.95 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
120H |
0.91 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.89 |
0.86 |
0.87 |
0.86 |
0.90 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.91 |
0.90 |
144H |
0.85 |
0.88 |
0.86 |
0.83 |
0.80 |
0.76 |
0.79 |
0.76 |
0.83 |
0.87 |
0.84 |
0.84 |
0.83 |
168H |
0.76 |
0.82 |
0.78 |
0.75 |
0.68 |
0.65 |
0.68 |
0.64 |
0.73 |
0.81 |
0.75 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
192H |
0.68 |
0.75 |
0.69 |
0.66 |
0.56 |
0.55 |
0.58 |
0.52 |
0.62 |
0.72 |
0.64 |
0.64 |
0.63 |
216H |
0.58 |
0.68 |
0.61 |
0.54 |
0.46 |
0.47 |
0.48 |
0.43 |
0.51 |
0.62 |
0.55 |
0.55 |
0.54 |
240H |
0.51 |
0.60 |
0.53 |
0.46 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.42 |
0.34 |
0.41 |
0.53 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.45 |
264H |
0.44 |
0.54 |
0.45 |
0.40 |
0.26 |
0.27 |
0.37 |
0.26 |
0.32 |
0.45 |
0.39 |
0.37 |
0.38 |
288H |
0.38 |
0.48 |
0.41 |
0.34 |
0.19 |
0.22 |
0.34 |
0.22 |
0.26 |
0.37 |
0.32 |
0.30 |
0.32 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.11 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.11 |
48H |
- 0.14 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.15 |
72H |
- 0.14 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.18 |
96H |
- 0.21 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.22 |
120H |
- 0.32 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.28 |
144H |
- 0.46 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.35 |
168H |
- 0.45 |
- 0.73 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.45 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.51 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.36 |
192H |
- 0.49 |
- 0.84 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.39 |
216H |
- 0.51 |
- 1.03 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.44 |
240H |
- 0.57 |
- 1.29 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.37 |
- 0.71 |
- 0.60 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.50 |
264H |
- 0.58 |
- 1.43 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.77 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.52 |
288H |
- 0.59 |
- 1.52 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.81 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.53 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
3.62 |
3.65 |
3.65 |
3.60 |
3.80 |
3.57 |
3.57 |
3.48 |
3.35 |
3.44 |
3.46 |
3.45 |
3.55 |
48H |
5.54 |
5.55 |
5.50 |
5.44 |
5.89 |
5.76 |
5.74 |
5.62 |
5.29 |
5.44 |
5.47 |
5.36 |
5.55 |
72H |
7.72 |
7.62 |
7.46 |
7.54 |
8.05 |
8.10 |
7.97 |
7.93 |
7.44 |
7.57 |
7.75 |
7.36 |
7.71 |
96H |
10.19 |
10.10 |
9.61 |
9.91 |
10.41 |
10.71 |
10.30 |
10.30 |
9.95 |
10.07 |
10.45 |
9.58 |
10.13 |
120H |
12.90 |
12.83 |
12.19 |
12.32 |
13.33 |
13.38 |
12.50 |
12.96 |
12.51 |
12.56 |
13.34 |
11.93 |
12.73 |
144H |
15.66 |
15.43 |
15.04 |
15.01 |
16.34 |
15.81 |
14.51 |
15.19 |
15.18 |
15.19 |
16.04 |
14.71 |
15.34 |
168H |
18.47 |
17.94 |
17.72 |
17.19 |
18.89 |
17.73 |
16.37 |
17.25 |
17.82 |
17.32 |
18.70 |
17.31 |
17.72 |
192H |
21.20 |
20.07 |
20.24 |
19.30 |
21.02 |
19.40 |
17.78 |
18.70 |
19.85 |
19.72 |
21.37 |
19.82 |
19.87 |
216H |
23.57 |
22.16 |
22.03 |
21.53 |
22.83 |
20.41 |
18.89 |
19.71 |
21.79 |
22.11 |
23.50 |
21.92 |
21.70 |
240H |
25.07 |
24.14 |
23.88 |
23.01 |
24.12 |
21.62 |
19.60 |
20.68 |
23.03 |
24.15 |
25.02 |
23.52 |
23.15 |
264H |
26.26 |
25.37 |
25.10 |
24.22 |
25.12 |
22.85 |
20.18 |
21.47 |
24.02 |
25.64 |
26.19 |
25.09 |
24.29 |
288H |
27.37 |
26.31 |
26.28 |
25.17 |
25.67 |
23.54 |
20.49 |
21.80 |
24.67 |
26.62 |
26.94 |
26.23 |
25.09 |
1.2.2 적도지역 분석검증
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.00 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.03 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.05 |
0.01 |
- 0.03 |
48H |
- 0.01 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.07 |
0.01 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.09 |
0.01 |
- 0.04 |
72H |
- 0.03 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.10 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.13 |
0.00 |
- 0.06 |
96H |
- 0.05 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.02 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.01 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.07 |
120H |
- 0.09 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.02 |
0.09 |
0.12 |
0.01 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.11 |
144H |
- 0.13 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.05 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.04 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.13 |
168H |
- 0.16 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.10 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.15 |
192H |
- 0.18 |
- 0.37 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.16 |
0.03 |
- 0.01 |
0.08 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.19 |
216H |
- 0.17 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.08 |
0.10 |
0.01 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.23 |
240H |
- 0.18 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.14 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.26 |
264H |
- 0.21 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.73 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.14 |
0.02 |
0.14 |
- 0.37 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.26 |
288H |
- 0.25 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.73 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.12 |
0.04 |
0.23 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.25 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.56 |
0.57 |
0.56 |
0.52 |
0.50 |
0.48 |
0.51 |
0.51 |
0.56 |
0.55 |
0.50 |
0.52 |
0.53 |
48H |
0.72 |
0.74 |
0.77 |
0.67 |
0.64 |
0.63 |
0.70 |
0.71 |
0.77 |
0.78 |
0.72 |
0.75 |
0.72 |
72H |
0.82 |
0.86 |
0.89 |
0.76 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
0.79 |
0.82 |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.80 |
0.85 |
0.83 |
96H |
0.92 |
0.99 |
0.98 |
0.86 |
0.85 |
0.82 |
0.85 |
0.91 |
1.01 |
1.06 |
0.88 |
0.92 |
0.92 |
120H |
1.02 |
1.08 |
1.07 |
0.95 |
0.97 |
0.93 |
0.97 |
1.02 |
1.12 |
1.18 |
0.97 |
0.98 |
1.02 |
144H |
1.16 |
1.21 |
1.24 |
1.13 |
1.09 |
1.04 |
1.06 |
1.17 |
1.25 |
1.31 |
1.13 |
1.13 |
1.16 |
168H |
1.26 |
1.37 |
1.41 |
1.29 |
1.21 |
1.15 |
1.13 |
1.28 |
1.37 |
1.44 |
1.24 |
1.22 |
1.28 |
192H |
1.40 |
1.52 |
1.59 |
1.46 |
1.36 |
1.29 |
1.24 |
1.38 |
1.51 |
1.61 |
1.36 |
1.35 |
1.42 |
216H |
1.53 |
1.70 |
1.67 |
1.60 |
1.53 |
1.40 |
1.38 |
1.46 |
1.66 |
1.69 |
1.51 |
1.42 |
1.55 |
240H |
1.58 |
1.79 |
1.78 |
1.73 |
1.65 |
1.49 |
1.49 |
1.57 |
1.83 |
1.84 |
1.67 |
1.53 |
1.66 |
264H |
1.70 |
1.82 |
1.93 |
1.83 |
1.74 |
1.53 |
1.61 |
1.62 |
1.88 |
1.91 |
1.75 |
1.65 |
1.75 |
288H |
1.78 |
1.92 |
1.98 |
1.87 |
1.81 |
1.57 |
1.68 |
1.68 |
1.96 |
2.01 |
1.78 |
1.78 |
1.82 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
29.21 |
32.12 |
32.81 |
32.99 |
30.93 |
26.32 |
25.11 |
25.99 |
28.12 |
30.58 |
28.58 |
26.95 |
29.14 |
48H |
34.51 |
37.62 |
38.70 |
38.38 |
35.87 |
31.32 |
30.17 |
31.50 |
34.41 |
37.31 |
34.60 |
32.75 |
34.76 |
72H |
37.60 |
40.56 |
41.93 |
41.04 |
38.47 |
34.00 |
32.95 |
34.69 |
38.49 |
41.29 |
38.05 |
35.95 |
37.92 |
96H |
39.81 |
42.82 |
44.17 |
43.07 |
40.75 |
36.23 |
34.75 |
37.29 |
41.43 |
44.58 |
40.50 |
38.00 |
40.28 |
120H |
42.01 |
44.92 |
45.95 |
44.79 |
42.45 |
38.24 |
36.93 |
39.29 |
43.78 |
47.04 |
42.62 |
39.98 |
42.33 |
144H |
44.16 |
46.82 |
48.10 |
47.06 |
44.16 |
40.18 |
38.61 |
41.59 |
46.62 |
49.64 |
44.71 |
42.26 |
44.49 |
168H |
46.33 |
48.89 |
50.45 |
49.32 |
46.05 |
41.84 |
40.47 |
43.75 |
49.21 |
51.97 |
46.83 |
44.31 |
46.62 |
192H |
48.21 |
50.76 |
53.21 |
51.06 |
48.13 |
43.26 |
42.50 |
45.63 |
51.54 |
54.46 |
49.19 |
46.24 |
48.68 |
216H |
50.23 |
52.65 |
55.31 |
52.72 |
49.80 |
44.74 |
44.30 |
47.07 |
53.78 |
56.15 |
51.61 |
47.72 |
50.51 |
240H |
51.67 |
54.82 |
57.28 |
54.17 |
51.65 |
46.57 |
45.76 |
48.43 |
55.78 |
57.89 |
54.08 |
49.40 |
52.29 |
264H |
52.76 |
55.99 |
58.54 |
55.55 |
53.23 |
47.45 |
47.23 |
49.37 |
56.89 |
59.29 |
55.35 |
50.65 |
53.52 |
288H |
53.87 |
57.42 |
59.46 |
56.48 |
54.54 |
48.40 |
48.34 |
50.15 |
57.80 |
60.65 |
56.38 |
52.19 |
54.64 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.01 |
0.03 |
0.08 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
48H |
- 0.02 |
0.02 |
0.12 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.02 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
72H |
- 0.06 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.03 |
- 0.02 |
0.05 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.14 |
0.02 |
0.07 |
96H |
- 0.08 |
- 0.02 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.03 |
- 0.04 |
0.03 |
0.13 |
0.18 |
0.14 |
- 0.01 |
0.06 |
120H |
- 0.10 |
- 0.03 |
0.13 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.03 |
- 0.05 |
0.01 |
0.13 |
0.18 |
0.12 |
- 0.02 |
0.06 |
144H |
- 0.12 |
- 0.06 |
0.13 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.04 |
- 0.05 |
0.01 |
0.09 |
0.17 |
0.12 |
- 0.04 |
0.05 |
168H |
- 0.15 |
- 0.09 |
0.15 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.06 |
- 0.05 |
0.01 |
0.06 |
0.14 |
0.09 |
- 0.06 |
0.04 |
192H |
- 0.17 |
- 0.11 |
0.15 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.07 |
- 0.03 |
0.02 |
0.04 |
0.14 |
0.11 |
- 0.09 |
0.04 |
216H |
- 0.19 |
- 0.10 |
0.14 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.08 |
- 0.01 |
0.04 |
- 0.01 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
- 0.10 |
0.04 |
240H |
- 0.20 |
- 0.08 |
0.13 |
0.21 |
0.26 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
- 0.03 |
0.17 |
0.13 |
- 0.09 |
0.05 |
264H |
- 0.18 |
- 0.06 |
0.11 |
0.19 |
0.27 |
0.12 |
0.01 |
0.05 |
- 0.07 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
- 0.08 |
0.05 |
288H |
- 0.15 |
- 0.07 |
0.08 |
0.18 |
0.26 |
0.14 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
- 0.09 |
0.12 |
0.17 |
- 0.09 |
0.05 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.66 |
0.68 |
0.62 |
0.60 |
0.64 |
0.57 |
0.58 |
0.60 |
0.61 |
0.61 |
0.57 |
0.58 |
0.61 |
48H |
0.88 |
0.88 |
0.82 |
0.78 |
0.84 |
0.77 |
0.78 |
0.82 |
0.87 |
0.84 |
0.79 |
0.80 |
0.82 |
72H |
1.02 |
1.00 |
0.94 |
0.88 |
0.96 |
0.89 |
0.91 |
0.95 |
1.00 |
0.99 |
0.92 |
0.94 |
0.95 |
96H |
1.12 |
1.09 |
1.03 |
0.96 |
1.04 |
1.00 |
1.02 |
1.06 |
1.11 |
1.10 |
1.02 |
1.04 |
1.05 |
120H |
1.23 |
1.18 |
1.12 |
1.05 |
1.12 |
1.11 |
1.11 |
1.15 |
1.21 |
1.20 |
1.09 |
1.13 |
1.14 |
144H |
1.33 |
1.28 |
1.21 |
1.14 |
1.24 |
1.21 |
1.21 |
1.25 |
1.30 |
1.32 |
1.18 |
1.23 |
1.24 |
168H |
1.41 |
1.38 |
1.32 |
1.23 |
1.32 |
1.31 |
1.32 |
1.38 |
1.43 |
1.45 |
1.29 |
1.34 |
1.35 |
192H |
1.50 |
1.46 |
1.42 |
1.32 |
1.41 |
1.40 |
1.41 |
1.49 |
1.53 |
1.57 |
1.39 |
1.44 |
1.44 |
216H |
1.59 |
1.57 |
1.52 |
1.40 |
1.51 |
1.51 |
1.47 |
1.55 |
1.64 |
1.67 |
1.51 |
1.53 |
1.54 |
240H |
1.68 |
1.66 |
1.61 |
1.48 |
1.61 |
1.57 |
1.53 |
1.64 |
1.74 |
1.73 |
1.63 |
1.60 |
1.62 |
264H |
1.74 |
1.75 |
1.70 |
1.53 |
1.68 |
1.62 |
1.61 |
1.71 |
1.78 |
1.80 |
1.67 |
1.69 |
1.69 |
288H |
1.77 |
1.83 |
1.79 |
1.57 |
1.74 |
1.69 |
1.69 |
1.75 |
1.85 |
1.90 |
1.73 |
1.74 |
1.75 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.91 |
0.92 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.90 |
0.92 |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.94 |
0.92 |
48H |
0.85 |
0.88 |
0.86 |
0.84 |
0.83 |
0.86 |
0.85 |
0.86 |
0.84 |
0.85 |
0.86 |
0.88 |
0.85 |
72H |
0.80 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
0.80 |
0.78 |
0.81 |
0.79 |
0.82 |
0.78 |
0.79 |
0.82 |
0.84 |
0.81 |
96H |
0.76 |
0.81 |
0.79 |
0.76 |
0.74 |
0.77 |
0.75 |
0.77 |
0.73 |
0.75 |
0.78 |
0.81 |
0.77 |
120H |
0.72 |
0.78 |
0.75 |
0.72 |
0.71 |
0.72 |
0.70 |
0.73 |
0.69 |
0.71 |
0.75 |
0.77 |
0.73 |
144H |
0.69 |
0.74 |
0.71 |
0.67 |
0.65 |
0.66 |
0.65 |
0.69 |
0.64 |
0.64 |
0.71 |
0.73 |
0.68 |
168H |
0.65 |
0.70 |
0.67 |
0.62 |
0.60 |
0.61 |
0.58 |
0.62 |
0.57 |
0.58 |
0.65 |
0.68 |
0.63 |
192H |
0.61 |
0.67 |
0.62 |
0.57 |
0.55 |
0.55 |
0.52 |
0.57 |
0.50 |
0.51 |
0.60 |
0.63 |
0.58 |
216H |
0.57 |
0.62 |
0.57 |
0.52 |
0.49 |
0.49 |
0.48 |
0.54 |
0.42 |
0.47 |
0.54 |
0.59 |
0.52 |
240H |
0.53 |
0.57 |
0.51 |
0.47 |
0.43 |
0.45 |
0.44 |
0.49 |
0.37 |
0.43 |
0.47 |
0.55 |
0.47 |
264H |
0.48 |
0.53 |
0.46 |
0.43 |
0.38 |
0.42 |
0.38 |
0.44 |
0.34 |
0.39 |
0.44 |
0.49 |
0.43 |
288H |
0.45 |
0.49 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
0.34 |
0.37 |
0.33 |
0.40 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
0.39 |
0.45 |
0.39 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.63 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.81 |
- 0.89 |
- 0.68 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.55 |
48H |
- 1.20 |
- 1.12 |
- 0.74 |
- 0.76 |
- 0.30 |
- 1.00 |
- 1.18 |
- 0.85 |
- 0.59 |
0.06 |
- 0.58 |
- 1.05 |
- 0.78 |
72H |
- 1.51 |
- 1.40 |
- 1.07 |
- 0.99 |
- 0.12 |
- 1.12 |
- 1.32 |
- 0.85 |
- 0.51 |
0.22 |
- 0.81 |
- 1.35 |
- 0.90 |
96H |
- 1.84 |
- 1.95 |
- 1.47 |
- 1.16 |
0.08 |
- 1.13 |
- 1.47 |
- 0.84 |
- 0.45 |
0.23 |
- 1.16 |
- 1.81 |
- 1.08 |
120H |
- 2.46 |
- 2.65 |
- 1.97 |
- 1.49 |
- 0.19 |
- 1.01 |
- 1.58 |
- 0.87 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.07 |
- 1.92 |
- 2.49 |
- 1.45 |
144H |
- 3.01 |
- 3.23 |
- 2.72 |
- 1.95 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.79 |
- 1.58 |
- 0.98 |
- 0.85 |
- 0.09 |
- 2.76 |
- 3.26 |
- 1.80 |
168H |
- 3.64 |
- 3.96 |
- 3.23 |
- 2.83 |
- 0.60 |
- 0.74 |
- 1.76 |
- 1.38 |
- 1.15 |
- 0.26 |
- 3.50 |
- 3.79 |
- 2.24 |
192H |
- 4.24 |
- 5.27 |
- 3.65 |
- 3.70 |
- 1.43 |
- 0.96 |
- 2.21 |
- 1.94 |
- 1.54 |
- 0.83 |
- 3.85 |
- 4.49 |
- 2.84 |
216H |
- 4.64 |
- 6.80 |
- 3.66 |
- 4.71 |
- 2.18 |
- 1.30 |
- 2.84 |
- 2.53 |
- 1.89 |
- 1.02 |
- 4.68 |
- 5.74 |
- 3.50 |
240H |
- 4.92 |
- 7.66 |
- 3.57 |
- 5.80 |
- 2.38 |
- 0.78 |
- 3.21 |
- 3.26 |
- 2.49 |
- 0.67 |
- 5.28 |
- 7.07 |
- 3.92 |
264H |
- 5.20 |
- 8.37 |
- 3.73 |
- 6.61 |
- 2.44 |
- 0.24 |
- 3.66 |
- 3.85 |
- 3.15 |
- 0.59 |
- 5.27 |
- 7.82 |
- 4.24 |
288H |
- 5.58 |
- 9.19 |
- 4.49 |
- 7.04 |
- 2.33 |
0.17 |
- 3.68 |
- 4.39 |
- 3.03 |
- 0.58 |
- 4.75 |
- 8.75 |
- 4.47 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
3.44 |
3.38 |
3.39 |
3.12 |
3.22 |
3.09 |
3.29 |
3.36 |
3.37 |
3.39 |
3.08 |
2.97 |
3.26 |
48H |
4.57 |
4.77 |
4.51 |
3.86 |
3.98 |
4.17 |
4.80 |
4.76 |
4.61 |
4.82 |
4.38 |
4.63 |
4.49 |
72H |
5.77 |
5.83 |
5.37 |
4.72 |
4.92 |
5.04 |
5.81 |
5.61 |
5.60 |
5.91 |
5.05 |
5.63 |
5.44 |
96H |
6.58 |
7.34 |
6.22 |
5.76 |
5.84 |
5.94 |
6.76 |
6.32 |
6.50 |
6.92 |
5.85 |
6.60 |
6.39 |
120H |
7.86 |
8.53 |
7.44 |
6.88 |
7.00 |
6.97 |
7.94 |
7.18 |
7.63 |
7.86 |
6.78 |
7.57 |
7.47 |
144H |
9.25 |
10.08 |
9.10 |
8.22 |
8.22 |
8.33 |
9.09 |
8.45 |
8.82 |
9.01 |
8.20 |
9.22 |
8.83 |
168H |
10.51 |
11.78 |
10.56 |
9.50 |
9.38 |
9.63 |
10.02 |
9.53 |
10.09 |
10.22 |
9.31 |
10.54 |
10.09 |
192H |
11.88 |
13.62 |
12.24 |
11.22 |
10.62 |
10.77 |
11.24 |
10.61 |
11.15 |
11.58 |
10.37 |
11.95 |
11.44 |
216H |
13.41 |
15.48 |
13.54 |
12.77 |
12.02 |
11.91 |
12.58 |
11.86 |
12.21 |
12.35 |
12.09 |
13.21 |
12.79 |
240H |
14.60 |
16.91 |
14.45 |
14.11 |
13.49 |
12.74 |
13.78 |
13.03 |
13.66 |
13.46 |
13.77 |
14.67 |
14.05 |
264H |
15.69 |
17.83 |
15.97 |
15.45 |
14.47 |
13.62 |
14.94 |
14.20 |
14.49 |
14.47 |
14.94 |
15.78 |
15.15 |
288H |
16.53 |
18.92 |
17.10 |
16.07 |
14.98 |
14.42 |
15.26 |
15.05 |
15.31 |
15.52 |
15.52 |
16.98 |
15.97 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
48H |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.95 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.94 |
0.94 |
0.94 |
72H |
0.93 |
0.94 |
0.95 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.89 |
0.90 |
0.89 |
0.92 |
0.91 |
0.92 |
96H |
0.91 |
0.91 |
0.93 |
0.89 |
0.87 |
0.89 |
0.87 |
0.86 |
0.87 |
0.85 |
0.90 |
0.88 |
0.89 |
120H |
0.87 |
0.88 |
0.89 |
0.84 |
0.81 |
0.85 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.80 |
0.87 |
0.85 |
0.84 |
144H |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.84 |
0.78 |
0.74 |
0.79 |
0.76 |
0.75 |
0.76 |
0.74 |
0.82 |
0.79 |
0.79 |
168H |
0.78 |
0.78 |
0.79 |
0.72 |
0.67 |
0.73 |
0.71 |
0.69 |
0.69 |
0.67 |
0.77 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
192H |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.63 |
0.60 |
0.67 |
0.63 |
0.64 |
0.64 |
0.60 |
0.72 |
0.67 |
0.66 |
216H |
0.64 |
0.66 |
0.67 |
0.56 |
0.50 |
0.61 |
0.55 |
0.57 |
0.57 |
0.54 |
0.64 |
0.61 |
0.59 |
240H |
0.57 |
0.59 |
0.63 |
0.51 |
0.38 |
0.55 |
0.46 |
0.50 |
0.48 |
0.47 |
0.55 |
0.54 |
0.52 |
