검증 결과

전지구예보모델

전지구예보모델 성능 변화 추세

500hPa 고도장의 RMSE

그림 1.1.1 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.2 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.3 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

850hPa 기온의 RMSE

그림 1.1.4 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.5 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.6 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

250hPa 바람의 RMSE

그림 1.1.7 GDAPS 북반구 250hPa 풍속의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.8 GDAPS 남반구 250hPa 풍속의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

그림 1.1.9 GDAPS 적도지역 250hPa 풍속의 예측 시간별 월평균 RMSE

전지구예보모델 분석 검증

북반구 분석 검증

표 1.1.1 GDAPS 북반구 해면기압(MSLP) Mean Error [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.13	0.13	0.10	0.05	-0.06	-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.10	0.00
48H	0.25	0.24	0.19	0.07	-0.16	-0.30	-0.27	-0.27	-0.12	-0.03	0.13	0.20	-0.01
72H	0.37	0.34	0.28	0.15	-0.17	-0.36	-0.36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.04	0.19	0.29	0.02
96H	0.46	0.42	0.40	0.22	-0.13	-0.40	-0.41	-0.37	-0.20	-0.04	0.22	0.35	0.04
120H	0.51	0.51	0.52	0.25	-0.09	-0.41	-0.45	-0.40	-0.26	-0.06	0.24	0.39	0.06
144H	0.51	0.57	0.66	0.24	-0.07	-0.40	-0.49	-0.43	-0.33	-0.14	0.21	0.41	0.06
168H	0.52	0.59	0.78	0.21	-0.05	-0.38	-0.52	-0.43	-0.35	-0.24	0.14	0.42	0.06
192H	0.52	0.59	0.81	0.20	-0.03	-0.35	-0.51	-0.38	-0.31	-0.33	0.12	0.40	0.06
216H	0.59	0.63	0.79	0.15	-0.06	-0.34	-0.48	-0.34	-0.22	-0.39	0.10	0.32	0.06
240H	0.59	0.61	0.75	0.09	-0.01	-0.34	-0.44	-0.28	-0.11	-0.41	0.02	0.15	0.05

표 1.1.2 GDAPS 북반구 해면기압(MSLP) RMSE [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.02	0.94	0.93	0.88	0.83	0.82	0.80	0.77	0.78	0.85	0.95	0.97	0.88
48H	1.76	1.59	1.60	1.50	1.37	1.39	1.29	1.29	1.35	1.45	1.60	1.65	1.49
72H	2.68	2.39	2.47	2.27	2.07	2.01	1.82	1.85	2.10	2.18	2.42	2.52	2.23
96H	3.79	3.27	3.60	3.14	2.97	2.72	2.44	2.54	3.01	3.06	3.52	3.55	3.13
120H	5.01	4.26	4.88	4.16	3.95	3.45	3.14	3.25	3.85	4.16	4.70	4.63	4.12
144H	6.18	5.36	6.28	5.23	4.88	4.28	3.90	3.85	4.63	5.28	5.93	5.72	5.13
168H	7.33	6.40	7.41	6.29	5.71	5.04	4.56	4.37	5.51	6.36	7.23	6.72	6.08
192H	8.24	7.50	8.44	7.33	6.47	5.66	5.06	4.85	6.31	7.24	8.40	7.80	6.94
216H	9.22	8.64	9.30	8.33	6.98	6.15	5.52	5.34	7.11	7.97	9.58	8.85	7.75
240H	10.07	9.50	10.05	9.08	7.37	6.42	5.79	5.76	7.66	8.52	10.35	9.68	8.35

표 1.1.3 GDAPS 북반구 해면기압(MSLP) S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	16.80	16.26	16.81	17.03	18.68	19.46	20.84	19.97	18.11	16.98	17.46	17.08	17.96
48H	24.85	24.05	24.80	24.96	26.88	27.98	28.40	28.08	25.93	24.56	24.89	24.44	25.82
72H	32.99	31.97	33.14	33.12	35.63	36.30	36.03	36.00	34.65	32.68	32.83	32.33	33.97
96H	41.90	39.56	42.44	41.03	45.73	44.90	44.02	44.64	44.13	40.82	41.71	40.37	42.60
120H	50.39	46.89	52.34	50.06	55.73	52.72	52.21	52.96	52.12	50.30	50.87	48.26	51.24
144H	58.01	53.98	61.18	58.49	63.89	60.17	59.66	59.22	59.88	59.07	59.26	55.43	59.02
168H	64.19	60.63	68.31	66.17	70.68	66.39	65.78	64.82	67.37	67.23	66.86	61.94	65.86
192H	68.78	66.30	74.28	72.85	75.68	70.70	70.11	69.62	73.66	72.61	73.13	67.66	71.28
216H	72.96	72.21	78.95	77.89	78.79	74.66	73.66	73.57	78.20	76.72	79.47	72.54	75.80
240H	75.79	77.06	81.97	81.92	81.13	77.21	75.99	76.60	81.20	80.32	83.51	76.66	79.11

표 1.1.4 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.31	-0.29	-0.24	-0.12	0.04	0.11	0.08	0.07	-0.03	-0.10	-0.14	-0.19	-0.09
48H	-0.52	-0.49	-0.41	-0.23	0.03	0.12	0.08	0.11	-0.05	-0.16	-0.23	-0.31	-0.17
72H	-0.66	-0.64	-0.51	-0.31	0.03	0.11	0.07	0.12	-0.07	-0.18	-0.29	-0.40	-0.23
96H	-0.76	-0.76	-0.59	-0.35	0.01	0.09	0.07	0.12	-0.08	-0.20	-0.34	-0.49	-0.27
120H	-0.85	-0.86	-0.65	-0.40	0.02	0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.05	-0.20	-0.38	-0.56	-0.31
144H	-0.91	-0.97	-0.75	-0.43	0.02	0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.02	-0.21	-0.40	-0.63	-0.34
168H	-0.93	-1.06	-0.81	-0.47	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.14	-0.01	-0.17	-0.41	-0.70	-0.36
192H	-0.99	-1.11	-0.88	-0.54	0.00	0.01	-0.02	0.15	0.02	-0.15	-0.40	-0.73	-0.39
216H	-1.07	-1.18	-0.95	-0.63	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.17	0.04	-0.12	-0.38	-0.75	-0.41
240H	-1.17	-1.22	-1.03	-0.68	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	0.18	0.07	-0.08	-0.38	-0.69	-0.43

표 1.1.5 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.13	1.08	1.05	0.99	0.96	0.97	0.96	0.91	0.88	0.92	1.02	1.09	1.00
48H	1.65	1.56	1.52	1.41	1.39	1.38	1.30	1.26	1.22	1.28	1.42	1.51	1.41
72H	2.12	1.99	1.96	1.81	1.79	1.75	1.62	1.56	1.55	1.59	1.79	1.90	1.79
96H	2.62	2.40	2.48	2.21	2.26	2.16	1.96	1.88	1.93	1.95	2.24	2.35	2.20
120H	3.20	2.84	3.03	2.68	2.79	2.62	2.36	2.21	2.31	2.40	2.74	2.87	2.67
144H	3.73	3.31	3.65	3.20	3.30	3.07	2.79	2.54	2.72	2.89	3.29	3.40	3.16
168H	4.20	3.79	4.31	3.71	3.77	3.49	3.20	2.87	3.12	3.39	3.84	3.93	3.63
192H	4.63	4.26	4.89	4.24	4.22	3.84	3.51	3.16	3.58	3.83	4.32	4.31	4.07
216H	5.02	4.69	5.37	4.72	4.57	4.16	3.74	3.43	3.96	4.15	4.72	4.66	4.43
240H	5.45	5.12	5.73	5.17	4.77	4.47	3.99	3.71	4.22	4.41	5.07	5.07	4.76

표 1.1.6 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	26.56	26.52	26.32	27.52	28.43	30.70	33.74	32.73	30.87	29.73	30.05	29.25	29.37
48H	36.00	35.49	35.61	36.92	38.34	40.56	42.82	41.86	39.80	38.38	38.52	37.47	38.48
72H	43.06	42.13	42.50	43.82	45.80	47.73	49.20	48.35	46.56	44.81	45.10	43.85	45.24
96H	49.44	47.43	49.10	49.96	52.95	54.09	54.63	53.92	52.86	50.71	51.32	49.45	51.32
120H	55.36	52.67	55.10	55.74	59.53	59.99	60.20	58.95	58.34	56.55	56.89	55.00	57.03
144H	60.22	57.46	60.54	61.07	64.77	64.75	65.26	62.81	63.10	61.85	62.39	60.08	62.02
168H	63.73	61.51	65.43	65.67	69.41	68.63	69.39	66.54	67.32	66.51	66.98	64.38	66.29
192H	66.85	64.90	69.06	69.88	72.85	71.75	72.24	69.60	71.05	70.18	70.58	67.29	69.69
216H	68.98	67.95	71.90	73.09	75.07	74.49	74.34	71.68	73.79	72.77	73.37	69.93	72.28
240H	71.51	70.90	74.08	75.86	76.53	76.86	76.10	73.76	76.23	74.87	75.52	72.54	74.56

표 1.1.7 GDAPS 북반구 850hPa 기온 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.97	0.96	0.96	0.96	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.97
48H	0.95	0.95	0.96	0.96	0.94	0.93	0.93	0.93	0.93	0.95	0.95	0.96	0.94
72H	0.92	0.92	0.94	0.93	0.91	0.89	0.89	0.90	0.90	0.92	0.92	0.93	0.91
96H	0.88	0.88	0.90	0.89	0.85	0.84	0.84	0.85	0.85	0.88	0.87	0.89	0.87
120H	0.81	0.83	0.84	0.84	0.77	0.76	0.78	0.79	0.79	0.82	0.81	0.84	0.81
144H	0.74	0.77	0.77	0.77	0.68	0.67	0.69	0.73	0.71	0.73	0.72	0.77	0.73
168H	0.67	0.70	0.69	0.69	0.58	0.57	0.60	0.65	0.61	0.64	0.62	0.70	0.64
192H	0.61	0.61	0.60	0.60	0.49	0.49	0.52	0.58	0.50	0.53	0.51	0.63	0.56
216H	0.54	0.54	0.52	0.50	0.41	0.40	0.46	0.51	0.40	0.45	0.42	0.57	0.48
240H	0.47	0.45	0.46	0.40	0.36	0.32	0.39	0.43	0.32	0.38	0.33	0.49	0.40

