2015년 기상청 전지구예보모델 검증결과

【 2016. 7. 21. / 수치모델연구부 수치모델개발과 】

전지구예보모델 성능 변화 추세

500hPa 고도장의 RMSE

그림 1.1.1 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.2 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.3 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

850hPa 기온의 RMSE

그림 1.1.4 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.5 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.6 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

250hPa 풍속의 RMSE

그림 1.1.7 GDAPS 북반구 250hPa 풍속의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.8 GDAPS 남반구 250hPa 풍속의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.9 GDAPS 적도지역 250hPa 풍속의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

전지구예측시스템 분석 검증

북반구 분석 검증

표 1.1.1 GDAPS 북반구 해면기압(MSLP) Mean Error [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	-0.04	-0.06	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	0.02	0.06	0.08	0.02
48H	0.26	0.24	0.18	0.05	-0.13	-0.16	-0.27	-0.29	-0.11	0.01	0.12	0.20	0.01
72H	0.38	0.34	0.26	0.07	-0.16	-0.21	-0.36	-0.40	-0.15	-0.01	0.16	0.30	0.02
96H	0.47	0.46	0.36	0.14	-0.13	-0.22	-0.43	-0.47	-0.16	-0.02	0.19	0.38	0.05
120H	0.57	0.55	0.45	0.21	-0.12	-0.18	-0.45	-0.52	-0.19	0.02	0.20	0.44	0.08
144H	0.67	0.59	0.45	0.33	-0.09	-0.16	-0.48	-0.57	-0.20	0.04	0.21	0.49	0.11
168H	0.76	0.60	0.51	0.41	-0.06	-0.09	-0.52	-0.60	-0.24	0.05	0.21	0.46	0.12
192H	0.85	0.63	0.52	0.48	-0.01	-0.01	-0.52	-0.57	-0.29	0.04	0.17	0.41	0.14
216H	0.85	0.66	0.55	0.46	0.05	0.00	-0.50	-0.58	-0.36	0.04	0.14	0.30	0.13
240H	0.90	0.67	0.59	0.38	0.10	0.01	-0.49	-0.61	-0.35	0.01	0.10	0.19	0.12
264H	1.06	0.59	0.64	0.30	0.17	0.05	-0.48	-0.63	-0.31	-0.04	-0.03	0.15	0.12
288H	1.10	0.58	0.67	0.25	0.28	0.00	-0.41	-0.66	-0.28	-0.06	-0.18	0.12	0.12

표 1.1.2 GDAPS 북반구 해면기압(MSLP) RMSE [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.02	1.02	0.93	0.85	0.81	0.79	0.80	0.75	0.77	0.88	0.92	1.01	0.88
48H	1.75	1.72	1.59	1.47	1.32	1.30	1.33	1.25	1.31	1.48	1.55	1.74	1.48
72H	2.68	2.61	2.33	2.21	1.98	1.94	1.91	1.79	1.97	2.25	2.38	2.66	2.23
96H	3.73	3.77	3.29	3.10	2.78	2.68	2.59	2.39	2.80	3.27	3.37	3.76	3.13
120H	4.89	5.06	4.45	4.23	3.68	3.49	3.39	3.13	3.70	4.40	4.41	5.02	4.15
144H	6.20	6.35	5.57	5.58	4.74	4.30	4.18	3.93	4.74	5.54	5.57	6.37	5.26
168H	7.39	7.50	6.58	6.58	5.75	5.18	4.87	4.57	5.75	6.48	6.83	7.64	6.26
192H	8.46	8.54	7.44	7.31	6.44	6.00	5.43	5.15	6.37	7.57	7.95	8.70	7.11
216H	9.46	9.42	8.34	8.05	6.97	6.63	5.89	5.68	6.92	8.61	8.76	9.53	7.86
240H	10.14	10.24	9.29	8.81	7.43	6.97	6.30	6.16	7.48	9.36	9.54	10.17	8.49
264H	10.89	10.95	10.13	9.51	7.89	7.20	6.57	6.67	7.88	9.90	10.00	10.92	9.04
288H	11.81	11.20	10.67	9.90	8.11	7.41	6.82	6.84	8.11	10.25	10.36	11.59	9.42

표 1.1.3 GDAPS 북반구 해면기압(MSLP) S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	19.33	19.45	18.87	20.02	21.64	22.60	23.40	21.91	20.56	19.39	19.30	18.68	20.43
48H	26.95	27.23	26.59	27.79	29.65	30.74	31.63	29.73	28.77	27.31	26.49	26.15	28.25
72H	35.12	35.14	33.92	35.88	37.97	39.10	39.80	37.15	37.40	35.72	34.50	33.90	36.30
96H	43.42	43.62	41.68	44.42	46.74	47.81	47.95	44.55	46.55	44.77	43.02	42.41	44.74
120H	50.95	52.27	49.96	53.36	55.48	56.16	55.77	52.93	55.22	53.82	50.99	50.31	53.10
144H	58.81	59.69	57.58	62.31	63.78	63.17	62.85	60.67	63.42	62.36	58.20	57.94	60.90
168H	64.77	66.16	64.47	68.94	71.68	69.37	68.65	66.48	70.95	69.12	65.48	64.35	67.53
192H	69.63	71.03	69.54	73.80	76.62	75.25	73.02	71.64	75.76	75.19	71.20	69.46	72.68
216H	74.27	75.36	74.23	78.25	79.75	79.62	76.18	75.43	79.78	80.56	75.39	73.76	76.88
240H	76.59	79.80	78.71	81.50	82.52	81.67	78.81	78.77	82.84	84.12	79.24	76.26	80.07
264H	80.02	82.87	81.42	84.61	84.20	83.31	80.35	81.85	84.05	86.22	81.47	78.74	82.43
288H	82.53	84.03	83.11	85.70	85.14	84.33	81.60	82.74	85.83	88.27	82.54	81.34	83.93

표 1.1.4 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.24	-0.21	-0.17	-0.06	0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	-0.07	-0.09	-0.11	-0.17	-0.08
48H	-0.39	-0.36	-0.31	-0.14	0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	-0.12	-0.14	-0.20	-0.31	-0.15
72H	-0.52	-0.49	-0.41	-0.20	0.04	0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.18	-0.18	-0.26	-0.41	-0.21
96H	-0.61	-0.58	-0.51	-0.25	0.02	0.05	0.05	-0.05	-0.21	-0.20	-0.30	-0.50	-0.26
120H	-0.68	-0.67	-0.59	-0.29	0.01	0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.23	-0.22	-0.34	-0.57	-0.30
144H	-0.73	-0.75	-0.66	-0.32	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.08	-0.26	-0.22	-0.39	-0.64	-0.34
168H	-0.78	-0.83	-0.74	-0.35	0.00	0.00	-0.04	-0.09	-0.25	-0.21	-0.41	-0.69	-0.37
192H	-0.82	-0.90	-0.82	-0.42	0.00	-0.02	-0.07	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-0.43	-0.71	-0.40
216H	-0.87	-0.95	-0.92	-0.50	-0.03	-0.02	-0.07	-0.12	-0.28	-0.19	-0.45	-0.71	-0.43
240H	-0.90	-1.01	-0.98	-0.53	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.14	-0.24	-0.16	-0.45	-0.72	-0.44
264H	-0.95	-1.05	-1.02	-0.55	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	-0.16	-0.21	-0.13	-0.44	-0.72	-0.45
288H	-0.98	-1.10	-1.03	-0.60	-0.16	0.01	-0.04	-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.46	-0.72	-0.46

표 1.1.5 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.06	1.04	0.97	0.91	0.89	0.91	0.92	0.84	0.79	0.87	0.92	0.99	0.93
48H	1.51	1.50	1.39	1.31	1.26	1.28	1.30	1.17	1.12	1.21	1.28	1.41	1.31
72H	1.94	1.93	1.77	1.68	1.60	1.63	1.66	1.49	1.44	1.55	1.65	1.82	1.68
96H	2.44	2.43	2.18	2.11	2.01	2.04	2.06	1.82	1.81	1.93	2.08	2.30	2.10
120H	3.02	3.05	2.68	2.60	2.50	2.50	2.45	2.17	2.24	2.39	2.52	2.81	2.58
144H	3.53	3.65	3.21	3.19	3.03	2.97	2.85	2.53	2.65	2.88	2.99	3.36	3.07
168H	3.94	4.21	3.77	3.74	3.56	3.45	3.19	2.90	3.09	3.37	3.46	3.92	3.55
192H	4.43	4.77	4.23	4.25	3.96	3.75	3.58	3.22	3.54	3.84	3.87	4.40	3.99
216H	4.92	5.18	4.64	4.60	4.31	4.04	3.87	3.53	3.94	4.26	4.21	4.75	4.35
240H	5.22	5.55	5.02	4.87	4.62	4.27	4.09	3.79	4.24	4.56	4.61	5.05	4.66
264H	5.56	5.89	5.30	5.12	4.87	4.47	4.22	4.03	4.39	4.79	4.91	5.25	4.90
288H	5.90	6.10	5.50	5.40	5.03	4.68	4.34	4.15	4.60	4.96	5.17	5.40	5.10

표 1.1.6 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	33.05	31.47	31.83	32.20	33.52	35.53	37.85	36.12	33.57	33.30	33.19	33.27	33.74
48H	42.00	40.46	41.06	41.71	43.29	45.68	47.66	45.82	43.32	42.58	42.02	42.38	43.16
72H	48.86	46.89	47.51	48.55	50.19	52.81	54.59	52.11	50.09	49.43	48.43	48.94	49.87
96H	54.87	52.96	53.20	54.81	56.56	59.10	60.45	57.45	56.14	55.28	54.53	55.04	55.87
120H	60.12	58.78	58.50	60.46	62.10	64.41	65.30	62.24	61.74	60.93	59.46	60.45	61.21
144H	64.81	63.75	63.46	65.75	67.35	68.87	69.35	66.59	66.28	65.82	64.05	65.12	65.93
168H	68.19	67.74	67.54	70.14	71.74	72.85	72.37	70.10	70.24	69.95	67.98	69.37	69.85
192H	70.86	71.10	70.59	73.68	75.03	75.31	75.39	73.05	73.73	73.30	71.14	72.17	72.95
216H	73.65	73.22	73.00	75.92	77.12	77.51	77.51	75.03	76.44	76.05	73.24	74.10	75.23
240H	75.24	75.43	75.32	77.70	78.95	78.99	79.03	76.81	78.35	77.83	75.84	75.93	77.12
264H	76.76	77.31	77.01	79.14	80.09	79.85	79.94	78.56	78.93	79.26	77.14	77.21	78.43
288H	78.25	77.75	77.79	80.20	81.40	80.99	80.71	79.17	80.08	80.51	78.10	77.66	79.38

표 1.1.7 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.98	0.98
48H	0.95	0.96	0.96	0.95	0.95	0.94	0.93	0.93	0.95	0.95	0.96	0.95	0.95
72H	0.92	0.93	0.93	0.92	0.92	0.90	0.89	0.89	0.92	0.92	0.93	0.92	0.92
96H	0.87	0.89	0.89	0.88	0.87	0.84	0.83	0.84	0.88	0.87	0.88	0.87	0.87
120H	0.80	0.83	0.83	0.81	0.80	0.77	0.77	0.78	0.81	0.80	0.82	0.81	0.80
144H	0.71	0.75	0.76	0.72	0.71	0.67	0.68	0.70	0.74	0.70	0.75	0.72	0.72
168H	0.64	0.67	0.67	0.62	0.60	0.56	0.61	0.62	0.64	0.60	0.66	0.62	0.63
192H	0.54	0.58	0.58	0.52	0.50	0.48	0.52	0.54	0.53	0.48	0.58	0.52	0.53
216H	0.44	0.51	0.50	0.43	0.42	0.40	0.43	0.46	0.43	0.38	0.50	0.44	0.45
240H	0.38	0.43	0.42	0.37	0.34	0.34	0.37	0.39	0.34	0.30	0.40	0.37	0.37
264H	0.30	0.34	0.36	0.31	0.27	0.28	0.33	0.32	0.29	0.24	0.34	0.31	0.31
288H	0.24	0.29	0.30	0.24	0.23	0.22	0.29	0.29	0.23	0.19	0.27	0.29	0.26