264H |
0.52 |
0.56 |
0.55 |
0.43 |
0.31 |
0.47 |
0.39 |
0.42 |
0.43 |
0.42 |
0.46 |
0.51 |
0.46 |
288H |
0.47 |
0.52 |
0.49 |
0.38 |
0.26 |
0.40 |
0.36 |
0.34 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.40 |
0.46 |
0.40 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
3.73 |
3.72 |
3.69 |
3.56 |
3.41 |
3.28 |
3.29 |
3.27 |
3.01 |
3.08 |
3.36 |
3.43 |
3.40 |
48H |
5.41 |
5.33 |
5.29 |
5.16 |
4.85 |
4.79 |
4.93 |
4.82 |
4.62 |
4.77 |
5.04 |
5.02 |
5.00 |
72H |
6.62 |
6.54 |
6.45 |
6.40 |
5.92 |
5.87 |
6.17 |
5.96 |
5.76 |
5.95 |
6.26 |
6.21 |
6.18 |
96H |
7.66 |
7.62 |
7.37 |
7.32 |
6.97 |
6.75 |
7.02 |
6.92 |
6.71 |
6.87 |
7.23 |
7.18 |
7.14 |
120H |
8.56 |
8.62 |
8.23 |
8.18 |
7.89 |
7.60 |
7.82 |
7.70 |
7.50 |
7.54 |
8.19 |
7.97 |
7.98 |
144H |
9.34 |
9.53 |
9.03 |
9.18 |
8.75 |
8.46 |
8.65 |
8.30 |
8.20 |
8.25 |
9.01 |
8.78 |
8.79 |
168H |
10.06 |
10.40 |
9.92 |
10.01 |
9.54 |
9.28 |
9.39 |
9.02 |
8.94 |
9.05 |
9.84 |
9.59 |
9.59 |
192H |
10.79 |
11.42 |
10.85 |
10.83 |
10.36 |
9.99 |
10.11 |
9.58 |
9.69 |
9.87 |
10.53 |
10.36 |
10.36 |
216H |
11.54 |
12.31 |
11.53 |
11.58 |
10.95 |
10.79 |
10.76 |
10.28 |
10.17 |
10.63 |
11.29 |
11.16 |
11.08 |
240H |
12.11 |
12.94 |
12.24 |
12.15 |
11.55 |
11.50 |
11.52 |
10.89 |
10.63 |
11.17 |
12.02 |
11.88 |
11.72 |
264H |
12.68 |
13.67 |
12.87 |
12.76 |
12.38 |
12.21 |
12.18 |
11.37 |
11.16 |
11.56 |
12.65 |
12.57 |
12.34 |
288H |
13.05 |
14.26 |
13.58 |
13.15 |
13.15 |
12.71 |
12.71 |
11.96 |
11.66 |
12.15 |
13.22 |
13.18 |
12.90 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.11 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.06 |
0.03 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.05 |
48H |
- 0.08 |
0.04 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.02 |
0.06 |
- 0.04 |
0.03 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
- 0.17 |
0.02 |
- 0.02 |
72H |
0.01 |
0.15 |
- 0.08 |
0.09 |
0.06 |
0.14 |
0.06 |
0.14 |
0.11 |
0.07 |
- 0.06 |
0.11 |
0.06 |
96H |
0.07 |
0.24 |
- 0.08 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
0.28 |
0.23 |
0.26 |
0.24 |
0.16 |
0.00 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
120H |
0.17 |
0.27 |
0.04 |
0.25 |
0.27 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.34 |
0.29 |
0.16 |
0.04 |
0.25 |
0.23 |
144H |
0.22 |
0.39 |
0.13 |
0.40 |
0.34 |
0.41 |
0.42 |
0.38 |
0.36 |
0.23 |
0.07 |
0.28 |
0.30 |
168H |
0.25 |
0.51 |
0.25 |
0.50 |
0.42 |
0.36 |
0.39 |
0.40 |
0.44 |
0.34 |
0.11 |
0.30 |
0.36 |
192H |
0.19 |
0.58 |
0.35 |
0.67 |
0.45 |
0.33 |
0.47 |
0.49 |
0.53 |
0.40 |
0.13 |
0.33 |
0.41 |
216H |
0.03 |
0.65 |
0.40 |
0.84 |
0.50 |
0.35 |
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.58 |
0.35 |
0.15 |
0.34 |
0.43 |
240H |
- 0.09 |
0.90 |
0.41 |
0.81 |
0.63 |
0.40 |
0.57 |
0.55 |
0.63 |
0.37 |
0.11 |
0.37 |
0.47 |
264H |
- 0.12 |
0.95 |
0.45 |
0.75 |
0.73 |
0.43 |
0.58 |
0.62 |
0.72 |
0.40 |
0.10 |
0.47 |
0.51 |
288H |
- 0.09 |
0.89 |
0.44 |
0.70 |
0.77 |
0.47 |
0.50 |
0.79 |
0.87 |
0.40 |
0.07 |
0.50 |
0.53 |
1.1.3 남반구 분석검증
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.16 |
0.10 |
0.06 |
0.01 |
0.08 |
48H |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.08 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
0.27 |
0.18 |
0.10 |
0.04 |
0.14 |
72H |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
0.12 |
0.15 |
0.19 |
0.14 |
0.20 |
0.27 |
0.20 |
0.10 |
0.08 |
0.14 |
96H |
0.11 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.18 |
0.12 |
0.22 |
0.24 |
0.22 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
120H |
0.20 |
0.02 |
0.07 |
0.15 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.27 |
0.27 |
0.29 |
0.23 |
0.20 |
0.18 |
144H |
0.30 |
0.03 |
0.10 |
0.17 |
0.14 |
0.12 |
0.19 |
0.29 |
0.27 |
0.29 |
0.28 |
0.24 |
0.20 |
168H |
0.43 |
0.12 |
0.16 |
0.25 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
0.21 |
0.31 |
0.23 |
0.28 |
0.34 |
0.32 |
0.24 |
192H |
0.56 |
0.29 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
0.10 |
0.20 |
0.24 |
0.32 |
0.21 |
0.37 |
0.52 |
0.47 |
0.32 |
216H |
0.74 |
0.55 |
0.34 |
0.27 |
0.10 |
0.30 |
0.38 |
0.29 |
0.23 |
0.46 |
0.69 |
0.61 |
0.41 |
240H |
0.76 |
0.72 |
0.33 |
0.30 |
0.04 |
0.29 |
0.42 |
0.30 |
0.31 |
0.43 |
0.81 |
0.69 |
0.45 |
264H |
0.79 |
0.76 |
0.30 |
0.36 |
- 0.13 |
0.26 |
0.46 |
0.24 |
0.38 |
0.36 |
0.92 |
0.74 |
0.45 |
288H |
0.87 |
0.80 |
0.23 |
0.37 |
- 0.23 |
0.33 |
0.44 |
0.13 |
0.41 |
0.28 |
1.05 |
0.81 |
0.46 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.74 |
0.76 |
0.79 |
0.87 |
0.93 |
0.96 |
1.03 |
0.98 |
1.01 |
0.87 |
0.80 |
0.76 |
0.87 |
48H |
1.32 |
1.34 |
1.43 |
1.51 |
1.68 |
1.75 |
1.84 |
1.78 |
1.77 |
1.54 |
1.41 |
1.35 |
1.56 |
72H |
2.03 |
2.13 |
2.17 |
2.37 |
2.69 |
2.77 |
2.91 |
2.84 |
2.72 |
2.43 |
2.15 |
2.06 |
2.44 |
96H |
2.94 |
3.20 |
3.12 |
3.49 |
4.09 |
3.93 |
4.15 |
4.10 |
4.02 |
3.56 |
3.09 |
3.01 |
3.56 |
120H |
3.95 |
4.30 |
4.41 |
4.86 |
5.60 |
5.52 |
5.60 |
5.60 |
5.46 |
4.70 |
4.26 |
4.05 |
4.86 |
144H |
4.97 |
5.50 |
5.79 |
6.46 |
7.04 |
7.11 |
7.21 |
7.12 |
6.84 |
5.90 |
5.44 |
5.08 |
6.20 |
168H |
5.89 |
6.85 |
6.82 |
7.88 |
8.25 |
8.56 |
8.54 |
8.54 |
8.24 |
7.19 |
6.67 |
6.14 |
7.46 |
192H |
6.94 |
8.01 |
7.81 |
9.12 |
8.99 |
10.04 |
10.09 |
9.88 |
9.58 |
8.34 |
7.95 |
7.18 |
8.66 |
216H |
7.61 |
8.97 |
8.73 |
10.05 |
10.06 |
11.16 |
11.24 |
10.99 |
10.76 |
9.04 |
8.85 |
8.03 |
9.62 |
240H |
7.99 |
9.62 |
9.70 |
10.92 |
11.07 |
11.94 |
11.88 |
11.91 |
11.69 |
10.01 |
9.41 |
8.58 |
10.39 |
264H |
8.28 |
9.99 |
10.14 |
11.34 |
11.81 |
12.41 |
12.47 |
12.29 |
12.37 |
10.83 |
9.99 |
9.05 |
10.91 |
288H |
8.75 |
10.34 |
10.55 |
11.59 |
12.05 |
12.93 |
12.96 |
12.48 |
12.92 |
11.77 |
10.73 |
9.61 |
11.39 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
15.28 |
15.14 |
15.03 |
15.90 |
16.27 |
16.11 |
15.74 |
15.48 |
15.19 |
14.93 |
14.39 |
14.87 |
15.36 |
48H |
23.05 |
22.62 |
22.67 |
23.99 |
25.18 |
25.09 |
24.37 |
24.25 |
23.13 |
22.82 |
21.75 |
22.81 |
23.48 |
72H |
30.64 |
30.34 |
29.66 |
32.01 |
34.23 |
33.75 |
32.97 |
32.90 |
31.48 |
30.66 |
28.77 |
30.55 |
31.50 |
96H |
38.77 |
39.11 |
37.49 |
40.98 |
44.59 |
42.28 |
41.70 |
41.31 |
40.64 |
39.18 |
36.28 |
38.82 |
40.10 |
120H |
46.87 |
47.01 |
46.41 |
49.76 |
53.61 |
51.32 |
50.50 |
50.30 |
48.80 |
47.23 |
44.16 |
46.82 |
48.57 |
144H |
53.91 |
55.38 |
54.62 |
58.92 |
60.89 |
59.69 |
58.77 |
58.09 |
56.01 |
54.26 |
51.33 |
54.25 |
56.34 |
168H |
59.62 |
63.02 |
61.31 |
66.28 |
66.74 |
66.33 |
64.72 |
65.06 |
62.70 |
60.21 |
58.16 |
60.80 |
62.91 |
192H |
65.05 |
68.95 |
66.31 |
71.59 |
70.28 |
72.14 |
71.19 |
70.70 |
68.72 |
65.06 |
64.31 |
65.49 |
68.32 |
216H |
68.15 |
72.58 |
70.74 |
75.92 |
74.44 |
75.36 |
75.39 |
74.72 |
72.47 |
68.56 |
68.83 |
69.62 |
72.23 |
240H |
70.14 |
75.76 |
74.64 |
79.98 |
77.91 |
78.38 |
77.93 |
78.16 |
75.56 |
72.23 |
71.62 |
72.33 |
75.39 |
264H |
71.49 |
77.39 |
76.58 |
81.13 |
80.22 |
80.05 |
79.43 |
79.59 |
78.09 |
74.26 |
74.36 |
75.23 |
77.32 |
288H |
73.08 |
77.96 |
77.24 |
81.76 |
81.20 |
81.71 |
81.30 |
79.97 |
79.51 |
76.68 |
76.81 |
76.76 |
78.67 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.01 |
- 0.04 |
0.01 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.02 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
- 0.08 |
48H |
- 0.02 |
- 0.05 |
0.03 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
- 0.12 |
72H |
- 0.04 |
- 0.06 |
0.05 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.03 |
0.05 |
0.02 |
- 0.13 |
96H |
- 0.07 |
- 0.09 |
0.08 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.03 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
- 0.13 |
120H |
- 0.10 |
- 0.09 |
0.11 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.02 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
- 0.12 |
144H |
- 0.11 |
- 0.08 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.01 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
- 0.10 |
168H |
- 0.12 |
- 0.07 |
0.14 |
0.02 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.01 |
0.07 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.07 |
192H |
- 0.13 |
- 0.09 |
0.12 |
0.04 |
0.01 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.01 |
0.06 |
- 0.05 |
- 0.06 |
216H |
- 0.15 |
- 0.10 |
0.11 |
0.09 |
0.06 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.03 |
0.06 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.04 |
240H |
- 0.17 |
- 0.11 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
0.09 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.05 |
0.04 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.03 |
264H |
- 0.16 |
- 0.13 |
0.12 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.08 |
0.03 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.03 |
288H |
- 0.15 |
- 0.19 |
0.13 |
0.16 |
0.19 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.10 |
0.02 |
- 0.05 |
0.01 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.02 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.76 |
0.82 |
0.86 |
0.92 |
0.95 |
0.92 |
0.95 |
0.92 |
0.88 |
0.79 |
0.74 |
0.67 |
0.85 |
48H |
1.11 |
1.19 |
1.24 |
1.31 |
1.40 |
1.36 |
1.39 |
1.40 |
1.33 |
1.22 |
1.11 |
1.03 |
1.26 |
72H |
1.43 |
1.54 |
1.59 |
1.67 |
1.83 |
1.78 |
1.82 |
1.85 |
1.78 |
1.61 |
1.45 |
1.36 |
1.64 |
96H |
1.78 |
1.92 |
1.97 |
2.08 |
2.32 |
2.20 |
2.31 |
2.39 |
2.29 |
2.08 |
1.83 |
1.74 |
2.08 |
120H |
2.19 |
2.37 |
2.45 |
2.59 |
2.85 |
2.76 |
2.83 |
2.92 |
2.86 |
2.58 |
2.24 |
2.16 |
2.57 |
144H |
2.62 |
2.88 |
2.97 |
3.15 |
3.36 |
3.30 |
3.40 |
3.50 |
3.42 |
3.07 |
2.68 |
2.61 |
3.08 |
168H |
2.99 |
3.39 |
3.41 |
3.69 |
3.79 |
3.78 |
3.85 |
4.03 |
3.88 |
3.52 |
3.08 |
2.97 |
3.53 |
192H |
3.33 |
3.83 |
3.82 |
4.16 |
4.16 |
4.14 |
4.24 |
4.49 |
4.34 |
3.96 |
3.53 |
3.35 |
3.95 |
216H |
3.58 |
4.21 |
4.17 |
4.55 |
4.47 |
4.45 |
4.56 |
4.87 |
4.72 |
4.36 |
3.95 |
3.75 |
4.30 |
240H |
3.82 |
4.55 |
4.48 |
4.77 |
4.77 |
4.73 |
4.85 |
5.14 |
5.15 |
4.69 |
4.28 |
4.07 |
4.61 |
264H |
4.03 |
4.74 |
4.74 |
4.96 |
4.99 |
4.89 |
5.17 |
5.31 |
5.32 |
4.95 |
4.44 |
4.37 |
4.83 |
288H |
4.18 |
4.82 |
4.91 |
5.15 |
5.11 |
5.11 |
5.37 |
5.39 |
5.37 |
5.10 |
4.59 |
4.56 |
4.97 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
48H |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.94 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
72H |
0.92 |
0.91 |
0.92 |
0.91 |
0.90 |
0.90 |
0.91 |
0.91 |
0.91 |
0.92 |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.91 |
96H |
0.87 |
0.86 |
0.87 |
0.86 |
0.83 |
0.85 |
0.86 |
0.85 |
0.85 |
0.87 |
0.88 |
0.88 |
0.86 |
120H |
0.80 |
0.79 |
0.80 |
0.79 |
0.75 |
0.76 |
0.78 |
0.76 |
0.77 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
0.82 |
0.79 |
144H |
0.72 |
0.70 |
0.70 |
0.69 |
0.65 |
0.66 |
0.68 |
0.66 |
0.68 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
0.69 |
168H |
0.64 |
0.58 |
0.61 |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.55 |
0.59 |
0.55 |
0.58 |
0.64 |
0.65 |
0.66 |
0.60 |
192H |
0.56 |
0.45 |
0.51 |
0.47 |
0.47 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.48 |
0.55 |
0.54 |
0.56 |
0.50 |
216H |
0.50 |
0.36 |
0.42 |
0.36 |
0.40 |
0.38 |
0.41 |
0.36 |
0.39 |
0.45 |
0.44 |
0.44 |
0.41 |
240H |
0.43 |
0.25 |
0.34 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.30 |
0.33 |
0.28 |
0.29 |
0.37 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
264H |
0.36 |
0.19 |
0.26 |
0.25 |
0.24 |
0.27 |
0.24 |
0.24 |
0.24 |
0.30 |
0.29 |
0.25 |
0.26 |
288H |
0.30 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.19 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.26 |
0.23 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.50 |
0.21 |
0.08 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.08 |
0.48 |
0.66 |
0.88 |
0.86 |
0.17 |
48H |
1.09 |
0.77 |
0.40 |
0.03 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.51 |
0.16 |
1.05 |
1.39 |
1.59 |
1.71 |
0.62 |
72H |
1.29 |
0.79 |
0.48 |
0.07 |
0.23 |
0.06 |
- 0.59 |
0.30 |
1.06 |
1.76 |
2.04 |
2.38 |
0.82 |
96H |
1.56 |
0.41 |
0.58 |
0.13 |
0.26 |
0.27 |
- 0.58 |
0.82 |
1.06 |
2.00 |
2.83 |
3.11 |
1.04 |
120H |
2.50 |
0.41 |
0.99 |
0.87 |
1.14 |
0.68 |
0.11 |
1.82 |
1.74 |
2.74 |
3.88 |
4.18 |
1.76 |
144H |
3.42 |
0.33 |
1.64 |
1.77 |
1.87 |
1.93 |
0.65 |
2.80 |
2.41 |
3.18 |
4.38 |
4.84 |
2.44 |
168H |
4.39 |
0.92 |
2.25 |
2.93 |
2.44 |
3.11 |
1.08 |
3.39 |
2.54 |
3.39 |
4.98 |
5.37 |
3.07 |
192H |
5.42 |
1.83 |
3.21 |
3.91 |
3.06 |
4.06 |
1.84 |
3.78 |
3.06 |
4.38 |
6.42 |
6.24 |
3.93 |
216H |
6.64 |
3.38 |
3.87 |
4.45 |
4.33 |
5.17 |
2.87 |
4.06 |
3.81 |
4.89 |
7.78 |
6.95 |
4.85 |
240H |
7.12 |
4.34 |
4.32 |
5.43 |
4.61 |
5.92 |
3.03 |
4.42 |
5.19 |
4.66 |
8.22 |
7.08 |
5.36 |
264H |
7.20 |
4.39 |
4.70 |
6.21 |
4.51 |
6.69 |
3.21 |
4.14 |
6.41 |
3.95 |
8.90 |
7.06 |
5.62 |
288H |
7.58 |
4.18 |
4.75 |
7.13 |
4.66 |
8.13 |
3.32 |
3.76 |
7.69 |
3.76 |
9.75 |
6.82 |
5.96 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
6.53 |
6.80 |
7.10 |
7.56 |
7.93 |
8.31 |
8.72 |
8.54 |
8.53 |
7.63 |
7.26 |
6.62 |
7.63 |
48H |
12.39 |
13.17 |
13.74 |
14.46 |
15.63 |
16.20 |
16.82 |
16.55 |
16.10 |
14.69 |
13.80 |
12.89 |
14.70 |
72H |
19.99 |
22.26 |
21.56 |
23.47 |
25.95 |
26.66 |
27.27 |
27.44 |
25.82 |
23.67 |
22.00 |
20.61 |
23.89 |
96H |
30.03 |
33.64 |
32.04 |
35.47 |
40.35 |
38.99 |
40.14 |
40.86 |
39.36 |
35.14 |
31.90 |
30.71 |
35.72 |
120H |
40.38 |
47.18 |
45.88 |
50.59 |
56.05 |
55.44 |
55.80 |
56.29 |
54.79 |
48.13 |
43.53 |
42.23 |
49.69 |
144H |
51.36 |
62.76 |
61.37 |
68.80 |
72.11 |
72.66 |
73.56 |
73.48 |
69.54 |
62.23 |
56.44 |
54.95 |
64.94 |
168H |
62.49 |
79.24 |
74.28 |
86.13 |
85.83 |
88.42 |
88.24 |
89.33 |
84.98 |
76.35 |
69.77 |
66.68 |
79.31 |
192H |
73.18 |
93.53 |
87.11 |
102.16 |
96.53 |
102.96 |
104.12 |
104.31 |
99.42 |
90.70 |
85.10 |
78.86 |
93.17 |
216H |
81.57 |
105.83 |
98.89 |
113.49 |
109.32 |
116.58 |
117.02 |
117.65 |
113.70 |
98.52 |
97.93 |
90.47 |
105.08 |
240H |
87.88 |
115.18 |
110.31 |
121.81 |
120.70 |
126.32 |
126.15 |
128.65 |
123.55 |
109.67 |
105.81 |
99.05 |
114.59 |
264H |
93.18 |
118.91 |
119.37 |
127.67 |
132.06 |
133.51 |
134.07 |
133.74 |
130.60 |
119.12 |
112.03 |
106.19 |
121.70 |
288H |
97.96 |
122.10 |
124.22 |
132.02 |
135.51 |
141.61 |
141.17 |
137.77 |
136.58 |
128.87 |
117.95 |
111.80 |
127.30 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
48H |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
72H |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.98 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
96H |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.94 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.94 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.94 |
120H |
0.89 |
0.87 |
0.90 |
0.87 |
0.86 |
0.88 |
0.88 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
0.90 |
0.90 |
0.89 |
0.88 |
144H |
0.82 |
0.77 |
0.82 |
0.76 |
0.76 |
0.79 |
0.80 |
0.78 |
0.80 |
0.84 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
0.80 |
168H |
0.74 |
0.64 |
0.74 |
0.63 |
0.67 |
0.69 |
0.71 |
0.68 |
0.71 |
0.75 |
0.75 |
0.73 |
0.70 |
192H |
0.64 |
0.50 |
0.64 |
0.49 |
0.59 |
0.58 |
0.60 |
0.57 |
0.60 |
0.65 |
0.62 |
0.62 |
0.59 |
216H |
0.55 |
0.36 |
0.54 |
0.38 |
0.48 |
0.46 |
0.49 |
0.46 |
0.49 |
0.59 |
0.50 |
0.49 |
0.48 |
240H |
0.48 |
0.25 |
0.43 |
0.30 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
0.40 |
0.36 |
0.41 |
0.50 |
0.41 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
264H |
0.41 |
0.21 |
0.33 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.30 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.35 |
0.41 |
0.33 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
288H |
0.33 |
0.17 |
0.28 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.28 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.27 |
0.23 |
0.26 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.11 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.11 |
48H |
- 0.14 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.15 |
72H |
- 0.14 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.18 |
96H |
- 0.21 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.22 |
120H |
- 0.32 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.28 |
144H |
- 0.46 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.35 |
168H |
- 0.45 |
- 0.73 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.45 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.51 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.36 |
192H |
- 0.49 |
- 0.84 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.39 |
216H |
- 0.51 |
- 1.03 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.44 |
240H |
- 0.57 |
- 1.29 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.37 |