표 1.1.8 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-1.64	-1.20	-1.11	-0.50	0.05	-0.39	-1.25	-1.00	-0.90	-0.99	-1.06	-1.37	-0.95
48H	-3.07	-2.54	-2.20	-1.20	-0.37	-1.23	-2.47	-1.91	-1.79	-1.94	-1.93	-2.51	-1.93
72H	-4.29	-3.69	-3.06	-1.29	-0.22	-1.65	-3.19	-2.24	-2.35	-2.45	-2.59	-3.58	-2.55
96H	-5.40	-4.76	-3.46	-1.35	0.32	-1.75	-3.48	-2.40	-2.60	-2.70	-3.24	-4.91	-2.98
120H	-6.65	-5.61	-3.94	-1.77	0.99	-1.69	-3.77	-2.62	-2.91	-2.96	-3.83	-6.16	-3.41
144H	-7.86	-6.78	-4.31	-2.66	1.49	-1.41	-3.99	-2.65	-3.20	-3.67	-4.58	-7.45	-3.92
168H	-8.83	-8.17	-4.73	-3.89	1.83	-1.01	-4.20	-2.39	-3.20	-4.23	-5.20	-8.30	-4.36
192H	-9.94	-9.03	-5.77	-5.07	2.00	-0.53	-4.21	-1.75	-2.84	-4.80	-5.09	-8.96	-4.67
216H	-10.64	-9.99	-7.41	-6.32	1.77	-0.20	-3.96	-1.32	-1.82	-5.09	-5.17	-9.98	-5.01
240H	-11.54	-10.87	-8.60	-7.67	2.01	-0.20	-3.57	-0.76	-0.55	-5.13	-5.68	-10.80	-5.28

표 1.1.9 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	8.09	7.14	7.44	6.95	7.17	6.84	6.35	6.02	6.31	6.70	7.29	7.91	7.02
48H	16.24	13.71	14.56	13.69	13.68	12.99	11.60	10.94	12.27	12.89	14.35	15.10	13.50
72H	26.29	22.14	24.20	22.34	21.94	20.36	18.39	17.26	20.78	20.56	23.56	24.04	21.82
96H	38.46	31.66	36.73	32.59	32.58	29.35	26.99	25.10	30.96	29.72	35.18	35.02	32.03
120H	51.20	42.92	50.88	44.29	44.51	40.04	35.96	33.32	41.18	41.22	47.63	47.24	43.37
144H	64.36	55.52	65.85	57.63	56.10	51.08	45.37	41.09	51.51	54.23	61.72	59.83	55.36
168H	76.85	67.87	79.74	71.30	66.58	60.86	54.62	48.62	61.81	66.93	76.16	72.64	67.00
192H	88.91	79.72	93.00	84.80	76.56	68.49	62.01	54.53	72.74	77.78	90.16	85.15	77.82
216H	99.98	92.07	104.48	96.86	84.25	74.94	67.86	61.35	81.88	87.79	102.65	97.50	87.63
240H	111.04	103.30	112.88	106.70	89.44	80.12	72.36	67.68	88.36	94.67	112.45	108.10	95.59

표 1.1.10 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	9.16	8.62	9.20	9.59	11.22	12.20	12.91	12.51	11.04	9.93	9.46	9.30	10.43
48H	16.41	14.94	16.22	16.93	19.43	20.69	21.23	20.17	18.53	16.92	16.30	16.04	17.82
72H	23.97	21.94	24.00	24.92	27.97	29.42	30.13	28.32	26.99	24.43	23.89	23.26	25.77
96H	31.55	28.44	32.29	32.66	37.26	38.18	39.40	37.05	36.00	32.05	31.77	30.39	33.92
120H	38.66	35.13	40.31	40.34	45.90	46.71	48.06	45.14	43.87	40.06	39.36	37.46	41.75
144H	45.39	41.53	47.78	47.88	53.74	54.41	55.91	51.84	51.59	48.03	46.78	43.84	49.06
168H	50.27	47.14	54.13	54.79	59.97	60.89	63.06	58.02	58.12	55.43	53.32	49.91	55.42
192H	55.01	51.70	59.31	61.17	65.06	65.79	68.53	62.59	64.13	60.78	59.17	55.06	60.69
216H	58.99	56.87	63.63	65.92	68.69	70.17	72.21	67.01	68.75	65.65	64.24	59.35	65.12
240H	62.56	61.29	66.79	69.55	71.24	73.86	74.93	70.74	72.51	68.86	68.26	63.15	68.64

표 1.1.11 GDAPS 북반구 500hPa 고도 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
48H	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.98	0.98	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99
72H	0.97	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.96	0.96	0.97	0.97	0.96	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.97
96H	0.93	0.95	0.95	0.94	0.91	0.91	0.92	0.92	0.92	0.94	0.94	0.95	0.93
120H	0.88	0.91	0.90	0.90	0.83	0.83	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.89	0.89	0.91	0.88
144H	0.81	0.85	0.84	0.83	0.73	0.73	0.77	0.78	0.78	0.80	0.82	0.86	0.80
168H	0.73	0.77	0.76	0.74	0.64	0.62	0.67	0.69	0.67	0.70	0.72	0.79	0.71
192H	0.64	0.68	0.68	0.64	0.53	0.52	0.56	0.62	0.54	0.59	0.60	0.72	0.61
216H	0.56	0.58	0.60	0.53	0.45	0.42	0.48	0.51	0.42	0.48	0.49	0.63	0.51
240H	0.48	0.48	0.53	0.43	0.39	0.34	0.41	0.41	0.33	0.40	0.40	0.54	0.43

표 1.1.12 GDAPS 북반구 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-0.24	-0.25	-0.32	-0.30	-0.35	-0.26	-0.18	-0.17	-0.23
48H	-0.33	-0.26	-0.20	-0.29	-0.33	-0.37	-0.46	-0.54	-0.59	-0.40	-0.32	-0.31	-0.37
72H	-0.46	-0.33	-0.24	-0.35	-0.36	-0.45	-0.57	-0.73	-0.72	-0.53	-0.43	-0.47	-0.47
96H	-0.55	-0.38	-0.34	-0.47	-0.40	-0.51	-0.63	-0.86	-0.82	-0.60	-0.50	-0.52	-0.55
120H	-0.58	-0.46	-0.43	-0.54	-0.43	-0.56	-0.69	-0.96	-0.90	-0.64	-0.51	-0.57	-0.61
144H	-0.62	-0.47	-0.51	-0.60	-0.50	-0.54	-0.80	-1.04	-0.98	-0.65	-0.47	-0.60	-0.65
168H	-0.68	-0.49	-0.48	-0.65	-0.52	-0.62	-0.88	-1.08	-0.96	-0.71	-0.53	-0.57	-0.68
192H	-0.62	-0.56	-0.48	-0.75	-0.51	-0.60	-0.85	-1.13	-0.95	-0.74	-0.64	-0.42	-0.69
216H	-0.60	-0.64	-0.29	-0.88	-0.47	-0.62	-0.78	-1.15	-0.93	-0.70	-0.80	-0.36	-0.68
240H	-0.64	-0.70	-0.30	-0.89	-0.51	-0.61	-0.73	-1.12	-1.02	-0.70	-0.74	-0.49	-0.70

표 1.1.13 GDAPS 북반구 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	3.70	3.62	3.81	4.01	3.99	3.99	4.00	4.08	4.01	3.76	3.82	3.87	3.89
48H	5.88	5.56	5.94	6.29	6.33	6.34	6.20	6.29	6.27	5.86	6.05	6.08	6.09
72H	8.24	7.66	8.08	8.64	8.66	8.67	8.53	8.44	8.78	8.06	8.42	8.35	8.38
96H	10.80	9.86	10.55	11.06	11.20	10.97	10.91	10.64	11.39	10.59	11.23	10.75	10.83
120H	13.40	12.18	13.11	13.53	13.88	13.37	12.97	12.75	13.81	13.29	14.02	13.46	13.31
144H	15.80	14.60	15.63	16.21	16.37	15.66	15.07	14.43	16.06	15.89	16.71	16.09	15.71
168H	18.22	16.99	18.19	18.78	18.50	17.61	16.96	16.04	18.15	18.37	19.52	18.78	18.01
192H	20.38	19.38	20.41	21.14	20.53	18.96	18.42	17.29	20.20	20.60	22.19	21.10	20.05
216H	22.26	21.47	22.47	23.10	22.01	20.32	19.30	18.49	21.83	22.51	24.34	23.16	21.77
240H	24.15	23.24	23.94	24.72	22.90	21.63	19.96	19.49	23.06	23.76	26.10	24.60	23.13

적도지역 분석검증

표 1.1.14 GDAPS 적도지역 해면기압(MSLP) Mean Error [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.09	-0.08	-0.11	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.07	-0.11	-0.12	-0.11	-0.11	-0.09
48H	-0.20	-0.18	-0.21	-0.17	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	-0.09	-0.16	-0.20	-0.23	-0.24	-0.15
72H	-0.33	-0.30	-0.33	-0.28	-0.16	-0.05	-0.07	-0.11	-0.19	-0.30	-0.38	-0.38	-0.24
96H	-0.44	-0.42	-0.44	-0.38	-0.22	-0.07	-0.09	-0.15	-0.21	-0.37	-0.53	-0.51	-0.32
120H	-0.55	-0.54	-0.53	-0.46	-0.28	-0.11	-0.10	-0.21	-0.22	-0.41	-0.67	-0.61	-0.39
144H	-0.61	-0.64	-0.64	-0.50	-0.34	-0.17	-0.13	-0.26	-0.22	-0.43	-0.76	-0.70	-0.45
168H	-0.65	-0.74	-0.72	-0.51	-0.37	-0.22	-0.17	-0.30	-0.22	-0.44	-0.80	-0.75	-0.49
192H	-0.71	-0.80	-0.76	-0.52	-0.44	-0.24	-0.19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.42	-0.85	-0.77	-0.52
216H	-0.79	-0.86	-0.81	-0.56	-0.48	-0.29	-0.15	-0.30	-0.25	-0.40	-0.85	-0.78	-0.54
240H	-0.85	-0.90	-0.84	-0.59	-0.55	-0.34	-0.11	-0.32	-0.24	-0.40	-0.83	-0.77	-0.56