표 1.1.8 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-1.79	-1.65	-1.49	-0.89	-0.60	-1.03	-1.82	-1.77	-1.36	-1.17	-1.15	-1.89	-1.38
48H	-3.00	-2.95	-2.68	-1.80	-1.39	-1.87	-3.32	-3.39	-2.63	-2.07	-1.93	-2.98	-2.50
72H	-4.19	-4.13	-3.52	-2.29	-1.59	-2.18	-4.32	-4.43	-3.46	-2.78	-2.61	-4.04	-3.30
96H	-5.27	-4.97	-4.05	-2.34	-1.38	-2.11	-5.05	-5.15	-3.95	-3.19	-3.19	-4.87	-3.79
120H	-6.08	-5.98	-4.65	-2.18	-1.23	-1.71	-5.24	-5.72	-4.44	-3.21	-3.59	-5.60	-4.14
144H	-6.79	-7.13	-5.89	-1.92	-0.97	-1.48	-5.50	-6.21	-4.76	-3.26	-3.82	-6.19	-4.49
168H	-7.80	-8.60	-6.71	-1.98	-0.66	-0.88	-5.80	-6.66	-5.03	-3.28	-4.17	-6.92	-4.87
192H	-8.57	-9.80	-7.96	-2.30	-0.58	-0.54	-5.78	-6.45	-5.32	-3.72	-4.78	-7.54	-5.28
216H	-9.60	-10.73	-9.02	-3.35	-0.41	-0.50	-5.55	-6.52	-5.45	-4.06	-5.11	-8.01	-5.69
240H	-10.42	-12.00	-9.57	-4.62	-0.26	-0.44	-5.39	-6.88	-4.77	-4.34	-5.62	-8.19	-6.04
264H	-10.29	-13.71	-9.89	-5.58	-0.42	-0.28	-5.19	-7.24	-4.27	-4.10	-6.55	-8.24	-6.31
288H	-10.92	-14.66	-10.23	-6.63	-0.38	-0.46	-4.83	-7.81	-3.84	-3.71	-7.62	-8.81	-6.66

표 1.1.9 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	8.30	8.22	7.43	7.14	7.03	7.01	7.08	6.37	6.65	7.38	7.36	8.21	7.35
48H	16.08	15.92	14.12	13.85	13.20	12.45	13.03	11.35	12.45	13.79	13.90	15.92	13.84
72H	26.03	25.36	22.09	22.07	20.91	19.66	19.85	17.38	20.01	22.12	21.94	25.11	21.88
96H	37.41	37.45	32.03	32.51	30.66	28.89	27.95	24.47	29.03	32.83	32.75	35.88	31.82
120H	49.75	51.13	43.63	45.75	42.24	39.02	37.77	32.94	39.14	45.31	43.88	48.70	43.27
144H	63.50	65.78	55.35	60.33	55.70	49.45	46.96	42.00	51.17	58.34	56.33	62.11	55.59
168H	76.83	79.27	67.06	72.75	67.75	60.02	54.68	49.90	63.10	70.63	68.83	75.95	67.23
192H	90.58	92.50	78.36	83.86	76.97	68.41	62.56	57.86	71.32	83.74	79.60	87.13	77.74
216H	102.32	104.14	89.42	93.96	84.13	75.25	68.84	64.89	78.92	96.00	89.02	97.66	87.05
240H	110.81	115.57	100.34	103.01	90.51	80.33	74.86	70.55	85.84	103.86	98.63	107.11	95.12
264H	119.95	126.35	109.67	110.83	96.42	84.44	78.69	76.97	91.08	109.71	105.35	115.10	102.05
288H	131.04	132.28	117.10	115.79	100.54	89.12	81.78	80.77	94.76	115.18	111.29	120.88	107.54

표 1.1.10 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	10.84	10.77	10.91	11.74	13.00	14.95	16.51	14.82	13.56	11.52	11.23	10.96	12.57
48H	18.13	17.86	17.85	19.17	20.92	23.38	25.54	22.60	21.28	18.56	18.14	18.39	20.15
72H	25.70	24.97	24.66	27.15	29.32	32.08	34.33	30.37	29.35	26.17	25.44	25.87	27.95
96H	33.11	32.52	31.83	35.28	37.75	41.07	43.03	38.40	38.07	34.41	33.32	33.32	36.01
120H	39.82	39.68	38.72	43.57	46.04	49.61	51.80	46.54	46.28	42.44	40.42	40.51	43.79
144H	46.10	46.44	44.85	51.07	54.38	57.15	58.91	54.24	54.40	49.95	47.45	47.14	51.01
168H	51.57	51.82	50.51	57.27	61.18	63.53	65.03	60.56	61.68	56.34	53.55	53.13	57.18
192H	56.52	56.34	55.18	62.82	66.28	68.15	70.35	66.12	66.98	62.27	58.58	57.76	62.28
216H	60.14	60.30	59.17	67.16	69.39	72.03	74.11	70.22	71.05	67.49	62.23	61.18	66.21
240H	62.70	64.15	63.25	70.72	72.39	74.62	77.23	73.16	74.15	70.59	65.90	63.60	69.37
264H	65.41	67.30	65.99	73.26	74.58	77.09	79.12	76.32	75.93	72.98	68.20	66.20	71.86
288H	68.37	68.64	67.99	74.60	76.03	79.40	80.84	78.06	77.60	75.14	69.82	68.17	73.72

표 1.1.11 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.99	0.99	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
48H	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.98	0.98	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99
72H	0.97	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.96	0.96	0.96	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.97
96H	0.94	0.95	0.95	0.94	0.92	0.90	0.92	0.93	0.93	0.93	0.95	0.94	0.93
120H	0.88	0.90	0.91	0.87	0.86	0.82	0.84	0.87	0.87	0.87	0.90	0.89	0.87
144H	0.81	0.83	0.86	0.78	0.75	0.72	0.75	0.78	0.77	0.78	0.84	0.82	0.79
168H	0.72	0.76	0.80	0.67	0.63	0.59	0.65	0.70	0.65	0.68	0.75	0.73	0.69
192H	0.62	0.67	0.72	0.57	0.52	0.48	0.54	0.59	0.55	0.55	0.66	0.64	0.59
216H	0.52	0.59	0.64	0.47	0.42	0.38	0.44	0.48	0.44	0.42	0.58	0.55	0.49
240H	0.44	0.49	0.54	0.38	0.33	0.29	0.34	0.38	0.34	0.32	0.49	0.47	0.40
264H	0.36	0.38	0.45	0.29	0.25	0.21	0.27	0.26	0.26	0.24	0.42	0.38	0.31
288H	0.26	0.32	0.37	0.23	0.20	0.13	0.21	0.19	0.20	0.17	0.35	0.33	0.25

표 1.1.12 GDAPS 북반구 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.19	-0.17	-0.19	-0.20	-0.23	-0.29	-0.34	-0.32	-0.35	-0.30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.26
48H	-0.38	-0.29	-0.29	-0.30	-0.34	-0.50	-0.53	-0.52	-0.57	-0.44	-0.47	-0.39	-0.42
72H	-0.47	-0.38	-0.38	-0.35	-0.42	-0.61	-0.66	-0.66	-0.69	-0.55	-0.59	-0.46	-0.52
96H	-0.57	-0.49	-0.50	-0.44	-0.48	-0.70	-0.75	-0.77	-0.81	-0.64	-0.70	-0.52	-0.61
120H	-0.64	-0.62	-0.54	-0.56	-0.57	-0.78	-0.75	-0.86	-0.89	-0.75	-0.74	-0.55	-0.69
144H	-0.71	-0.70	-0.59	-0.66	-0.69	-0.88	-0.72	-0.88	-1.01	-0.86	-0.77	-0.52	-0.75
168H	-0.79	-0.78	-0.61	-0.65	-0.80	-0.91	-0.70	-0.83	-1.05	-0.97	-0.81	-0.51	-0.78
192H	-0.87	-0.84	-0.52	-0.52	-0.88	-0.91	-0.67	-0.86	-0.95	-1.12	-0.80	-0.45	-0.78
216H	-0.89	-0.87	-0.45	-0.52	-0.91	-0.90	-0.70	-0.82	-0.90	-1.21	-0.90	-0.37	-0.79
240H	-0.94	-0.91	-0.52	-0.58	-0.94	-0.89	-0.61	-0.76	-1.00	-1.25	-0.93	-0.50	-0.82
264H	-0.92	-1.02	-0.60	-0.71	-0.86	-0.89	-0.56	-0.70	-1.03	-1.40	-0.92	-0.51	-0.84
288H	-0.93	-1.13	-0.76	-0.73	-0.88	-0.84	-0.47	-0.64	-1.02	-1.50	-0.76	-0.33	-0.83

표 1.1.13 GDAPS 북반구 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	3.74	3.86	3.75	3.80	3.90	3.91	4.14	3.91	3.90	3.91	3.83	3.82	3.87
48H	5.86	5.90	5.75	5.79	5.89	6.08	6.47	5.93	5.95	5.97	5.80	6.00	5.95
72H	8.20	8.11	7.78	7.83	7.95	8.37	8.75	8.03	8.14	8.40	7.95	8.34	8.15
96H	10.57	10.60	10.08	10.27	10.32	10.66	11.11	10.19	10.65	10.95	10.56	10.83	10.57
120H	13.06	13.30	12.60	12.90	12.72	13.01	13.30	12.32	13.24	13.69	13.18	13.71	13.09
144H	15.77	16.10	14.97	15.70	15.05	15.51	15.24	14.47	15.69	16.30	15.79	16.46	15.59
168H	18.15	18.44	17.45	18.13	17.36	17.53	16.99	16.22	18.08	18.68	18.37	18.88	17.86
192H	20.37	20.66	19.58	20.28	19.18	18.90	18.64	17.50	20.17	20.81	20.60	21.11	19.82
216H	22.31	22.72	21.48	22.01	20.50	20.21	19.56	18.82	21.68	22.68	22.21	23.04	21.43
240H	23.79	24.39	23.03	23.37	21.83	21.02	20.79	19.69	22.78	23.96	23.94	24.36	22.75
264H	25.61	26.04	24.47	24.29	23.03	21.79	21.47	20.71	23.47	24.95	25.14	25.27	23.85
288H	26.98	26.89	25.56	25.11	23.93	22.43	22.01	21.36	23.98	26.00	26.24	26.40	24.74

적도지역 분석검증

표 1.1.14 GDAPS 적도지역 해면기압(MSLP) Mean Error [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.11	-0.13	-0.12	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.15	-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.10
48H	-0.22	-0.25	-0.23	-0.19	-0.10	-0.06	-0.07	-0.15	-0.21	-0.22	-0.22	-0.21	-0.18
72H	-0.34	-0.39	-0.36	-0.29	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-0.19	-0.28	-0.31	-0.33	-0.36	-0.27
96H	-0.45	-0.54	-0.48	-0.39	-0.27	-0.19	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-0.38	-0.43	-0.50	-0.36
120H	-0.55	-0.67	-0.59	-0.48	-0.34	-0.30	-0.21	-0.27	-0.38	-0.47	-0.53	-0.61	-0.45
144H	-0.65	-0.77	-0.67	-0.62	-0.39	-0.42	-0.31	-0.34	-0.41	-0.52	-0.67	-0.68	-0.54
168H	-0.78	-0.84	-0.76	-0.75	-0.45	-0.48	-0.42	-0.41	-0.41	-0.57	-0.77	-0.71	-0.61
192H	-0.89	-0.87	-0.84	-0.78	-0.52	-0.53	-0.44	-0.44	-0.33	-0.58	-0.84	-0.77	-0.65
216H	-0.94	-0.94	-0.90	-0.73	-0.57	-0.63	-0.48	-0.48	-0.31	-0.59	-0.85	-0.78	-0.68
240H	-0.98	-0.99	-0.92	-0.66	-0.60	-0.65	-0.52	-0.55	-0.28	-0.59	-0.86	-0.81	-0.70
264H	-1.09	-1.01	-1.00	-0.58	-0.66	-0.68	-0.52	-0.57	-0.20	-0.71	-0.82	-0.89	-0.73
288H	-1.17	-1.09	-1.04	-0.53	-0.68	-0.72	-0.51	-0.58	-0.17	-0.82	-0.75	-0.93	-0.75