- 0.71 |
- 0.60 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.50 |
264H |
- 0.58 |
- 1.43 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.77 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.52 |
288H |
- 0.59 |
- 1.52 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.81 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.53 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
3.43 |
3.59 |
3.64 |
3.72 |
3.87 |
3.74 |
3.47 |
3.49 |
3.33 |
3.45 |
3.50 |
3.47 |
3.56 |
48H |
5.55 |
5.78 |
5.79 |
5.91 |
6.21 |
6.07 |
5.74 |
5.82 |
5.56 |
5.73 |
5.59 |
5.50 |
5.77 |
72H |
7.80 |
8.26 |
7.92 |
8.37 |
8.71 |
8.60 |
8.11 |
8.29 |
8.03 |
7.89 |
7.88 |
7.67 |
8.13 |
96H |
10.38 |
11.04 |
10.43 |
11.21 |
11.80 |
11.31 |
10.97 |
10.94 |
10.85 |
10.46 |
10.18 |
10.14 |
10.81 |
120H |
12.79 |
14.23 |
13.27 |
14.46 |
14.91 |
14.48 |
14.18 |
14.00 |
13.94 |
13.28 |
12.68 |
12.95 |
13.76 |
144H |
15.32 |
17.63 |
16.32 |
18.08 |
17.87 |
17.47 |
17.41 |
17.03 |
16.87 |
16.08 |
15.33 |
15.56 |
16.75 |
168H |
17.82 |
20.50 |
19.42 |
21.44 |
20.35 |
20.22 |
20.00 |
20.11 |
19.70 |
18.79 |
17.72 |
17.80 |
19.49 |
192H |
19.64 |
22.86 |
21.65 |
24.45 |
22.79 |
22.31 |
22.69 |
22.79 |
22.10 |
21.01 |
20.22 |
20.02 |
21.88 |
216H |
20.94 |
24.62 |
23.97 |
26.77 |
25.33 |
24.26 |
24.90 |
25.26 |
24.24 |
22.61 |
22.25 |
22.04 |
23.93 |
240H |
22.08 |
26.14 |
25.66 |
28.19 |
27.10 |
26.10 |
26.71 |
27.36 |
26.08 |
24.28 |
23.85 |
23.52 |
25.59 |
264H |
23.01 |
26.79 |
27.15 |
29.15 |
28.85 |
27.41 |
28.19 |
28.59 |
27.07 |
25.96 |
24.84 |
24.60 |
26.80 |
288H |
23.78 |
27.30 |
27.86 |
29.86 |
29.71 |
28.64 |
29.60 |
29.32 |
27.88 |
27.06 |
25.98 |
25.50 |
27.71 |
1.2 2018년 전지구예보시스템 관측검증
1.2.1 존데자료를 이용한 아시아 영역 관측검증
※ WMO- CBS 표준검증 기준에 따라 이전년도에 작성되었던 아시아 관측검증 850hPa 기온, 500hPa 지위고도 TREND 스코어는 본 본고서부터 제외됨
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.07 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.30 |
0.02 |
0.16 |
0.04 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.11 |
0.04 |
- 0.17 |
48H |
0.08 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.70 |
- 0.33 |
0.07 |
0.27 |
0.11 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.44 |
0.04 |
0.25 |
- 0.15 |
72H |
0.27 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.75 |
- 0.26 |
0.09 |
0.37 |
0.18 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.47 |
0.24 |
0.44 |
- 0.08 |
96H |
0.38 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.78 |
- 0.18 |
0.20 |
0.44 |
0.29 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.35 |
0.43 |
0.58 |
0.00 |
120H |
0.44 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.81 |
- 0.05 |
0.26 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.34 |
0.46 |
0.59 |
0.03 |
144H |
0.53 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.65 |
- 0.97 |
0.11 |
0.28 |
0.71 |
0.43 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.31 |
0.45 |
0.51 |
0.05 |
168H |
0.56 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.73 |
- 1.15 |
0.08 |
0.21 |
0.81 |
0.33 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.21 |
0.46 |
0.48 |
0.04 |
192H |
0.60 |
0.02 |
- 0.65 |
- 1.35 |
0.15 |
0.26 |
0.70 |
0.36 |
0.04 |
- 0.29 |
0.37 |
0.49 |
0.05 |
216H |
0.36 |
0.27 |
- 0.46 |
- 1.26 |
0.44 |
0.18 |
0.81 |
0.47 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.20 |
0.45 |
0.46 |
0.12 |
240H |
0.53 |
0.27 |
- 0.86 |
- 1.21 |
0.53 |
0.23 |
0.71 |
0.52 |
0.06 |
- 0.03 |
0.61 |
0.60 |
0.16 |
264H |
0.87 |
0.12 |
- 1.33 |
- 1.28 |
0.46 |
0.25 |
0.79 |
0.58 |
0.04 |
- 0.06 |
0.63 |
0.70 |
0.15 |
288H |
1.16 |
0.01 |
- 1.03 |
- 1.25 |
0.29 |
0.20 |
0.91 |
0.47 |
0.17 |
- 0.04 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.21 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
1.81 |
1.63 |
1.31 |
1.40 |
1.39 |
1.29 |
1.26 |
1.25 |
1.19 |
1.26 |
1.37 |
1.55 |
1.39 |
48H |
2.05 |
1.93 |
1.63 |
1.74 |
1.69 |
1.61 |
1.52 |
1.45 |
1.44 |
1.46 |
1.59 |
1.77 |
1.66 |
72H |
2.34 |
2.18 |
1.91 |
2.13 |
2.10 |
1.87 |
1.82 |
1.67 |
1.63 |
1.73 |
1.74 |
1.95 |
1.92 |
96H |
2.59 |
2.42 |
2.21 |
2.57 |
2.61 |
2.26 |
2.10 |
1.98 |
1.93 |
1.93 |
2.02 |
2.17 |
2.23 |
120H |
3.11 |
2.82 |
2.62 |
3.27 |
3.23 |
2.69 |
2.47 |
2.33 |
2.29 |
2.26 |
2.41 |
2.59 |
2.67 |
144H |
3.52 |
3.40 |
2.96 |
3.81 |
4.00 |
2.99 |
2.88 |
2.50 |
2.73 |
2.57 |
2.92 |
3.17 |
3.12 |
168H |
3.87 |
4.06 |
3.46 |
4.57 |
4.63 |
3.50 |
3.16 |
2.82 |
3.13 |
2.97 |
3.65 |
3.70 |
3.63 |
192H |
4.17 |
4.47 |
3.95 |
4.95 |
5.13 |
4.11 |
3.37 |
3.17 |
3.41 |
3.47 |
4.12 |
4.26 |
4.05 |
216H |
4.56 |
4.76 |
4.21 |
5.58 |
5.54 |
4.47 |
3.52 |
3.37 |
3.78 |
4.00 |
4.90 |
4.76 |
4.45 |
240H |
5.03 |
5.37 |
4.57 |
5.99 |
5.88 |
4.48 |
3.65 |
3.63 |
4.01 |
4.16 |
5.50 |
5.22 |
4.79 |
264H |
5.45 |
5.63 |
5.05 |
6.14 |
5.83 |
4.77 |
3.66 |
3.77 |
4.34 |
4.54 |
5.83 |
5.36 |
5.03 |
288H |
5.48 |
5.98 |
5.12 |
6.14 |
6.14 |
4.90 |
3.71 |
3.88 |
4.59 |
5.02 |
6.28 |
5.35 |
5.22 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.43 |
- 1.49 |
- 0.98 |
- 1.95 |
- 1.10 |
- 0.96 |
- 0.81 |
- 2.03 |
- 2.48 |
- 0.97 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.65 |
- 1.08 |
48H |
- 0.52 |
- 1.89 |
- 0.30 |
- 2.05 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.90 |
- 2.64 |
- 1.36 |
0.77 |
2.29 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.64 |
72H |
0.92 |
- 2.02 |
1.96 |
- 1.69 |
0.84 |
0.74 |
- 0.03 |
- 1.27 |
0.41 |
2.20 |
5.82 |
1.19 |
0.76 |
96H |
- 0.55 |
- 1.44 |
4.08 |
- 1.08 |
0.97 |
0.27 |
- 0.47 |
- 1.08 |
0.19 |
2.04 |
7.55 |
0.92 |
0.95 |
120H |
- 1.90 |
- 0.72 |
5.55 |
- 1.69 |
1.31 |
0.53 |
- 1.60 |
- 2.43 |
- 0.33 |
0.59 |
9.27 |
- 0.60 |
0.66 |
144H |
- 2.65 |
- 2.65 |
6.88 |
- 3.34 |
0.86 |
1.15 |
- 0.60 |
- 2.96 |
0.13 |
1.34 |
9.34 |
- 3.54 |
0.33 |
168H |
0.74 |
- 1.92 |
5.98 |
- 2.22 |
- 0.55 |
1.76 |
- 0.37 |
- 2.93 |
2.18 |
2.51 |
9.77 |
- 3.78 |
0.93 |
192H |
2.38 |
- 1.05 |
10.38 |
- 4.92 |
- 1.04 |
3.30 |
- 1.52 |
- 5.63 |
3.20 |
1.98 |
7.34 |
- 8.12 |
0.52 |
216H |
0.95 |
1.82 |
13.75 |
- 7.37 |
1.77 |
3.65 |
- 1.67 |
- 6.74 |
1.92 |
2.36 |
8.76 |
- 11.84 |
0.61 |
240H |
0.73 |
5.64 |
8.76 |
- 8.87 |
1.66 |
3.13 |
- 1.41 |
- 7.85 |
1.08 |
5.75 |
16.14 |
- 11.60 |
1.09 |
264H |
3.56 |
9.26 |
4.26 |
- 12.64 |
- 0.95 |
0.43 |
- 2.24 |
- 7.22 |
2.23 |
9.85 |
20.75 |
- 9.41 |
1.49 |
288H |
8.67 |
12.33 |
5.02 |
- 13.75 |
- 0.84 |
- 3.42 |
- 2.61 |
- 6.45 |
1.92 |
10.94 |
20.55 |
- 7.12 |
2.10 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
13.04 |
10.90 |
11.08 |
11.80 |
12.14 |
13.02 |
13.44 |
12.78 |
11.98 |
11.71 |
11.93 |
12.12 |
12.16 |
48H |
15.65 |
13.22 |
14.23 |
15.08 |
15.50 |
15.27 |
15.85 |
15.24 |
14.48 |
13.98 |
14.96 |
14.48 |
14.83 |
72H |
19.67 |
17.30 |
20.25 |
19.61 |
20.68 |
19.27 |
20.09 |
19.35 |
17.91 |
18.14 |
20.62 |
18.14 |
19.25 |
96H |
25.64 |
23.12 |
28.34 |
27.16 |
28.17 |
24.25 |
24.47 |
24.72 |
22.77 |
23.92 |
28.53 |
23.37 |
25.37 |
120H |
35.07 |
31.43 |
38.84 |
35.72 |
39.47 |
31.03 |
30.65 |
30.28 |
29.40 |
31.08 |
39.53 |
31.64 |
33.68 |
144H |
45.57 |
43.04 |
51.48 |
44.23 |
51.12 |
39.56 |
37.70 |
35.63 |
41.39 |
38.50 |
47.47 |
44.05 |
43.31 |
168H |
56.66 |
53.46 |
62.24 |
55.24 |
61.49 |
48.15 |
43.44 |
39.64 |
50.49 |
47.83 |
56.02 |
52.02 |
52.22 |
192H |
68.54 |
62.13 |
75.50 |
62.65 |
71.74 |
50.32 |
48.12 |
46.90 |
56.15 |
55.94 |
65.30 |
61.74 |
60.42 |
216H |
77.39 |
74.04 |
85.94 |
67.57 |
79.65 |
54.21 |
51.91 |
50.44 |
62.02 |
64.68 |
70.52 |
67.59 |
67.17 |
240H |
85.34 |
77.72 |
91.72 |
76.21 |
84.96 |
59.83 |
55.66 |
53.95 |
66.29 |
74.15 |
79.33 |
78.19 |
73.61 |
264H |
91.98 |
80.90 |
94.26 |
82.96 |
87.52 |
67.49 |
55.96 |
58.70 |
73.73 |
83.16 |
89.33 |
89.71 |
79.64 |
288H |
99.26 |
85.15 |
99.63 |
84.48 |
87.41 |
69.98 |
59.02 |
57.70 |
77.26 |
92.74 |
99.41 |
99.19 |
84.27 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
- 0.86 |
- 0.90 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.70 |
- 0.83 |
- 0.53 |
48H |
- 1.00 |
- 1.07 |
- 0.93 |
- 0.63 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.45 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.56 |
- 1.01 |
- 0.95 |
- 0.68 |
72H |
- 1.01 |
- 0.94 |
- 1.10 |
- 0.73 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.62 |
- 1.06 |
- 0.88 |
- 0.72 |
96H |
- 1.10 |
- 1.04 |
- 1.49 |
- 0.88 |
- 0.66 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.51 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.60 |
- 1.12 |
- 1.08 |
- 0.81 |
120H |
- 1.17 |
- 1.03 |
- 1.58 |
- 0.79 |
- 0.87 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.60 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.65 |
- 0.56 |
- 1.14 |
- 1.02 |
- 0.83 |
144H |
- 1.34 |
- 0.94 |
- 1.53 |
- 0.80 |
- 1.06 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.85 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.85 |
- 0.90 |
- 0.92 |
- 0.88 |
168H |
- 1.45 |
- 0.98 |
- 1.71 |
- 1.03 |
- 0.81 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.90 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.65 |
- 0.87 |
- 1.00 |
- 1.02 |
- 0.92 |
192H |
- 1.77 |
- 1.41 |
- 1.41 |
- 0.92 |
- 1.24 |
- 0.70 |
- 0.90 |
0.27 |
- 0.75 |
- 0.65 |
- 1.05 |
- 0.74 |
- 0.94 |
216H |
- 2.08 |
- 1.87 |
- 1.23 |
- 0.75 |
- 1.13 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.80 |
0.34 |
- 0.96 |
- 0.60 |
- 1.15 |
- 0.85 |
- 0.96 |
240H |
- 2.06 |
- 2.27 |
- 0.97 |
- 0.18 |
- 1.36 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.74 |
0.41 |
- 1.11 |
- 0.91 |
- 1.04 |
- 1.24 |
- 0.97 |
264H |
- 2.28 |
- 2.52 |
- 0.95 |
0.34 |
- 1.03 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.66 |
0.56 |
- 1.53 |
- 1.21 |
- 1.44 |
- 1.51 |
- 1.02 |
288H |
- 2.39 |
- 2.64 |
- 1.47 |
0.54 |
- 1.26 |
0.44 |
- 0.88 |
0.62 |
- 1.79 |
- 1.25 |
- 1.21 |
- 1.87 |
- 1.10 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
4.70 |
5.07 |
5.67 |
5.58 |
5.90 |
6.13 |
5.65 |
5.08 |
4.83 |
4.81 |
4.66 |
4.59 |
5.22 |
48H |
5.50 |
5.94 |
7.27 |
7.20 |
7.77 |
8.09 |
7.48 |
6.81 |
6.21 |
6.04 |
5.90 |
5.40 |
6.64 |
72H |
6.47 |
7.06 |
8.85 |
8.62 |
9.53 |
9.75 |
9.35 |
8.78 |
7.64 |
7.38 |
7.57 |
6.62 |
8.13 |
96H |
7.72 |
8.13 |
10.52 |
10.39 |
11.48 |
11.62 |
11.32 |
10.77 |
9.31 |
9.34 |
9.51 |
8.24 |
9.86 |
120H |
9.35 |
9.71 |
12.76 |
12.22 |
14.57 |
13.47 |
13.16 |
12.68 |
11.22 |
11.64 |
12.31 |
9.67 |
11.90 |
144H |
11.60 |
11.67 |
15.04 |
14.75 |
16.74 |
15.44 |
14.86 |
13.92 |
13.42 |
13.51 |
14.17 |
11.68 |
13.90 |
168H |
13.38 |
13.45 |
17.31 |
16.95 |
18.80 |
17.56 |
16.22 |
15.46 |
15.62 |
14.91 |
15.84 |
13.36 |
15.74 |
192H |
15.76 |
15.50 |
19.27 |
18.89 |
20.45 |
18.70 |
17.43 |
16.92 |
17.08 |
16.88 |
17.13 |
15.53 |
17.46 |
216H |
18.64 |
17.40 |
20.66 |
19.99 |
22.18 |
19.30 |
18.37 |
17.73 |
18.58 |
19.23 |
18.31 |
17.15 |
18.96 |
240H |
19.80 |
18.79 |
21.60 |
21.31 |
23.98 |
20.40 |
18.66 |
18.83 |
19.65 |
21.00 |
19.40 |
18.18 |
20.13 |
264H |
19.83 |
20.02 |
22.27 |
22.75 |
24.79 |
22.70 |
18.93 |
19.68 |
21.66 |
21.95 |
21.19 |
20.62 |
21.37 |
288H |
20.64 |
20.90 |
23.28 |
23.87 |
25.72 |
22.86 |
19.08 |
20.25 |
22.17 |
23.09 |
22.55 |
21.93 |
22.20 |
1.2.2 강수검증 (한반도 76개 ASOS 지점 관측자료)
Threshold = 0.1 mm |
Threshold = 5 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.57 |
0.49 |
0.49 |
0.48 |
0.48 |
0.49 |
0.5 |
Jan. |
0.5 |
0.32 |
0.38 |
0.23 |
0.48 |
0.34 |
0.37 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.56 |
0.51 |
0.46 |
0.45 |
0.41 |
0.44 |
0.47 |
Feb. |
0.78 |
0.73 |
0.64 |
0.68 |
0.64 |
0.59 |
0.67 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.72 |
0.68 |
0.62 |
0.58 |
0.52 |
0.53 |
0.6 |
Mar. |
0.7 |
0.65 |
0.62 |
0.53 |
0.52 |
0.44 |
0.57 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.67 |
0.68 |
0.64 |
0.62 |
0.62 |
0.58 |
0.63 |
Apr. |
0.74 |
0.74 |
0.63 |
0.6 |
0.57 |
0.64 |
0.65 |
||||||
May. |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.24 |
0.22 |
0.2 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
May. |
0.09 |
0.1 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.54 |
0.51 |
0.5 |
0.46 |
0.45 |
0.44 |
0.48 |
Jun. |
0.56 |
0.48 |
0.44 |
0.44 |
0.42 |
0.39 |
0.45 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.5 |
0.47 |
0.47 |
0.4 |
0.41 |
0.4 |
0.44 |
Jul. |
0.49 |
0.47 |
0.42 |
0.35 |
0.33 |
0.25 |
0.38 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.5 |
0.47 |
0.46 |
0.45 |
0.44 |
0.42 |
0.46 |
Aug. |
0.54 |
0.43 |
0.44 |
0.4 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.42 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.57 |
0.55 |
0.51 |
0.51 |
0.48 |
0.45 |
0.51 |
Sep. |
0.61 |
0.56 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.4 |
0.36 |
0.47 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.66 |
0.65 |
0.62 |
0.61 |
0.59 |
0.56 |
0.61 |
Oct. |
0.78 |
0.76 |
0.66 |
0.68 |
0.68 |
0.67 |
0.7 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.69 |
0.62 |
0.54 |
0.47 |
0.46 |
0.42 |
0.53 |
Nov. |
0.55 |
0.51 |
0.49 |
0.42 |
0.47 |
0.44 |
0.48 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.6 |
0.54 |
0.51 |
0.42 |
0.44 |
0.44 |
0.49 |
Dec. |
0.52 |
0.39 |
0.55 |
0.34 |
0.41 |
0.44 |
0.44 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.53 |
0.51 |
0.49 |
0.46 |
0.44 |
0.43 |
0.48 |
TOTAL |
0.51 |
0.48 |
0.43 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.37 |
0.43 |
||||||
Threshold = 15 mm |
Threshold = 25 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.62 |
0.7 |
0.52 |
0.48 |
0.16 |
0.06 |
0.39 |
Jan. |
0.22 |
0.25 |
0.07 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
0.12 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.82 |
0.8 |
0.79 |
0.68 |
0.69 |
0.68 |
0.74 |
Feb. |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.54 |
0.47 |
0.52 |
0.53 |
0.54 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.62 |
0.64 |
0.54 |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.22 |
0.44 |
Mar. |
0.47 |
0.47 |
0.44 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.1 |
0.31 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.58 |
0.46 |
0.54 |
0.45 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.45 |
Apr. |
0.4 |
0.27 |
0.35 |
0.18 |
0.24 |
0.28 |
0.28 |
||||||
May. |
0.09 |
0.07 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
May. |
0.08 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.51 |
0.47 |
0.37 |
0.43 |
0.37 |
0.33 |
0.41 |
Jun. |
0.48 |
0.47 |
0.41 |
0.4 |
0.32 |
0.3 |
0.39 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.27 |
0.28 |
0.19 |
0.13 |
0.26 |
Jul. |
0.3 |
0.28 |
0.23 |
0.21 |
0.14 |
0.1 |
0.21 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.43 |
0.31 |
0.35 |
0.32 |
0.3 |
0.24 |
0.32 |
Aug. |
0.36 |
0.23 |
0.27 |
0.26 |
0.2 |
0.17 |
0.25 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.49 |
0.37 |
0.28 |
0.24 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.3 |
Sep. |
0.29 |
0.34 |
0.15 |
0.25 |
0.15 |
0.08 |
0.21 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.76 |
0.75 |
0.66 |
0.63 |
0.49 |
0.58 |
0.64 |
Oct. |
0.68 |
0.68 |
0.66 |
0.55 |
0.32 |
0.48 |
0.56 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.74 |
0.8 |
0.79 |
0.78 |
0.73 |
0.7 |
0.76 |
Nov. |
0.38 |
0.4 |
0.51 |
0.45 |
0.5 |
0.31 |
0.43 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.24 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.07 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
Dec. |
0.33 |
0 |
0.14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.06 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.46 |
0.41 |
0.38 |
0.34 |
0.3 |
0.27 |
0.36 |
TOTAL |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.32 |
0.27 |
0.22 |
0.21 |
0.29 |
||||||
Threshold = 50 mm |
|||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||
Jan. |
0 |
0 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Feb. |
0.14 |
0 |
0.17 |
0 |
0.17 |
0 |
0.08 |
||||||||||||||
Mar. |
0.08 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.01 |
||||||||||||||
Apr. |
0.08 |
0 |
0.08 |
0 |
0.04 |
0.11 |
0.06 |
||||||||||||||
May. |
0.03 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.01 |
||||||||||||||
Jun. |
0.38 |
0.46 |
0.39 |
0.25 |
0.28 |
0.24 |
0.33 |
||||||||||||||
Jul. |
0.08 |
0.14 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
0.09 |
||||||||||||||
Aug. |
0.26 |
0.12 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
||||||||||||||
Sep. |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.09 |
0.13 |
0.06 |
0.02 |
0.13 |
||||||||||||||
Oct. |
0.55 |
0.51 |
0.45 |
0.43 |
0.17 |
0.35 |
0.41 |
||||||||||||||
Nov. |
0 |
0.2 |
0 |
0 |
0.2 |
0 |
0.07 |
||||||||||||||
Dec. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
0.27 |
0.25 |
0.23 |
0.19 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.21 |