표 1.1.15 GDAPS 적도지역 해면기압(MSLP) RMSE [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.55	0.54	0.51	0.49	0.48	0.47	0.51	0.54	0.55	0.57	0.52	0.50	0.52
48H	0.78	0.73	0.68	0.69	0.63	0.63	0.69	0.73	0.75	0.76	0.71	0.71	0.71
72H	0.97	0.87	0.81	0.86	0.76	0.74	0.81	0.85	0.90	0.92	0.86	0.85	0.85
96H	1.13	0.98	0.95	1.02	0.85	0.82	0.90	0.94	1.01	1.03	1.00	1.00	0.97
120H	1.28	1.13	1.11	1.16	0.98	0.91	1.00	1.04	1.11	1.15	1.16	1.13	1.10
144H	1.45	1.30	1.27	1.28	1.12	1.03	1.12	1.13	1.23	1.28	1.30	1.27	1.23
168H	1.58	1.49	1.42	1.38	1.29	1.17	1.23	1.23	1.33	1.43	1.42	1.42	1.37
192H	1.71	1.63	1.55	1.50	1.40	1.30	1.36	1.32	1.46	1.53	1.53	1.52	1.48
216H	1.84	1.80	1.68	1.60	1.54	1.44	1.45	1.39	1.60	1.62	1.65	1.64	1.60
240H	1.98	1.94	1.83	1.68	1.67	1.55	1.52	1.45	1.71	1.69	1.78	1.75	1.71

표 1.1.16 GDAPS 적도지역 해면기압(MSLP) S1 Score [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	25.67	26.15	28.10	28.66	26.17	23.58	24.64	26.16	27.47	28.83	29.16	27.33	26.83
48H	30.96	31.01	32.69	33.82	30.62	27.62	28.85	30.79	32.32	34.18	34.02	31.87	31.56
72H	34.49	34.10	35.65	36.94	33.32	30.06	31.28	33.57	35.33	37.62	36.51	34.39	34.44
96H	37.57	36.28	37.85	39.35	35.26	31.92	32.98	35.76	37.71	40.24	38.63	36.78	36.69
120H	40.19	38.46	40.29	41.22	37.22	33.55	34.74	37.41	39.70	42.79	40.56	38.54	38.72
144H	42.77	40.86	42.77	43.31	39.73	35.10	36.44	38.88	41.72	45.22	42.65	40.75	40.85
168H	45.18	43.42	45.37	45.01	42.31	37.01	38.25	40.35	43.63	47.60	45.06	42.93	43.01
192H	47.52	45.26	47.74	47.44	44.18	38.93	40.01	42.01	45.75	49.57	47.30	45.01	45.06
216H	49.79	47.52	49.84	49.36	46.08	40.52	41.76	43.34	47.66	51.06	49.05	47.25	46.94
240H	51.33	49.39	51.60	51.15	47.60	41.83	43.26	44.58	48.90	52.48	51.05	48.95	48.51

표 1.1.17 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.06	-0.03	-0.07	-0.13	-0.11	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.01	-0.04
48H	-0.18	-0.11	-0.14	-0.21	-0.19	-0.20	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.10
72H	-0.28	-0.19	-0.18	-0.26	-0.25	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.16
96H	-0.34	-0.26	-0.21	-0.29	-0.28	-0.35	-0.26	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	-0.07	-0.20
120H	-0.39	-0.30	-0.24	-0.31	-0.30	-0.40	-0.30	-0.22	-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	-0.07	-0.24
144H	-0.44	-0.35	-0.25	-0.34	-0.30	-0.42	-0.33	-0.28	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.27
168H	-0.47	-0.39	-0.27	-0.37	-0.30	-0.44	-0.35	-0.33	-0.23	-0.16	-0.10	-0.10	-0.29
192H	-0.48	-0.41	-0.28	-0.39	-0.29	-0.46	-0.39	-0.38	-0.27	-0.16	-0.12	-0.14	-0.31
216H	-0.50	-0.44	-0.29	-0.43	-0.29	-0.46	-0.41	-0.41	-0.31	-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.34
240H	-0.51	-0.47	-0.35	-0.44	-0.28	-0.46	-0.41	-0.42	-0.34	-0.18	-0.19	-0.18	-0.35

표 1.1.18 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.75	0.68	0.69	0.72	0.67	0.72	0.74	0.77	0.74	0.71	0.71	0.70	0.72
48H	1.03	0.92	0.92	0.96	0.90	0.95	0.95	1.01	0.98	0.91	0.91	0.91	0.95
72H	1.21	1.08	1.06	1.10	1.04	1.10	1.09	1.13	1.13	1.03	1.04	1.05	1.09
96H	1.35	1.19	1.16	1.21	1.15	1.21	1.19	1.25	1.24	1.14	1.13	1.18	1.20
120H	1.47	1.30	1.24	1.32	1.25	1.31	1.30	1.38	1.35	1.23	1.22	1.29	1.31
144H	1.59	1.41	1.33	1.42	1.34	1.42	1.43	1.48	1.46	1.34	1.31	1.40	1.41
168H	1.71	1.54	1.45	1.54	1.42	1.53	1.53	1.58	1.57	1.45	1.42	1.49	1.52
192H	1.80	1.61	1.57	1.66	1.52	1.67	1.67	1.68	1.68	1.53	1.53	1.58	1.63
216H	1.91	1.73	1.70	1.78	1.60	1.76	1.75	1.78	1.83	1.64	1.64	1.67	1.73
240H	1.99	1.83	1.80	1.88	1.67	1.79	1.83	1.88	1.92	1.73	1.75	1.79	1.82

표 1.1.19 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	39.59	38.99	39.87	41.30	38.69	38.79	39.65	41.24	40.04	40.73	41.30	40.33	40.04
48H	49.15	48.57	49.27	51.05	48.17	47.57	47.69	50.09	49.14	49.68	49.83	48.52	49.06
72H	54.24	53.74	54.00	55.72	53.00	52.19	52.05	54.39	53.68	54.24	54.53	52.97	53.73
96H	57.72	56.88	57.24	58.79	56.08	55.13	54.59	57.39	56.91	57.43	57.51	56.74	56.87
120H	60.81	59.42	59.71	61.14	58.39	57.44	57.33	59.60	59.26	59.84	59.97	59.37	59.36
144H	63.01	61.64	61.78	63.27	60.44	59.87	60.06	61.19	61.38	61.69	61.92	61.96	61.52
168H	65.28	63.93	64.05	65.24	62.28	61.81	62.06	62.78	62.97	63.84	64.45	63.77	63.54
192H	66.82	65.54	66.29	67.21	64.05	63.67	64.16	64.12	64.68	65.80	66.71	65.42	65.37
216H	68.86	67.36	68.18	69.15	65.53	65.01	65.61	65.53	66.68	67.31	68.56	67.24	67.08
240H	69.99	68.87	69.24	70.69	66.67	65.80	66.89	66.94	67.97	68.59	70.17	68.85	68.39

표 1.1.20 GDAPS 적도지역 850hPa 기온 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.93	0.93	0.92	0.92	0.93	0.92	0.93	0.92	0.91	0.92	0.92	0.93	0.92
48H	0.87	0.87	0.86	0.86	0.87	0.87	0.88	0.86	0.85	0.88	0.87	0.89	0.87
72H	0.82	0.83	0.83	0.81	0.83	0.83	0.84	0.83	0.81	0.84	0.84	0.85	0.83
96H	0.78	0.79	0.80	0.78	0.79	0.79	0.81	0.79	0.78	0.81	0.81	0.82	0.80
120H	0.74	0.76	0.77	0.73	0.76	0.76	0.77	0.75	0.74	0.78	0.78	0.78	0.76
144H	0.70	0.72	0.73	0.70	0.72	0.71	0.73	0.72	0.70	0.75	0.75	0.74	0.72
168H	0.66	0.67	0.68	0.65	0.69	0.66	0.69	0.68	0.66	0.71	0.70	0.71	0.68
192H	0.62	0.64	0.63	0.60	0.64	0.61	0.63	0.65	0.62	0.67	0.65	0.67	0.64
216H	0.57	0.60	0.57	0.54	0.61	0.57	0.59	0.62	0.57	0.62	0.60	0.64	0.59
240H	0.53	0.55	0.52	0.48	0.57	0.54	0.56	0.57	0.54	0.58	0.56	0.60	0.55

표 1.1.21 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-2.17	-1.61	-1.39	-1.78	-1.86	-2.15	-2.31	-2.05	-1.94	-1.55	-1.80	-2.08	-1.89
48H	-4.55	-3.68	-3.16	-3.50	-3.37	-4.07	-4.38	-4.05	-3.62	-3.00	-3.77	-4.44	-3.80
72H	-6.52	-5.43	-4.60	-5.04	-4.62	-5.63	-5.86	-5.45	-4.97	-4.45	-5.74	-6.45	-5.40
96H	-8.28	-7.08	-5.80	-6.34	-5.44	-6.73	-7.05	-6.66	-6.06	-5.54	-7.52	-8.15	-6.72
120H	-9.78	-8.75	-6.94	-7.37	-6.17	-7.62	-8.01	-8.09	-6.85	-6.53	-9.17	-9.59	-7.91
144H	-10.82	-10.39	-8.30	-8.17	-6.74	-8.43	-8.75	-9.28	-7.40	-7.35	-10.49	-10.76	-8.91
168H	-11.79	-12.06	-9.67	-8.79	-7.20	-8.98	-9.54	-10.01	-8.14	-8.07	-11.44	-11.71	-9.78
192H	-12.82	-13.41	-10.89	-9.50	-7.67	-9.20	-10.10	-10.42	-8.77	-8.45	-12.43	-12.46	-10.51
216H	-14.06	-14.71	-11.96	-10.39	-7.97	-9.65	-10.12	-11.05	-9.52	-8.82	-13.32	-12.89	-11.21
240H	-14.90	-15.67	-13.12	-11.22	-8.84	-9.93	-10.04	-11.73	-9.96	-9.21	-13.99	-13.45	-11.84