표 1.1.15 GDAPS 적도지역 해면기압(MSLP) RMSE [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.51	0.54	0.54	0.52	0.52	0.50	0.55	0.59	0.62	0.68	0.62	0.60	0.57
48H	0.75	0.76	0.76	0.68	0.69	0.68	0.76	0.82	0.83	0.86	0.80	0.82	0.77
72H	0.92	0.91	0.94	0.81	0.83	0.79	0.91	0.99	0.99	1.01	0.94	0.98	0.92
96H	1.06	1.06	1.09	0.92	0.92	0.88	1.02	1.11	1.10	1.12	1.05	1.09	1.04
120H	1.21	1.22	1.25	1.05	1.05	1.01	1.13	1.22	1.22	1.25	1.17	1.19	1.16
144H	1.38	1.38	1.40	1.24	1.17	1.17	1.26	1.33	1.35	1.35	1.30	1.28	1.30
168H	1.53	1.56	1.53	1.43	1.28	1.25	1.39	1.47	1.45	1.47	1.44	1.36	1.43
192H	1.65	1.70	1.67	1.54	1.40	1.36	1.48	1.57	1.51	1.58	1.56	1.50	1.54
216H	1.77	1.83	1.80	1.64	1.50	1.52	1.57	1.66	1.62	1.68	1.66	1.61	1.65
240H	1.88	1.98	1.94	1.75	1.61	1.64	1.69	1.73	1.71	1.78	1.80	1.72	1.77
264H	2.03	2.08	2.11	1.85	1.70	1.80	1.87	1.84	1.78	1.91	1.82	1.90	1.89
288H	2.14	2.19	2.22	1.92	1.81	1.91	1.97	1.91	1.85	2.05	1.86	2.03	1.99

표 1.1.16 GDAPS 적도지역 해면기압(MSLP) S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	30.07	32.14	31.35	32.19	30.69	27.90	28.22	29.70	32.65	33.86	32.86	30.46	31.01
48H	35.09	36.82	36.84	37.08	35.25	32.13	32.73	34.60	37.71	39.22	37.26	34.80	35.79
72H	38.15	39.50	40.25	39.71	37.55	34.46	35.44	37.73	40.89	42.58	39.73	37.29	38.61
96H	40.52	41.86	42.79	41.78	39.41	36.26	37.50	39.77	43.32	45.08	41.40	39.23	40.74
120H	42.58	44.10	45.24	43.73	41.42	37.96	39.33	41.52	45.39	47.42	43.27	40.97	42.74
144H	44.80	46.22	47.25	45.82	43.83	39.80	41.16	43.26	47.27	49.39	44.93	42.61	44.69
168H	46.96	48.64	49.37	48.16	45.63	41.19	42.78	44.98	49.36	51.13	46.86	44.24	46.61
192H	49.01	51.13	51.20	50.57	47.28	42.75	44.41	46.54	51.29	52.92	48.56	46.01	48.47
216H	50.88	53.35	53.01	52.83	48.32	44.16	45.83	48.08	52.71	54.56	50.42	47.53	50.14
240H	52.12	54.93	54.62	54.42	49.95	45.40	47.25	49.34	53.79	56.01	52.12	48.74	51.56
264H	53.96	56.64	55.69	55.91	50.85	46.93	48.90	50.06	54.72	56.85	53.59	50.13	52.85
288H	55.31	58.06	57.30	57.39	52.26	47.56	49.80	51.18	55.71	57.66	54.70	51.31	54.02

표 1.1.17 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	0.05	0.07	0.04	-0.02	-0.01
48H	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	-0.05	-0.11	-0.14	-0.16	-0.09	0.03	0.09	0.05	-0.06	-0.04
72H	-0.18	0.01	-0.06	-0.08	-0.15	-0.20	-0.24	-0.17	-0.03	0.11	0.05	-0.09	-0.09
96H	-0.24	-0.02	-0.10	-0.10	-0.16	-0.23	-0.31	-0.26	-0.10	0.10	0.04	-0.12	-0.13
120H	-0.28	-0.05	-0.12	-0.12	-0.18	-0.25	-0.36	-0.35	-0.17	0.09	0.02	-0.15	-0.16
144H	-0.32	-0.06	-0.14	-0.14	-0.20	-0.25	-0.40	-0.41	-0.23	0.06	0.01	-0.17	-0.19
168H	-0.34	-0.08	-0.17	-0.16	-0.23	-0.26	-0.43	-0.44	-0.28	0.03	-0.01	-0.21	-0.22
192H	-0.36	-0.12	-0.20	-0.18	-0.25	-0.29	-0.48	-0.44	-0.32	0.00	-0.02	-0.22	-0.24
216H	-0.38	-0.14	-0.24	-0.21	-0.26	-0.30	-0.50	-0.45	-0.34	-0.03	-0.04	-0.26	-0.26
240H	-0.40	-0.18	-0.26	-0.25	-0.26	-0.32	-0.47	-0.46	-0.37	-0.05	-0.06	-0.28	-0.28
264H	-0.40	-0.25	-0.27	-0.27	-0.27	-0.33	-0.45	-0.46	-0.40	-0.07	-0.09	-0.28	-0.29
288H	-0.38	-0.29	-0.28	-0.28	-0.29	-0.34	-0.41	-0.47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30

표 1.1.18 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.68	0.66	0.64	0.62	0.67	0.67	0.70	0.72	0.73	0.78	0.71	0.68	0.69
48H	0.91	0.87	0.85	0.81	0.87	0.88	0.92	0.95	0.93	0.97	0.89	0.88	0.89
72H	1.04	1.01	0.98	0.91	0.98	1.01	1.05	1.07	1.08	1.11	0.99	0.99	1.02
96H	1.14	1.12	1.08	0.99	1.07	1.11	1.15	1.17	1.18	1.19	1.07	1.07	1.11
120H	1.24	1.21	1.16	1.06	1.15	1.21	1.27	1.31	1.30	1.28	1.16	1.17	1.21
144H	1.37	1.30	1.25	1.15	1.24	1.30	1.37	1.45	1.42	1.35	1.26	1.28	1.31
168H	1.49	1.41	1.35	1.24	1.33	1.40	1.46	1.58	1.57	1.40	1.33	1.38	1.41
192H	1.62	1.55	1.44	1.34	1.40	1.51	1.59	1.69	1.70	1.45	1.41	1.46	1.51
216H	1.70	1.66	1.52	1.44	1.46	1.60	1.70	1.79	1.78	1.55	1.51	1.55	1.60
240H	1.74	1.75	1.59	1.57	1.53	1.71	1.77	1.89	1.83	1.64	1.59	1.63	1.69
264H	1.80	1.83	1.68	1.66	1.59	1.84	1.83	1.96	1.89	1.71	1.66	1.71	1.76
288H	1.88	1.93	1.78	1.72	1.66	1.93	1.93	2.02	1.93	1.78	1.70	1.77	1.84

표 1.1.19 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	44.73	44.71	45.04	45.62	45.19	43.99	44.74	44.46	45.62	48.71	47.39	46.18	45.53
48H	54.27	53.69	54.39	54.68	54.30	53.03	53.38	53.58	54.38	57.03	55.63	55.18	54.46
72H	58.88	58.37	59.07	58.68	58.39	57.44	57.47	57.55	58.80	61.19	59.42	59.44	58.73
96H	61.53	61.13	61.94	61.05	61.07	59.80	60.18	59.79	61.42	63.59	61.47	62.03	61.25
120H	63.94	63.27	63.89	63.02	63.05	61.94	62.33	62.02	63.60	65.61	63.59	64.30	63.38
144H	66.29	65.28	66.15	64.82	64.94	63.43	64.14	63.89	65.54	67.25	65.59	66.08	65.28
168H	68.16	67.25	67.92	66.61	66.36	64.82	65.70	65.78	67.33	68.38	66.89	67.76	66.91
192H	70.15	69.40	69.10	68.69	67.63	66.56	67.05	67.46	69.31	69.52	68.53	69.03	68.54
216H	71.47	71.05	70.24	70.38	68.94	67.81	68.24	68.95	70.19	70.88	69.92	70.43	69.88
240H	72.40	72.52	71.09	71.80	70.20	69.08	69.12	69.88	71.05	72.07	71.05	71.48	70.98
264H	73.72	73.70	72.54	72.89	70.76	70.41	69.72	70.66	71.80	72.70	72.67	72.33	71.99
288H	74.67	74.66	73.92	74.06	71.92	71.36	70.50	71.58	72.37	73.72	73.44	73.06	72.94

표 1.1.20 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.92	0.92	0.91	0.91	0.89	0.90	0.91	0.91	0.90	0.87	0.89	0.93	0.91
48H	0.86	0.87	0.85	0.84	0.81	0.84	0.84	0.85	0.83	0.80	0.83	0.88	0.84
72H	0.83	0.83	0.80	0.81	0.76	0.79	0.80	0.81	0.78	0.75	0.79	0.86	0.80
96H	0.79	0.79	0.76	0.77	0.72	0.75	0.76	0.77	0.73	0.71	0.76	0.84	0.76
120H	0.75	0.76	0.73	0.74	0.68	0.70	0.71	0.73	0.68	0.67	0.72	0.81	0.72
144H	0.70	0.73	0.68	0.70	0.63	0.66	0.66	0.67	0.62	0.63	0.67	0.77	0.68
168H	0.65	0.68	0.63	0.66	0.58	0.60	0.62	0.60	0.56	0.60	0.63	0.74	0.63
192H	0.59	0.62	0.59	0.59	0.53	0.54	0.55	0.54	0.49	0.57	0.59	0.71	0.58
216H	0.55	0.57	0.55	0.53	0.49	0.49	0.48	0.48	0.44	0.52	0.54	0.67	0.53
240H	0.53	0.51	0.51	0.45	0.45	0.43	0.43	0.42	0.42	0.46	0.50	0.63	0.48
264H	0.49	0.46	0.47	0.39	0.41	0.37	0.38	0.38	0.38	0.42	0.47	0.59	0.43
288H	0.45	0.41	0.40	0.32	0.36	0.31	0.32	0.34	0.34	0.39	0.44	0.56	0.39

표 1.1.21 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-2.77	-1.84	-2.08	-2.13	-2.53	-2.73	-2.88	-2.60	-2.17	-1.78	-2.19	-2.92	-2.38
48H	-5.55	-3.89	-4.06	-3.92	-4.44	-4.96	-5.22	-4.92	-4.11	-3.45	-4.08	-5.67	-4.52
72H	-7.88	-5.73	-5.99	-5.53	-6.05	-6.85	-6.98	-6.61	-5.88	-4.94	-5.78	-8.10	-6.36
96H	-9.96	-7.60	-7.63	-6.89	-7.31	-8.36	-8.40	-8.07	-7.40	-6.42	-7.20	-10.14	-7.95
120H	-11.72	-9.36	-9.19	-8.15	-8.39	-9.75	-9.78	-9.64	-8.74	-7.98	-8.63	-11.78	-9.43
144H	-13.41	-10.98	-10.39	-9.94	-9.18	-10.95	-11.09	-10.97	-9.57	-9.21	-10.20	-13.09	-10.75
168H	-15.01	-12.34	-11.85	-11.68	-10.06	-11.59	-12.26	-12.08	-10.33	-10.39	-11.58	-13.95	-11.93
192H	-16.35	-13.64	-13.19	-12.70	-10.99	-12.13	-12.76	-12.69	-10.29	-11.43	-12.74	-14.93	-12.82
216H	-17.32	-15.13	-14.43	-13.17	-11.88	-12.78	-13.19	-13.40	-10.55	-12.22	-13.49	-15.53	-13.59
240H	-18.15	-16.57	-15.41	-13.23	-12.57	-12.94	-13.37	-14.22	-10.96	-12.44	-14.02	-16.17	-14.17
264H	-19.39	-17.67	-16.70	-13.13	-13.56	-13.19	-13.35	-14.75	-10.71	-13.49	-14.20	-17.02	-14.76
288H	-20.39	-18.87	-17.60	-13.32	-14.35	-13.51	-13.39	-15.31	-10.73	-14.79	-14.36	-17.54	-15.35