Threshold = 0.1 mm |
Threshold = 5 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.5 |
0.41 |
0.42 |
0.41 |
0.41 |
0.41 |
0.42 |
Jan. |
0.49 |
0.31 |
0.37 |
0.22 |
0.47 |
0.33 |
0.36 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.51 |
0.46 |
0.41 |
0.39 |
0.35 |
0.38 |
0.41 |
Feb. |
0.78 |
0.72 |
0.64 |
0.68 |
0.63 |
0.58 |
0.67 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.64 |
0.6 |
0.53 |
0.48 |
0.41 |
0.42 |
0.51 |
Mar. |
0.67 |
0.62 |
0.59 |
0.49 |
0.48 |
0.4 |
0.54 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.59 |
0.59 |
0.54 |
0.51 |
0.52 |
0.47 |
0.54 |
Apr. |
0.71 |
0.7 |
0.59 |
0.56 |
0.52 |
0.6 |
0.61 |
||||||
May. |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.04 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.04 |
May. |
0.02 |
0.04 |
0 |
0 |
0.02 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.43 |
0.39 |
0.38 |
0.33 |
0.32 |
0.32 |
0.36 |
Jun. |
0.53 |
0.45 |
0.4 |
0.39 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.41 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0.28 |
0.29 |
0.28 |
0.32 |
Jul. |
0.45 |
0.44 |
0.38 |
0.31 |
0.29 |
0.21 |
0.35 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.32 |
0.28 |
0.27 |
0.27 |
0.25 |
0.23 |
0.27 |
Aug. |
0.47 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.3 |
0.27 |
0.34 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.44 |
0.42 |
0.38 |
0.37 |
0.33 |
0.29 |
0.37 |
Sep. |
0.57 |
0.53 |
0.42 |
0.42 |
0.35 |
0.31 |
0.43 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.6 |
0.59 |
0.55 |
0.54 |
0.51 |
0.48 |
0.54 |
Oct. |
0.76 |
0.74 |
0.64 |
0.66 |
0.65 |
0.64 |
0.68 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.64 |
0.57 |
0.48 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.36 |
0.47 |
Nov. |
0.53 |
0.5 |
0.47 |
0.4 |
0.46 |
0.43 |
0.46 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.53 |
0.47 |
0.44 |
0.33 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.41 |
Dec. |
0.51 |
0.38 |
0.54 |
0.33 |
0.4 |
0.43 |
0.43 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.43 |
0.4 |
0.38 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
0.32 |
0.37 |
TOTAL |
0.48 |
0.44 |
0.4 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.39 |
||||||
Threshold = 15 mm |
Threshold = 25 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.61 |
0.7 |
0.51 |
0.48 |
0.16 |
0.06 |
0.38 |
Jan. |
0.22 |
0.25 |
0.07 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
0.12 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.82 |
0.79 |
0.79 |
0.67 |
0.69 |
0.67 |
0.74 |
Feb. |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.54 |
0.46 |
0.52 |
0.53 |
0.53 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.61 |
0.63 |
0.52 |
0.34 |
0.31 |
0.2 |
0.42 |
Mar. |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.43 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.56 |
0.44 |
0.52 |
0.42 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0.43 |
Apr. |
0.39 |
0.27 |
0.34 |
0.17 |
0.22 |
0.27 |
0.27 |
||||||
May. |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
May. |
0.07 |
0.06 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.49 |
0.45 |
0.35 |
0.4 |
0.34 |
0.3 |
0.39 |
Jun. |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
0.3 |
0.28 |
0.38 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.34 |
0.31 |
0.25 |
0.27 |
0.17 |
0.11 |
0.24 |
Jul. |
0.28 |
0.27 |
0.22 |
0.2 |
0.13 |
0.09 |
0.2 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.39 |
0.27 |
0.31 |
0.28 |
0.26 |
0.2 |
0.28 |
Aug. |
0.33 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.23 |
0.18 |
0.15 |
0.22 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.47 |
0.35 |
0.26 |
0.23 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.28 |
Sep. |
0.28 |
0.33 |
0.15 |
0.24 |
0.14 |
0.07 |
0.2 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.75 |
0.74 |
0.64 |
0.61 |
0.47 |
0.57 |
0.63 |
Oct. |
0.68 |
0.67 |
0.65 |
0.54 |
0.31 |
0.47 |
0.55 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.74 |
0.8 |
0.79 |
0.77 |
0.73 |
0.69 |
0.75 |
Nov. |
0.38 |
0.39 |
0.51 |
0.44 |
0.5 |
0.31 |
0.42 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.24 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.07 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
Dec. |
0.33 |
0 |
0.14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.06 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.44 |
0.4 |
0.36 |
0.32 |
0.28 |
0.25 |
0.34 |
TOTAL |
0.37 |
0.34 |
0.31 |
0.26 |
0.21 |
0.2 |
0.28 |
||||||
Threshold = 50 mm |
|||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||
Jan. |
0 |
0 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Feb. |
0.14 |
0 |
0.17 |
0 |
0.17 |
0 |
0.08 |
||||||||||||||
Mar. |
0.08 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.01 |
||||||||||||||
Apr. |
0.08 |
0 |
0.08 |
0 |
0.04 |
0.11 |
0.05 |
||||||||||||||
May. |
0.02 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Jun. |
0.37 |
0.45 |
0.38 |
0.25 |
0.27 |
0.24 |
0.32 |
||||||||||||||
Jul. |
0.08 |
0.13 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
0.09 |
||||||||||||||
Aug. |
0.25 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.14 |
||||||||||||||
Sep. |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.09 |
0.12 |
0.05 |
0.01 |
0.13 |
||||||||||||||
Oct. |
0.54 |
0.5 |
0.44 |
0.43 |
0.17 |
0.34 |
0.41 |
||||||||||||||
Nov. |
0 |
0.2 |
0 |
0 |
0.2 |
0 |
0.07 |
||||||||||||||
Dec. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
0.27 |
0.24 |
0.22 |
0.19 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.2 |
Threshold = 0.1 mm |
Threshold = 5 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
1.44 |
1.51 |
1.46 |
1.48 |
1.49 |
1.54 |
1.49 |
Jan. |
1.23 |
0.85 |
1.21 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.51 |
1.22 |
||||||
Feb. |
1.48 |
1.55 |
1.61 |
1.75 |
1.96 |
1.76 |
1.69 |
Feb. |
0.99 |
1.02 |
1.14 |
1.09 |
1.17 |
1.3 |
1.12 |
||||||
Mar. |
1.3 |
1.24 |
1.23 |
1.3 |
1.36 |
1.45 |
1.31 |
Mar. |
1.06 |
1.11 |
1.04 |
1.1 |
1.04 |
1.08 |
1.07 |
||||||
Apr. |
1.16 |
1.17 |
1.23 |
1.33 |
1.29 |
1.26 |
1.24 |
Apr. |
0.93 |
0.88 |
0.89 |
0.95 |
1.1 |
1.06 |
0.97 |
||||||
May. |
1.55 |
1.55 |
1.49 |
1.49 |
1.54 |
1.6 |
1.54 |
May. |
1.35 |
1.05 |
1.21 |
1.23 |
1.21 |
1.41 |
1.24 |
||||||
Jun. |
1.66 |
1.65 |
1.71 |
1.79 |
1.6 |
1.59 |
1.67 |
Jun. |
1.02 |
1.05 |
1.19 |
1.26 |
0.96 |
1.19 |
1.11 |
||||||
Jul. |
1.84 |
1.9 |
1.87 |
1.77 |
1.73 |
1.74 |
1.81 |
Jul. |
1.17 |
1.11 |
1.05 |
0.9 |
0.82 |
0.93 |
1 |
||||||
Aug. |
1.78 |
1.84 |
1.8 |
1.79 |
1.75 |
1.8 |
1.79 |
Aug. |
1.25 |
1.18 |
1.2 |
1.18 |
1.19 |
1.15 |
1.19 |
||||||
Sep. |
1.45 |
1.32 |
1.28 |
1.34 |
1.34 |
1.54 |
1.38 |
Sep. |
1.03 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.82 |
0.96 |
1.12 |
0.94 |
||||||
Oct. |
1.15 |
1.15 |
1.12 |
1.17 |
1.2 |
1.19 |
1.16 |
Oct. |
0.92 |
0.94 |
0.88 |
0.93 |
0.93 |
0.99 |
0.93 |
||||||
Nov. |
1.3 |
1.25 |
1.37 |
1.26 |
1.19 |
1.17 |
1.26 |
Nov. |
0.91 |
0.72 |
0.76 |
0.85 |
0.86 |
0.77 |
0.81 |
||||||
Dec. |
1.31 |
1.37 |
1.45 |
1.38 |
1.38 |
1.43 |
1.38 |
Dec. |
0.88 |
0.8 |
1.21 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.23 |
0.97 |
||||||
TOTAL |
1.47 |
1.47 |
1.47 |
1.49 |
1.48 |
1.52 |
1.48 |
TOTAL |
1.09 |
1.01 |
1.04 |
1.04 |
1.04 |
1.13 |
1.06 |
||||||
Threshold = 15 mm |
Threshold = 25 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
1.47 |
1 |
1.76 |
1.71 |
1.59 |
1.06 |
1.43 |
Jan. |
3.4 |
2 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
1.73 |
||||||
Feb. |
1 |
1.04 |
0.99 |
0.86 |
0.88 |
0.86 |
0.94 |
Feb. |
1.29 |
1.34 |
1.03 |
0.74 |
0.84 |
0.89 |
1.02 |
||||||
Mar. |
1.13 |
1.1 |
0.98 |
1.07 |
1.06 |
0.98 |
1.05 |
Mar. |
1.13 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.31 |
1.67 |
0.79 |
1.23 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.92 |
0.67 |
0.81 |
0.95 |
1.3 |
1.33 |
1 |
Apr. |
0.73 |
0.42 |
0.64 |
0.9 |
1.42 |
1.33 |
0.91 |
||||||
May. |
1.31 |
1.07 |
0.76 |
1.27 |
1.26 |
1.61 |
1.21 |
May. |
1.01 |
0.98 |
0.77 |
1.24 |
1.45 |
1.95 |
1.23 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.88 |
0.89 |
0.97 |
1 |
0.82 |
1.1 |
0.94 |
Jun. |
0.78 |
0.87 |
0.93 |
1 |
0.91 |
1.03 |
0.92 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.89 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
0.72 |
0.55 |
0.64 |
0.71 |
Jul. |
0.72 |
0.56 |
0.57 |
0.65 |
0.44 |
0.54 |
0.58 |
||||||
Aug. |
1 |
0.77 |
0.85 |
0.96 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
0.87 |
Aug. |
0.84 |
0.61 |
0.76 |
0.81 |
0.69 |
0.7 |
0.73 |
||||||
Sep. |
1.11 |
0.72 |
0.64 |
0.6 |
0.79 |
0.93 |
0.8 |
Sep. |
0.94 |
0.75 |
0.58 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.68 |
0.69 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.97 |
0.99 |
0.91 |
0.93 |
0.79 |
1.1 |
0.95 |
Oct. |
1.11 |
1.26 |
1.09 |
0.89 |
0.67 |
1.28 |
1.05 |
||||||
Nov. |
1.04 |
1.06 |
1 |
1.06 |
1.1 |
0.91 |
1.03 |
Nov. |
0.95 |
0.9 |
1.21 |
1.15 |
0.92 |
0.72 |
0.97 |
||||||
Dec. |
1.31 |
0.28 |
1.1 |
0.59 |
0.72 |
1.59 |
0.93 |
Dec. |
0.33 |
0 |
1.67 |
1.33 |
1.33 |
1.67 |
1.06 |
||||||
TOTAL |
1.03 |
0.86 |
0.86 |
0.95 |
0.93 |
1.05 |
0.95 |
TOTAL |
0.91 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.88 |
0.89 |
0.96 |
0.88 |
||||||
Threshold = 50 mm |
|||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||
Jan. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||||||||||
Feb. |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0 |
0.33 |
||||||||||||||
Mar. |
0.63 |
0.13 |
0.5 |
0.38 |
1 |
0.13 |
0.46 |
||||||||||||||
Apr. |
0.86 |
0.71 |
0.86 |
0.86 |
2.43 |
1.86 |
1.26 |
||||||||||||||
May. |
2 |
1.54 |
0.31 |
1.31 |
1.62 |
1.15 |
1.32 |
||||||||||||||
Jun. |
0.86 |
1.15 |
1.22 |
1.27 |
1.27 |
1.2 |
1.16 |
||||||||||||||
Jul. |
0.58 |
0.82 |
0.92 |
0.56 |
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.65 |
||||||||||||||
Aug. |
0.57 |
0.46 |
0.62 |
0.65 |
0.64 |
0.67 |
0.6 |
||||||||||||||
Sep. |
0.79 |
0.67 |
0.42 |
0.44 |
0.33 |
0.37 |
0.5 |
||||||||||||||
Oct. |
1.13 |
1.19 |
1.48 |
1.02 |
0.38 |
1.55 |
1.12 |
||||||||||||||
Nov. |
1 |
1 |
0.67 |
0.33 |
1 |
0.33 |
0.72 |
||||||||||||||
Dec. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0.5 |
||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
0.79 |
0.81 |
0.87 |
0.8 |
0.73 |
0.87 |
0.81 |
2 지역예보시스템
2.1 2018년 지역예보시스템 분석검증
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
- 0.21 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.05 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.14 |
24H |
- 0.31 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.25 |
36H |
- 0.36 |
- 0.50 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.45 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.30 |
48H |
- 0.39 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.37 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.35 |
60H |
- 0.40 |
- 0.60 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.58 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.37 |
72H |
- 0.40 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.58 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.37 |
84H |
- 0.42 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.37 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
1.08 |
1.09 |
1.07 |
0.96 |
0.91 |
0.85 |
0.82 |
0.79 |
0.77 |
0.84 |
0.93 |
0.97 |
0.92 |
24H |
1.40 |
1.39 |
1.34 |
1.23 |
1.14 |
1.04 |
1.04 |
0.96 |
0.93 |
1.01 |
1.15 |
1.24 |
1.15 |
36H |
1.67 |
1.65 |
1.57 |
1.45 |
1.34 |
1.22 |
1.20 |
1.15 |
1.08 |
1.19 |
1.37 |
1.46 |
1.36 |
48H |
1.84 |
1.81 |
1.75 |
1.63 |
1.53 |
1.37 |
1.34 |
1.28 |
1.20 |
1.32 |
1.49 |
1.57 |
1.51 |
60H |
1.99 |
1.99 |
1.92 |
1.79 |
1.70 |
1.51 |
1.47 |
1.42 |
1.32 |
1.47 |
1.63 |
1.70 |
1.66 |
72H |
2.10 |
2.10 |
2.06 |
1.94 |
1.85 |
1.63 |
1.59 |
1.54 |
1.40 |
1.61 |
1.74 |
1.81 |
1.78 |
84H |
2.21 |
2.22 |
2.22 |
2.07 |
2.04 |
1.78 |
1.71 |
1.66 |
1.47 |
1.76 |
1.87 |
1.92 |
1.91 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
50.90 |
52.23 |
55.07 |
56.84 |
59.56 |
62.73 |
62.74 |
63.77 |
60.98 |
59.51 |
54.91 |
50.61 |
57.49 |
24H |
58.08 |
59.46 |
62.86 |
65.44 |
68.96 |
72.28 |
73.56 |
74.14 |
70.42 |
68.10 |
63.02 |
57.98 |
66.19 |
36H |
60.73 |
61.71 |
65.80 |
68.41 |
72.07 |
75.44 |
76.95 |
77.68 |
73.46 |
70.93 |
65.78 |
60.26 |
69.10 |
48H |
62.30 |
63.14 |
67.59 |
70.39 |
74.01 |
77.65 |
78.97 |
79.87 |
75.33 |
72.58 |
67.43 |
61.54 |
70.90 |
60H |
63.35 |
64.43 |
69.12 |
72.01 |
75.76 |
78.94 |
80.33 |
81.26 |
76.86 |
73.91 |
68.82 |
62.56 |
72.28 |
72H |
64.17 |
65.61 |
70.47 |
73.55 |
77.14 |
80.22 |
81.72 |
82.35 |
77.94 |
74.95 |
69.99 |
63.61 |
73.48 |
84H |
65.03 |
66.58 |
71.82 |
74.80 |
78.25 |
81.35 |
82.77 |
83.30 |
78.80 |
76.12 |
71.40 |
64.56 |
74.57 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
- 3.41 |
- 3.66 |
- 0.81 |
- 1.89 |
- 1.95 |
- 2.42 |
- 2.55 |
- 3.68 |
- 3.24 |
- 2.43 |
- 1.19 |
- 2.57 |
- 2.48 |
24H |
- 4.67 |
- 5.09 |
- 0.98 |
- 1.43 |
- 1.69 |
- 2.86 |
- 3.57 |
- 5.39 |
- 4.49 |
- 3.81 |
- 1.53 |
- 3.51 |
- 3.25 |
36H |
- 5.69 |
- 6.03 |
- 0.48 |
- 1.21 |
- 1.68 |
- 3.51 |
- 4.38 |
- 5.81 |
- 4.34 |
- 3.76 |
- 1.03 |
- 3.77 |
- 3.47 |
48H |
- 6.87 |
- 6.60 |
- 0.67 |
- 1.37 |
- 1.18 |
- 3.47 |
- 4.14 |
- 5.47 |
- 3.76 |
- 4.10 |
- 0.27 |
- 4.29 |
- 3.51 |
60H |
- 6.73 |
- 5.89 |
0.19 |
- 0.94 |
- 1.31 |
- 4.17 |
- 4.19 |
- 5.07 |
- 3.38 |
- 4.25 |
1.19 |
- 3.75 |
- 3.19 |
72H |
- 6.22 |
- 5.49 |
1.61 |
0.49 |
- 0.49 |
- 3.60 |
- 3.83 |
- 3.54 |
- 3.05 |
- 5.24 |
2.77 |
- 2.93 |
- 2.46 |
84H |
- 8.02 |
- 6.47 |
2.72 |
1.02 |
- 0.27 |
- 3.60 |
- 4.38 |
- 2.87 |
- 3.79 |
- 7.81 |
2.64 |
- 3.78 |
- 2.88 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
6.35 |
6.26 |
4.83 |
4.99 |
4.83 |
5.03 |
5.09 |
5.74 |
5.62 |
5.09 |
4.42 |
5.66 |
5.33 |
24H |
9.45 |
8.80 |
7.11 |
6.72 |
6.51 |
7.13 |
7.86 |
9.03 |
8.68 |
8.09 |
6.52 |
8.33 |
7.85 |
36H |
12.41 |
11.02 |
9.39 |
8.89 |
8.66 |
9.56 |
10.67 |
11.65 |
11.32 |
10.84 |
8.61 |
10.21 |
10.27 |
48H |
14.87 |
12.78 |
11.46 |
10.78 |
10.83 |
11.74 |
13.15 |
14.14 |
13.71 |
13.89 |
10.75 |
11.81 |
12.49 |
60H |
16.89 |
14.48 |
14.01 |
12.82 |
13.34 |
14.34 |
16.02 |
16.37 |
15.89 |
16.56 |
12.55 |
13.33 |
14.72 |
72H |
18.75 |
16.25 |
16.76 |
15.24 |
15.79 |
16.73 |
18.73 |
18.38 |
18.29 |
19.31 |
14.79 |
14.70 |
16.98 |
84H |
21.03 |
18.56 |
18.95 |
17.40 |
18.89 |
19.29 |
21.37 |
20.99 |
20.80 |
23.40 |
17.44 |
16.51 |
19.55 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
17.58 |
17.08 |
20.57 |
23.27 |
27.47 |
34.03 |
36.69 |
35.61 |
27.21 |
23.21 |
19.39 |
17.20 |
24.94 |
24H |
20.75 |
20.02 |
24.02 |
26.97 |
31.73 |
38.84 |
42.51 |
41.53 |
32.12 |
27.52 |
22.65 |
20.14 |
29.07 |
36H |
22.68 |
21.46 |
25.89 |
28.88 |
33.99 |
41.58 |
46.12 |
45.08 |
35.29 |
30.43 |
24.56 |
21.72 |
31.47 |
48H |
24.03 |
22.48 |
27.43 |
30.58 |
35.95 |
43.95 |
49.27 |
48.15 |
37.83 |
32.84 |
26.17 |
22.70 |
33.45 |
60H |
25.06 |
23.65 |
28.97 |
32.01 |
38.01 |
46.09 |
52.53 |
50.77 |
40.05 |
34.83 |
27.35 |
23.80 |
35.26 |
72H |
26.10 |
24.70 |
30.74 |
33.62 |
39.93 |
48.38 |
55.38 |
53.34 |
42.12 |
36.50 |
28.59 |
24.71 |
37.01 |
84H |
27.12 |
25.75 |
32.41 |
35.00 |
41.71 |
50.45 |
57.89 |
56.22 |
43.84 |
38.35 |
30.19 |
25.68 |
38.72 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
- 0.27 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.14 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.10 |
0.03 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.10 |
24H |
- 0.19 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.06 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.08 |
0.15 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.04 |
- 0.07 |
36H |
- 0.19 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.15 |
0.22 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.14 |
48H |
- 0.20 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.25 |
0.23 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.19 |
60H |
- 0.22 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.38 |
0.23 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.23 |
72H |
- 0.18 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.58 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.74 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.50 |
0.25 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.05 |
- 0.27 |
84H |
- 0.21 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.71 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.82 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.55 |
0.24 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.32 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
3.73 |