표 1.1.22 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	3.71	3.35	3.05	3.28	3.38	3.62	3.99	3.60	3.57	3.36	3.37	3.58	3.49
48H	6.38	5.40	4.81	5.21	5.05	5.76	6.19	5.73	5.45	5.08	5.42	6.01	5.54
72H	8.84	7.50	6.48	7.10	6.60	7.73	8.23	7.59	7.31	6.87	7.67	8.26	7.51
96H	11.04	9.45	7.93	8.72	7.85	9.21	9.76	9.15	8.85	8.36	9.60	10.31	9.19
120H	13.02	11.52	9.58	10.17	9.19	10.54	11.30	10.87	10.30	9.94	11.57	12.27	10.86
144H	14.72	13.62	11.51	11.62	10.48	12.01	12.79	12.43	11.51	11.32	13.40	14.11	12.46
168H	16.40	15.89	13.44	12.81	11.84	13.46	14.53	13.74	12.68	12.62	14.99	16.00	14.03
192H	17.98	17.78	15.27	14.24	13.15	14.63	15.92	14.72	14.08	13.54	16.66	17.44	15.45
216H	19.86	19.33	16.94	15.90	14.22	16.06	16.91	15.92	15.61	14.52	18.48	18.56	16.86
240H	21.38	20.92	18.77	17.06	15.52	17.31	17.85	16.89	16.79	15.39	20.02	19.68	18.13

표 1.1.23 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	27.67	27.39	29.28	29.83	28.58	27.65	27.54	28.66	29.78	30.88	31.41	29.74	29.03
48H	35.77	34.70	36.62	37.52	35.63	34.95	34.55	35.88	37.00	38.81	38.77	37.32	36.46
72H	41.55	40.09	41.38	43.06	40.68	39.87	39.54	41.25	42.71	44.87	44.28	42.68	41.83
96H	46.68	44.64	45.75	47.29	45.09	43.86	43.88	45.51	47.39	49.84	48.91	47.33	46.35
120H	51.09	48.93	49.81	50.98	49.18	47.49	47.92	49.00	51.26	54.57	53.12	51.69	50.42
144H	54.95	53.36	53.95	54.60	53.45	51.49	51.74	52.16	54.69	58.87	57.34	56.38	54.42
168H	58.82	57.13	57.58	58.33	57.51	55.14	55.74	55.31	58.02	62.82	61.75	60.84	58.25
192H	62.54	60.66	61.38	62.41	61.51	58.78	59.36	58.44	61.89	66.45	65.80	64.64	61.99
216H	65.96	63.61	65.21	66.56	65.22	62.53	62.66	61.59	65.24	69.58	69.91	68.57	65.55
240H	68.77	66.50	68.61	69.46	68.18	65.39	65.71	63.63	67.49	71.78	73.15	71.76	68.37

표 1.1.24 GDAPS 적도지역 500hPa 고도 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.94	0.98	0.97
48H	0.96	0.96	0.96	0.95	0.96	0.96	0.95	0.95	0.96	0.95	0.92	0.96	0.95
72H	0.93	0.93	0.94	0.92	0.93	0.92	0.91	0.91	0.94	0.92	0.89	0.93	0.92
96H	0.89	0.91	0.92	0.89	0.90	0.89	0.88	0.87	0.91	0.89	0.86	0.90	0.89
120H	0.85	0.87	0.88	0.85	0.86	0.86	0.83	0.83	0.87	0.84	0.83	0.85	0.85
144H	0.81	0.82	0.83	0.80	0.81	0.82	0.77	0.78	0.83	0.79	0.78	0.79	0.80
168H	0.75	0.75	0.77	0.74	0.75	0.76	0.68	0.71	0.79	0.73	0.72	0.70	0.74
192H	0.70	0.69	0.71	0.67	0.68	0.69	0.60	0.65	0.73	0.68	0.66	0.61	0.67
216H	0.63	0.64	0.64	0.57	0.62	0.61	0.50	0.58	0.65	0.63	0.55	0.53	0.60
240H	0.57	0.57	0.55	0.51	0.56	0.54	0.40	0.52	0.58	0.57	0.47	0.46	0.53

표 1.1.25 GDAPS 적도지역 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-0.17	-0.14	-0.10	-0.09	-0.15	-0.22	-0.24	-0.21	-0.16	-0.17
48H	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-0.27	-0.22	-0.14	-0.13	-0.26	-0.40	-0.30	-0.28	-0.17	-0.23
72H	-0.08	-0.13	-0.31	-0.37	-0.31	-0.16	-0.14	-0.27	-0.45	-0.36	-0.28	-0.15	-0.25
96H	0.04	-0.05	-0.21	-0.41	-0.39	-0.17	-0.11	-0.27	-0.46	-0.37	-0.29	-0.12	-0.23
120H	0.12	0.06	-0.11	-0.40	-0.42	-0.14	-0.12	-0.19	-0.42	-0.36	-0.29	-0.04	-0.19
144H	0.26	0.18	0.03	-0.34	-0.39	-0.15	-0.14	-0.10	-0.39	-0.35	-0.31	0.00	-0.14
168H	0.37	0.27	0.17	-0.30	-0.31	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	-0.39	-0.37	-0.32	0.02	-0.09
192H	0.42	0.38	0.30	-0.34	-0.20	-0.08	-0.07	0.09	-0.37	-0.39	-0.33	0.07	-0.04
216H	0.49	0.52	0.44	-0.36	-0.18	-0.03	-0.04	0.20	-0.33	-0.40	-0.38	0.08	0.00
240H	0.52	0.60	0.50	-0.34	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	0.28	-0.34	-0.42	-0.34	0.09	0.03

표 1.1.26 GDAPS 적도지역 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	3.31	3.25	3.18	3.12	3.04	3.20	3.52	3.46	3.54	3.38	3.45	3.52	3.33
48H	4.94	4.84	4.62	4.72	4.46	4.62	4.89	4.77	4.87	4.67	4.83	4.93	4.76
72H	6.16	6.03	5.66	5.90	5.60	5.70	5.94	5.71	5.83	5.66	5.90	6.03	5.84
96H	7.11	7.03	6.59	6.83	6.60	6.69	6.82	6.59	6.60	6.56	6.90	6.92	6.77
120H	8.02	7.89	7.50	7.71	7.55	7.61	7.54	7.32	7.32	7.43	7.77	7.74	7.62
144H	8.90	8.74	8.40	8.56	8.50	8.40	8.20	7.96	7.99	8.30	8.50	8.52	8.41
168H	9.70	9.58	9.32	9.39	9.48	9.15	8.89	8.56	8.65	9.11	9.32	9.36	9.21
192H	10.58	10.45	10.20	10.22	10.34	9.90	9.63	9.21	9.34	9.79	10.09	10.14	9.99
216H	11.36	11.14	11.08	10.97	11.00	10.79	10.25	9.80	9.99	10.46	10.86	11.07	10.73
240H	12.06	11.67	11.84	11.72	11.46	11.56	10.89	10.20	10.56	11.02	11.61	11.89	11.37

남반구 분석검증

표 1.1.27 GDAPS 남반구 해면기압(MSLP) Mean Error [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.14	-0.16	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	0.04	0.11	0.12	0.08	0.07	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02
48H	-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.10	0.02	0.12	0.21	0.22	0.13	0.12	-0.06	-0.10	0.00
72H	-0.25	-0.24	-0.16	-0.12	0.06	0.16	0.28	0.24	0.16	0.16	-0.02	-0.10	0.01
96H	-0.26	-0.24	-0.20	-0.14	0.06	0.20	0.33	0.28	0.19	0.19	0.06	-0.07	0.03
120H	-0.23	-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	0.05	0.23	0.38	0.36	0.23	0.23	0.16	-0.03	0.07
144H	-0.19	-0.20	-0.28	-0.11	0.03	0.27	0.43	0.41	0.27	0.27	0.27	0.01	0.10
168H	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	-0.08	-0.02	0.29	0.49	0.42	0.30	0.33	0.36	0.04	0.12
192H	-0.15	-0.09	-0.34	-0.07	0.03	0.26	0.50	0.36	0.26	0.39	0.43	0.09	0.14
216H	-0.11	-0.06	-0.26	-0.01	0.07	0.28	0.38	0.31	0.22	0.42	0.45	0.15	0.15
240H	-0.04	0.01	-0.18	0.06	0.05	0.35	0.27	0.26	0.12	0.43	0.49	0.28	0.17

표 1.1.28 GDAPS 남반구 해면기압(MSLP) RMSE [hPa] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.86	0.83	0.89	0.98	1.03	1.09	1.07	1.09	1.06	0.99	0.93	0.84	0.97
48H	1.49	1.48	1.58	1.75	1.92	2.02	1.93	1.94	1.90	1.69	1.67	1.45	1.74
72H	2.22	2.29	2.49	2.64	2.99	3.14	2.99	3.00	2.91	2.68	2.52	2.21	2.67
96H	3.10	3.18	3.53	3.76	4.34	4.34	4.34	4.33	4.15	3.95	3.55	3.07	3.80
120H	4.09	4.15	4.46	5.17	5.84	5.63	5.89	5.65	5.57	5.25	4.66	4.03	5.03
144H	5.23	5.20	5.44	6.59	7.48	7.29	7.44	6.92	6.95	6.62	5.80	5.07	6.34
168H	6.18	6.27	6.47	7.69	8.90	8.72	8.68	8.30	8.07	7.85	6.87	6.14	7.51
192H	6.88	6.83	7.45	8.57	10.08	9.97	9.94	9.37	9.15	8.70	7.82	7.21	8.50
216H	7.45	7.59	8.21	9.46	10.70	10.99	10.85	10.32	9.93	9.36	8.58	7.93	9.28
240H	8.05	8.19	8.82	10.38	11.51	11.90	11.59	11.41	10.65	9.83	9.62	8.49	10.04

표 1.1.29 GDAPS 남반구 해면기압(MSLP) S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	14.35	13.72	14.00	14.60	14.90	14.84	14.87	15.19	15.16	14.71	15.06	15.25	14.72
48H	22.31	21.52	22.07	23.45	24.64	24.14	23.32	23.91	23.75	22.41	23.17	23.08	23.15
72H	29.51	29.85	30.38	31.53	34.15	33.37	31.93	32.89	32.21	30.98	31.04	30.79	31.55
96H	37.15	37.57	38.75	40.05	43.81	41.67	41.02	42.24	40.88	40.16	39.60	38.61	40.13
120H	44.84	45.08	45.99	49.25	53.27	49.71	50.52	50.48	49.36	48.78	47.37	46.21	48.41
144H	52.67	52.21	52.28	57.64	62.54	58.31	58.46	57.51	57.12	56.61	54.32	53.37	56.09
168H	59.03	58.74	58.53	63.54	69.18	64.15	64.83	64.41	62.90	63.11	60.40	60.04	62.40
192H	63.51	62.84	64.25	67.54	74.17	70.50	71.04	69.35	67.89	67.41	64.89	65.98	67.45
216H	66.99	66.25	68.21	71.48	76.80	74.14	74.15	73.00	70.72	71.03	68.59	69.64	70.92
240H	69.87	69.42	70.82	75.31	79.17	77.84	76.86	76.14	73.74	73.31	73.42	72.27	74.01