표 1.1.22 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	4.16	3.69	3.80	3.65	4.15	4.35	4.53	4.31	3.99	4.53	4.39	4.57	4.18
48H	6.99	5.96	6.01	5.48	6.10	6.57	7.06	6.71	6.09	6.29	6.35	7.58	6.43
72H	9.60	8.01	8.34	7.21	8.00	8.75	9.38	8.86	8.16	8.14	8.29	10.20	8.58
96H	11.90	10.18	10.40	8.80	9.48	10.52	11.29	10.80	10.06	9.83	9.87	12.42	10.46
120H	14.08	12.26	12.49	10.42	11.10	12.28	13.19	12.66	11.79	11.46	11.45	14.25	12.29
144H	16.28	14.39	14.20	12.64	12.27	13.81	14.92	14.40	13.20	13.03	13.26	15.77	14.01
168H	18.35	16.51	16.00	14.71	13.61	14.91	16.65	16.09	14.66	14.66	15.08	17.02	15.69
192H	20.19	18.47	17.72	16.09	15.06	16.12	17.63	17.22	15.30	16.24	16.56	18.48	17.09
216H	21.69	20.44	19.38	17.21	16.39	17.26	18.60	18.26	16.14	17.52	17.60	19.61	18.34
240H	23.18	22.53	20.90	17.99	17.49	17.98	19.68	19.58	17.29	18.31	18.87	20.72	19.54
264H	24.83	23.95	22.60	18.41	18.84	18.82	20.60	20.77	18.17	19.50	19.48	22.11	20.67
288H	26.36	25.17	23.86	19.20	20.12	19.67	21.18	21.79	18.74	20.94	20.08	23.21	21.69

표 1.1.23 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	33.04	32.81	35.35	38.44	38.46	35.93	34.21	33.78	36.18	40.22	39.86	37.68	36.33
48H	40.16	39.85	43.55	45.48	45.80	43.06	41.14	40.72	43.20	47.13	46.39	44.94	43.45
72H	45.29	44.61	49.22	50.29	50.14	47.84	45.77	45.36	47.95	52.34	50.76	49.73	48.27
96H	49.08	48.71	53.93	54.07	54.23	51.86	50.05	49.51	52.05	56.90	54.38	53.84	52.38
120H	53.14	52.55	58.38	58.13	58.39	55.30	53.75	53.04	55.66	60.46	58.24	57.62	56.22
144H	57.31	55.96	62.37	62.07	61.89	58.35	56.94	56.25	58.75	63.66	61.64	60.97	59.68
168H	61.12	59.04	65.67	65.68	65.22	61.24	60.74	59.18	62.22	66.72	64.89	64.31	63.00
192H	64.82	62.35	68.66	68.83	68.41	64.51	64.12	61.76	65.25	70.12	68.08	67.69	66.22
216H	68.14	65.09	71.23	72.13	70.80	67.58	66.48	64.86	67.60	72.79	70.52	70.50	68.98
240H	71.49	67.80	73.85	74.89	73.36	69.63	69.14	67.94	69.80	74.36	73.83	72.68	71.56
264H	74.26	70.70	75.80	76.22	75.90	71.66	71.32	70.19	71.73	75.87	76.49	75.04	73.76
288H	76.94	73.40	77.80	78.48	78.63	73.11	73.11	72.11	73.35	77.95	78.20	77.64	75.89

표 1.1.24 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.96	0.96	0.96	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.94	0.95	0.96	0.96
48H	0.96	0.96	0.95	0.94	0.93	0.93	0.95	0.94	0.94	0.91	0.91	0.92	0.94
72H	0.93	0.93	0.92	0.91	0.90	0.88	0.91	0.90	0.90	0.87	0.87	0.88	0.90
96H	0.90	0.90	0.88	0.87	0.86	0.84	0.87	0.86	0.86	0.83	0.84	0.84	0.86
120H	0.86	0.86	0.83	0.82	0.80	0.78	0.82	0.82	0.82	0.79	0.80	0.80	0.82
144H	0.80	0.81	0.78	0.75	0.75	0.72	0.78	0.76	0.75	0.74	0.73	0.76	0.76
168H	0.74	0.73	0.73	0.65	0.69	0.67	0.71	0.69	0.67	0.67	0.65	0.71	0.69
192H	0.66	0.67	0.67	0.58	0.62	0.59	0.65	0.63	0.61	0.60	0.58	0.63	0.62
216H	0.59	0.60	0.61	0.49	0.53	0.52	0.59	0.57	0.55	0.52	0.53	0.55	0.55
240H	0.51	0.52	0.52	0.40	0.46	0.44	0.50	0.49	0.47	0.45	0.42	0.48	0.47
264H	0.43	0.48	0.44	0.35	0.38	0.38	0.43	0.43	0.39	0.40	0.38	0.41	0.41
288H	0.35	0.43	0.41	0.28	0.26	0.34	0.39	0.36	0.34	0.35	0.33	0.34	0.35

표 1.1.25 GDAPS 적도지역 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.22	-0.20	-0.26	-0.23	-0.29	-0.18	-0.24	-0.25	-0.30	-0.35	-0.23	-0.33	-0.26
48H	-0.21	-0.31	-0.30	-0.34	-0.45	-0.26	-0.34	-0.36	-0.43	-0.53	-0.36	-0.45	-0.36
72H	-0.18	-0.34	-0.25	-0.38	-0.51	-0.31	-0.26	-0.31	-0.44	-0.60	-0.42	-0.44	-0.37
96H	-0.14	-0.27	-0.18	-0.39	-0.56	-0.33	-0.15	-0.27	-0.46	-0.61	-0.41	-0.37	-0.35
120H	-0.05	-0.17	-0.12	-0.39	-0.54	-0.28	-0.01	-0.22	-0.47	-0.55	-0.38	-0.27	-0.29
144H	0.06	-0.08	-0.05	-0.37	-0.49	-0.23	0.03	-0.12	-0.44	-0.47	-0.34	-0.19	-0.22
168H	0.20	0.01	0.01	-0.41	-0.50	-0.23	0.07	-0.05	-0.38	-0.42	-0.22	-0.20	-0.18
192H	0.35	0.08	0.05	-0.38	-0.56	-0.25	0.12	-0.03	-0.36	-0.34	-0.15	-0.21	-0.14
216H	0.53	0.18	0.17	-0.34	-0.58	-0.19	0.15	0.01	-0.32	-0.25	-0.17	-0.25	-0.09
240H	0.66	0.25	0.20	-0.20	-0.56	-0.20	0.22	0.05	-0.22	-0.26	-0.26	-0.26	-0.05
264H	0.82	0.37	0.34	-0.13	-0.49	-0.19	0.30	0.17	-0.15	-0.36	-0.31	-0.28	0.01
288H	0.90	0.45	0.43	-0.08	-0.43	-0.16	0.33	0.28	-0.04	-0.41	-0.35	-0.33	0.05

표 1.1.26 GDAPS 적도지역 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	3.58	3.64	3.66	3.33	3.53	3.50	3.68	3.54	3.51	3.75	3.72	3.73	3.60
48H	4.95	4.97	5.25	4.56	4.79	4.72	5.08	4.73	4.73	5.05	4.94	5.06	4.90
72H	6.00	5.99	6.50	5.51	5.78	5.68	6.13	5.51	5.60	6.02	5.96	6.06	5.89
96H	6.98	6.93	7.50	6.42	6.67	6.56	6.98	6.14	6.35	6.88	6.78	6.99	6.76
120H	7.94	7.75	8.38	7.21	7.51	7.33	7.79	6.83	6.97	7.56	7.59	7.83	7.56
144H	8.76	8.48	9.24	7.93	8.15	8.02	8.60	7.57	7.59	8.22	8.34	8.79	8.31
168H	9.50	9.15	10.00	8.73	8.74	8.69	9.27	8.23	8.25	9.00	9.10	9.59	9.02
192H	10.32	9.92	10.60	9.51	9.40	9.44	9.90	8.89	8.86	9.77	9.87	10.36	9.74
216H	11.14	10.58	11.07	10.23	10.10	10.09	10.52	9.57	9.45	10.48	10.55	10.97	10.40
240H	12.00	11.19	11.53	10.84	10.77	10.66	10.92	10.17	10.02	10.92	11.11	11.47	10.97
264H	12.78	11.78	12.05	11.27	11.48	11.12	11.60	10.65	10.53	11.22	11.69	12.03	11.52
288H	13.30	12.40	12.62	11.69	11.98	11.63	12.21	11.10	10.92	11.52	12.06	12.40	11.99

남반구 분석검증

표 1.1.27 GDAPS 남반구 해면기압(MSLP) Mean Error [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.08	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.05	0.05	0.11	0.15	0.11	0.05	-0.02	-0.07	0.02
48H	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	0.03	0.13	0.10	0.20	0.28	0.19	0.11	-0.02	-0.13	0.05
72H	-0.20	-0.12	-0.06	0.06	0.19	0.15	0.27	0.37	0.25	0.16	0.01	-0.11	0.08
96H	-0.22	-0.14	-0.05	0.05	0.21	0.20	0.33	0.44	0.30	0.20	0.08	-0.09	0.11
120H	-0.24	-0.12	-0.06	0.05	0.24	0.24	0.40	0.52	0.34	0.22	0.12	-0.06	0.14
144H	-0.24	-0.11	0.00	0.07	0.25	0.29	0.52	0.61	0.35	0.24	0.21	-0.04	0.18
168H	-0.22	-0.05	0.01	0.11	0.26	0.26	0.67	0.68	0.39	0.25	0.32	-0.03	0.22
192H	-0.20	-0.05	0.06	0.05	0.24	0.24	0.69	0.69	0.34	0.25	0.45	0.05	0.23
216H	-0.18	0.00	0.11	0.04	0.22	0.31	0.72	0.72	0.33	0.27	0.50	0.12	0.26
240H	-0.19	0.09	0.14	0.02	0.19	0.29	0.78	0.79	0.26	0.29	0.55	0.24	0.29
264H	-0.21	0.22	0.18	-0.02	0.18	0.26	0.74	0.84	0.09	0.45	0.62	0.34	0.31
288H	-0.17	0.33	0.21	-0.03	0.10	0.31	0.63	0.88	0.03	0.57	0.70	0.41	0.33

표 1.1.28 GDAPS 남반구 해면기압(MSLP) RMSE [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.83	0.82	0.88	0.94	1.02	1.07	1.22	1.17	1.18	1.08	1.03	0.90	1.01
48H	1.45	1.40	1.59	1.69	1.86	1.96	2.14	2.05	2.04	1.81	1.69	1.48	1.76
72H	2.23	2.15	2.46	2.64	2.95	3.11	3.28	3.11	3.12	2.73	2.62	2.25	2.72
96H	3.19	3.12	3.47	3.87	4.33	4.43	4.75	4.39	4.42	3.83	3.69	3.14	3.89
120H	4.38	4.40	4.60	5.09	5.70	5.82	6.38	5.92	5.81	4.98	4.95	4.13	5.18
144H	5.62	5.46	5.68	6.15	7.19	7.28	7.45	7.53	7.24	6.15	6.05	5.19	6.42
168H	6.59	6.41	6.69	7.43	8.57	8.50	8.69	8.98	8.56	7.37	7.22	6.32	7.61
192H	7.40	7.30	7.64	8.70	9.64	9.74	9.73	10.11	9.50	8.48	8.42	7.53	8.68
216H	8.18	8.15	8.63	9.61	10.36	11.04	10.75	11.28	10.50	9.30	9.27	8.51	9.63
240H	8.62	8.67	9.41	10.10	11.17	11.94	11.58	12.10	11.44	10.23	9.69	9.35	10.36
264H	9.12	8.89	9.95	10.61	11.65	12.43	12.00	12.77	12.04	10.95	9.97	9.82	10.85
288H	9.65	9.17	10.55	11.48	12.33	12.98	12.54	12.88	12.76	11.67	10.26	10.26	11.38