3.63 |
3.78 |
3.68 |
3.78 |
3.86 |
3.73 |
3.63 |
3.65 |
3.48 |
3.35 |
3.34 |
3.64 |
24H |
5.08 |
4.87 |
5.25 |
5.09 |
5.35 |
5.46 |
5.26 |
5.22 |
5.19 |
4.95 |
4.72 |
4.34 |
5.06 |
36H |
5.85 |
5.67 |
6.30 |
6.06 |
6.40 |
6.65 |
6.36 |
6.38 |
6.23 |
6.00 |
5.71 |
4.99 |
6.05 |
48H |
6.26 |
6.23 |
7.09 |
6.85 |
7.32 |
7.56 |
7.31 |
7.27 |
7.09 |
6.93 |
6.51 |
5.52 |
6.83 |
60H |
6.63 |
6.65 |
7.86 |
7.68 |
8.27 |
8.35 |
8.12 |
8.13 |
7.88 |
7.77 |
7.15 |
5.98 |
7.54 |
72H |
7.06 |
7.25 |
8.75 |
8.44 |
9.05 |
9.12 |
8.88 |
8.84 |
8.58 |
8.61 |
7.79 |
6.44 |
8.24 |
84H |
7.48 |
7.83 |
9.57 |
9.18 |
10.09 |
9.87 |
9.62 |
9.64 |
9.25 |
9.43 |
8.45 |
6.98 |
8.95 |
2.2 2018년 지역예보시스템 분석검증
2.2.1 존데자료를 이용한 RDAPS영역 관측검증
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
- 0.25 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.20 |
24H |
- 0.32 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.29 |
36H |
- 0.32 |
- 0.50 |
- 0.55 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.34 |
48H |
- 0.33 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.38 |
60H |
- 0.34 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.40 |
72H |
- 0.35 |
- 0.67 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.70 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.39 |
84H |
- 0.40 |
- 0.76 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.76 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.57 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.41 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
1.47 |
1.41 |
1.50 |
1.41 |
1.31 |
1.21 |
1.24 |
1.18 |
1.15 |
1.16 |
1.26 |
1.39 |
1.31 |
24H |
1.63 |
1.57 |
1.67 |
1.56 |
1.41 |
1.27 |
1.30 |
1.25 |
1.22 |
1.24 |
1.33 |
1.49 |
1.41 |
36H |
1.78 |
1.74 |
1.83 |
1.73 |
1.56 |
1.42 |
1.43 |
1.41 |
1.32 |
1.39 |
1.49 |
1.62 |
1.56 |
48H |
1.93 |
1.87 |
1.99 |
1.87 |
1.72 |
1.53 |
1.51 |
1.54 |
1.41 |
1.51 |
1.59 |
1.73 |
1.68 |
60H |
2.07 |
2.01 |
2.12 |
2.06 |
1.86 |
1.64 |
1.62 |
1.67 |
1.53 |
1.65 |
1.71 |
1.83 |
1.81 |
72H |
2.18 |
2.14 |
2.26 |
2.14 |
1.98 |
1.81 |
1.70 |
1.76 |
1.61 |
1.75 |
1.82 |
1.94 |
1.93 |
84H |
2.32 |
2.26 |
2.43 |
2.28 |
2.18 |
1.96 |
1.79 |
1.89 |
1.68 |
1.88 |
1.91 |
2.00 |
2.05 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
- 2.33 |
- 3.76 |
- 0.76 |
- 1.90 |
- 1.14 |
- 1.26 |
- 1.67 |
- 3.33 |
- 2.74 |
- 3.75 |
- 1.90 |
- 2.51 |
- 2.25 |
24H |
- 3.36 |
- 4.77 |
- 0.53 |
- 1.24 |
- 0.76 |
- 1.44 |
- 2.70 |
- 5.50 |
- 3.97 |
- 4.90 |
- 2.02 |
- 3.34 |
- 2.88 |
36H |
- 4.33 |
- 5.68 |
0.24 |
- 0.90 |
- 0.60 |
- 2.10 |
- 3.81 |
- 6.32 |
- 3.74 |
- 4.71 |
- 1.33 |
- 3.33 |
- 3.05 |
48H |
- 5.71 |
- 6.50 |
0.29 |
- 0.75 |
0.26 |
- 2.26 |
- 3.82 |
- 6.10 |
- 3.20 |
- 5.11 |
- 0.35 |
- 3.79 |
- 3.09 |
60H |
- 5.89 |
- 6.54 |
0.93 |
- 0.07 |
0.51 |
- 3.02 |
- 4.26 |
- 5.81 |
- 2.86 |
- 5.63 |
1.19 |
- 3.19 |
- 2.89 |
72H |
- 5.61 |
- 6.50 |
2.14 |
1.25 |
1.38 |
- 2.78 |
- 4.22 |
- 4.58 |
- 2.56 |
- 6.81 |
2.73 |
- 2.64 |
- 2.35 |
84H |
- 7.60 |
- 7.43 |
3.25 |
1.81 |
1.79 |
- 3.15 |
- 4.99 |
- 4.02 |
- 3.29 |
- 9.59 |
2.54 |
- 3.67 |
- 2.86 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
11.81 |
10.84 |
9.51 |
10.09 |
10.25 |
11.18 |
13.38 |
10.99 |
10.79 |
11.03 |
11.76 |
11.88 |
11.12 |
24H |
13.70 |
12.27 |
10.81 |
10.95 |
11.18 |
12.03 |
14.41 |
13.06 |
12.04 |
12.66 |
12.61 |
13.14 |
12.40 |
36H |
15.81 |
13.89 |
12.45 |
12.49 |
12.37 |
13.52 |
15.87 |
14.84 |
13.41 |
14.06 |
13.70 |
14.42 |
13.90 |
48H |
17.32 |
15.27 |
14.37 |
13.95 |
14.17 |
15.27 |
17.21 |
16.51 |
14.74 |
16.32 |
15.06 |
15.39 |
15.46 |
60H |
19.21 |
16.94 |
16.56 |
15.73 |
15.89 |
17.42 |
19.32 |
18.34 |
16.54 |
18.80 |
16.42 |
16.57 |
17.31 |
72H |
20.71 |
18.61 |
18.62 |
17.63 |
17.94 |
19.58 |
21.46 |
19.86 |
18.69 |
21.60 |
18.35 |
17.55 |
19.22 |
84H |
22.92 |
20.54 |
20.63 |
19.25 |
20.79 |
21.94 |
23.39 |
22.25 |
20.83 |
25.58 |
20.55 |
19.06 |
21.48 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
- 1.43 |
- 1.22 |
- 0.76 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.93 |
- 0.61 |
24H |
- 1.36 |
- 1.10 |
- 0.80 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.78 |
- 0.82 |
- 0.60 |
36H |
- 1.34 |
- 1.22 |
- 1.05 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.46 |
- 1.01 |
- 0.83 |
- 0.73 |
48H |
- 1.37 |
- 1.22 |
- 1.29 |
- 0.81 |
- 0.76 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.37 |
- 0.49 |
- 1.15 |
- 0.92 |
- 0.82 |
60H |
- 1.33 |
- 1.04 |
- 1.41 |
- 1.02 |
- 0.87 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.60 |
- 0.52 |
- 1.21 |
- 0.89 |
- 0.87 |
72H |
- 1.24 |
- 0.98 |
- 1.52 |
- 1.00 |
- 1.01 |
- 0.50 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.54 |
- 1.32 |
- 0.80 |
- 0.88 |
84H |
- 1.27 |
- 0.92 |
- 1.71 |
- 1.12 |
- 1.23 |
- 0.63 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.74 |
- 0.54 |
- 1.30 |
- 0.77 |
- 0.93 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
12H |
5.49 |
5.31 |
5.24 |
4.99 |
5.19 |
5.15 |
4.95 |
4.71 |
4.80 |
4.77 |
4.81 |
4.86 |
5.02 |
24H |
6.14 |
5.84 |
6.08 |
5.78 |
6.09 |
6.07 |
5.66 |
5.48 |
5.59 |
5.53 |
5.45 |
5.20 |
5.74 |
36H |
6.64 |
6.40 |
6.93 |
6.61 |
6.96 |
7.10 |
6.49 |
6.41 |
6.27 |
6.25 |
6.19 |
5.56 |
6.49 |
48H |
6.99 |
6.79 |
7.68 |
7.41 |
7.83 |
7.85 |
7.24 |
7.19 |
6.91 |
7.10 |
6.86 |
6.08 |
7.16 |
60H |
7.35 |
7.25 |
8.57 |
8.16 |
8.64 |
8.70 |
7.98 |
7.92 |
7.55 |
7.90 |
7.43 |
6.48 |
7.83 |
72H |
7.71 |
7.86 |
9.35 |
8.90 |
9.21 |
9.48 |
8.69 |
8.63 |
8.09 |
8.55 |
8.03 |
6.95 |
8.45 |
84H |
8.12 |
8.44 |
10.01 |
9.66 |
10.28 |
10.29 |
9.49 |
9.44 |
8.78 |
9.38 |
8.69 |
7.54 |
9.18 |
2.2.2 강수검증 (한반도 76개 ASOS 지점 관측자료)
Threshold = 0.1 mm |
Threshold = 5 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.52 |
0.5 |
0.49 |
0.49 |
0.47 |
0.46 |
0.49 |
Jan. |
0.48 |
0.33 |
0.38 |
0.33 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.36 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.49 |
0.5 |
0.47 |
0.43 |
0.38 |
0.37 |
0.44 |
Feb. |
0.75 |
0.77 |
0.73 |
0.66 |
0.57 |
0.54 |
0.66 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.69 |
0.64 |
0.62 |
0.59 |
0.55 |
0.58 |
0.61 |
Mar. |
0.71 |
0.65 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.47 |
0.38 |
0.54 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.67 |
0.68 |
0.66 |
0.61 |
0.62 |
0.57 |
0.63 |
Apr. |
0.71 |
0.7 |
0.63 |
0.69 |
0.62 |
0.6 |
0.66 |
||||||
May. |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.22 |
0.2 |
0.19 |
0.21 |
May. |
0.09 |
0.1 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.06 |
0.09 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.55 |
0.52 |
0.52 |
0.5 |
0.47 |
0.43 |
0.5 |
Jun. |
0.54 |
0.51 |
0.46 |
0.4 |
0.34 |
0.32 |
0.42 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.5 |
0.46 |
0.47 |
0.45 |
0.4 |
0.41 |
0.45 |
Jul. |
0.53 |
0.42 |
0.35 |
0.39 |
0.29 |
0.32 |
0.38 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.51 |
0.49 |
0.46 |
0.43 |
0.41 |
0.39 |
0.45 |
Aug. |
0.53 |
0.44 |
0.32 |
0.27 |
0.23 |
0.2 |
0.33 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.58 |
0.54 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.46 |
0.51 |
Sep. |
0.55 |
0.4 |
0.31 |
0.23 |
0.36 |
0.28 |
0.36 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.66 |
0.66 |
0.61 |
0.6 |
0.57 |
0.51 |
0.6 |
Oct. |
0.72 |
0.71 |
0.71 |
0.6 |
0.55 |
0.48 |
0.62 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.64 |
0.61 |
0.57 |
0.51 |
0.45 |
0.43 |
0.53 |
Nov. |
0.52 |
0.46 |
0.41 |
0.41 |
0.45 |
0.38 |
0.44 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.59 |
0.54 |
0.5 |
0.46 |
0.47 |
0.4 |
0.49 |
Dec. |
0.63 |
0.37 |
0.23 |
0.14 |
0.36 |
0.54 |
0.37 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.53 |
0.51 |
0.49 |
0.47 |
0.44 |
0.42 |
0.47 |
TOTAL |
0.51 |
0.45 |
0.4 |
0.36 |
0.35 |
0.32 |
0.4 |
||||||
Threshold = 15 mm |
Threshold = 25 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.57 |
0.68 |
0.5 |
0.29 |
0.3 |
0.35 |
0.41 |
Jan. |
0.23 |
0.43 |
0.06 |
0 |
0.33 |
0.1 |
0.14 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.84 |
0.78 |
0.79 |
0.78 |
0.8 |
Feb. |
0.63 |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.52 |
0.53 |
0.52 |
0.55 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.63 |
0.56 |
0.43 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.27 |
0.42 |
Mar. |
0.44 |
0.36 |
0.35 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.2 |
0.29 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.59 |
0.53 |
0.53 |
0.52 |
0.42 |
0.35 |
0.48 |
Apr. |
0.31 |
0.28 |
0.31 |
0.34 |
0.3 |
0.25 |
0.3 |
||||||
May. |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
0.08 |
0.07 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
May. |
0.01 |
0.06 |
0.01 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.55 |
0.47 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.3 |
0.25 |
0.41 |
Jun. |
0.45 |
0.42 |
0.42 |
0.41 |
0.27 |
0.25 |
0.37 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.43 |
0.32 |
0.23 |
0.31 |
0.17 |
0.23 |
0.28 |
Jul. |
0.39 |
0.29 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.18 |
0.23 |
0.26 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.42 |
0.29 |
0.19 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.09 |
0.21 |
Aug. |
0.38 |
0.22 |
0.14 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.07 |
0.17 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.38 |
0.32 |
0.23 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.09 |
0.2 |
Sep. |
0.28 |
0.28 |
0.13 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.13 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.78 |
0.65 |
0.63 |
0.4 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
0.51 |
Oct. |
0.69 |
0.61 |
0.48 |
0.23 |
0.22 |
0.26 |
0.41 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.74 |
0.6 |
0.78 |
0.75 |
0.64 |
0.71 |
0.7 |
Nov. |
0.4 |
0.42 |
0.4 |
0.44 |
0.31 |
0.61 |
0.42 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.21 |
0.13 |
0.07 |
0.03 |
0.07 |
0.17 |
0.12 |
Dec. |
0.25 |
0.17 |
0.14 |
0 |
0 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.46 |
0.39 |
0.34 |
0.3 |
0.26 |
0.22 |
0.32 |
TOTAL |
0.38 |
0.33 |
0.26 |
0.22 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
0.25 |
||||||
Threshold = 50 mm |
|||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||
Jan. |
- |
0 |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Feb. |
0.43 |
0 |
0.1 |
0.29 |
0 |
0 |
0.12 |
||||||||||||||
Mar. |
0.36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.04 |
||||||||||||||
Apr. |
0.19 |
0.09 |
0 |
0 |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.06 |
||||||||||||||
May. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Jun. |
0.19 |
0.24 |
0.23 |
0.38 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.25 |
||||||||||||||
Jul. |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.04 |
0.02 |
0.08 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
||||||||||||||
Aug. |
0.21 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.09 |
||||||||||||||
Sep. |
0.32 |
0.26 |
0.02 |
0 |
0.04 |
0 |
0.11 |
||||||||||||||
Oct. |
0.63 |
0.6 |
0.39 |
0.1 |
0.06 |
0.22 |
0.31 |
||||||||||||||
Nov. |
0.2 |
0.67 |
0 |
0.33 |
0 |
0 |
0.17 |
||||||||||||||
Dec. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
0.26 |
0.21 |
0.14 |
0.11 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
Threshold = 0.1 mm |
Threshold = 5 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.44 |
0.42 |
0.41 |
0.4 |
0.39 |
0.37 |
0.4 |
Jan. |
0.47 |
0.32 |
0.38 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.3 |
0.35 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.42 |
0.37 |
0.32 |
0.3 |
0.38 |
Feb. |
0.75 |
0.77 |
0.73 |
0.65 |
0.56 |
0.52 |
0.65 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.6 |
0.55 |
0.53 |
0.49 |
0.45 |
0.48 |
0.52 |
Mar. |
0.69 |
0.62 |
0.56 |
0.46 |
0.42 |
0.33 |
0.51 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.58 |
0.59 |
0.56 |
0.51 |
0.51 |
0.47 |
0.54 |
Apr. |
0.67 |
0.67 |
0.59 |
0.65 |
0.57 |
0.55 |
0.62 |
||||||
May. |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
0.01 |
0.04 |
May. |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
0 |
0.02 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.43 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.3 |
0.38 |
Jun. |
0.5 |
0.47 |
0.41 |
0.35 |
0.29 |
0.28 |
0.38 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.39 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.28 |
0.29 |
0.33 |
Jul. |
0.49 |
0.38 |
0.31 |
0.36 |
0.25 |
0.28 |
0.34 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.34 |
0.31 |
0.28 |
0.25 |
0.22 |
0.2 |
0.27 |
Aug. |
0.47 |
0.38 |
0.26 |
0.21 |
0.17 |
0.14 |
0.27 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.45 |
0.41 |
0.37 |
0.38 |
0.37 |
0.32 |
0.38 |
Sep. |
0.52 |
0.37 |
0.28 |
0.19 |
0.32 |
0.24 |
0.32 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.59 |
0.6 |
0.55 |
0.53 |
0.49 |
0.42 |
0.53 |
Oct. |
0.7 |
0.69 |
0.69 |
0.58 |
0.52 |
0.44 |
0.6 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.59 |
0.55 |
0.5 |
0.45 |
0.38 |
0.36 |
0.47 |
Nov. |
0.5 |
0.44 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
0.43 |
0.37 |
0.42 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.53 |
0.47 |
0.42 |
0.38 |
0.39 |
0.32 |
0.41 |
Dec. |
0.62 |
0.35 |
0.21 |
0.13 |
0.35 |
0.53 |
0.36 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.42 |
0.4 |
0.38 |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.3 |
0.36 |
TOTAL |
0.48 |
0.42 |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.31 |
0.28 |
0.36 |
||||||
Threshold = 15 mm |
Threshold = 25 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.57 |
0.68 |
0.5 |
0.29 |
0.3 |
0.35 |
0.41 |
Jan. |
0.23 |
0.43 |
0.06 |
0 |
0.33 |
0.1 |
0.14 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.82 |
0.81 |
0.83 |
0.78 |
0.79 |
0.78 |
0.8 |
Feb. |
0.62 |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.51 |
0.53 |
0.52 |
0.55 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.62 |
0.54 |
0.42 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.25 |
0.4 |
Mar. |
0.44 |
0.36 |
0.34 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.19 |
0.28 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.57 |
0.51 |
0.51 |
0.5 |
0.39 |
0.32 |
0.45 |
Apr. |
0.3 |
0.27 |
0.3 |
0.32 |
0.28 |
0.24 |
0.28 |
||||||
May. |
0.04 |
0.02 |
0.01 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
May. |
0 |
0.05 |
0 |
0.03 |
0.01 |
0 |
0.01 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.53 |
0.45 |
0.44 |
0.44 |
0.28 |
0.22 |
0.39 |
Jun. |
0.44 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.26 |
0.24 |
0.35 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.41 |
0.3 |
0.21 |
0.29 |
0.16 |
0.21 |
0.26 |
Jul. |
0.37 |
0.29 |
0.2 |
0.23 |
0.17 |
0.22 |
0.25 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.39 |
0.26 |
0.16 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.07 |
0.18 |
Aug. |
0.36 |
0.21 |
0.13 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.06 |
0.15 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.36 |
0.31 |
0.21 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.07 |
0.19 |
Sep. |
0.27 |
0.27 |
0.13 |
0.04 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.12 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.77 |
0.64 |
0.61 |
0.38 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.49 |
Oct. |
0.68 |
0.59 |
0.46 |
0.22 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.39 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.74 |
0.6 |
0.78 |
0.75 |
0.64 |
0.71 |
0.7 |
Nov. |
0.4 |
0.42 |
0.39 |
0.43 |
0.31 |
0.61 |
0.42 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.21 |
0.12 |
0.07 |
0.03 |
0.07 |
0.16 |
0.12 |
Dec. |
0.25 |
0.17 |
0.14 |
0 |
0 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.45 |
0.37 |
0.33 |
0.29 |
0.24 |
0.21 |
0.31 |
TOTAL |
0.38 |
0.32 |
0.25 |
0.21 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
0.25 |
||||||
Threshold = 50 mm |
|||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||
Jan. |
- |
0 |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Feb. |
0.43 |
0 |
0.1 |
0.29 |
0 |
0 |
0.12 |
||||||||||||||
Mar. |
0.36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.04 |
||||||||||||||
Apr. |
0.19 |
0.09 |
0 |
0 |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.06 |
||||||||||||||
May. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Jun. |
0.19 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.38 |
0.21 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
||||||||||||||
Jul. |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.04 |
0.01 |
0.08 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