표 1.1.30 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.03	-0.06	-0.11	-0.24	-0.36	-0.37	-0.25	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.14
48H	-0.10	-0.14	-0.24	-0.41	-0.58	-0.60	-0.42	-0.34	-0.22	-0.16	0.00	0.03	-0.27
72H	-0.16	-0.21	-0.33	-0.52	-0.69	-0.73	-0.52	-0.45	-0.30	-0.23	-0.07	-0.01	-0.35
96H	-0.22	-0.26	-0.40	-0.59	-0.76	-0.81	-0.60	-0.53	-0.36	-0.30	-0.14	-0.08	-0.42
120H	-0.29	-0.30	-0.43	-0.62	-0.80	-0.86	-0.65	-0.60	-0.42	-0.36	-0.21	-0.13	-0.47
144H	-0.34	-0.34	-0.47	-0.64	-0.85	-0.90	-0.72	-0.67	-0.47	-0.41	-0.26	-0.20	-0.52
168H	-0.36	-0.38	-0.48	-0.66	-0.89	-0.94	-0.77	-0.74	-0.50	-0.46	-0.31	-0.23	-0.56
192H	-0.39	-0.43	-0.46	-0.68	-0.94	-0.95	-0.81	-0.78	-0.56	-0.47	-0.36	-0.29	-0.59
216H	-0.43	-0.49	-0.47	-0.70	-0.95	-0.94	-0.83	-0.81	-0.64	-0.50	-0.41	-0.36	-0.63
240H	-0.50	-0.52	-0.51	-0.72	-0.98	-0.93	-0.82	-0.84	-0.70	-0.54	-0.42	-0.40	-0.66

표 1.1.31 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.94	0.94	0.97	1.02	1.07	1.11	1.01	1.00	0.98	0.94	0.91	0.90	0.98
48H	1.38	1.36	1.43	1.53	1.62	1.67	1.51	1.48	1.46	1.38	1.35	1.32	1.46
72H	1.72	1.74	1.83	1.94	2.09	2.15	1.96	1.95	1.89	1.81	1.74	1.66	1.87
96H	2.10	2.12	2.25	2.39	2.58	2.57	2.44	2.46	2.39	2.26	2.18	2.02	2.31
120H	2.50	2.49	2.68	2.86	3.11	3.01	2.99	3.05	2.91	2.75	2.64	2.38	2.78
144H	2.92	2.87	3.05	3.38	3.65	3.55	3.55	3.53	3.38	3.23	3.05	2.73	3.24
168H	3.32	3.27	3.45	3.88	4.16	3.98	4.03	4.04	3.81	3.72	3.44	3.12	3.69
192H	3.68	3.66	3.86	4.21	4.51	4.41	4.41	4.43	4.22	4.11	3.77	3.50	4.06
216H	3.99	3.96	4.16	4.45	4.81	4.75	4.72	4.75	4.52	4.45	4.10	3.81	4.37
240H	4.19	4.12	4.31	4.72	5.03	5.02	5.07	4.99	4.78	4.66	4.42	4.06	4.61

표 1.1.32 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 S1 Score [ 무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	31.26	29.26	28.72	28.62	29.31	30.37	28.61	28.51	28.43	28.71	29.50	30.97	29.36
48H	42.45	39.77	39.70	39.69	41.14	42.29	39.29	39.11	39.01	39.03	40.74	41.87	40.34
72H	49.14	47.06	46.91	47.09	49.22	50.70	47.05	47.22	46.83	46.94	48.23	49.28	47.97
96H	55.25	53.25	53.02	53.28	55.96	56.66	54.03	54.21	53.71	53.58	55.29	55.54	54.48
120H	60.94	58.29	58.09	59.19	61.69	61.49	60.28	60.26	59.47	59.29	61.34	60.98	60.11
144H	65.55	62.92	62.12	63.62	67.13	66.69	65.39	64.94	64.15	64.08	65.67	65.41	64.81
168H	69.72	66.44	66.01	67.97	71.06	70.42	69.28	69.01	67.96	67.98	69.55	68.79	68.68
192H	72.43	70.06	69.42	70.76	73.47	73.52	72.18	71.69	70.57	70.98	71.83	72.04	71.58
216H	75.03	72.38	71.41	72.08	75.35	75.88	73.84	73.85	72.22	73.10	73.93	74.66	73.64
240H	76.51	73.66	72.43	73.81	76.66	77.09	76.46	74.90	73.84	74.78	76.52	76.38	75.25

표 1.1.33 GDAPS 남반구 850hPa 기온 이상상관 계수 [ 무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.97	0.98
48H	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.95	0.96	0.96	0.96	0.96	0.96	0.95	0.93	0.94	0.95
72H	0.90	0.91	0.91	0.92	0.92	0.93	0.92	0.94	0.94	0.91	0.89	0.90	0.92
96H	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.88	0.88	0.89	0.88	0.90	0.91	0.86	0.82	0.85	0.87
120H	0.80	0.80	0.79	0.82	0.82	0.85	0.81	0.84	0.86	0.80	0.74	0.79	0.81
144H	0.72	0.73	0.72	0.74	0.75	0.79	0.73	0.78	0.81	0.72	0.66	0.73	0.74
168H	0.63	0.65	0.64	0.66	0.67	0.73	0.66	0.71	0.76	0.64	0.57	0.64	0.66
192H	0.54	0.56	0.53	0.59	0.61	0.66	0.58	0.65	0.71	0.56	0.49	0.55	0.59
216H	0.46	0.49	0.44	0.54	0.55	0.60	0.53	0.60	0.67	0.48	0.40	0.47	0.52
240H	0.41	0.44	0.39	0.49	0.51	0.54	0.47	0.56	0.63	0.42	0.31	0.40	0.46

표 1.1.34 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.16	-0.27	-0.65	-1.68	-2.30	-2.51	-2.57	-2.20	-1.81	-1.22	-1.03	-1.30	-1.47
48H	-0.53	-0.63	-1.50	-2.95	-3.88	-4.16	-4.26	-3.60	-3.22	-2.14	-1.98	-2.24	-2.59
72H	-0.82	-0.77	-2.21	-4.05	-4.94	-5.50	-5.49	-4.91	-4.46	-2.85	-2.40	-2.98	-3.45
96H	-0.95	-0.92	-3.09	-4.76	-5.93	-6.46	-6.65	-5.94	-5.24	-3.64	-2.60	-3.47	-4.14
120H	-1.00	-1.18	-3.81	-5.17	-6.76	-7.21	-7.61	-6.56	-5.95	-4.52	-2.75	-3.87	-4.70
144H	-1.22	-1.44	-4.31	-5.31	-7.65	-7.72	-8.64	-7.02	-6.44	-4.91	-2.91	-4.40	-5.16
168H	-1.78	-1.44	-4.99	-5.40	-8.36	-8.47	-9.62	-7.76	-7.05	-4.99	-3.18	-4.91	-5.66
192H	-2.22	-1.63	-5.35	-5.23	-8.67	-9.31	-10.48	-9.36	-8.16	-4.79	-3.66	-5.32	-6.18
216H	-2.95	-2.26	-5.22	-4.98	-8.63	-9.47	-11.53	-10.16	-9.51	-5.04	-4.03	-5.53	-6.61
240H	-3.45	-2.81	-5.34	-4.40	-8.94	-9.02	-12.33	-11.18	-10.76	-5.78	-4.07	-5.24	-6.94

표 1.1.35 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	7.36	7.17	7.62	8.24	9.06	9.55	9.10	9.22	9.05	8.58	8.42	7.38	8.40
48H	14.23	13.95	15.01	16.88	18.08	19.44	17.47	18.01	17.35	16.03	16.46	14.19	16.43
72H	22.19	22.25	24.68	26.96	29.16	30.45	27.92	28.76	27.90	26.16	25.89	22.32	26.22
96H	32.53	32.30	35.81	39.86	42.73	42.06	41.71	41.95	40.67	39.08	37.54	31.77	38.17
120H	43.73	43.89	47.33	54.93	58.78	56.35	57.45	56.64	54.57	52.66	50.51	42.53	51.61
144H	56.15	56.19	58.17	70.80	76.60	74.00	74.57	71.52	70.18	66.69	63.73	55.42	66.17
168H	67.75	68.90	70.03	84.18	93.38	90.71	89.46	85.83	84.29	80.51	75.35	68.47	79.90
192H	76.59	77.34	81.82	95.04	106.93	104.71	103.62	98.28	96.55	91.13	86.55	81.14	91.64
216H	84.31	85.79	90.92	104.78	117.01	118.68	114.23	110.06	105.05	100.36	96.95	89.27	101.45
240H	91.50	92.16	98.37	116.17	125.54	130.03	124.52	120.18	112.25	108.37	108.81	95.86	110.31

표 1.1.36 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 S1 Score [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	9.35	9.19	9.14	9.26	9.72	10.06	9.44	9.72	9.95	9.89	9.95	9.55	9.60
48H	16.32	15.98	16.09	16.76	17.71	18.17	16.37	17.15	17.05	16.69	17.00	16.46	16.81
72H	23.02	22.84	23.30	23.84	25.56	25.73	23.51	24.37	24.40	24.12	24.06	23.43	24.01
96H	30.14	29.80	30.54	31.32	33.48	32.65	31.22	31.66	31.89	31.92	31.56	30.13	31.36
120H	37.04	36.89	37.05	39.05	41.29	39.75	39.10	38.91	38.67	39.10	38.49	36.73	38.51
144H	43.99	43.67	42.61	46.21	48.98	47.10	46.43	45.16	45.42	45.56	44.97	43.64	45.31
168H	50.15	50.04	48.40	52.02	55.13	53.10	52.27	51.03	51.20	51.23	50.24	49.68	51.21
192H	54.30	54.47	53.36	56.30	60.00	58.61	57.42	55.66	55.63	55.38	54.89	55.07	55.92
216H	58.15	58.06	56.80	59.45	63.37	63.29	61.00	59.72	58.28	58.99	58.59	58.38	59.51
240H	60.99	60.53	59.82	63.45	65.61	66.73	64.19	62.06	60.71	61.99	63.34	61.03	62.54