표 1.1.29 GDAPS 남반구 해면기압(MSLP) S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	16.36	15.82	16.18	16.57	16.61	16.43	18.23	17.42	17.57	17.29	17.15	17.27	16.91
48H	24.48	22.92	24.42	25.04	25.46	25.47	27.60	25.96	26.25	25.18	24.53	24.84	25.18
72H	32.49	30.41	32.78	33.62	34.60	34.58	36.79	34.06	34.83	33.29	32.45	32.42	33.53
96H	40.56	38.49	41.09	42.60	44.26	43.73	46.13	42.68	43.65	41.48	40.73	40.24	42.14
120H	49.28	47.39	48.87	50.84	52.90	51.63	55.65	51.24	51.59	48.47	48.94	47.74	50.38
144H	56.97	54.37	55.78	56.92	60.58	59.11	61.09	58.56	58.98	54.80	55.55	54.26	57.25
168H	62.70	60.22	61.28	63.34	66.45	65.69	66.04	65.13	65.36	60.39	61.65	60.74	63.25
192H	67.84	64.94	66.31	69.56	70.31	70.88	70.33	69.89	69.72	65.69	66.85	67.23	68.30
216H	71.95	69.33	71.58	74.01	73.59	75.53	74.07	73.96	73.27	68.96	70.68	72.00	72.41
240H	74.02	71.63	75.20	75.69	76.97	78.68	76.60	77.14	75.56	72.90	72.81	75.66	75.24
264H	76.30	72.71	76.50	77.37	78.54	80.55	78.74	79.36	77.31	75.42	73.86	77.27	76.99
288H	78.10	73.95	78.66	79.51	80.64	82.23	80.77	79.78	79.53	77.95	75.07	79.38	78.80

표 1.1.30 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.07	-0.22	-0.26	-0.26	-0.22	-0.06	0.06	0.07	0.06	-0.07
48H	0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.17	-0.36	-0.42	-0.43	-0.38	-0.15	0.03	0.05	0.03	-0.15
72H	-0.05	-0.01	-0.09	-0.24	-0.44	-0.51	-0.56	-0.48	-0.24	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	-0.22
96H	-0.11	-0.06	-0.14	-0.29	-0.52	-0.59	-0.65	-0.55	-0.33	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.28
120H	-0.17	-0.10	-0.17	-0.33	-0.56	-0.64	-0.69	-0.62	-0.40	-0.15	-0.08	-0.13	-0.34
144H	-0.23	-0.14	-0.21	-0.37	-0.59	-0.67	-0.76	-0.67	-0.47	-0.20	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39
168H	-0.29	-0.18	-0.24	-0.40	-0.59	-0.66	-0.81	-0.68	-0.52	-0.26	-0.22	-0.30	-0.43
192H	-0.34	-0.22	-0.29	-0.40	-0.60	-0.63	-0.84	-0.68	-0.54	-0.30	-0.30	-0.36	-0.46
216H	-0.41	-0.25	-0.33	-0.40	-0.59	-0.61	-0.84	-0.69	-0.55	-0.32	-0.35	-0.40	-0.48
240H	-0.48	-0.29	-0.36	-0.38	-0.60	-0.62	-0.88	-0.68	-0.56	-0.39	-0.43	-0.42	-0.51
264H	-0.52	-0.33	-0.37	-0.35	-0.66	-0.59	-0.89	-0.66	-0.59	-0.43	-0.47	-0.48	-0.53
288H	-0.54	-0.39	-0.35	-0.32	-0.67	-0.58	-0.80	-0.65	-0.59	-0.40	-0.51	-0.52	-0.53

표 1.1.31 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.82	0.82	0.86	0.92	0.95	0.99	1.08	1.06	1.05	0.99	0.95	0.88	0.95
48H	1.21	1.21	1.28	1.36	1.40	1.51	1.61	1.60	1.53	1.42	1.36	1.28	1.40
72H	1.57	1.53	1.65	1.77	1.86	1.96	2.10	2.08	1.98	1.80	1.74	1.62	1.80
96H	1.92	1.90	2.06	2.23	2.37	2.51	2.66	2.58	2.49	2.20	2.15	1.97	2.25
120H	2.35	2.37	2.48	2.70	2.82	2.99	3.17	3.13	3.02	2.67	2.61	2.35	2.72
144H	2.82	2.83	2.96	3.11	3.32	3.47	3.64	3.63	3.57	3.10	3.00	2.75	3.18
168H	3.28	3.19	3.35	3.62	3.78	3.90	3.98	4.09	4.07	3.51	3.43	3.21	3.62
192H	3.65	3.57	3.67	4.12	4.15	4.26	4.34	4.51	4.45	3.91	3.91	3.62	4.01
216H	3.97	3.91	4.01	4.49	4.44	4.68	4.60	4.84	4.80	4.22	4.27	4.00	4.35
240H	4.18	4.07	4.32	4.75	4.81	5.01	4.87	5.04	5.07	4.56	4.52	4.28	4.62
264H	4.30	4.22	4.50	4.91	5.02	5.25	5.15	5.23	5.23	4.87	4.73	4.43	4.82
288H	4.45	4.28	4.72	5.06	5.10	5.34	5.32	5.30	5.43	5.00	4.88	4.56	4.95

표 1.1.32 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	34.21	32.90	32.04	32.75	32.99	33.33	35.24	34.16	33.89	34.58	35.64	35.63	33.95
48H	46.00	44.19	43.50	44.17	44.79	45.60	47.12	45.85	45.09	45.50	46.81	47.20	45.49
72H	53.89	51.17	51.10	52.06	52.93	53.88	55.29	53.48	52.75	52.74	54.19	54.67	53.18
96H	59.80	57.23	57.28	58.54	59.65	61.02	62.17	59.93	58.97	58.39	60.31	60.42	59.48
120H	65.16	63.20	62.35	63.75	64.66	65.99	67.41	65.46	64.42	63.48	65.62	65.70	64.77
144H	69.38	67.64	66.83	67.49	68.97	69.99	71.16	69.27	68.78	67.28	69.38	69.33	68.79
168H	73.15	70.68	70.29	71.01	72.36	73.37	73.33	72.70	72.22	70.27	72.34	73.09	72.07
192H	75.97	73.21	72.63	74.41	74.39	75.80	75.58	75.11	74.70	72.87	75.49	75.77	74.66
216H	78.25	75.66	74.48	76.41	76.34	77.81	77.13	77.29	76.69	74.66	77.67	78.31	76.72
240H	79.35	77.11	76.60	77.60	78.14	79.37	77.76	78.19	77.79	76.60	79.00	79.72	78.10
264H	80.35	78.03	77.38	78.40	79.06	80.74	79.26	79.28	78.11	78.12	79.94	80.83	79.12
288H	80.83	78.13	78.31	79.45	79.33	80.66	80.00	79.41	79.25	79.00	80.90	81.54	79.73

표 1.1.33 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97
48H	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.93	0.93	0.93	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.93	0.94
72H	0.90	0.91	0.90	0.89	0.89	0.88	0.88	0.88	0.89	0.90	0.89	0.89	0.89
96H	0.84	0.86	0.84	0.83	0.83	0.80	0.80	0.82	0.83	0.85	0.84	0.84	0.83
120H	0.77	0.78	0.77	0.75	0.75	0.72	0.71	0.73	0.75	0.78	0.76	0.77	0.75
144H	0.67	0.68	0.67	0.67	0.65	0.62	0.62	0.64	0.65	0.70	0.68	0.69	0.66
168H	0.55	0.60	0.57	0.55	0.54	0.52	0.54	0.53	0.55	0.61	0.59	0.58	0.56
192H	0.45	0.49	0.49	0.43	0.45	0.42	0.44	0.42	0.46	0.52	0.47	0.47	0.46
216H	0.35	0.39	0.39	0.33	0.38	0.30	0.36	0.34	0.37	0.44	0.38	0.36	0.37
240H	0.29	0.33	0.29	0.26	0.28	0.21	0.28	0.28	0.29	0.36	0.31	0.27	0.29
264H	0.24	0.27	0.22	0.21	0.21	0.14	0.21	0.24	0.25	0.28	0.26	0.22	0.23
288H	0.17	0.24	0.16	0.15	0.18	0.13	0.16	0.22	0.19	0.24	0.22	0.17	0.19

표 1.1.34 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-1.82	-1.47	-1.71	-2.38	-2.92	-3.10	-2.57	-2.19	-1.33	-0.95	-1.01	-1.54	-1.92
48H	-3.31	-2.50	-2.84	-3.81	-4.57	-4.91	-4.27	-3.41	-2.28	-1.54	-1.89	-2.77	-3.17
72H	-4.39	-3.16	-3.74	-4.85	-5.74	-6.18	-5.38	-4.39	-3.09	-2.20	-2.35	-3.42	-4.07
96H	-5.26	-3.90	-4.48	-5.90	-6.82	-7.30	-6.19	-5.25	-4.09	-2.95	-2.82	-3.97	-4.91
120H	-6.09	-4.53	-5.20	-6.78	-7.82	-8.20	-6.68	-5.68	-4.86	-3.94	-3.60	-4.56	-5.66
144H	-6.98	-4.85	-5.44	-7.03	-8.76	-8.58	-7.00	-5.76	-5.37	-4.78	-4.29	-5.33	-6.18
168H	-7.74	-4.97	-5.71	-7.15	-9.41	-9.53	-7.23	-6.03	-5.90	-5.33	-4.60	-6.12	-6.64
192H	-8.73	-5.42	-5.77	-7.17	-10.19	-9.95	-8.09	-7.03	-6.77	-6.07	-4.54	-6.42	-7.18
216H	-9.53	-5.57	-5.91	-6.96	-10.80	-9.69	-8.72	-7.73	-7.09	-6.94	-5.03	-6.61	-7.55
240H	-10.27	-5.92	-6.31	-6.73	-11.30	-10.05	-9.53	-7.76	-7.98	-7.82	-5.42	-6.42	-7.96
264H	-10.98	-6.14	-6.38	-6.54	-11.64	-9.73	-10.27	-8.02	-9.85	-7.28	-5.57	-6.38	-8.23
288H	-11.45	-6.62	-6.35	-5.81	-11.86	-9.03	-10.35	-8.47	-10.80	-6.86	-5.76	-6.92	-8.36

표 1.1.35 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	7.65	7.56	7.99	8.73	9.59	10.03	11.00	10.64	10.36	9.74	9.14	7.96	9.20
48H	14.39	13.70	15.46	16.61	17.84	19.20	20.63	19.42	18.58	17.21	16.68	14.76	17.04
72H	22.81	21.54	24.65	26.78	29.48	30.92	32.59	30.72	29.72	26.32	26.79	22.99	27.11
96H	33.26	32.55	35.50	39.69	44.25	45.21	47.69	44.11	43.20	36.83	38.09	32.97	39.45
120H	45.96	47.47	47.59	52.83	58.93	59.48	63.90	60.23	57.05	48.65	51.33	43.55	53.08
144H	59.46	60.71	60.32	64.65	74.27	74.17	76.81	76.53	74.16	61.32	63.40	56.57	66.86
168H	72.42	71.66	72.19	79.84	89.12	88.99	90.20	92.43	89.62	74.86	77.16	69.99	80.71
192H	82.45	83.74	84.51	95.53	103.25	103.32	102.68	106.10	101.09	87.17	92.52	83.83	93.85
216H	90.95	94.71	97.11	106.67	112.75	119.41	113.91	120.29	112.94	97.52	102.94	94.92	105.34
240H	97.20	99.74	106.83	114.35	124.70	129.65	123.22	129.97	124.83	108.02	107.15	103.54	114.10
264H	103.70	103.84	113.42	120.66	131.34	136.96	129.84	139.00	132.87	116.88	110.87	109.83	120.77
288H	110.55	107.93	119.86	129.61	136.71	141.51	136.32	140.04	142.62	124.35	115.88	116.21	126.80