||||||||||||||
Aug. |
0.2 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.09 |
||||||||||||||
Sep. |
0.32 |
0.26 |
0.02 |
0 |
0.04 |
0 |
0.11 |
||||||||||||||
Oct. |
0.63 |
0.6 |
0.39 |
0.1 |
0.05 |
0.21 |
0.31 |
||||||||||||||
Nov. |
0.2 |
0.67 |
0 |
0.33 |
0 |
0 |
0.17 |
||||||||||||||
Dec. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
0.26 |
0.21 |
0.14 |
0.11 |
0.07 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
Threshold = 0.1 mm |
Threshold = 5 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
1.78 |
1.71 |
1.77 |
1.72 |
1.79 |
1.7 |
1.74 |
Jan. |
1.16 |
0.83 |
0.92 |
1.19 |
1.3 |
1 |
1.07 |
||||||
Feb. |
1.87 |
1.65 |
1.71 |
2.01 |
2.32 |
2.42 |
2 |
Feb. |
1.02 |
0.95 |
0.92 |
1.14 |
1.27 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
||||||
Mar. |
1.41 |
1.38 |
1.32 |
1.33 |
1.35 |
1.35 |
1.36 |
Mar. |
1.04 |
1.08 |
1.01 |
1.05 |
1.09 |
0.99 |
1.05 |
||||||
Apr. |
1.17 |
1.23 |
1.28 |
1.34 |
1.28 |
1.23 |
1.25 |
Apr. |
0.86 |
0.86 |
0.93 |
1.03 |
1.06 |
1.12 |
0.98 |
||||||
May. |
1.51 |
1.48 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.46 |
1.54 |
1.47 |
May. |
1.32 |
1.21 |
1.08 |
1.18 |
1.28 |
1.35 |
1.24 |
||||||
Jun. |
1.72 |
1.69 |
1.63 |
1.69 |
1.64 |
1.71 |
1.68 |
Jun. |
1.16 |
1.27 |
1.19 |
1.44 |
1.22 |
1.28 |
1.26 |
||||||
Jul. |
1.91 |
1.94 |
1.76 |
1.78 |
1.83 |
1.86 |
1.85 |
Jul. |
1.14 |
0.79 |
0.77 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
1.14 |
0.88 |
||||||
Aug. |
1.76 |
1.75 |
1.72 |
1.62 |
1.61 |
1.61 |
1.68 |
Aug. |
1 |
0.79 |
0.71 |
0.74 |
0.62 |
0.65 |
0.75 |
||||||
Sep. |
1.35 |
1.18 |
1.08 |
1.09 |
1.28 |
1.22 |
1.2 |
Sep. |
0.92 |
0.6 |
0.52 |
0.47 |
0.82 |
0.76 |
0.68 |
||||||
Oct. |
1.18 |
1.12 |
1.11 |
1.2 |
1.32 |
1.37 |
1.22 |
Oct. |
0.87 |
0.85 |
0.81 |
0.77 |
0.87 |
0.84 |
0.83 |
||||||
Nov. |
1.43 |
1.39 |
1.52 |
1.47 |
1.46 |
1.24 |
1.42 |
Nov. |
1.12 |
0.72 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.94 |
0.64 |
0.88 |
||||||
Dec. |
1.45 |
1.49 |
1.65 |
1.49 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.51 |
Dec. |
1.16 |
0.83 |
0.93 |
0.5 |
0.85 |
0.94 |
0.87 |
||||||
TOTAL |
1.53 |
1.49 |
1.47 |
1.48 |
1.52 |
1.52 |
1.5 |
TOTAL |
1.04 |
0.91 |
0.88 |
0.91 |
0.96 |
0.99 |
0.95 |
||||||
Threshold = 15 mm |
Threshold = 25 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
1.59 |
1.18 |
1.82 |
1.88 |
3.06 |
2.65 |
2.03 |
Jan. |
2.2 |
1 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
5.8 |
2.7 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.95 |
1.04 |
0.99 |
0.9 |
1.11 |
1.12 |
1.02 |
Feb. |
1.18 |
1.37 |
1.34 |
1.16 |
1.58 |
1.53 |
1.36 |
||||||
Mar. |
1.04 |
1.2 |
1.11 |
1.12 |
1.36 |
1.15 |
1.16 |
Mar. |
1.17 |
1.65 |
1.31 |
1.35 |
2.08 |
1.67 |
1.54 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.84 |
0.9 |
0.92 |
1.12 |
1.3 |
1.34 |
1.07 |
Apr. |
0.64 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
1.18 |
1.74 |
1.43 |
1.11 |
||||||
May. |
1.06 |
1.12 |
0.93 |
1.35 |
1.42 |
1.65 |
1.25 |
May. |
0.71 |
0.95 |
0.86 |
1.19 |
1.44 |
1.82 |
1.16 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.82 |
1.03 |
0.96 |
0.94 |
0.78 |
0.96 |
0.91 |
Jun. |
0.76 |
0.99 |
0.81 |
0.83 |
0.66 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.88 |
0.59 |
0.56 |
0.53 |
0.49 |
0.82 |
0.65 |
Jul. |
0.74 |
0.45 |
0.48 |
0.42 |
0.34 |
0.68 |
0.52 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.74 |
0.49 |
0.39 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.44 |
Aug. |
0.66 |
0.39 |
0.31 |
0.23 |
0.2 |
0.28 |
0.34 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.72 |
0.56 |
0.39 |
0.33 |
0.65 |
0.71 |
0.56 |
Sep. |
0.6 |
0.63 |
0.31 |
0.15 |
0.49 |
0.71 |
0.48 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.92 |
0.9 |
0.92 |
0.67 |
0.75 |
0.86 |
0.84 |
Oct. |
1.07 |
1.19 |
0.83 |
0.57 |
0.65 |
0.96 |
0.88 |
||||||
Nov. |
1.11 |
0.86 |
0.99 |
1.1 |
1.04 |
0.79 |
0.98 |
Nov. |
1.05 |
0.82 |
0.54 |
1.1 |
1.05 |
0.82 |
0.9 |
||||||
Dec. |
1.34 |
0.55 |
0.62 |
0.14 |
0.55 |
1.17 |
0.73 |
Dec. |
0.67 |
1.33 |
1.67 |
0.33 |
2 |
4 |
1.67 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.88 |
0.83 |
0.77 |
0.78 |
0.86 |
0.94 |
0.84 |
TOTAL |
0.79 |
0.81 |
0.66 |
0.66 |
0.79 |
0.92 |
0.77 |
||||||
Threshold = 50 mm |
|||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
12H |
24H |
36H |
48H |
60H |
72H |
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||
Jan. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||||||||||
Feb. |
1 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
||||||||||||||
Mar. |
0.88 |
0.88 |
0.88 |
1.13 |
2.38 |
1 |
1.19 |
||||||||||||||
Apr. |
1.71 |
2.43 |
1.43 |
2.86 |
5 |
2.71 |
2.69 |
||||||||||||||
May. |
0 |
0.69 |
0.08 |
0.69 |
0.85 |
2 |
0.72 |
||||||||||||||
Jun. |
0.42 |
0.77 |
0.64 |
0.85 |
0.66 |
0.93 |
0.71 |
||||||||||||||
Jul. |
0.54 |
0.54 |
0.46 |
0.3 |
0.32 |
0.66 |
0.47 |
||||||||||||||
Aug. |
0.43 |
0.24 |
0.16 |
0.12 |
0.09 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
||||||||||||||
Sep. |
0.53 |
0.58 |
0.12 |
0 |
0.28 |
0.05 |
0.26 |
||||||||||||||
Oct. |
1.02 |
1.16 |
0.61 |
0.55 |
0.75 |
0.92 |
0.83 |
||||||||||||||
Nov. |
1 |
0.67 |
0 |
0.33 |
0 |
1 |
0.5 |
||||||||||||||
Dec. |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0.67 |
||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
0.57 |
0.63 |
0.4 |
0.43 |
0.51 |
0.64 |
0.53 |
3 국지예보시스템
3.1 2018년 국지예보시스템 분석검증
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
0.04 |
- 0.02 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.10 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
- 0.03 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
12H |
- 0.23 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.03 |
0.01 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.18 |
18H |
- 0.22 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.17 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.25 |
24H |
- 0.11 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.01 |
0.05 |
0.01 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.18 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.12 |
30H |
- 0.22 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.38 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.13 |
- 0.04 |
0.15 |
0.04 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.17 |
36H |
- 0.22 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.41 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.10 |
0.11 |
- 0.08 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.16 |
- 0.23 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
0.44 |
0.40 |
0.43 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.37 |
0.43 |
0.49 |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.43 |
12H |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.81 |
0.77 |
0.64 |
0.62 |
0.55 |
0.62 |
0.66 |
0.81 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.73 |
18H |
0.88 |
0.82 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.83 |
0.78 |
0.68 |
0.77 |
0.82 |
1.02 |
1.09 |
0.99 |
0.89 |
24H |
0.92 |
0.89 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.84 |
0.78 |
0.69 |
0.76 |
0.80 |
0.95 |
1.04 |
1.02 |
0.88 |
30H |
1.14 |
1.17 |
1.09 |
1.10 |
1.01 |
0.91 |
0.78 |
0.85 |
0.92 |
1.07 |
1.16 |
1.17 |
1.03 |
36H |
1.20 |
1.22 |
1.19 |
1.22 |
1.13 |
0.96 |
0.84 |
0.89 |
0.97 |
1.14 |
1.18 |
1.14 |
1.09 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
- 4.17 |
- 3.24 |
- 1.84 |
- 1.84 |
- 0.89 |
- 1.25 |
- 0.37 |
- 0.71 |
- 2.23 |
- 3.59 |
- 5.10 |
- 7.34 |
- 2.71 |
12H |
- 8.29 |
- 7.41 |
- 4.08 |
- 3.55 |
- 1.99 |
- 2.05 |
- 1.98 |
- 2.65 |
- 3.48 |
- 6.80 |
- 8.07 |
- 10.65 |
- 5.08 |
18H |
- 10.73 |
- 10.56 |
- 6.68 |
- 6.64 |
- 5.08 |
- 4.75 |
- 4.75 |
- 5.35 |
- 7.50 |
- 11.37 |
- 11.19 |
- 11.26 |
- 7.99 |
24H |
- 7.92 |
- 8.11 |
- 5.48 |
- 5.47 |
- 4.21 |
- 3.54 |
- 4.47 |
- 4.45 |
- 5.31 |
- 9.79 |
- 8.49 |
- 10.12 |
- 6.45 |
30H |
- 12.57 |
- 10.73 |
- 5.12 |
- 4.70 |
- 3.47 |
- 4.11 |
- 3.61 |
- 4.17 |
- 3.83 |
- 8.67 |
- 10.37 |
- 14.15 |
- 7.12 |
36H |
- 10.33 |
- 9.56 |
- 2.12 |
- 3.54 |
- 4.12 |
- 4.22 |
- 4.94 |
- 5.92 |
- 4.28 |
- 7.09 |
- 7.25 |
- 12.25 |
- 6.30 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
4.84 |
4.19 |
3.15 |
3.21 |
2.94 |
2.93 |
2.28 |
2.65 |
3.69 |
6.27 |
8.49 |
9.26 |
4.49 |
12H |
8.89 |
8.43 |
5.34 |
5.22 |
4.36 |
4.16 |
3.54 |
4.58 |
5.51 |
11.23 |
13.34 |
13.58 |
7.35 |
18H |
11.71 |
11.65 |
8.74 |
8.16 |
7.21 |
6.66 |
6.62 |
7.52 |
9.18 |
15.53 |
16.41 |
14.58 |
10.33 |
24H |
9.52 |
9.55 |
8.08 |
7.80 |
6.57 |
6.40 |
6.77 |
7.56 |
7.88 |
14.76 |
15.10 |
14.10 |
9.51 |
30H |
15.20 |
12.70 |
8.70 |
8.18 |
7.33 |
7.79 |
7.11 |
8.73 |
7.67 |
14.47 |
16.99 |
17.99 |
11.07 |
36H |
14.20 |
12.63 |
7.43 |
8.80 |
8.96 |
8.86 |
8.13 |
9.82 |
8.12 |
13.63 |
15.42 |
16.47 |
11.04 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
- 0.14 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.29 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.11 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.14 |
0.19 |
1.39 |
2.30 |
1.23 |
0.31 |
12H |
- 0.59 |
- 0.28 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.26 |
0.29 |
1.65 |
2.76 |
1.50 |
0.32 |
18H |
- 0.43 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.27 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.58 |
0.32 |
1.73 |
2.49 |
1.41 |
0.31 |
24H |
- 0.37 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.21 |
0.09 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.68 |
0.25 |
1.55 |
2.59 |
1.33 |
0.29 |
30H |
- 0.57 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.47 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.31 |
- 0.77 |
0.35 |
1.51 |
2.68 |
1.58 |
0.23 |
36H |
- 0.81 |
- 0.89 |
- 0.32 |
- 0.49 |
0.02 |
- 0.23 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.68 |
0.37 |
1.44 |
2.58 |
1.16 |
0.15 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
1.04 |
1.22 |
1.44 |
1.42 |
1.53 |
1.89 |
1.51 |
1.70 |
1.89 |
3.94 |
5.72 |
3.88 |
2.26 |
12H |
2.09 |
2.03 |
2.34 |
2.20 |
2.41 |
3.19 |
2.62 |
2.86 |
2.89 |
5.80 |
7.60 |
4.98 |
3.42 |
18H |
3.28 |
3.16 |
3.46 |
3.49 |
3.71 |
4.51 |
3.56 |
3.71 |
4.10 |
6.42 |
7.70 |
5.47 |
4.38 |
24H |
3.75 |
3.46 |
4.05 |
3.91 |
4.09 |
4.62 |
3.83 |
3.97 |
4.33 |
6.63 |
7.97 |
5.76 |
4.70 |
30H |
4.67 |
4.21 |
4.93 |
4.69 |
5.41 |
5.77 |
4.72 |
4.64 |
4.93 |
7.05 |
8.16 |
6.26 |
5.45 |
36H |
5.17 |
4.56 |
5.09 |
4.80 |
5.77 |
6.21 |
5.28 |
5.11 |
5.28 |
7.29 |
8.45 |
6.40 |
5.78 |
3.2 2018년 국지예보시스템 관측검증
3.2.1 존데자료를 이용한 LDAPS 관측검증
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
- 0.19 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.17 |
0.21 |
0.01 |
0.28 |
0.08 |
- 0.06 |
- 0.19 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.05 |
12H |
- 0.47 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.53 |
0.09 |
- 0.10 |
0.18 |
- 0.03 |
- 0.20 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.22 |
- 0.25 |
18H |
- 0.50 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.45 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.02 |
- 0.25 |
0.13 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.26 |
- 0.54 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.15 |
- 0.32 |
24H |
- 0.36 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.44 |
0.09 |
- 0.12 |
0.29 |
0.00 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.18 |
30H |
- 0.47 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.42 |
- 0.53 |
0.08 |
- 0.17 |
0.36 |
0.02 |
- 0.09 |
- 0.43 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.25 |
36H |
- 0.46 |
- 0.72 |
- 0.39 |
- 0.60 |
- 0.12 |
- 0.24 |
0.35 |
- 0.05 |
- 0.10 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.29 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
1.24 |
1.04 |
1.15 |
1.22 |
1.13 |
1.00 |
1.03 |
1.00 |
0.88 |
1.07 |
1.18 |
1.33 |
1.11 |
12H |
1.32 |
1.28 |
1.29 |
1.45 |
1.19 |
1.07 |
1.00 |
1.07 |
0.98 |
1.22 |
1.28 |
1.40 |
1.21 |
18H |
1.37 |
1.26 |
1.38 |
1.46 |
1.24 |
1.13 |
1.06 |
1.06 |
1.06 |
1.36 |
1.35 |
1.35 |
1.26 |
24H |
1.34 |
1.30 |
1.28 |
1.49 |
1.22 |
1.08 |
1.09 |
0.99 |
1.01 |
1.24 |
1.20 |
1.30 |
1.21 |
30H |
1.54 |
1.50 |
1.38 |
1.64 |
1.35 |
1.15 |
1.12 |
1.08 |
1.05 |
1.30 |
1.23 |
1.36 |
1.31 |
36H |
1.51 |
1.58 |
1.46 |
1.69 |
1.34 |
1.17 |
1.17 |
1.09 |
1.10 |
1.37 |
1.32 |
1.34 |
1.35 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
- 8.10 |
- 4.35 |
- 1.66 |
- 0.75 |
2.29 |
2.66 |
- 2.16 |
- 3.66 |
- 5.45 |
- 6.69 |
- 10.86 |
- 10.87 |
- 4.13 |
12H |
- 12.29 |
- 8.76 |
- 4.14 |
- 2.43 |
1.02 |
1.73 |
- 3.87 |
- 5.58 |
- 6.51 |
- 8.99 |
- 12.76 |
- 13.57 |
- 6.35 |
18H |
- 14.86 |
- 11.93 |
- 6.99 |
- 5.80 |
- 2.17 |
- 0.89 |
- 6.65 |
- 8.35 |
- 10.54 |
- 13.36 |
- 15.67 |
- 14.00 |
- 9.27 |
24H |
- 11.92 |
- 9.51 |
- 5.61 |
- 4.48 |
- 1.45 |
0.42 |
- 6.16 |
- 7.48 |
- 8.32 |
- 11.59 |
- 12.91 |
- 12.72 |
- 7.64 |
30H |
- 16.52 |
- 12.18 |
- 5.21 |
- 3.96 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.22 |
- 5.62 |
- 7.16 |
- 6.71 |
- 10.50 |
- 14.65 |
- 16.87 |
- 8.35 |
36H |
- 14.19 |
- 10.78 |
- 1.97 |
- 2.74 |
- 1.25 |
- 0.22 |
- 6.77 |
- 8.99 |
- 7.07 |
- 8.86 |
- 11.36 |
- 15.28 |
- 7.46 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
13.90 |
12.05 |
10.29 |
10.48 |
12.47 |
14.69 |
9.79 |
11.34 |
12.66 |
12.74 |
17.13 |
14.34 |
12.66 |
12H |
16.70 |
14.33 |
11.00 |
10.81 |
12.46 |
14.84 |
10.60 |
12.24 |
13.47 |
13.81 |
17.46 |
16.35 |
13.67 |
18H |
18.74 |
16.60 |
13.10 |
12.31 |
13.23 |
15.09 |
12.66 |
14.33 |
15.93 |
17.58 |
20.24 |
17.07 |
15.57 |
24H |
16.83 |
15.05 |
12.68 |
12.35 |
12.77 |
14.95 |
12.39 |
13.76 |
14.82 |
16.19 |
17.88 |
16.13 |
14.65 |
30H |
21.66 |
17.78 |
13.18 |
12.74 |
13.18 |
15.32 |
12.71 |
14.21 |
14.32 |
15.59 |
19.60 |
20.25 |
15.88 |
36H |
20.25 |
17.39 |
12.07 |
13.02 |
13.90 |
15.76 |
13.47 |
15.75 |
14.58 |
14.79 |
17.22 |
19.00 |
15.60 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
- 1.28 |
- 0.94 |
- 0.94 |
- 0.63 |
- 1.24 |
- 0.90 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.65 |
- 0.87 |
- 0.75 |
- 0.73 |
- 0.87 |
- 0.84 |
12H |
- 1.71 |
- 0.99 |
- 1.05 |
- 0.62 |
- 1.13 |
- 0.92 |
- 0.35 |
- 0.73 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.76 |
- 0.45 |
- 0.63 |
- 0.83 |
18H |
- 1.58 |
- 1.01 |
- 0.99 |
- 0.74 |
- 0.88 |
- 0.76 |
- 0.30 |
- 1.15 |
- 0.79 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.78 |
- 0.74 |
- 0.86 |
24H |
- 1.51 |
- 1.14 |
- 0.94 |
- 0.69 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.86 |
- 0.33 |
- 1.19 |
- 0.82 |
- 0.91 |
- 0.73 |
- 0.89 |
- 0.88 |
30H |
- 1.75 |
- 1.30 |
- 0.97 |
- 0.91 |
- 0.88 |
- 0.72 |
- 0.33 |
- 1.30 |
- 0.73 |
- 1.04 |
- 0.71 |
- 0.52 |
- 0.93 |
36H |
- 2.12 |
- 1.66 |
- 0.65 |
- 0.83 |
- 0.77 |
- 0.82 |
- 0.65 |
- 1.17 |
- 0.69 |
- 1.05 |
- 0.89 |
- 0.85 |
- 1.01 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
5.88 |
5.48 |
4.70 |
4.88 |
5.39 |
5.42 |
4.67 |
4.73 |
4.74 |
5.20 |
5.35 |
5.59 |
5.17 |
12H |
6.26 |
5.66 |
4.89 |
4.84 |
5.24 |
5.54 |
4.91 |
4.97 |
4.86 |
4.75 |
4.68 |
5.61 |
5.18 |
18H |
6.52 |
6.01 |
5.44 |
5.51 |
5.74 |
5.76 |
5.26 |
5.42 |
5.37 |
5.33 |
4.79 |
5.72 |
5.57 |
24H |
6.72 |
6.17 |
5.71 |
5.74 |
5.79 |
6.00 |
5.26 |
5.51 |
5.50 |
5.48 |
4.89 |
5.88 |
5.72 |
30H |
7.02 |
6.61 |
6.35 |
6.28 |
6.67 |
6.27 |
5.85 |
5.94 |
6.18 |
6.11 |
5.67 |
6.39 |
6.28 |
36H |
7.43 |
6.97 |
6.54 |
6.33 |
6.88 |
6.84 |
6.18 |
6.09 |
5.99 |
6.36 |
6.13 |
6.57 |
6.53 |
3.2.2 지상관측 자료(AWS)를 이용한 국지예보시스템 관측검증
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
- 0.69 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.81 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.36 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.40 |
- 0.46 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.74 |
- 0.62 |
- 0.55 |
12H |
0.17 |
0.01 |
- 0.45 |
- 0.53 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.50 |
- 0.44 |
- 0.33 |
- 0.02 |
0.55 |
0.64 |
0.23 |
- 0.10 |
18H |
- 0.43 |
- 0.30 |
- 0.80 |
- 0.51 |
- 0.58 |
- 0.63 |
- 0.45 |
- 0.34 |
- 0.16 |
0.10 |
- 0.21 |
- 0.24 |
- 0.38 |
24H |
0.32 |
0.07 |
- 0.48 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.72 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.59 |
- 0.26 |
0.21 |
0.98 |
1.01 |
0.43 |
- 0.02 |
30H |
- 0.33 |
- 0.37 |
- 0.89 |
- 0.56 |
- 0.61 |
- 0.73 |
- 0.60 |
- 0.30 |
0.04 |
0.27 |
- 0.01 |
- 0.14 |
- 0.35 |
36H |
0.36 |
- 0.07 |
- 0.50 |
- 0.66 |
- 0.71 |
- 0.64 |
- 0.68 |
- 0.24 |
0.38 |
1.09 |
1.19 |
0.53 |
0.00 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
2.35 |
2.28 |
2.32 |
2.34 |
1.97 |
1.98 |
1.75 |
1.83 |
1.78 |
2.22 |
2.80 |
2.42 |
2.17 |
12H |
2.10 |
2.06 |
2.00 |