표 1.1.37 GDAPS 남반구 500hPa 고도 이상상관 계수 [무차원] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
48H	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.98	0.99	0.99
72H	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.96	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.96	0.97	0.97
96H	0.94	0.94	0.93	0.93	0.91	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.95	0.92	0.91	0.94	0.93
120H	0.89	0.89	0.88	0.86	0.83	0.89	0.88	0.89	0.90	0.86	0.84	0.89	0.88
144H	0.81	0.82	0.82	0.77	0.71	0.80	0.79	0.82	0.84	0.78	0.76	0.81	0.79
168H	0.71	0.73	0.73	0.67	0.58	0.70	0.70	0.74	0.76	0.68	0.66	0.71	0.70
192H	0.63	0.66	0.63	0.58	0.46	0.59	0.60	0.65	0.68	0.59	0.56	0.60	0.60
216H	0.54	0.59	0.55	0.49	0.37	0.48	0.52	0.56	0.62	0.50	0.46	0.51	0.52
240H	0.46	0.52	0.48	0.38	0.29	0.38	0.43	0.47	0.57	0.42	0.35	0.42	0.43

표 1.1.38 GDAPS 남반구 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.15	-0.14	-0.16	-0.07	-0.04	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.10	-0.08	-0.17	-0.09
48H	-0.24	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-0.15	-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.16	-0.13	-0.27	-0.16
72H	-0.36	-0.41	-0.24	-0.11	-0.11	-0.18	-0.30	-0.15	-0.07	-0.20	-0.21	-0.33	-0.22
96H	-0.48	-0.52	-0.27	-0.14	-0.20	-0.25	-0.38	-0.20	-0.08	-0.23	-0.34	-0.46	-0.30
120H	-0.60	-0.56	-0.31	-0.24	-0.21	-0.29	-0.51	-0.24	-0.10	-0.27	-0.46	-0.50	-0.36
144H	-0.72	-0.58	-0.35	-0.37	-0.14	-0.27	-0.56	-0.31	-0.13	-0.29	-0.49	-0.52	-0.39
168H	-0.79	-0.59	-0.44	-0.51	-0.08	-0.24	-0.59	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	-0.59	-0.51	-0.42
192H	-0.84	-0.68	-0.54	-0.62	-0.10	-0.18	-0.63	-0.05	-0.09	-0.32	-0.56	-0.49	-0.42
216H	-0.82	-0.80	-0.64	-0.60	-0.08	-0.27	-0.58	-0.06	-0.04	-0.17	-0.59	-0.57	-0.44
240H	-0.92	-0.92	-0.62	-0.64	0.14	-0.29	-0.54	0.05	0.11	-0.13	-0.62	-0.66	-0.42

표 1.1.39 GDAPS 남반구 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 분석검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	3.53	3.62	3.67	3.81	3.82	3.85	3.82	3.80	3.93	3.83	3.98	3.95	3.80
48H	6.00	5.99	6.19	6.45	6.43	6.42	6.21	6.14	6.16	6.07	6.27	6.18	6.21
72H	8.46	8.39	8.77	8.92	9.09	9.00	8.66	8.37	8.51	8.39	8.53	8.39	8.62
96H	11.05	10.84	11.44	11.64	12.13	11.64	11.36	10.84	11.03	11.03	11.10	10.59	11.22
120H	13.51	13.31	13.97	14.48	15.48	14.54	14.31	13.42	13.55	13.77	13.91	12.84	13.92
144H	15.94	15.70	16.23	17.37	18.82	17.63	17.49	16.06	16.09	16.46	16.35	15.31	16.62
168H	18.39	18.35	18.65	20.04	21.68	20.32	20.30	18.69	18.79	18.84	18.57	17.70	19.19
192H	20.28	20.35	20.95	22.08	23.88	22.93	23.02	21.27	21.19	20.83	20.72	20.01	21.46
216H	21.89	21.80	22.53	23.88	25.59	25.25	25.36	23.27	22.82	22.63	22.33	21.63	23.25
240H	23.04	22.64	23.57	25.44	27.09	26.80	27.33	24.48	24.15	24.23	23.93	22.69	24.62

전지구예보모델 관측 검증

존데자료를 이용한 아시아 영역 검증

표 1.1.40 GDAPS 아시아 850hPa 기온 Mean Error [℃] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.62	-0.39	-0.34	-0.13	0.08	0.31	0.45	0.41	0.06	-0.27	-0.37	-0.44	-0.10
48H	-0.97	-0.64	-0.42	-0.27	0.09	0.51	0.65	0.65	0.04	-0.35	-0.50	-0.65	-0.16
72H	-1.33	-0.89	-0.49	-0.37	0.02	0.60	0.79	0.83	0.06	-0.36	-0.62	-0.82	-0.22
96H	-1.60	-1.13	-0.41	-0.36	-0.01	0.65	0.97	0.99	0.11	-0.34	-0.65	-1.02	-0.23
120H	-1.84	-1.31	-0.44	-0.32	0.04	0.65	1.07	1.15	0.13	-0.43	-0.59	-1.18	-0.26
144H	-2.20	-1.53	-0.48	-0.20	0.15	0.72	1.19	1.21	0.25	-0.52	-0.64	-1.48	-0.29
168H	-2.40	-1.85	-0.67	-0.33	0.19	0.65	1.30	1.26	0.38	-0.57	-0.56	-1.64	-0.35
192H	-2.61	-1.89	-0.76	-0.56	0.19	0.72	1.35	1.29	0.50	-0.54	-0.60	-1.67	-0.38
216H	-2.75	-1.86	-1.18	-0.69	0.29	0.92	1.38	1.23	0.52	-0.45	-0.72	-1.68	-0.42
240H	-3.00	-2.16	-1.66	-0.57	0.14	1.09	1.44	1.17	0.63	-0.36	-0.96	-1.55	-0.48

표 1.1.41 GDAPS 아시아 850hPa 기온 RMSE [℃] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	1.62	1.58	1.49	1.28	1.34	1.43	1.39	1.35	1.20	1.29	1.29	1.43	1.39
48H	2.10	1.97	1.89	1.60	1.66	1.77	1.73	1.71	1.45	1.54	1.58	1.76	1.73
72H	2.61	2.34	2.23	1.89	2.01	2.05	1.98	1.99	1.64	1.80	1.81	2.10	2.04
96H	3.05	2.65	2.63	2.17	2.37	2.26	2.27	2.20	1.86	2.03	2.08	2.46	2.34
120H	3.60	3.12	3.25	2.64	2.75	2.61	2.61	2.42	2.13	2.30	2.35	2.78	2.71
144H	4.26	3.58	3.83	3.31	3.24	2.87	2.90	2.61	2.42	2.60	2.77	3.12	3.13
168H	4.65	3.99	4.21	3.64	3.49	3.19	3.20	2.80	2.81	3.03	3.14	3.47	3.47
192H	5.19	4.45	4.76	4.40	3.89	3.42	3.42	2.97	3.14	3.48	3.65	3.78	3.88
216H	5.55	4.77	5.57	4.76	4.08	3.83	3.54	3.21	3.36	3.67	3.95	4.12	4.20
240H	6.01	5.16	6.03	5.21	4.38	4.03	3.63	3.44	3.70	3.87	4.54	4.53	4.54

표 1.1.42 GDAPS 아시아 850hPa 기온 TREND [무차원] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.88	0.90	0.93	0.94	0.91	0.80	0.76	0.78	0.89	0.92	0.91	0.89	0.88
48H	0.90	0.91	0.93	0.94	0.91	0.83	0.78	0.80	0.90	0.94	0.92	0.91	0.89
72H	0.88	0.89	0.92	0.94	0.90	0.85	0.77	0.78	0.90	0.91	0.91	0.90	0.88
96H	0.85	0.88	0.89	0.92	0.88	0.85	0.74	0.76	0.89	0.89	0.91	0.88	0.86
120H	0.82	0.87	0.85	0.89	0.83	0.84	0.69	0.73	0.86	0.86	0.89	0.85	0.83
144H	0.76	0.84	0.79	0.85	0.77	0.81	0.63	0.71	0.85	0.84	0.85	0.82	0.79
168H	0.68	0.81	0.74	0.82	0.74	0.77	0.57	0.69	0.79	0.81	0.78	0.80	0.75
192H	0.59	0.76	0.70	0.75	0.65	0.72	0.54	0.67	0.76	0.74	0.68	0.77	0.69
216H	0.57	0.71	0.57	0.73	0.59	0.67	0.52	0.58	0.71	0.69	0.62	0.75	0.64
240H	0.51	0.66	0.51	0.65	0.58	0.66	0.51	0.52	0.64	0.70	0.56	0.68	0.60

표 1.1.43 GDAPS 아시아 500hPa 고도 Mean Error [m/s] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-1.93	0.43	-0.65	0.91	0.82	0.83	-0.57	-0.01	0.15	-1.30	-0.98	-2.64	-0.41
48H	-4.54	-0.27	-2.18	-0.87	0.43	-0.25	-0.87	-0.72	-0.04	-2.10	-2.19	-4.45	-1.50
72H	-6.24	-1.47	-2.35	-1.97	2.11	0.42	1.56	0.54	1.49	-1.40	-2.10	-5.95	-1.28
96H	-7.99	-4.69	-1.61	-2.21	2.61	0.91	2.17	2.02	1.50	-2.87	-3.47	-8.01	-1.80
120H	-8.95	-6.58	-1.73	-1.40	3.96	0.88	1.41	1.90	-0.92	-5.82	-5.04	-10.53	-2.73
144H	-11.95	-7.76	-0.69	-0.08	3.48	1.78	1.30	1.88	-3.07	-6.27	-4.76	-13.80	-3.33
168H	-14.98	-10.65	-1.06	-1.18	4.60	1.40	4.25	3.83	-2.93	-4.34	-2.70	-15.57	-3.28
192H	-14.82	-9.78	-3.54	-3.33	5.69	1.07	6.81	4.08	-2.26	-4.55	-3.80	-16.87	-3.44
216H	-9.98	-7.99	-7.49	-5.57	6.36	2.40	6.15	2.15	-0.47	-4.06	-3.41	-17.68	-3.30
240H	-11.77	-6.24	-10.13	-1.35	5.12	1.75	3.97	1.49	0.29	-2.37	-4.70	-17.39	-3.44