표 1.1.36 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	11.38	11.11	11.32	11.41	11.46	12.06	12.47	11.95	12.03	12.04	12.03	11.61	11.74
48H	18.47	17.59	18.44	18.59	18.78	19.93	20.23	19.01	19.05	19.05	19.14	18.66	18.91
72H	25.62	24.14	25.62	25.82	26.60	27.92	27.84	25.93	26.16	25.85	26.23	25.51	26.10
96H	32.79	31.56	32.69	33.46	34.71	35.73	35.90	33.11	33.18	32.33	33.31	32.49	33.44
120H	40.11	39.88	39.75	40.46	42.03	42.48	43.10	40.12	39.65	38.20	40.42	38.87	40.42
144H	46.76	46.10	46.15	46.22	48.03	48.82	48.43	46.63	46.70	43.85	46.14	45.06	46.57
168H	52.56	51.10	51.50	52.16	53.14	54.72	52.94	52.58	52.18	49.44	51.39	51.08	52.07
192H	57.51	56.28	55.94	58.11	57.72	59.60	56.83	56.99	56.04	54.19	57.00	56.43	56.89
216H	61.11	60.92	60.54	61.84	61.25	64.49	60.07	60.87	59.81	57.42	60.61	60.82	60.81
240H	63.52	62.77	64.16	64.30	64.92	67.04	62.44	63.68	62.19	60.80	62.62	63.88	63.53
264H	65.70	64.14	66.09	65.88	66.78	69.12	65.05	66.40	63.86	63.39	64.22	65.71	65.53
288H	67.78	65.66	67.77	68.24	68.25	70.29	66.89	66.87	66.40	65.49	65.48	67.91	67.25

표 1.1.37 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
48H	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.98	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99
72H	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.96	0.96	0.97	0.97	0.96	0.96	0.97	0.97
96H	0.93	0.94	0.93	0.92	0.92	0.91	0.92	0.93	0.93	0.93	0.93	0.94	0.93
120H	0.87	0.87	0.87	0.86	0.86	0.84	0.85	0.88	0.88	0.88	0.86	0.89	0.87
144H	0.78	0.78	0.79	0.79	0.78	0.76	0.78	0.80	0.80	0.81	0.79	0.81	0.79
168H	0.68	0.70	0.70	0.69	0.69	0.66	0.69	0.71	0.71	0.71	0.70	0.70	0.69
192H	0.58	0.58	0.59	0.56	0.58	0.54	0.60	0.61	0.63	0.60	0.59	0.58	0.59
216H	0.48	0.46	0.46	0.45	0.49	0.39	0.51	0.50	0.54	0.51	0.49	0.48	0.48
240H	0.41	0.40	0.35	0.37	0.38	0.29	0.42	0.41	0.44	0.41	0.44	0.38	0.39
264H	0.33	0.34	0.27	0.31	0.31	0.22	0.37	0.33	0.36	0.33	0.39	0.30	0.32
288H	0.23	0.27	0.19	0.23	0.25	0.18	0.31	0.31	0.27	0.26	0.34	0.23	0.26

표 1.1.38 GDAPS 남반구 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.21	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.06	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-0.25	-0.17
48H	-0.29	-0.29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.11	-0.20	-0.19	-0.17	-0.23	-0.31	-0.44	-0.33	-0.26
72H	-0.38	-0.40	-0.36	-0.36	-0.18	-0.28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.27	-0.30	-0.54	-0.41	-0.33
96H	-0.44	-0.48	-0.44	-0.44	-0.21	-0.33	-0.31	-0.32	-0.33	-0.27	-0.63	-0.48	-0.39
120H	-0.58	-0.49	-0.45	-0.46	-0.20	-0.39	-0.39	-0.37	-0.39	-0.19	-0.67	-0.54	-0.43
144H	-0.71	-0.56	-0.44	-0.50	-0.26	-0.39	-0.47	-0.44	-0.49	-0.17	-0.61	-0.56	-0.47
168H	-0.72	-0.59	-0.51	-0.46	-0.30	-0.41	-0.59	-0.53	-0.49	-0.24	-0.60	-0.55	-0.50
192H	-0.63	-0.75	-0.50	-0.51	-0.43	-0.44	-0.73	-0.60	-0.39	-0.31	-0.67	-0.52	-0.54
216H	-0.57	-0.87	-0.53	-0.47	-0.49	-0.38	-0.84	-0.67	-0.49	-0.38	-0.72	-0.41	-0.57
240H	-0.44	-0.87	-0.53	-0.42	-0.41	-0.26	-0.72	-0.78	-0.49	-0.33	-0.63	-0.46	-0.53
264H	-0.53	-0.97	-0.60	-0.38	-0.44	-0.10	-0.64	-0.79	-0.41	-0.27	-0.50	-0.58	-0.52
288H	-0.58	-1.22	-0.58	-0.40	-0.53	0.05	-0.70	-0.82	-0.44	-0.33	-0.40	-0.61	-0.55

표 1.1.39 GDAPS 남반구 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	3.85	3.83	3.94	4.01	4.24	4.24	4.37	4.21	4.29	4.31	4.43	4.00	4.14
48H	6.12	5.91	6.14	6.25	6.55	6.64	6.86	6.39	6.51	6.55	6.64	6.26	6.40
72H	8.49	8.18	8.59	8.64	9.22	9.31	9.55	8.66	8.84	8.80	9.09	8.42	8.82
96H	10.97	10.85	11.34	11.43	12.10	12.17	12.55	11.19	11.43	11.13	11.56	10.73	11.45
120H	13.64	13.65	14.11	14.18	14.99	14.90	15.19	14.27	14.24	13.29	14.23	12.97	14.14
144H	15.92	16.36	16.71	16.65	17.50	17.66	17.68	17.25	17.37	15.66	16.51	15.21	16.71
168H	18.37	18.40	18.88	19.44	20.03	20.44	19.77	20.15	19.97	18.34	18.81	17.85	19.20
192H	20.46	20.55	20.68	22.19	22.20	22.88	21.86	22.70	21.98	20.64	21.46	20.07	21.47
216H	22.18	22.32	22.57	24.12	23.97	25.59	23.57	24.68	23.75	22.23	23.19	22.08	23.35
240H	23.70	23.27	24.15	25.74	26.28	27.33	24.75	25.72	25.46	23.60	24.22	23.35	24.80
264H	24.31	23.79	25.22	26.78	27.69	28.36	26.56	27.05	26.65	24.88	25.33	24.26	25.91
288H	25.14	24.22	26.14	27.85	28.39	29.17	27.29	27.78	27.80	25.69	26.45	25.09	26.75

전지구예측시스템 관측 검증

존데자료를 이용한 아시아 영역 검증

표 1.1.40 GDAPS 아시아 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.51	-0.43	-0.38	-0.18	0.04	0.12	0.20	0.08	-0.18	-0.28	-0.24	-0.37	-0.18
48H	-0.77	-0.65	-0.59	-0.19	0.07	0.19	0.30	0.12	-0.22	-0.39	-0.30	-0.51	-0.25
72H	-0.95	-0.84	-0.77	-0.23	0.12	0.24	0.33	0.15	-0.22	-0.42	-0.24	-0.64	-0.29
96H	-1.13	-0.98	-0.82	-0.32	0.10	0.31	0.37	0.21	-0.24	-0.35	-0.18	-0.75	-0.32
120H	-1.24	-1.12	-0.93	-0.24	0.16	0.37	0.44	0.19	-0.20	-0.37	-0.16	-0.75	-0.32
144H	-1.26	-1.15	-1.02	-0.17	0.25	0.42	0.56	0.23	-0.10	-0.38	-0.15	-0.97	-0.31
168H	-1.43	-1.21	-1.14	-0.16	0.30	0.51	0.63	0.13	-0.05	-0.39	-0.19	-1.26	-0.36
192H	-1.58	-1.33	-1.25	-0.50	0.25	0.44	0.75	0.15	0.10	-0.38	-0.21	-1.35	-0.41
216H	-1.78	-1.58	-1.25	-1.00	0.11	0.42	0.79	0.28	0.30	-0.54	-0.17	-1.48	-0.49
240H	-2.03	-1.98	-1.27	-0.98	-0.03	0.60	1.05	0.40	0.38	-0.49	-0.35	-1.70	-0.53
264H	-2.22	-2.25	-1.30	-0.87	-0.16	0.70	1.07	0.56	0.46	-0.44	-0.46	-1.95	-0.57
288H	-2.67	-2.48	-1.24	-1.05	-0.15	0.81	1.09	0.57	0.64	-0.59	-0.43	-2.17	-0.64

표 1.1.41 GDAPS 아시아 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.66	1.57	1.39	1.43	1.36	1.34	1.35	1.24	1.13	1.29	1.48	1.67	1.41
48H	2.01	1.87	1.70	1.77	1.69	1.69	1.69	1.49	1.39	1.56	1.74	1.94	1.71
72H	2.37	2.17	1.94	1.98	2.05	1.96	2.07	1.75	1.70	1.84	2.03	2.27	2.01
96H	2.77	2.58	2.12	2.29	2.41	2.32	2.33	1.97	2.03	2.16	2.33	2.63	2.33
120H	3.21	2.98	2.41	2.71	2.86	2.77	2.62	2.32	2.44	2.54	2.59	3.03	2.71
144H	3.63	3.43	2.95	3.29	3.29	3.20	3.01	2.58	2.71	2.97	2.97	3.51	3.13
168H	4.04	4.03	3.53	4.01	3.74	3.58	3.38	2.82	3.06	3.61	3.40	4.08	3.61
192H	4.42	4.49	3.86	4.75	4.10	3.88	3.78	3.06	3.52	4.24	3.94	4.47	4.04
216H	5.04	4.93	4.37	5.18	4.34	4.14	3.97	3.35	3.90	4.77	4.52	4.71	4.43
240H	5.56	5.56	4.96	5.19	4.65	4.35	4.32	3.65	4.36	5.15	4.86	5.16	4.81
264H	6.07	5.64	5.30	5.31	4.96	4.50	4.65	3.94	4.60	5.23	5.37	5.37	5.08
288H	6.33	5.96	5.55	5.66	4.97	4.77	4.71	4.10	4.73	5.42	5.61	5.73	5.29

표 1.1.42 GDAPS 아시아 850hPa 기온 TREND [무차원] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.91	0.91	0.90	0.93	0.91	0.89	0.86	0.85	0.90	0.93	0.88	0.89	0.90
48H	0.91	0.92	0.93	0.93	0.91	0.90	0.88	0.88	0.92	0.95	0.91	0.92	0.91
72H	0.90	0.91	0.92	0.93	0.89	0.88	0.85	0.88	0.91	0.94	0.92	0.91	0.90
96H	0.88	0.86	0.92	0.92	0.86	0.84	0.84	0.87	0.90	0.92	0.91	0.90	0.88
120H	0.84	0.82	0.89	0.91	0.82	0.78	0.82	0.83	0.86	0.89	0.91	0.87	0.85
144H	0.76	0.79	0.81	0.87	0.80	0.74	0.78	0.79	0.84	0.86	0.89	0.83	0.81
168H	0.71	0.76	0.79	0.82	0.75	0.71	0.75	0.75	0.79	0.78	0.86	0.76	0.77
192H	0.66	0.72	0.77	0.78	0.70	0.68	0.72	0.71	0.73	0.69	0.81	0.70	0.72
216H	0.58	0.66	0.70	0.75	0.68	0.64	0.69	0.65	0.68	0.60	0.73	0.66	0.67
240H	0.55	0.61	0.62	0.72	0.64	0.59	0.64	0.60	0.62	0.58	0.71	0.61	0.62
264H	0.51	0.59	0.57	0.68	0.61	0.58	0.59	0.54	0.60	0.61	0.66	0.58	0.59
288H	0.51	0.57	0.53	0.65	0.60	0.53	0.57	0.48	0.59	0.62	0.65	0.59	0.57