1.97 |
1.75 |
1.64 |
1.49 |
1.49 |
1.56 |
2.00 |
2.19 |
2.21 |
1.87 |
18H |
2.16 |
2.18 |
2.30 |
2.38 |
2.10 |
1.95 |
1.86 |
1.96 |
1.83 |
2.19 |
2.32 |
2.16 |
2.12 |
24H |
2.17 |
2.17 |
2.02 |
2.04 |
1.90 |
1.71 |
1.63 |
1.57 |
1.65 |
2.23 |
2.34 |
2.27 |
1.98 |
30H |
2.31 |
2.37 |
2.46 |
2.56 |
2.23 |
2.08 |
2.00 |
1.98 |
1.88 |
2.37 |
2.51 |
2.29 |
2.25 |
36H |
2.29 |
2.35 |
2.09 |
2.11 |
1.92 |
1.80 |
1.73 |
1.62 |
1.69 |
2.36 |
2.52 |
2.34 |
2.07 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
6.39 |
4.04 |
3.16 |
1.48 |
- 0.49 |
- 0.31 |
- 1.83 |
- 0.50 |
- 1.97 |
0.42 |
4.37 |
3.59 |
1.53 |
12H |
3.39 |
2.25 |
2.67 |
3.31 |
0.82 |
- 0.03 |
- 1.43 |
- 0.74 |
- 4.59 |
- 5.26 |
- 1.98 |
- 0.25 |
- 0.15 |
18H |
5.59 |
3.61 |
4.19 |
3.06 |
1.00 |
0.14 |
- 1.63 |
- 0.62 |
- 2.72 |
- 0.96 |
2.62 |
2.01 |
1.36 |
24H |
3.25 |
2.89 |
3.76 |
4.29 |
1.69 |
0.61 |
- 1.08 |
- 0.70 |
- 5.18 |
- 6.40 |
- 2.95 |
- 0.58 |
- 0.03 |
30H |
5.98 |
3.88 |
5.18 |
3.98 |
1.31 |
0.85 |
- 1.07 |
- 0.65 |
- 3.07 |
- 1.87 |
1.82 |
2.11 |
1.54 |
36H |
2.94 |
3.50 |
4.27 |
5.24 |
2.03 |
1.00 |
- 0.90 |
- 0.66 |
- 5.63 |
- 7.54 |
- 3.16 |
- 0.50 |
0.05 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
14.51 |
13.98 |
12.64 |
13.60 |
12.09 |
11.37 |
9.95 |
9.89 |
10.81 |
12.19 |
15.39 |
14.52 |
12.58 |
12H |
15.63 |
16.20 |
13.88 |
14.41 |
12.10 |
11.38 |
10.07 |
9.77 |
12.24 |
13.79 |
14.84 |
15.79 |
13.34 |
18H |
14.59 |
14.04 |
12.95 |
13.56 |
11.95 |
11.00 |
10.43 |
10.55 |
11.43 |
12.10 |
14.17 |
15.16 |
12.66 |
24H |
16.01 |
16.39 |
14.13 |
14.78 |
12.50 |
11.09 |
10.44 |
9.95 |
12.81 |
14.51 |
15.09 |
16.76 |
13.71 |
30H |
15.69 |
14.74 |
13.61 |
14.14 |
12.85 |
11.27 |
10.73 |
10.84 |
11.88 |
12.46 |
14.97 |
15.78 |
13.25 |
36H |
16.64 |
16.77 |
14.54 |
15.15 |
12.87 |
11.12 |
10.55 |
10.15 |
13.16 |
15.64 |
15.37 |
17.04 |
14.08 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
1.35 |
1.30 |
1.23 |
1.24 |
1.23 |
0.91 |
1.07 |
1.03 |
1.19 |
1.29 |
1.03 |
1.37 |
1.19 |
12H |
1.57 |
1.54 |
1.19 |
1.12 |
1.17 |
0.86 |
0.94 |
1.00 |
1.23 |
1.34 |
1.16 |
1.42 |
1.21 |
18H |
1.56 |
1.55 |
1.22 |
1.23 |
1.35 |
0.96 |
1.07 |
1.15 |
1.26 |
1.42 |
1.15 |
1.47 |
1.28 |
24H |
1.70 |
1.71 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
0.94 |
0.98 |
1.18 |
1.32 |
1.45 |
1.22 |
1.48 |
1.31 |
30H |
1.64 |
1.69 |
1.23 |
1.31 |
1.39 |
1.02 |
1.13 |
1.27 |
1.35 |
1.46 |
1.15 |
1.44 |
1.34 |
36H |
1.70 |
1.74 |
1.24 |
1.31 |
1.26 |
0.99 |
1.04 |
1.27 |
1.39 |
1.52 |
1.23 |
1.49 |
1.35 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
6H |
2.32 |
2.25 |
2.24 |
2.15 |
2.12 |
1.73 |
1.79 |
1.84 |
1.93 |
2.17 |
1.9 |
2.26 |
2.06 |
12H |
2.38 |
2.36 |
2.14 |
2.08 |
2.06 |
1.69 |
1.7 |
1.84 |
1.93 |
2.2 |
1.81 |
2.23 |
2.04 |
18H |
2.47 |
2.44 |
2.19 |
2.14 |
2.22 |
1.79 |
1.82 |
1.99 |
1.99 |
2.27 |
1.93 |
2.34 |
2.13 |
24H |
2.53 |
2.56 |
2.17 |
2.17 |
2.12 |
1.78 |
1.75 |
2.09 |
2.04 |
2.35 |
1.87 |
2.29 |
2.14 |
30H |
2.59 |
2.59 |
2.23 |
2.26 |
2.28 |
1.86 |
1.91 |
2.2 |
2.09 |
2.42 |
1.97 |
2.32 |
2.23 |
36H |
2.56 |
2.61 |
2.19 |
2.26 |
2.16 |
1.86 |
1.89 |
2.27 |
2.1 |
2.39 |
1.89 |
2.29 |
2.21 |
3.2.3 강수검증 (한반도 76개 ASOS 지점 관측자료)
Threshold = 0.1 mm |
Threshold = 5 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.51 |
0.54 |
0.46 |
0.48 |
0.41 |
0.45 |
0.48 |
Jan. |
0.53 |
0.39 |
0.37 |
0.24 |
0.38 |
0.21 |
0.33 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.57 |
0.46 |
0.5 |
0.44 |
0.49 |
0.44 |
0.48 |
Feb. |
0.37 |
0.81 |
0.51 |
0.84 |
0.3 |
0.74 |
0.59 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.74 |
0.62 |
0.68 |
0.58 |
0.68 |
0.57 |
0.64 |
Mar. |
0.58 |
0.5 |
0.47 |
0.36 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.44 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.63 |
0.63 |
0.61 |
0.59 |
0.56 |
0.58 |
0.6 |
Apr. |
0.61 |
0.48 |
0.61 |
0.46 |
0.48 |
0.44 |
0.51 |
||||||
May. |
0.1 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
May. |
0.03 |
0.08 |
0.03 |
0.07 |
0.03 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.43 |
0.42 |
0.42 |
0.44 |
0.42 |
0.48 |
0.43 |
Jun. |
0.48 |
0.46 |
0.44 |
0.41 |
0.37 |
0.42 |
0.43 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.46 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
0.32 |
0.37 |
Jul. |
0.39 |
0.3 |
0.33 |
0.29 |
0.29 |
0.28 |
0.31 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.51 |
0.43 |
0.42 |
0.37 |
0.42 |
0.4 |
0.42 |
Aug. |
0.4 |
0.24 |
0.32 |
0.28 |
0.29 |
0.26 |
0.3 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.41 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.38 |
0.33 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
Sep. |
0.43 |
0.34 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.27 |
0.34 |
0.34 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.66 |
0.59 |
0.64 |
0.58 |
0.6 |
0.52 |
0.6 |
Oct. |
0.64 |
0.73 |
0.6 |
0.62 |
0.56 |
0.6 |
0.62 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.43 |
0.41 |
0.42 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
0.31 |
0.37 |
Nov. |
0.46 |
0.61 |
0.33 |
0.57 |
0.16 |
0.5 |
0.44 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.36 |
0.43 |
0.27 |
0.38 |
0.28 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
Dec. |
0.07 |
0.35 |
0.12 |
0.34 |
0.11 |
0.54 |
0.35 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.46 |
0.42 |
0.41 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.41 |
TOTAL |
0.41 |
0.38 |
0.36 |
0.34 |
0.3 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
||||||
Threshold = 15 mm |
Threshold = 25 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.33 |
0.4 |
0.13 |
0.2 |
0.23 |
Jan. |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
- |
- |
0 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.39 |
0.58 |
0.48 |
0.68 |
0.32 |
0.56 |
0.55 |
Feb. |
0.4 |
0.13 |
0.5 |
0.18 |
0.1 |
0.14 |
0.21 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.42 |
0.22 |
0.38 |
0.14 |
0.32 |
0.1 |
0.28 |
Mar. |
0.32 |
0.09 |
0.26 |
0 |
0.15 |
0.03 |
0.16 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.32 |
0.19 |
0.22 |
0.17 |
0.2 |
0.19 |
0.21 |
Apr. |
0.18 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.09 |
||||||
May. |
0.01 |
0.06 |
0 |
0.04 |
0 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
May. |
0 |
0.01 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.41 |
0.42 |
0.43 |
0.4 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
0.39 |
Jun. |
0.41 |
0.4 |
0.38 |
0.41 |
0.29 |
0.36 |
0.38 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.36 |
0.17 |
0.21 |
0.14 |
0.19 |
0.23 |
0.22 |
Jul. |
0.26 |
0.1 |
0.11 |
0.07 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.27 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.2 |
0.22 |
Aug. |
0.24 |
0.16 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.24 |
0.14 |
0.22 |
0.17 |
0.2 |
Sep. |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.1 |
0.16 |
0.09 |
0.1 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.54 |
0.54 |
0.46 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.52 |
0.49 |
Oct. |
0.43 |
0.51 |
0.3 |
0.33 |
0.23 |
0.39 |
0.36 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.29 |
0.34 |
0.1 |
0.51 |
0 |
0.48 |
0.34 |
Nov. |
0.2 |
0.05 |
0 |
0.04 |
0 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
||||||
Dec. |
0 |
0.07 |
0 |
0.05 |
0 |
0.15 |
0.09 |
Dec. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.31 |
0.27 |
0.26 |
0.25 |
0.23 |
0.25 |
0.26 |
TOTAL |
0.25 |
0.21 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
||||||
Threshold = 50 mm |
|||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||
Jan. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||||||||||
Feb. |
0 |
- |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Mar. |
0 |
- |
0 |
- |
0 |
- |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Apr. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.5 |
0.05 |
||||||||||||||
May. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Jun. |
0.11 |
0.42 |
0.1 |
0.27 |
0.08 |
0.27 |
0.23 |
||||||||||||||
Jul. |
0.09 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
0 |
0.04 |
||||||||||||||
Aug. |
0.06 |
0.03 |
0.13 |
0.09 |
0.15 |
0.1 |
0.09 |
||||||||||||||
Sep. |
0 |
0 |
0.13 |
0 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
||||||||||||||
Oct. |
0.28 |
0.29 |
0.21 |
0.29 |
0.09 |
0.33 |
0.25 |
||||||||||||||
Nov. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Dec. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
0.08 |
0.15 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
0.08 |
0.16 |
0.12 |
Threshold = 0.1 mm |
Threshold = 5 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.47 |
0.49 |
0.41 |
0.42 |
0.36 |
0.4 |
0.42 |
Jan. |
0.53 |
0.38 |
0.36 |
0.23 |
0.37 |
0.21 |
0.33 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.54 |
0.43 |
0.47 |
0.4 |
0.45 |
0.4 |
0.45 |
Feb. |
0.36 |
0.81 |
0.51 |
0.83 |
0.29 |
0.74 |
0.59 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.7 |
0.56 |
0.64 |
0.52 |
0.63 |
0.51 |
0.59 |
Mar. |
0.56 |
0.48 |
0.45 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.32 |
0.41 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.58 |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.54 |
0.5 |
0.52 |
0.54 |
Apr. |
0.59 |
0.46 |
0.58 |
0.43 |
0.45 |
0.41 |
0.48 |
||||||
May. |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
May. |
0 |
0.05 |
- 0.01 |
0.04 |
- 0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.38 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.39 |
0.37 |
0.42 |
0.38 |
Jun. |
0.46 |
0.44 |
0.42 |
0.39 |
0.35 |
0.4 |
0.41 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.41 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.27 |
0.32 |
Jul. |
0.37 |
0.28 |
0.31 |
0.27 |
0.27 |
0.25 |
0.29 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.43 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
0.29 |
0.34 |
0.31 |
0.34 |
Aug. |
0.37 |
0.21 |
0.28 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.22 |
0.26 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.35 |
0.31 |
0.3 |
0.31 |
0.28 |
0.3 |
0.31 |
Sep. |
0.42 |
0.32 |
0.3 |
0.28 |
0.25 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.62 |
0.55 |
0.6 |
0.53 |
0.56 |
0.48 |
0.56 |
Oct. |
0.62 |
0.72 |
0.58 |
0.61 |
0.54 |
0.58 |
0.6 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.4 |
0.37 |
0.39 |
0.27 |
0.29 |
0.28 |
0.33 |
Nov. |
0.45 |
0.61 |
0.32 |
0.56 |
0.15 |
0.49 |
0.43 |
||||||
Dec. |
0.32 |
0.38 |
0.23 |
0.34 |
0.24 |
0.33 |
0.31 |
Dec. |
0.06 |
0.34 |
0.12 |
0.33 |
0.11 |
0.53 |
0.35 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.4 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.34 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
0.36 |
TOTAL |
0.39 |
0.36 |
0.34 |
0.32 |
0.28 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
||||||
Threshold = 15 mm |
Threshold = 25 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.33 |
0.4 |
0.12 |
0.2 |
0.23 |
Jan. |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
- |
- |
0 |
||||||
Feb. |
0.39 |
0.58 |
0.47 |
0.68 |
0.32 |
0.56 |
0.54 |
Feb. |
0.4 |
0.12 |
0.5 |
0.18 |
0.1 |
0.14 |
0.21 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.41 |
0.21 |
0.37 |
0.14 |
0.31 |
0.09 |
0.27 |
Mar. |
0.32 |
0.09 |
0.25 |
0 |
0.14 |
0.03 |
0.15 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.31 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
0.16 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
0.2 |
Apr. |
0.18 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.09 |
||||||
May. |
0 |
0.05 |
- 0.01 |
0.03 |
- 0.01 |
0.02 |
0.01 |
May. |
0 |
0.01 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.42 |
0.39 |
0.33 |
0.32 |
0.37 |
Jun. |
0.4 |
0.39 |
0.38 |
0.4 |
0.28 |
0.35 |
0.37 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.34 |
0.16 |
0.2 |
0.13 |
0.18 |
0.22 |
0.21 |
Jul. |
0.25 |
0.09 |
0.1 |
0.07 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.26 |
0.2 |
0.21 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
0.2 |
Aug. |
0.23 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.2 |
0.24 |
0.23 |
0.13 |
0.21 |
0.16 |
0.19 |
Sep. |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.16 |
0.08 |
0.1 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.53 |
0.53 |
0.45 |
0.49 |
0.39 |
0.51 |
0.48 |
Oct. |
0.42 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.32 |
0.22 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.29 |
0.34 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0 |
0.48 |
0.34 |
Nov. |
0.2 |
0.05 |
0 |
0.04 |
0 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
||||||
Dec. |
0 |
0.07 |
0 |
0.04 |
0 |
0.14 |
0.09 |
Dec. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.3 |
0.26 |
0.25 |
0.24 |
0.22 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
TOTAL |
0.25 |
0.2 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.16 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
||||||
Threshold = 50 mm |
|||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||
Jan. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||||||||||
Feb. |
0 |
- |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Mar. |
0 |
- |
0 |
- |
0 |
- |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Apr. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.5 |
0.05 |
||||||||||||||
May. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Jun. |
0.1 |
0.41 |
0.09 |
0.26 |
0.08 |
0.27 |
0.23 |
||||||||||||||
Jul. |
0.09 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0 |
0.04 |
||||||||||||||
Aug. |
0.06 |
0.02 |
0.13 |
0.08 |
0.14 |
0.1 |
0.09 |
||||||||||||||
Sep. |
0 |
0 |
0.13 |
0 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
||||||||||||||
Oct. |
0.28 |
0.29 |
0.21 |
0.29 |
0.08 |
0.32 |
0.25 |
||||||||||||||
Nov. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Dec. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
0.08 |
0.15 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
0.08 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
Threshold = 0.1 mm |
Threshold = 5 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
1.37 |
1.39 |
1.39 |
1.42 |
1.42 |
1.39 |
1.4 |
Jan. |
1.12 |
1.1 |
1.29 |
0.79 |
1.26 |
0.67 |
0.99 |
||||||
Feb. |
1.26 |
1.2 |
1.13 |
1.29 |
1.24 |
1.52 |
1.27 |
Feb. |
0.95 |
0.91 |
0.78 |
0.93 |
0.65 |
1.09 |
0.89 |
||||||
Mar. |
1.02 |
0.9 |
0.92 |
0.91 |
0.95 |
0.92 |
0.94 |
Mar. |
0.94 |
0.74 |
0.87 |
0.81 |
1 |
0.93 |
0.88 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.8 |
0.81 |
0.75 |
0.77 |
0.81 |
0.85 |
0.8 |
Apr. |
0.81 |
0.61 |
0.81 |
0.65 |
0.81 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
||||||
May. |
0.9 |
0.93 |
0.95 |
0.98 |
1 |
1.04 |
0.97 |
May. |
0.95 |
0.98 |
1.07 |
1.16 |
1.08 |
1.1 |
1.06 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.7 |
0.65 |
0.72 |
0.71 |
0.81 |
0.86 |
0.74 |
Jun. |
0.79 |
0.69 |
0.84 |
0.71 |
0.9 |
0.95 |
0.81 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.73 |
0.63 |
0.71 |
0.69 |
0.74 |
0.69 |
0.7 |
Jul. |
0.85 |
0.61 |
0.71 |
0.65 |
0.9 |
0.67 |
0.73 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.76 |
0.61 |
0.67 |
0.64 |
0.72 |
0.75 |
0.69 |
Aug. |
0.7 |
0.57 |
0.64 |
0.68 |
0.78 |
0.78 |
0.69 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.59 |
0.56 |
0.54 |
0.59 |
0.56 |
0.58 |
0.57 |
Sep. |
0.67 |
0.61 |
0.66 |
0.77 |
0.59 |
0.79 |
0.68 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.91 |
0.85 |
0.87 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.85 |
Oct. |
0.89 |
0.96 |
0.77 |
0.83 |
0.77 |
0.84 |
0.84 |
||||||
Nov. |
0.78 |
0.69 |
0.63 |
0.61 |
0.65 |
0.7 |
0.68 |
Nov. |
1.11 |
0.86 |
0.74 |
0.84 |
0.49 |
0.95 |
0.83 |
||||||
Dec. |
1.11 |
0.95 |
0.96 |
0.93 |
1.01 |
1 |
0.99 |
Dec. |
1.45 |
0.54 |
0.85 |
0.53 |
1.05 |
1 |
0.74 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.87 |
0.81 |
0.82 |
0.83 |
0.86 |
0.88 |
0.85 |
TOTAL |
0.84 |
0.72 |
0.79 |
0.77 |
0.84 |
0.86 |
0.8 |
||||||
Threshold = 15 mm |
Threshold = 25 mm |
||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
||||||
Jan. |
1.4 |
3 |
1.4 |
1.33 |
0.8 |
1 |
1.42 |
Jan. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||
Feb. |
0.68 |
0.81 |
0.63 |
1.12 |
0.53 |
1.05 |
0.87 |
Feb. |
0.56 |
0.8 |
0.67 |
1.6 |
0.22 |
1.4 |
0.89 |
||||||
Mar. |
0.82 |
0.67 |
0.86 |
0.76 |
1.17 |
0.69 |
0.85 |
Mar. |
0.58 |
0.41 |
0.58 |
0.71 |
1 |
0.82 |
0.69 |
||||||
Apr. |
0.77 |
0.35 |
0.85 |
0.56 |
0.81 |
0.67 |
0.66 |
Apr. |
0.34 |
0.24 |
0.62 |
0.53 |
0.83 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
||||||
May. |
0.9 |
1.16 |
1.14 |
1.26 |
1.04 |
0.96 |
1.08 |
May. |
1.19 |
1.32 |
1.08 |
1.13 |
1.04 |
1.03 |
1.13 |
||||||
Jun. |