표 1.1.44 GDAPS 아시아 500hPa 고도 RMSE [m/s] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	12.69	13.14	12.16	12.09	11.95	12.29	11.98	12.24	11.86	11.63	12.25	12.95	12.27
48H	15.98	15.94	16.59	15.33	14.88	15.47	15.11	14.84	14.73	14.91	15.94	16.74	15.54
72H	20.93	19.95	21.71	19.89	19.71	18.83	18.02	17.48	17.22	19.67	19.77	21.78	19.58
96H	27.65	24.66	28.78	25.79	24.27	22.87	21.40	20.21	21.45	24.41	25.01	29.13	24.64
120H	35.31	31.37	38.88	33.22	30.74	27.18	25.66	22.28	26.82	29.94	31.42	35.13	30.66
144H	43.71	40.57	44.52	42.89	38.84	31.40	29.11	25.17	33.72	33.75	39.08	42.24	37.08
168H	52.27	46.96	50.65	51.70	44.42	35.63	32.50	29.07	38.43	40.65	47.83	49.90	43.33
192H	61.34	52.44	59.88	60.21	48.31	38.72	35.79	31.65	43.71	45.49	58.25	56.63	49.37
216H	68.25	57.69	68.76	69.10	53.71	43.29	37.61	35.84	46.23	51.04	65.55	68.68	55.48
240H	74.94	66.09	74.84	73.13	58.37	46.38	37.73	39.41	52.02	59.07	75.53	78.13	61.30

표 1.1.45 GDAPS 아시아 500hPa 고도 TREND [무차원] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.97	0.96	0.91	0.87	0.87	0.95	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.95
48H	0.98	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.94	0.90	0.91	0.96	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.96
72H	0.97	0.97	0.96	0.97	0.95	0.94	0.89	0.89	0.95	0.96	0.97	0.97	0.95
96H	0.95	0.95	0.93	0.95	0.93	0.94	0.88	0.86	0.93	0.94	0.96	0.95	0.93
120H	0.93	0.93	0.86	0.91	0.90	0.92	0.84	0.83	0.91	0.92	0.94	0.93	0.90
144H	0.87	0.90	0.82	0.86	0.83	0.90	0.79	0.80	0.88	0.90	0.90	0.90	0.86
168H	0.80	0.87	0.77	0.82	0.78	0.88	0.73	0.77	0.83	0.84	0.83	0.87	0.82
192H	0.71	0.83	0.69	0.77	0.74	0.85	0.67	0.74	0.76	0.78	0.72	0.83	0.76
216H	0.68	0.78	0.64	0.72	0.69	0.80	0.66	0.68	0.73	0.73	0.66	0.78	0.71
240H	0.62	0.71	0.63	0.69	0.67	0.77	0.65	0.62	0.67	0.63	0.61	0.71	0.67

표 1.1.46 GDAPS 아시아 250hPa 풍속 Mean Error [m/s] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	-0.61	-0.77	-0.46	-0.32	-0.40	-0.53	-0.75	-0.74	-0.48	-0.35	-0.50	-0.62	-0.54
48H	-0.75	-1.03	-0.54	-0.66	-0.64	-0.67	-0.97	-1.15	-0.71	-0.62	-0.70	-1.00	-0.79
72H	-0.80	-1.16	-0.56	-0.65	-0.64	-0.90	-1.24	-1.42	-0.70	-0.77	-0.88	-1.08	-0.90
96H	-0.78	-1.28	-0.75	-0.75	-0.68	-0.89	-1.41	-1.58	-0.78	-0.77	-0.91	-1.24	-0.98
120H	-0.64	-1.30	-1.05	-0.89	-0.69	-1.12	-1.65	-1.61	-0.97	-0.66	-0.94	-1.22	-1.06
144H	-0.56	-1.27	-1.25	-1.08	-0.59	-1.14	-1.82	-1.66	-0.89	-0.78	-0.87	-1.23	-1.09
168H	-0.87	-1.54	-1.08	-1.06	-0.60	-1.22	-1.74	-1.70	-0.86	-0.87	-1.19	-1.09	-1.15
192H	-1.23	-1.97	-1.16	-1.11	-0.48	-0.95	-1.61	-1.65	-0.79	-1.08	-1.46	-1.24	-1.23
216H	-1.09	-2.52	-0.92	-1.77	-0.82	-1.15	-1.55	-1.59	-0.73	-1.07	-0.95	-1.15	-1.28
240H	-0.95	-2.88	-0.74	-1.82	-0.81	-1.07	-1.49	-1.51	-1.11	-1.09	-0.46	-1.60	-1.29

표 1.1.47 GDAPS 아시아 250hPa 풍속 RMSE [m/s] 관측검증

FCST	Jan.	Feb.	Mar.	Apr.	May.	Jun.	Jul.	Aug.	Sep.	Oct.	Nov.	Dec.	Ave.
24H	4.69	5.05	5.68	5.98	6.26	5.91	5.84	5.38	5.11	4.70	4.30	4.54	5.29
48H	5.61	5.87	7.14	7.57	8.31	8.08	7.53	7.26	6.60	6.27	5.54	5.91	6.81
72H	6.80	7.04	8.65	9.45	10.15	10.15	9.37	8.65	7.99	7.93	7.03	7.25	8.37
96H	8.28	8.24	10.57	11.06	12.19	12.07	11.53	10.10	9.60	9.57	8.76	8.90	10.07
120H	10.21	9.92	12.37	12.57	14.31	13.62	13.33	11.20	11.24	11.29	10.86	10.58	11.79
144H	12.23	11.62	14.12	14.76	16.35	14.77	14.66	12.64	13.14	12.82	13.57	12.69	13.61
168H	13.88	12.72	15.69	17.29	18.00	16.75	16.18	13.83	15.06	14.85	15.89	14.69	15.40
192H	15.73	14.23	17.37	18.94	19.27	18.04	17.57	14.51	16.97	16.59	17.34	16.13	16.89
216H	17.18	16.07	19.65	20.04	20.97	19.41	18.41	15.61	18.02	18.62	18.73	18.58	18.44
240H	17.96	18.20	21.58	21.66	22.11	20.37	18.79	16.57	19.14	20.12	20.54	21.06	19.84

GDAPS(N512L70) ASOS 강수 검증

표 1.1.48 GDAPS(N512L70) 한반도 76개 지점에 대한 강수 TS

Threshold = 0.1 mm								Threshold = 5 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	0.64	0.60	0.56	0.48	0.48	0.47	0.53	Jan.	0.72		0.73		0.71		0.70		0.64		0.67		0.70
Feb.	0.63	0.62	0.56	0.50	0.47	0.45	0.53	Feb.	0.65		0.56		0.56		0.55		0.53		0.45		0.54
Mar.	0.50	0.49	0.51	0.42	0.42	0.38	0.45	Mar.	0.75		0.75		0.76		0.79		0.70		0.72		0.74
Apr.	0.61	0.59	0.58	0.50	0.50	0.49	0.54	Apr.	0.52		0.48		0.34		0.37		0.42		0.39		0.42
May.	0.50	0.48	0.46	0.45	0.42	0.41	0.45	May.	0.82		0.76		0.77		0.74		0.61		0.52		0.69
Jun.	0.44	0.38	0.36	0.34	0.34	0.36	0.37	Jun.	0.46		0.36		0.29		0.25		0.29		0.30		0.33
Jul.	0.51	0.49	0.51	0.50	0.47	0.47	0.49	Jul.	0.42		0.39		0.41		0.37		0.35		0.34		0.38
Aug.	0.45	0.41	0.42	0.42	0.41	0.41	0.42	Aug.	0.43		0.36		0.34		0.32		0.31		0.30		0.34
Sep.	0.60	0.55	0.51	0.49	0.44	0.45	0.50	Sep.	0.48		0.45		0.39		0.36		0.37		0.30		0.39
Oct.	0.52	0.45	0.44	0.42	0.38	0.40	0.43	Oct.	0.46		0.41		0.36		0.33		0.32		0.34		0.36
Nov.	0.65	0.64	0.60	0.59	0.55	0.57	0.60	Nov.	0.56		0.46		0.42		0.38		0.38		0.37		0.43
Dec.	0.58	0.54	0.56	0.53	0.50	0.44	0.52	Dec.	0.51		0.45		0.42		0.39		0.35		0.35		0.41
TOTAL	0.54	0.50	0.50	0.47	0.44	0.44	0.48	TOTAL	0.52		0.47		0.44		0.42		0.40		0.38		0.44
Threshold = 15 mm								Threshold = 25 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	0.40	0.36	0.27	0.25	0.35	0.25	0.32	Jan.	0.20		0.36		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.10
Feb.	0.67	0.58	0.43	0.51	0.48	0.44	0.51	Feb.	0.43		0.30		0.37		0.39		0.22		0.41		0.36
Mar.	0.63	0.62	0.66	0.69	0.67	0.66	0.65	Mar.	0.60		0.36		0.69		0.65		0.47		0.36		0.50
Apr.	0.52	0.30	0.18	0.22	0.23	0.18	0.25	Apr.	0.30		0.20		0.03		0.13		0.19		0.13		0.16
May.	0.79	0.74	0.72	0.75	0.55	0.52	0.68	May.	0.59		0.51		0.44		0.43		0.35		0.39		0.45
Jun.	0.29	0.09	0.21	0.15	0.23	0.31	0.22	Jun.	0.14		0.03		0.10		0.07		0.13		0.21		0.11
Jul.	0.36	0.32	0.32	0.27	0.25	0.24	0.29	Jul.	0.30		0.28		0.24		0.19		0.17		0.15		0.22
Aug.	0.26	0.26	0.24	0.15	0.21	0.17	0.21	Aug.	0.23		0.17		0.13		0.10		0.08		0.08		0.13
Sep.	0.25	0.26	0.23	0.15	0.15	0.24	0.21	Sep.	0.13		0.15		0.11		0.09		0.04		0.14		0.11
Oct.	0.46	0.39	0.32	0.30	0.19	0.30	0.31	Oct.	0.42		0.37		0.29		0.20		0.06		0.23		0.24
Nov.	0.66	0.61	0.43	0.20	0.33	0.30	0.41	Nov.	0.09		0.23		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.05
Dec.	0.19	0.27	0.13	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.15	Dec.	0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00
TOTAL	0.43	0.38	0.35	0.31	0.29	0.29	0.34	TOTAL	0.32		0.27		0.24		0.21		0.17		0.19		0.23
Threshold = 50 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL
Jan.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Feb.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mar.	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05
Apr.	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05
May.	0.38	0.37	0.25	0.43	0.49	0.26	0.36
Jun.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.01
Jul.	0.19	0.16	0.14	0.07	0.05	0.06	0.10
Aug.	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.04
Sep.	0.00	0.00	0.11	0.00	0.00	0.10	0.04
Oct.	0.29	0.29	0.18	0.06	0.00	0.07	0.14
Nov.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Dec.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
TOTAL	0.16	0.15	0.12	0.09	0.08	0.08	0.11