표 1.1.43 GDAPS 아시아 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m/s] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-3.06	-2.97	-1.66	0.31	1.40	2.28	1.19	2.09	1.61	-0.90	0.46	-2.66	-0.16
48H	-5.41	-5.37	-1.94	0.05	0.96	2.03	-0.15	0.43	2.01	-0.79	0.56	-3.48	-0.92
72H	-6.72	-6.72	-2.09	0.65	2.42	2.89	-0.12	1.01	3.34	1.34	0.80	-3.99	-0.60
96H	-9.04	-8.05	-3.91	-0.10	3.30	2.28	-2.06	0.51	4.29	2.81	1.12	-3.91	-1.06
120H	-11.45	-10.81	-5.80	-0.14	3.04	1.51	-4.17	-1.70	3.02	2.02	1.60	-4.08	-2.25
144H	-15.14	-11.85	-7.65	0.54	1.70	2.34	-4.80	-3.96	2.30	1.93	2.81	-4.19	-3.00
168H	-18.02	-11.70	-6.55	1.18	2.73	5.26	-3.93	-4.40	3.30	2.67	4.44	-6.38	-2.62
192H	-18.15	-11.16	-7.12	-0.57	3.09	4.29	-3.11	-1.59	7.26	3.28	4.40	-7.47	-2.24
216H	-25.62	-10.98	-11.41	-4.75	2.93	3.24	-3.19	-1.22	7.10	5.25	5.83	-10.26	-3.59
240H	-29.63	-15.00	-12.05	-4.20	1.28	4.54	-1.58	-1.42	2.70	5.69	4.46	-10.69	-4.66
264H	-30.85	-17.28	-10.89	0.68	2.22	5.83	-3.67	0.26	2.86	5.19	2.22	-9.85	-4.44
288H	-34.84	-18.02	-11.62	0.68	0.39	5.80	-4.40	-1.33	5.89	10.12	-0.43	-13.11	-5.07

표 1.1.44 GDAPS 아시아 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m/s] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	13.33	12.33	11.56	11.54	11.37	12.17	13.28	11.83	11.62	11.64	12.06	13.09	12.15
48H	17.82	16.10	14.63	15.19	14.98	15.88	17.09	14.45	15.14	15.52	16.10	17.66	15.88
72H	22.81	21.61	17.91	19.91	20.93	20.37	22.17	17.71	19.95	20.36	20.17	23.52	20.62
96H	29.51	29.18	21.92	25.54	27.37	26.05	26.19	21.25	25.28	26.64	26.04	31.03	26.33
120H	38.14	36.90	29.81	33.66	33.15	33.48	31.47	24.74	32.47	34.25	32.63	41.61	33.53
144H	47.22	47.62	39.51	45.03	39.79	41.63	38.68	30.40	36.92	45.69	42.11	51.03	42.14
168H	57.15	57.84	46.81	55.82	49.97	48.38	44.30	35.32	44.38	58.58	51.06	58.90	50.71
192H	66.99	62.98	54.58	66.62	57.93	51.39	49.01	39.78	54.29	69.64	59.75	66.82	58.32
216H	77.68	73.78	61.78	75.58	63.00	55.28	52.37	43.23	58.66	79.67	66.19	75.10	65.19
240H	86.93	82.96	67.18	77.24	67.84	57.73	56.45	47.21	65.04	86.43	72.76	84.69	71.04
264H	93.87	88.88	71.46	81.70	72.65	63.07	61.12	49.68	67.05	88.87	77.50	87.99	75.32
288H	97.54	91.56	75.18	86.26	78.06	66.43	61.64	53.37	69.41	94.55	80.83	95.20	79.17

표 1.1.45 GDAPS 아시아 500hPa 고도 TREND [무차원] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.95	0.93	0.94	0.96	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.97
48H	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.95	0.94	0.95	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.97
72H	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.96	0.94	0.93	0.92	0.94	0.96	0.98	0.97	0.97	0.96
96H	0.95	0.94	0.97	0.95	0.92	0.90	0.90	0.92	0.94	0.97	0.95	0.96	0.94
120H	0.92	0.91	0.93	0.93	0.91	0.86	0.88	0.90	0.90	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.91
144H	0.88	0.88	0.87	0.89	0.87	0.80	0.84	0.85	0.88	0.90	0.91	0.90	0.87
168H	0.82	0.83	0.83	0.85	0.81	0.76	0.80	0.80	0.83	0.84	0.85	0.85	0.82
192H	0.75	0.79	0.76	0.80	0.76	0.72	0.77	0.76	0.77	0.77	0.81	0.79	0.77
216H	0.70	0.69	0.70	0.75	0.75	0.70	0.75	0.71	0.75	0.69	0.77	0.74	0.72
240H	0.64	0.65	0.66	0.75	0.70	0.70	0.71	0.63	0.71	0.65	0.75	0.66	0.68
264H	0.58	0.62	0.59	0.72	0.66	0.66	0.68	0.59	0.71	0.66	0.74	0.62	0.65
288H	0.54	0.58	0.58	0.67	0.61	0.62	0.68	0.49	0.70	0.64	0.73	0.58	0.62

표 1.1.46 GDAPS 아시아 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.98	-0.99	-0.78	-0.37	-0.37	-0.63	-0.86	-0.53	-0.51	-0.43	-0.63	-0.83	-0.66
48H	-1.31	-1.30	-0.94	-0.73	-0.69	-1.24	-1.04	-0.89	-0.91	-0.68	-0.91	-1.03	-0.97
72H	-1.42	-1.47	-0.77	-0.98	-1.10	-1.44	-1.34	-1.05	-1.16	-0.77	-1.20	-1.11	-1.15
96H	-1.61	-1.54	-0.89	-1.28	-1.24	-1.41	-1.42	-1.08	-1.27	-0.97	-1.31	-1.12	-1.26
120H	-1.86	-1.61	-0.66	-1.76	-1.41	-1.34	-1.36	-1.28	-1.43	-1.04	-1.17	-1.10	-1.34
144H	-1.86	-2.01	-0.77	-2.14	-1.36	-1.42	-1.50	-1.30	-1.49	-1.07	-1.15	-1.02	-1.42
168H	-1.86	-2.01	-0.80	-2.12	-1.55	-1.41	-1.43	-1.30	-1.35	-1.17	-0.84	-0.91	-1.40
192H	-2.00	-1.88	-0.99	-1.85	-1.79	-1.14	-1.44	-1.42	-1.43	-1.12	-0.60	-0.90	-1.38
216H	-1.57	-1.43	-1.15	-1.78	-1.60	-1.47	-1.61	-1.69	-1.49	-1.10	-0.61	-0.33	-1.32
240H	-1.41	-1.05	-0.72	-2.23	-1.59	-1.77	-1.68	-1.68	-1.66	-1.20	-0.27	0.19	-1.26
264H	-1.26	-1.26	-0.16	-2.70	-1.60	-1.94	-1.70	-1.27	-1.57	-1.44	-0.30	0.24	-1.25
288H	-1.19	-1.36	-0.16	-2.78	-1.90	-1.84	-1.45	-1.05	-1.55	-1.68	-0.04	0.47	-1.21

표 1.1.47 GDAPS 아시아 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	5.09	5.70	5.70	6.12	6.25	6.23	6.08	5.55	5.33	4.96	4.90	4.96	5.57
48H	6.23	6.68	7.12	8.04	8.09	8.41	8.43	7.51	6.83	6.32	6.14	6.13	7.16
72H	7.67	8.07	8.27	9.61	9.65	10.38	10.50	9.10	8.47	7.58	7.67	7.36	8.69
96H	9.17	9.77	9.57	11.32	11.77	12.19	12.27	10.74	10.36	9.03	9.29	8.76	10.35
120H	11.13	11.18	11.65	13.23	13.67	14.35	13.90	11.84	12.23	11.31	10.75	11.18	12.20
144H	13.06	13.28	14.23	15.89	15.56	16.59	15.44	13.48	14.11	13.71	12.62	13.73	14.31
168H	15.70	15.06	15.73	18.00	18.17	18.44	17.04	14.98	16.01	16.39	15.10	15.35	16.33
192H	17.53	16.77	17.58	20.25	19.85	19.34	18.67	16.22	18.57	18.60	16.92	17.36	18.14
216H	19.87	18.73	19.08	21.61	20.96	20.18	19.02	16.54	20.12	20.54	17.87	18.98	19.46
240H	20.49	20.21	20.18	22.38	20.92	20.61	20.24	17.69	21.01	21.36	19.64	20.47	20.43
264H	21.42	21.75	21.45	23.32	22.40	21.76	21.51	19.02	22.55	21.97	20.98	21.27	21.62
288H	22.32	22.95	22.27	24.12	23.68	22.88	22.01	20.20	23.00	22.90	21.42	22.57	22.53

GDAPS(N512L70) ASOS 강수 검증

표 1.1.48 GDAPS(N512L70) 한반도 76개 지점에 대한 강수 TS

Threshold = 0.1 mm								Threshold = 5 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	0.65	0.63	0.61	0.60	0.51	0.54	0.59	Jan.	0.43		0.48		0.35		0.22		0.29		0.33		0.35
Feb.	0.66	0.62	0.59	0.58	0.54	0.53	0.58	Feb.	0.63		0.64		0.57		0.41		0.38		0.35		0.48
Mar.	0.71	0.64	0.59	0.47	0.43	0.41	0.52	Mar.	0.66		0.49		0.47		0.38		0.45		0.38		0.45
Apr.	0.70	0.66	0.63	0.64	0.64	0.61	0.65	Apr.	0.58		0.45		0.40		0.39		0.39		0.33		0.42
May.	0.61	0.56	0.49	0.42	0.41	0.40	0.47	May.	0.67		0.63		0.64		0.66		0.55		0.47		0.60
Jun.	0.45	0.41	0.37	0.37	0.36	0.36	0.39	Jun.	0.49		0.44		0.39		0.38		0.36		0.27		0.38
Jul.	0.52	0.50	0.49	0.45	0.43	0.45	0.47	Jul.	0.48		0.47		0.47		0.38		0.34		0.36		0.42
Aug.	0.42	0.38	0.34	0.34	0.34	0.32	0.36	Aug.	0.42		0.37		0.32		0.34		0.28		0.19		0.32
Sep.	0.54	0.48	0.43	0.40	0.37	0.38	0.43	Sep.	0.44		0.41		0.31		0.29		0.29		0.27		0.33
Oct.	0.59	0.53	0.54	0.53	0.47	0.45	0.52	Oct.	0.64		0.65		0.62		0.60		0.59		0.51		0.60
Nov.	0.71	0.68	0.63	0.60	0.58	0.55	0.62	Nov.	0.56		0.53		0.47		0.38		0.42		0.35		0.45
Dec.	0.63	0.63	0.59	0.52	0.48	0.48	0.55	Dec.	0.46		0.42		0.49		0.21		0.22		0.30		0.35
TOTAL	0.58	0.54	0.51	0.49	0.46	0.45	0.50	TOTAL	0.53		0.48		0.44		0.38		0.37		0.33		0.42
Threshold = 15 mm								Threshold = 25 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	0.30	0.09	0.20	0.00	0.08	0.09	0.13	Jan.	0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00
Feb.	0.43	0.15	0.20	0.15	0.29	0.16	0.22	Feb.	0.00		0.10		0.00		0.20		0.22		0.10		0.11
Mar.	0.79	0.77	0.63	0.46	0.56	0.21	0.51	Mar.	0.67		0.55		0.46		0.28		0.34		0.18		0.38
Apr.	0.37	0.22	0.17	0.18	0.18	0.15	0.20	Apr.	0.23		0.15		0.08		0.13		0.19		0.15		0.15
May.	0.55	0.54	0.52	0.45	0.35	0.36	0.45	May.	0.53		0.60		0.49		0.23		0.11		0.20		0.30
Jun.	0.52	0.36	0.39	0.39	0.20	0.12	0.31	Jun.	0.37		0.28		0.30		0.18		0.13		0.09		0.21
Jul.	0.41	0.44	0.42	0.30	0.27	0.28	0.35	Jul.	0.33		0.35		0.37		0.30		0.16		0.21		0.28
Aug.	0.32	0.31	0.32	0.23	0.18	0.15	0.25	Aug.	0.31		0.27		0.23		0.12		0.13		0.11		0.19
Sep.	0.39	0.37	0.28	0.22	0.25	0.26	0.29	Sep.	0.32		0.28		0.25		0.22		0.25		0.25		0.26
Oct.	0.60	0.65	0.69	0.61	0.58	0.53	0.61	Oct.	0.27		0.32		0.38		0.30		0.28		0.29		0.31
Nov.	0.42	0.38	0.31	0.25	0.31	0.25	0.32	Nov.	0.21		0.15		0.12		0.12		0.22		0.17		0.17
Dec.	0.31	0.30	0.08	0.00	0.00	0.18	0.16	Dec.	0.14		0.10		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.04
TOTAL	0.44	0.40	0.37	0.29	0.27	0.23	0.32	TOTAL	0.33		0.30		0.29		0.21		0.18		0.17		0.24
Threshold = 50 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL
Jan.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Feb.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mar.	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.40	0.15	0.15
Apr.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.01
May.	0.06	0.35	0.06	0.15	0.09	0.09	0.12
Jun.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.01
Jul.	0.21	0.20	0.18	0.03	0.02	0.10	0.13
Aug.	0.19	0.16	0.07	0.14	0.13	0.13	0.14
Sep.	0.21	0.00	0.00	0.18	0.07	0.09	0.09
Oct.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Nov.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.03
Dec.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
TOTAL	0.14	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.08	0.08	0.09