0.79 |
0.65 |
1.01 |
0.79 |
1.05 |
1.04 |
0.88 |
Jun. |
0.88 |
0.75 |
1.07 |
0.87 |
1.09 |
1.01 |
0.93 |
||||||
Jul. |
0.98 |
0.79 |
0.65 |
0.68 |
0.92 |
0.88 |
0.82 |
Jul. |
0.96 |
0.82 |
0.55 |
0.64 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.82 |
||||||
Aug. |
0.7 |
0.52 |
0.68 |
0.65 |
0.91 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
Aug. |
0.79 |
0.56 |
0.69 |
0.67 |
0.95 |
0.81 |
0.74 |
||||||
Sep. |
0.56 |
0.7 |
0.72 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.84 |
0.7 |
Sep. |
0.2 |
0.84 |
0.36 |
1 |
0.66 |
0.67 |
0.58 |
||||||
Oct. |
0.95 |
1.16 |
0.91 |
1.12 |
0.87 |
0.96 |
0.99 |
Oct. |
0.83 |
1.07 |
1.08 |
1.26 |
1.17 |
1.14 |
1.1 |
||||||
Nov. |
1.45 |
0.8 |
0.65 |
1.02 |
0.35 |
0.95 |
0.89 |
Nov. |
1 |
0.82 |
0.67 |
1.18 |
0.33 |
1.27 |
1 |
||||||
Dec. |
2 |
0.55 |
1 |
0.15 |
0.5 |
1.75 |
0.85 |
Dec. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3.5 |
0.78 |
||||||
TOTAL |
0.82 |
0.72 |
0.82 |
0.81 |
0.89 |
0.89 |
0.83 |
TOTAL |
0.73 |
0.74 |
0.74 |
0.86 |
0.94 |
0.92 |
0.82 |
||||||
Threshold = 50 mm |
|||||||||||||||||||||
MONTH |
06H |
12H |
18H |
24H |
30H |
36H |
TOTAL |
||||||||||||||
Jan. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||||||||||
Feb. |
0.33 |
- |
0 |
- |
0 |
- |
0.33 |
||||||||||||||
Mar. |
0 |
- |
0.43 |
- |
0 |
- |
0.14 |
||||||||||||||
Apr. |
1 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
2.33 |
||||||||||||||
May. |
1.2 |
1 |
0.8 |
0.25 |
0.2 |
1.25 |
0.78 |
||||||||||||||
Jun. |
1.47 |
1.34 |
1 |
1.14 |
0.53 |
1.28 |
1.16 |
||||||||||||||
Jul. |
0.92 |
1.13 |
0.54 |
0.53 |
1.46 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
||||||||||||||
Aug. |
0.84 |
0.44 |
0.53 |
0.65 |
0.91 |
1.02 |
0.73 |
||||||||||||||
Sep. |
0.05 |
0.62 |
0.18 |
1.15 |
0.45 |
0.77 |
0.46 |
||||||||||||||
Oct. |
1 |
0.43 |
0.81 |
0.89 |
1.38 |
1.04 |
0.89 |
||||||||||||||
Nov. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||||||||||
Dec. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||||||||||
TOTAL |
0.76 |
0.73 |
0.57 |
0.83 |
0.81 |
1.06 |
0.8 |
6.4 앙상블예측시스템
6.4.1 2018년 앙상블예측시스템 분석검증
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
7.82 |
7.80 |
6.96 |
6.78 |
6.69 |
6.410 |
6.17 |
6.09 |
5.95 |
6.11 |
6.510 |
7.19 |
6.71 |
48H |
14.09 |
13.86 |
13.06 |
12.47 |
12.47 |
11.49 |
11.22 |
10.69 |
10.48 |
11.08 |
12.10 |
13.13 |
12.18 |
72H |
22.42 |
22.23 |
21.03 |
20.22 |
19.68 |
17.89 |
16.69 |
15.95 |
16.59 |
17.32 |
19.89 |
20.63 |
19.21 |
96H |
32.16 |
32.42 |
29.77 |
29.54 |
28.56 |
25.96 |
23.65 |
22.31 |
24.18 |
25.74 |
29.69 |
29.14 |
27.76 |
120H |
42.61 |
43.85 |
40.14 |
38.7 |
39.10 |
35.32 |
31.00 |
29.76 |
33.21 |
34.87 |
40.63 |
37.83 |
37.25 |
144H |
53.87 |
54.98 |
50.81 |
47.95 |
49.34 |
44.02 |
38.13 |
36.88 |
43.13 |
43.42 |
52.29 |
49.22 |
47.00 |
168H |
64.31 |
66.45 |
60.39 |
56.71 |
58.93 |
51.39 |
44.12 |
43.54 |
53.39 |
51.86 |
62.67 |
60.21 |
56.16 |
192H |
73.04 |
74.23 |
70.71 |
63.87 |
66.45 |
57.41 |
49.31 |
49.14 |
61.93 |
59.64 |
71.93 |
69.16 |
63.90 |
216H |
80.28 |
81.98 |
78.54 |
71.28 |
73.16 |
61.95 |
53.79 |
53.15 |
68.62 |
66.53 |
78.72 |
75.51 |
70.29 |
240H |
85.36 |
88.84 |
84.18 |
77.58 |
77.92 |
65.31 |
56.76 |
56.95 |
72.66 |
72.65 |
83.16 |
80.17 |
75.13 |
264H |
90.51 |
94.49 |
88.73 |
82.30 |
82.12 |
67.55 |
59.46 |
59.88 |
75.64 |
78.20 |
87.60 |
84.33 |
79.23 |
288H |
96.43 |
100.79 |
91.71 |
85.53 |
84.27 |
69.50 |
61.27 |
62.18 |
77.76 |
81.55 |
91.52 |
87.67 |
82.52 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
7.20 |
7.18 |
7.22 |
7.30 |
7.42 |
6.12 |
5.68 |
5.21 |
5.67 |
5.99 |
6.10 |
6.82 |
6.49 |
48H |
12.39 |
12.11 |
12.32 |
12.39 |
12.78 |
10.54 |
9.51 |
8.91 |
9.75 |
10.10 |
10.47 |
11.57 |
11.07 |
72H |
19.09 |
19.03 |
19.32 |
19.14 |
19.80 |
16.42 |
14.55 |
14.14 |
15.51 |
15.75 |
16.59 |
17.68 |
17.25 |
96H |
27.12 |
27.91 |
27.94 |
27.19 |
27.95 |
23.39 |
20.62 |
20.52 |
22.72 |
22.79 |
24.34 |
25.25 |
24.81 |
120H |
36.47 |
38.07 |
37.74 |
36.26 |
36.53 |
30.89 |
27.30 |
27.46 |
30.77 |
31.10 |
33.74 |
33.98 |
33.36 |
144H |
46.54 |
48.56 |
48.08 |
45.62 |
45.37 |
38.31 |
33.83 |
34.37 |
39.22 |
40.14 |
43.70 |
43.35 |
42.26 |
168H |
56.26 |
58.59 |
57.83 |
54.66 |
53.66 |
45.15 |
39.54 |
40.31 |
47.40 |
49.55 |
53.24 |
53.05 |
50.77 |
192H |
65.37 |
67.72 |
66.48 |
62.58 |
60.76 |
50.75 |
44.43 |
45.06 |
54.39 |
58.13 |
61.99 |
62.20 |
58.32 |
216H |
73.45 |
76.32 |
74.27 |
69.34 |
66.43 |
55.44 |
48.79 |
49.01 |
60.12 |
65.80 |
69.97 |
69.75 |
64.89 |
240H |
80.29 |
83.47 |
80.87 |
74.66 |
70.26 |
59.27 |
52.10 |
52.46 |
64.56 |
71.97 |
76.95 |
76.04 |
70.24 |
264H |
85.39 |
89.38 |
86.19 |
78.82 |
73.29 |
62.06 |
54.78 |
55.07 |
67.91 |
76.72 |
82.71 |
81.46 |
74.48 |
288H |
89.61 |
93.86 |
89.89 |
82.55 |
75.44 |
64.52 |
56.91 |
57.11 |
70.58 |
80.29 |
87.64 |
86.10 |
77.88 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
48H |
0.99 |
1.00 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
72H |
0.98 |
0.99 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
96H |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
120H |
0.93 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.89 |
0.91 |
0.90 |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
144H |
0.89 |
0.91 |
0.90 |
0.88 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
0.87 |
0.83 |
0.87 |
0.89 |
0.86 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
168H |
0.83 |
0.87 |
0.86 |
0.83 |
0.76 |
0.74 |
0.82 |
0.75 |
0.80 |
0.85 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
0.81 |
192H |
0.77 |
0.84 |
0.80 |
0.77 |
0.68 |
0.66 |
0.76 |
0.67 |
0.71 |
0.79 |
0.72 |
0.73 |
0.74 |
216H |
0.71 |
0.80 |
0.74 |
0.69 |
0.59 |
0.58 |
0.71 |
0.60 |
0.63 |
0.73 |
0.66 |
0.66 |
0.68 |
240H |
0.66 |
0.75 |
0.68 |
0.61 |
0.52 |
0.51 |
0.67 |
0.53 |
0.57 |
0.67 |
0.61 |
0.61 |
0.62 |
264H |
0.60 |
0.71 |
0.63 |
0.55 |
0.45 |
0.45 |
0.63 |
0.46 |
0.51 |
0.60 |
0.55 |
0.55 |
0.56 |
288H |
0.53 |
0.65 |
0.59 |
0.49 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
0.60 |
0.40 |
0.46 |
0.54 |
0.49 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.93 |
0.94 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.91 |
0.91 |
0.90 |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.93 |
48H |
0.88 |
0.90 |
0.89 |
0.87 |
0.86 |
0.84 |
0.83 |
0.82 |
0.87 |
0.88 |
0.88 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
72H |
0.81 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
0.80 |
0.79 |
0.76 |
0.76 |
0.75 |
0.80 |
0.82 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
96H |
0.73 |
0.76 |
0.75 |
0.71 |
0.69 |
0.67 |
0.67 |
0.66 |
0.72 |
0.74 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.71 |
120H |
0.64 |
0.68 |
0.67 |
0.62 |
0.58 |
0.55 |
0.58 |
0.55 |
0.62 |
0.65 |
0.62 |
0.64 |
0.62 |
144H |
0.54 |
0.60 |
0.58 |
0.53 |
0.47 |
0.43 |
0.48 |
0.45 |
0.51 |
0.56 |
0.51 |
0.53 |
0.52 |
168H |
0.45 |
0.51 |
0.50 |
0.44 |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.40 |
0.35 |
0.39 |
0.47 |
0.41 |
0.43 |
0.42 |
192H |
0.37 |
0.45 |
0.41 |
0.36 |
0.28 |
0.25 |
0.33 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
0.39 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
216H |
0.30 |
0.38 |
0.33 |
0.28 |
0.20 |
0.19 |
0.26 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.32 |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.26 |
240H |
0.25 |
0.33 |
0.28 |
0.21 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.22 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.25 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
264H |
0.19 |
0.28 |
0.23 |
0.16 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.18 |
0.09 |
0.13 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
288H |
0.14 |
0.23 |
0.20 |
0.13 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.16 |
0.05 |
0.10 |
0.16 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.93 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.90 |
0.89 |
0.87 |
0.88 |
0.85 |
0.87 |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
48H |
0.88 |
0.90 |
0.88 |
0.85 |
0.83 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
0.75 |
0.81 |
0.88 |
0.88 |
0.86 |
0.84 |
72H |
0.83 |
0.85 |
0.82 |
0.78 |
0.77 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
0.69 |
0.76 |
0.82 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.78 |
96H |
0.75 |
0.78 |
0.77 |
0.70 |
0.68 |
0.66 |
0.67 |
0.61 |
0.70 |
0.74 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
0.71 |
120H |
0.67 |
0.70 |
0.69 |
0.61 |
0.58 |
0.55 |
0.57 |
0.52 |
0.62 |
0.65 |
0.65 |
0.65 |
0.62 |
144H |
0.57 |
0.63 |
0.60 |
0.50 |
0.46 |
0.45 |
0.48 |
0.44 |
0.52 |
0.57 |
0.55 |
0.55 |
0.53 |
168H |
0.48 |
0.54 |
0.53 |
0.39 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.41 |
0.37 |
0.42 |
0.49 |
0.44 |
0.44 |
0.44 |
192H |
0.39 |
0.48 |
0.45 |
0.31 |
0.25 |
0.28 |
0.35 |
0.29 |
0.33 |
0.40 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
216H |
0.31 |
0.42 |
0.39 |
0.23 |
0.16 |
0.22 |
0.29 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.32 |
0.27 |
0.29 |
0.28 |
240H |
0.26 |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.17 |
0.10 |
0.16 |
0.24 |
0.15 |
0.19 |
0.26 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
264H |
0.20 |
0.31 |
0.27 |
0.12 |
0.05 |
0.12 |
0.20 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
0.19 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
288H |
0.14 |
0.26 |
0.24 |
0.08 |
0.01 |
0.08 |
0.17 |
0.07 |
0.10 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
1.02 |
0.99 |
0.94 |
0.92 |
0.91 |
0.81 |
0.77 |
0.73 |
0.71 |
0.75 |
0.89 |
0.97 |
0.87 |
48H |
1.37 |
1.33 |
1.28 |
1.26 |
1.26 |
1.13 |
1.07 |
1.01 |
0.99 |
1.04 |
1.23 |
1.31 |
1.19 |
72H |
1.68 |
1.63 |
1.61 |
1.6 |
1.58 |
1.42 |
1.33 |
1.27 |
1.26 |
1.31 |
1.52 |
1.63 |
1.49 |
96H |
2.08 |
1.98 |
1.98 |
1.94 |
1.95 |
1.73 |
1.63 |
1.56 |
1.56 |
1.61 |
1.87 |
1.94 |
1.82 |
120H |
2.47 |
2.37 |
2.42 |
2.30 |
2.35 |
2.07 |
1.93 |
1.86 |
1.89 |
1.94 |
2.27 |
2.26 |
2.18 |
144H |
2.87 |
2.81 |
2.85 |
2.69 |
2.78 |
2.43 |
2.23 |
2.15 |
2.25 |
2.27 |
2.66 |
2.63 |
2.55 |
168H |
3.30 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
3.03 |
3.18 |
2.72 |
2.51 |
2.40 |
2.60 |
2.59 |
3.03 |
3.01 |
2.91 |
192H |
3.69 |
3.55 |
3.63 |
3.34 |
3.51 |
2.95 |
2.73 |
2.61 |
2.88 |
2.88 |
3.41 |
3.34 |
3.21 |
216H |
3.97 |
3.86 |
3.93 |
3.62 |
3.76 |
3.16 |
2.88 |
2.76 |
3.13 |
3.16 |
3.74 |
3.58 |
3.46 |
240H |
4.17 |
4.08 |
4.18 |
3.88 |
3.93 |
3.32 |
2.99 |
2.89 |
3.27 |
3.41 |
3.94 |
3.76 |
3.65 |
264H |
4.32 |
4.26 |
4.35 |
4.08 |
4.07 |
3.42 |
3.11 |
2.99 |
3.38 |
3.61 |
4.06 |
3.93 |
3.80 |
288H |
4.50 |
4.45 |
4.47 |
4.20 |
4.14 |
3.49 |
3.18 |
3.06 |
3.47 |
3.74 |
4.15 |
4.08 |
3.91 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.82 |
0.78 |
0.78 |
0.77 |
0.76 |
0.65 |
0.63 |
0.59 |
0.61 |
0.62 |
0.68 |
0.75 |
0.70 |
48H |
0.99 |
0.96 |
0.98 |
0.95 |
0.97 |
0.85 |
0.80 |
0.76 |
0.77 |
0.78 |
0.84 |
0.91 |
0.88 |
72H |
1.26 |
1.23 |
1.27 |
1.22 |
1.26 |
1.10 |
1.02 |
0.98 |
1.01 |
1.00 |
1.10 |
1.17 |
1.14 |
96H |
1.59 |
1.59 |
1.65 |
1.56 |
1.60 |
1.40 |
1.29 |
1.26 |
1.30 |
1.30 |
1.42 |
1.48 |
1.45 |
120H |
1.98 |
2.01 |
2.07 |
1.94 |
1.97 |
1.73 |
1.59 |
1.55 |
1.62 |
1.63 |
1.80 |
1.84 |
1.81 |
144H |
2.39 |
2.44 |
2.51 |
2.33 |
2.37 |
2.07 |
1.89 |
1.84 |
1.95 |
1.98 |
2.21 |
2.22 |
2.18 |
168H |
2.78 |
2.84 |
2.93 |
2.70 |
2.74 |
2.40 |
2.17 |
2.10 |
2.25 |
2.32 |
2.61 |
2.59 |
2.54 |
192H |
3.13 |
3.19 |
3.31 |
3.04 |
3.04 |
2.65 |
2.40 |
2.33 |
2.52 |
2.64 |
2.93 |
2.92 |
2.84 |
216H |
3.43 |
3.48 |
3.64 |
3.32 |
3.25 |
2.86 |
2.60 |
2.51 |
2.74 |
2.93 |
3.19 |
3.19 |
3.10 |
240H |
3.65 |
3.71 |
3.91 |
3.54 |
3.41 |
3.04 |
2.77 |
2.65 |
2.93 |
3.16 |
3.41 |
3.43 |
3.30 |
264H |
3.83 |
3.91 |
4.12 |
3.71 |
3.52 |
3.17 |
2.89 |
2.77 |
3.08 |
3.33 |
3.61 |
3.62 |
3.46 |
288H |
3.97 |
4.08 |
4.27 |
3.87 |
3.61 |
3.28 |
3.00 |
2.86 |
3.18 |
3.47 |
3.77 |
3.80 |
3.60 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
48H |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
72H |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.93 |
0.94 |
0.93 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.94 |
0.94 |
0.94 |
96H |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.91 |
0.90 |
0.90 |
0.90 |
0.90 |
0.92 |
0.93 |
0.91 |
0.91 |
0.91 |
120H |
0.88 |
0.90 |
0.88 |
0.87 |
0.85 |
0.86 |
0.87 |
0.86 |
0.88 |
0.89 |
0.86 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
144H |
0.84 |
0.85 |
0.83 |
0.82 |
0.78 |
0.80 |
0.82 |
0.80 |
0.83 |
0.84 |
0.80 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
168H |
0.78 |
0.79 |
0.77 |
0.77 |
0.70 |
0.74 |
0.77 |
0.75 |
0.76 |
0.79 |
0.73 |
0.75 |
0.76 |
192H |
0.71 |
0.75 |
0.71 |
0.70 |
0.61 |
0.69 |
0.72 |
0.70 |
0.70 |
0.74 |
0.64 |
0.68 |
0.70 |
216H |
0.65 |
0.70 |
0.64 |
0.64 |
0.53 |
0.63 |
0.68 |
0.65 |
0.63 |
0.67 |
0.55 |
0.62 |
0.63 |
240H |
0.60 |
0.65 |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.47 |
0.59 |
0.64 |
0.62 |
0.59 |
0.60 |
0.47 |
0.56 |
0.58 |
264H |
0.56 |
0.61 |
0.53 |
0.49 |
0.41 |
0.55 |
0.61 |
0.58 |
0.55 |
0.53 |
0.42 |
0.50 |
0.53 |
288H |
0.49 |
0.57 |
0.48 |
0.44 |
0.37 |
0.52 |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.51 |
0.48 |
0.38 |
0.45 |
0.49 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.81 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.80 |
0.79 |
0.79 |
0.78 |
0.78 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.80 |
0.79 |
0.80 |
48H |
0.74 |
0.76 |
0.75 |
0.73 |
0.71 |
0.71 |
0.69 |
0.70 |
0.74 |
0.75 |
0.72 |
0.71 |
0.73 |
72H |
0.68 |
0.71 |
0.69 |
0.66 |
0.64 |
0.63 |
0.62 |
0.62 |
0.68 |
0.69 |
0.66 |
0.64 |
0.66 |
96H |
0.61 |
0.65 |
0.62 |
0.59 |
0.56 |
0.56 |
0.54 |
0.54 |
0.61 |
0.63 |
0.58 |
0.58 |
0.59 |
120H |
0.54 |
0.58 |
0.55 |
0.52 |
0.48 |
0.48 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.53 |
0.56 |
0.50 |
0.51 |
0.51 |
144H |
0.46 |
0.51 |
0.46 |
0.44 |
0.38 |
0.39 |
0.38 |
0.37 |
0.44 |
0.48 |
0.41 |
0.43 |
0.43 |
168H |
0.38 |
0.43 |
0.39 |
0.37 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.30 |
0.35 |
0.41 |
0.33 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
192H |
0.31 |
0.37 |
0.32 |
0.30 |
0.22 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.24 |
0.28 |
0.34 |
0.24 |
0.27 |
0.28 |
216H |
0.26 |
0.31 |
0.25 |
0.23 |
0.15 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.19 |
0.21 |
0.28 |
0.16 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
240H |
0.21 |
0.27 |
0.20 |
0.17 |
0.10 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
0.22 |
0.11 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
264H |
0.17 |
0.24 |
0.16 |
0.12 |
0.07 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.14 |
0.17 |
0.08 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
288H |
0.13 |
0.20 |
0.13 |
0.09 |
0.05 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.09 |
0.12 |
0.14 |
0.06 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
FCST |
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
Ave. |
24H |
0.78 |
0.80 |
0.81 |
0.78 |
0.77 |
0.76 |
0.75 |
0.75 |
0.76 |
0.78 |
0.76 |
0.78 |
0.77 |
48H |
0.70 |
0.74 |
0.74 |
0.70 |
0.69 |
0.67 |
0.66 |
0.65 |
0.68 |
0.70 |
0.67 |
0.69 |
0.69 |
72H |
0.64 |
0.68 |
0.68 |
0.63 |
0.62 |
0.60 |
0.58 |
0.57 |
0.61 |
0.63 |
0.61 |
0.61 |
0.62 |
96H |
0.57 |
0.62 |
0.61 |
0.56 |
0.53 |
0.53 |
0.51 |
0.49 |
0.54 |
0.57 |
0.53 |
0.54 |
0.55 |
120H |
0.50 |
0.56 |
0.55 |
0.49 |
0.45 |
0.44 |
0.43 |
0.40 |
0.47 |
0.49 |
0.45 |
0.48 |
0.48 |
144H |
0.43 |
0.48 |
0.47 |
0.41 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.32 |
0.39 |
0.42 |
0.37 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
168H |
0.35 |
0.41 |
0.41 |
0.35 |
0.28 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
0.31 |
0.35 |
0.30 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
192H |
0.27 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
0.28 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.24 |
0.20 |
0.24 |
0.28 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.26 |
216H |
0.21 |
0.29 |
0.29 |
0.22 |
0.15 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
0.23 |
0.14 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
240H |
0.18 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.16 |
0.10 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
0.17 |
0.09 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
264H |
0.15 |
0.22 |
0.21 |
0.12 |
0.06 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.06 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
288H |
0.10 |
0.19 |
0.17 |
0.08 |
0.04 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.09 |