표 1.1.49 GDAPS(N512L70) 한반도 76개 지점에 대한 강수 ETS

Threshold = 0.1 mm								Threshold = 5 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	0.57	0.53	0.50	0.40	0.40	0.39	0.46	Jan.	0.71		0.72		0.70		0.69		0.63		0.66		0.69
Feb.	0.57	0.55	0.48	0.42	0.37	0.34	0.44	Feb.	0.63		0.54		0.55		0.54		0.50		0.42		0.53
Mar.	0.44	0.44	0.46	0.36	0.36	0.32	0.39	Mar.	0.74		0.75		0.75		0.78		0.69		0.71		0.74
Apr.	0.50	0.49	0.47	0.38	0.38	0.37	0.43	Apr.	0.49		0.45		0.31		0.34		0.38		0.35		0.39
May.	0.41	0.38	0.36	0.35	0.32	0.31	0.35	May.	0.80		0.74		0.75		0.72		0.58		0.49		0.67
Jun.	0.30	0.22	0.20	0.18	0.19	0.20	0.21	Jun.	0.42		0.33		0.26		0.22		0.25		0.27		0.29
Jul.	0.23	0.19	0.23	0.21	0.17	0.17	0.20	Jul.	0.32		0.29		0.31		0.26		0.24		0.24		0.28
Aug.	0.29	0.24	0.27	0.27	0.25	0.25	0.26	Aug.	0.38		0.31		0.28		0.27		0.26		0.24		0.29
Sep.	0.48	0.43	0.38	0.37	0.31	0.32	0.38	Sep.	0.44		0.42		0.34		0.32		0.33		0.26		0.35
Oct.	0.46	0.38	0.37	0.35	0.30	0.32	0.36	Oct.	0.45		0.39		0.34		0.32		0.30		0.32		0.35
Nov.	0.57	0.56	0.51	0.51	0.45	0.47	0.51	Nov.	0.54		0.44		0.40		0.36		0.36		0.35		0.40
Dec.	0.52	0.47	0.49	0.46	0.43	0.37	0.45	Dec.	0.50		0.44		0.41		0.39		0.34		0.34		0.41
TOTAL	0.43	0.39	0.38	0.35	0.33	0.32	0.37	TOTAL	0.49		0.44		0.41		0.39		0.37		0.35		0.40
Threshold = 15 mm								Threshold = 25 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	0.40	0.36	0.27	0.25	0.35	0.25	0.32	Jan.	0.20		0.36		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.10
Feb.	0.66	0.57	0.43	0.51	0.47	0.44	0.51	Feb.	0.43		0.29		0.37		0.39		0.22		0.41		0.35
Mar.	0.62	0.61	0.65	0.68	0.66	0.65	0.65	Mar.	0.59		0.36		0.68		0.65		0.46		0.36		0.50
Apr.	0.51	0.29	0.18	0.21	0.21	0.16	0.24	Apr.	0.30		0.20		0.03		0.13		0.19		0.12		0.16
May.	0.78	0.73	0.71	0.74	0.53	0.50	0.66	May.	0.58		0.50		0.43		0.41		0.34		0.38		0.44
Jun.	0.28	0.08	0.20	0.14	0.22	0.30	0.21	Jun.	0.13		0.03		0.10		0.07		0.12		0.20		0.11
Jul.	0.31	0.28	0.27	0.21	0.19	0.19	0.24	Jul.	0.28		0.26		0.21		0.15		0.14		0.12		0.19
Aug.	0.24	0.24	0.22	0.14	0.19	0.14	0.19	Aug.	0.22		0.16		0.12		0.09		0.07		0.07		0.12
Sep.	0.24	0.25	0.21	0.14	0.13	0.23	0.20	Sep.	0.13		0.15		0.10		0.08		0.04		0.13		0.11
Oct.	0.45	0.39	0.31	0.29	0.18	0.29	0.30	Oct.	0.42		0.37		0.29		0.20		0.06		0.22		0.24
Nov.	0.65	0.60	0.42	0.20	0.33	0.29	0.40	Nov.	0.09		0.22		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.05
Dec.	0.19	0.27	0.12	0.15	0.10	0.04	0.15	Dec.	0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00
TOTAL	0.42	0.37	0.34	0.30	0.28	0.28	0.33	TOTAL	0.31		0.27		0.24		0.20		0.16		0.19		0.22
Threshold = 50 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL
Jan.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Feb.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mar.	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05
Apr.	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05
May.	0.38	0.37	0.25	0.43	0.48	0.26	0.36
Jun.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.00
Jul.	0.18	0.16	0.13	0.06	0.04	0.05	0.09
Aug.	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.04
Sep.	0.00	0.00	0.11	0.00	0.00	0.10	0.04
Oct.	0.29	0.28	0.18	0.06	0.00	0.07	0.14
Nov.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Dec.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
TOTAL	0.16	0.15	0.12	0.09	0.08	0.07	0.11

표 1.1.50 GDAPS(N512L70) 한반도 76개 지점에 대한 강수 BIAS

Threshold = 0.1 mm								Threshold = 5 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	1.35	1.35	1.36	1.41	1.39	1.47	1.39	Jan.	1.01		1.03		0.95		0.76		0.76		0.76		0.88
Feb.	1.24	1.37	1.33	1.37	1.58	1.85	1.46	Feb.	1.01		0.69		0.69		0.79		1.14		1.18		0.92
Mar.	1.73	1.48	1.52	1.79	1.84	1.81	1.69	Mar.	0.90		0.97		0.92		1.09		1.15		1.17		1.04
Apr.	1.47	1.29	1.32	1.26	1.35	1.31	1.33	Apr.	1.04		0.89		0.62		0.81		1.02		1.08		0.91
May.	1.80	1.87	1.91	1.96	1.98	1.84	1.90	May.	1.03		1.09		1.08		1.17		1.23		1.35		1.16
Jun.	1.97	2.16	2.11	2.06	1.97	2.10	2.06	Jun.	1.10		1.00		0.80		0.81		1.03		1.06		0.96
Jul.	1.75	1.84	1.76	1.80	1.81	1.74	1.78	Jul.	1.22		1.18		1.29		1.44		1.44		1.30		1.31
Aug.	1.94	2.07	1.79	1.80	1.83	1.87	1.88	Aug.	1.17		1.17		1.02		0.91		1.01		1.14		1.07
Sep.	1.45	1.43	1.46	1.44	1.24	1.31	1.39	Sep.	0.82		0.90		1.04		0.80		0.87		0.88		0.89
Oct.	1.34	1.52	1.65	1.72	1.84	1.75	1.64	Oct.	0.81		1.01		1.01		1.24		1.44		1.13		1.11
Nov.	0.95	0.99	1.03	0.97	0.99	1.12	1.01	Nov.	0.74		0.78		0.68		0.76		0.70		0.88		0.76
Dec.	1.08	1.18	1.16	1.08	1.02	1.02	1.09	Dec.	0.83		0.90		0.65		0.61		0.58		0.65		0.70
TOTAL	1.54	1.58	1.56	1.57	1.57	1.60	1.57	TOTAL	1.03		1.01		0.97		1.01		1.10		1.11		1.04
Threshold = 15 mm								Threshold = 25 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL	MONTH	12H		24H		36H		48H		60H		72H		TOTAL
Jan.	1.03	1.00	0.69	0.38	0.66	0.47	0.70	Jan.	0.38		0.46		0.08		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.15
Feb.	1.02	1.21	0.79	0.98	0.90	1.44	1.06	Feb.	1.35		1.06		0.53		0.47		0.29		0.82		0.75
Mar.	0.76	0.75	0.78	1.08	1.19	1.27	0.97	Mar.	1.07		0.36		1.07		1.14		1.64		2.41		1.28
Apr.	0.76	0.87	0.32	0.74	1.56	1.96	1.04	Apr.	0.56		0.67		0.03		0.19		1.78		2.64		0.98
May.	1.04	1.02	0.96	1.08	0.79	0.88	0.96	May.	1.11		1.15		1.02		1.06		0.81		0.86		1.00
Jun.	0.73	0.23	0.48	0.29	0.77	0.70	0.53	Jun.	0.39		0.04		0.26		0.10		0.50		0.40		0.28
Jul.	0.80	0.79	1.03	1.16	1.12	0.92	0.97	Jul.	0.65		0.75		0.99		1.10		0.98		0.82		0.88
Aug.	0.76	0.58	0.59	0.45	0.57	0.62	0.60	Aug.	0.66		0.38		0.30		0.35		0.40		0.32		0.40
Sep.	0.46	0.67	0.81	0.50	0.39	0.62	0.58	Sep.	0.34		0.51		0.58		0.29		0.28		0.63		0.44
Oct.	0.60	0.94	1.12	1.05	1.55	1.38	1.11	Oct.	0.48		1.14		1.38		1.00		1.32		1.68		1.17
Nov.	0.91	0.78	0.63	0.41	0.74	1.20	0.78	Nov.	0.24		0.31		0.00		0.03		0.03		0.28		0.15
Dec.	0.36	1.00	0.29	0.64	0.50	0.71	0.58	Dec.	0.00		1.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.00		0.17
TOTAL	0.79	0.76	0.80	0.81	0.90	0.93	0.83	TOTAL	0.66		0.64		0.71		0.71		0.77		0.84		0.72
Threshold = 50 mm
MONTH	12H	24H	36H	48H	60H	72H	TOTAL
Jan.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Feb.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mar.	0.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.22	0.15
Apr.	0.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.11
May.	0.46	0.37	0.29	0.43	0.57	0.26	0.40
Jun.	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.21	0.10	0.07
Jul.	0.38	0.55	0.91	1.12	1.03	1.05	0.84
Aug.	0.62	0.24	0.04	0.07	0.24	0.13	0.23
Sep.	0.20	0.07	0.33	0.07	0.07	0.47	0.20
Oct.	0.38	1.25	1.81	1.06	0.88	0.94	1.05
Nov.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Dec.	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
TOTAL	0.40	0.38	0.52	0.57	0.59	0.56	0.51