l

표 1.1.49 GDAPS(N512L70) 한반도 76개 지점에 대한 강수 ETS

Threshold = 0.1 mm								Threshold = 5 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	0.59	0.57	0.55	0.54	0.44	0.48	0.53	Jan.	0.42		0.47		0.33		0.21		0.28		0.32		0.34
Feb.	0.61	0.57	0.53	0.51	0.47	0.46	0.52	Feb.	0.62		0.63		0.55		0.39		0.37		0.33		0.46
Mar.	0.68	0.60	0.54	0.41	0.37	0.34	0.47	Mar.	0.65		0.48		0.46		0.37		0.44		0.36		0.44
Apr.	0.58	0.53	0.49	0.51	0.50	0.46	0.51	Apr.	0.54		0.39		0.35		0.34		0.33		0.27		0.37
May.	0.55	0.49	0.41	0.34	0.33	0.31	0.40	May.	0.65		0.62		0.63		0.65		0.54		0.45		0.58
Jun.	0.29	0.25	0.20	0.21	0.19	0.18	0.22	Jun.	0.46		0.41		0.36		0.35		0.32		0.22		0.34
Jul.	0.31	0.28	0.28	0.23	0.21	0.24	0.26	Jul.	0.43		0.41		0.41		0.31		0.27		0.29		0.35
Aug.	0.28	0.22	0.18	0.19	0.18	0.17	0.20	Aug.	0.38		0.33		0.29		0.30		0.24		0.15		0.28
Sep.	0.46	0.39	0.33	0.30	0.26	0.28	0.33	Sep.	0.41		0.38		0.28		0.26		0.27		0.24		0.30
Oct.	0.55	0.48	0.49	0.48	0.41	0.39	0.47	Oct.	0.63		0.64		0.61		0.59		0.58		0.49		0.59
Nov.	0.56	0.51	0.45	0.42	0.39	0.35	0.44	Nov.	0.52		0.48		0.42		0.34		0.37		0.29		0.40
Dec.	0.55	0.55	0.50	0.43	0.39	0.37	0.46	Dec.	0.45		0.40		0.47		0.20		0.21		0.28		0.34
TOTAL	0.48	0.43	0.40	0.37	0.34	0.33	0.39	TOTAL	0.50		0.45		0.41		0.35		0.34		0.29		0.39
Threshold = 15 mm								Threshold = 25 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	0.29	0.09	0.20	0.00	0.08	0.09	0.13	Jan.	0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00
Feb.	0.43	0.15	0.20	0.15	0.29	0.16	0.22	Feb.	0.00		0.10		0.00		0.20		0.22		0.10		0.10
Mar.	0.79	0.76	0.63	0.46	0.56	0.20	0.51	Mar.	0.67		0.55		0.46		0.28		0.34		0.18		0.38
Apr.	0.35	0.21	0.15	0.17	0.16	0.13	0.19	Apr.	0.22		0.14		0.07		0.12		0.18		0.14		0.15
May.	0.54	0.53	0.52	0.44	0.34	0.35	0.45	May.	0.53		0.59		0.49		0.22		0.11		0.19		0.29
Jun.	0.51	0.35	0.38	0.38	0.19	0.10	0.29	Jun.	0.36		0.27		0.29		0.17		0.12		0.07		0.20
Jul.	0.39	0.41	0.39	0.27	0.24	0.25	0.32	Jul.	0.32		0.34		0.36		0.28		0.14		0.20		0.27
Aug.	0.31	0.30	0.30	0.21	0.16	0.13	0.23	Aug.	0.31		0.26		0.22		0.11		0.12		0.10		0.18
Sep.	0.38	0.36	0.27	0.20	0.24	0.25	0.28	Sep.	0.31		0.27		0.24		0.21		0.24		0.25		0.25
Oct.	0.59	0.64	0.68	0.60	0.57	0.52	0.60	Oct.	0.26		0.32		0.38		0.30		0.28		0.28		0.30
Nov.	0.40	0.37	0.29	0.24	0.29	0.23	0.30	Nov.	0.21		0.15		0.12		0.12		0.22		0.16		0.16
Dec.	0.31	0.30	0.08	0.00	0.00	0.18	0.15	Dec.	0.14		0.10		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.04
TOTAL	0.43	0.38	0.36	0.28	0.26	0.22	0.31	TOTAL	0.33		0.30		0.28		0.20		0.17		0.16		0.23
Threshold = 50 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL
Jan.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Feb.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mar.	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.40	0.15	0.15
Apr.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.01
May.	0.06	0.35	0.06	0.15	0.09	0.09	0.12
Jun.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.01
Jul.	0.21	0.19	0.18	0.03	0.01	0.10	0.13
Aug.	0.19	0.16	0.07	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13
Sep.	0.21	0.00	0.00	0.18	0.07	0.09	0.09
Oct.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Nov.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.02
Dec.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
TOTAL	0.14	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.08	0.08	0.09

표 1.1.50 GDAPS(N512L70) 한반도 76개 지점에 대한 강수 BIAS

Threshold = 0.1 mm								Threshold = 5 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	1.01	1.14	1.10	1.07	0.95	0.95	1.04	Jan.	0.80		1.06		0.69		0.61		0.71		0.81		0.78
Feb.	1.13	1.20	1.20	1.38	1.50	1.51	1.32	Feb.	1.18		1.07		0.99		0.95		1.24		1.96		1.23
Mar.	1.06	1.10	1.27	1.29	1.57	1.70	1.33	Mar.	0.77		0.72		0.87		1.01		1.19		2.03		1.10
Apr.	1.26	1.32	1.26	1.25	1.29	1.29	1.28	Apr.	0.93		1.03		0.74		0.77		1.08		1.03		0.93
May.	1.29	1.37	1.34	1.38	1.43	1.58	1.40	May.	0.97		1.03		0.81		0.89		0.79		1.10		0.93
Jun.	1.74	1.78	1.82	1.73	1.75	1.84	1.78	Jun.	0.74		1.01		0.92		0.95		1.13		1.39		1.02
Jul.	1.69	1.79	1.75	1.76	1.79	1.67	1.74	Jul.	1.13		1.30		1.17		1.30		1.32		1.35		1.26
Aug.	1.96	2.22	2.22	2.07	2.04	2.00	2.08	Aug.	0.92		1.12		1.06		1.09		0.99		1.12		1.05
Sep.	1.48	1.66	1.67	1.67	1.81	1.76	1.67	Sep.	0.64		1.11		0.72		0.87		0.84		0.84		0.84
Oct.	1.04	1.14	1.27	1.32	1.31	1.23	1.22	Oct.	0.79		0.86		0.77		0.68		0.87		0.90		0.81
Nov.	1.11	1.24	1.19	1.19	1.14	1.20	1.18	Nov.	0.68		0.75		0.71		0.52		0.71		0.81		0.70
Dec.	0.96	1.11	1.15	1.05	0.98	1.06	1.05	Dec.	0.57		0.61		0.71		0.41		0.29		0.53		0.52
TOTAL	1.34	1.46	1.46	1.44	1.46	1.47	1.44	TOTAL	0.85		1.00		0.86		0.86		0.96		1.11		0.94
Threshold = 15 mm								Threshold = 25 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	0.59	0.14	0.36	0.00	0.18	0.14	0.23	Jan.	0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00
Feb.	0.74	0.30	0.30	0.35	0.35	1.78	0.64	Feb.	0.00		0.22		0.00		0.33		0.22		0.22		0.17
Mar.	0.97	0.94	0.84	0.59	1.14	1.93	1.07	Mar.	0.79		0.84		0.63		0.37		1.00		1.70		0.89
Apr.	0.85	0.90	0.70	0.99	1.21	1.41	1.01	Apr.	0.47		0.58		0.42		0.62		0.99		0.99		0.68
May.	1.03	1.23	1.03	1.26	0.95	1.47	1.16	May.	0.81		0.93		1.19		2.00		1.77		2.35		1.51
Jun.	0.64	0.50	0.54	0.59	0.71	1.02	0.67	Jun.	0.50		0.41		0.57		0.39		0.53		1.03		0.57
Jul.	0.98	1.15	0.97	1.04	1.14	1.07	1.06	Jul.	0.84		1.08		0.87		0.90		0.84		0.95		0.91
Aug.	0.60	0.97	0.91	0.89	0.88	0.80	0.84	Aug.	0.47		0.85		0.79		0.86		0.85		0.70		0.75
Sep.	0.44	0.68	0.44	0.66	0.57	0.47	0.54	Sep.	0.45		0.88		0.45		0.79		0.89		0.42		0.65
Oct.	0.77	0.90	1.14	1.00	1.00	0.98	0.96	Oct.	0.51		0.61		1.46		1.41		1.34		1.20		1.09
Nov.	0.74	0.74	0.49	0.39	0.62	1.18	0.69	Nov.	0.46		0.45		0.25		0.25		0.57		1.82		0.63
Dec.	0.70	0.62	0.14	0.03	0.16	0.41	0.34	Dec.	0.14		0.57		0.00		0.14		0.00		0.29		0.19
TOTAL	0.77	0.87	0.74	0.78	0.87	1.06	0.85	TOTAL	0.59		0.76		0.69		0.77		0.87		1.09		0.79
Threshold = 50 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL
Jan.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Feb.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mar.	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.75	0.88	0.31
Apr.	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.14	0.57	0.13
May.	0.12	0.35	0.06	1.65	3.18	2.53	1.31
Jun.	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.20	0.92	0.20
Jul.	0.59	0.89	0.57	0.11	0.19	0.43	0.46
Aug.	0.44	0.46	0.23	0.49	0.79	0.74	0.53
Sep.	0.89	0.56	0.78	1.22	2.56	1.67	1.28
Oct.	0.00	2.00	6.00	13.00	13.00	8.00	7.00
Nov.	0.57	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.86	4.14	0.93
Dec.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
TOTAL	0.36	0.44	0.31	0.42	0.83	1.03	0.56